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FC St. Pauli v SV Werder Bremen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Daniel Thioune will be hoping for a crucial away win in the Bundesliga on Sunday afternoon, as he takes his SV Werder Bremen side to the Millerntor-Stadion to visit FC St. Pauli and Alexander Blessin. We've got odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 top betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.

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FC St. Pauli's next match is v E.Frankfurt at 14:30 on Sunday 8th March
SV Werder Bremen's next match is v Union Berlin at 16:30 on Sunday 8th March
The last German Bundesliga meeting between St. Pauli and W.Bremen was on Sunday 22nd February 2026
German Bundesliga
February 22nd 2026
St. Pauli 2
1 W.Bremen
 
H. Wahl 55'62' J. Milošević
J. Fujita 70'
 
STP
SVW
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
5
Corners
1
5
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
6
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
6/0
 
St. PauliW.Bremen
 
M. Saliakas
K. Mets
H. Wahlfootball icon
E. Smith
A. Pyrka
J. Irvine (J. Sands 80')
D. Sinani
T. Ando
N. Vasilj
J. Fujitafootball icon (M. Rasmussen 87')
M. Kaars (M. Pereira Lage 53')
M. Backhaus
N. Stark
J. Stage
(K. Topp 79') C. Puertas
R. Schmid
S. Mbangula
J. Njinmah
F. Agu
S. Lynen
M. Friedl
(J. Milošević 61') M. Grüll

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% probability of St. Pauli and W.Bremen serving up a minimum of 2 goals in this Bundesliga clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it seems the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St. Pauli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Pauli
39%
13/8
13%
1/500
8%
Draw
26%
11/5
3%
22/1
W.Bremen
35%
7/4
9%
150/1
10%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/121/20
St. Pauli 1-0
10%
15/2
7%
8/5
W.Bremen 1-0
9%
15/2
12%
7/2
7%
St. Pauli 2-1
8%
9/1
10%
2/13
12%
W.Bremen 2-1
8%
10/1
9%
10/3
5%
Draw 0-0
7%
15/2
6%
13/8
7%
St. Pauli 2-0
7%
12/1
8%
4/1
W.Bremen 2-0
6%
12/1
8%
11/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
12/17/1
St. Pauli 3-1
4%
20/1
24%
9/1
12%
W.Bremen 3-1
3%
22/114/1
11%
St. Pauli 3-0
3%
25/1
26%
14/1
10%
W.Bremen 3-0
3%
28/1
10%
33/1
17%
St. Pauli 3-2
2%
33/145/1
W.Bremen 3-2
2%
33/160/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
11/107/10
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
8/1121/20
1%
Home 1st Goal
48%
20/21
8%
19/10
5%
Away 1st Goal
47%
21/20
7%
6/4
5%
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
6%
13/8
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/5
2%
21/20
3%
BTTS - No
46%
19/20
6%
7/10
1%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/2
18%
1/16
10%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/37/1
3%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/250/1
5%
Home/draw
65%
2/5
3%
1/300
6%
Away/draw
61%
4/9
7%
7/1
5%
Home/away
74%
4/111/16
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/3
3%
4/9
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
12/5
6%
8/5
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
11/4
8%
19/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
2/7
2%
2/13
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/1
13%
28/1
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/10
1%
1/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1
12%
100/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40
1%
1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/14
1%
4/9
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8/1
6%
13/8
Home DNB
57%
5/6
10%
1/1000
11%
Away DNB
53%
5/6
10%
50/1
10%
St. Pauli win to nil
21%
10/3
13%
-
W.Bremen win to nil
19%
7/2
11%
-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
19%
10/3
19%
10/1
8%
St. Pauli / W.Bremen
3%
28/133/1
St. Pauli / Draw
6%
14/120/1
Draw / St. Pauli
14%
5/1
8%
3/1
13%
Draw / W.Bremen
14%
5/1
8%
12/5
8%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/16/4
W.Bremen / St. Pauli
3%
28/140/1
W.Bremen / W.Bremen
18%
7/2
9%
17/2
10%
W.Bremen / Draw
6%
14/122/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

St. Pauli have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 5 and won 3. St. Pauli have conceded 38 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Pauli have played 10 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

W.Bremen lay in 16th place on 19 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 22 matches. W.Bremen are unbeaten in 2 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 2 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 3 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. W.Bremen have conceded 2 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

W.Bremen have played 11 away games, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Pauli
W.Bremen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2521316866 
Apr 11
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-0A
2
Dortmund2516722755 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-2A
May 16
l
 
3-0A
3
Hoffenheim2515462049 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
May 9
4
Stuttgart2514561647 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-4A
Apr 25
5
RB Leipzig2514561447 
d
 
1-1A
May 9
Apr 4
l
 
2-0A
6
Leverkusen2513571644 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-0A
7
E.Frankfurt24978-134 
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
d
 
3-3A
l
 
4-1A
8
Freiburg25979-534 
Mar 22
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
9
Augsburg259412-1231 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
10
Hamburg257810-829 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
Apr 18
l
 
3-2F
11
Union Berlin247710-928 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
12
B. M'gladbach256712-1525 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 13
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
13
Köln256613-924 
Apr 17
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
14
Mainz255911-1224 
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
d
 
1-1A
15
St. Pauli246513-1723 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
16
W.Bremen245712-1922 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
-
-
17
Wolfsburg255515-2120 
May 16
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
Mar 21
18
Heidenheim253517-3314 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
St. Pauli 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli2 - 1Stuttgart
St. Pauli1 - 1RB Leipzig
St. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
St. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
St. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 4B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli0 - 3Hoffenheim
St. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
St. Pauli2 - 1Augsburg
St. Pauli3 - 3Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 2VfL Bochum
St. Pauli0 - 1Stuttgart
St. Pauli1 - 1Leverkusen
St. Pauli1 - 1B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
St. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
St. Pauli1 - 1Augsburg
St. Pauli3 - 0Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 1E.Frankfurt
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASt. Pauli0 - 4Leverkusen
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Stuttgart
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Augsburg
HSt. Pauli1 - 1RB Leipzig
HSt. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
ASt. Pauli2 - 3Dortmund
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 0Mainz
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Köln
ASt. Pauli1 - 3Bayern
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 4B. M'gladbach
ASt. Pauli0 - 2E.Frankfurt
HSt. Pauli0 - 3Hoffenheim
ASt. Pauli0 - 1W.Bremen
HSt. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
ASt. Pauli0 - 2Stuttgart
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Augsburg
W.Bremen 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Freiburg1 - 0W.Bremen
Leverkusen1 - 0W.Bremen
Dortmund3 - 0W.Bremen
Augsburg0 - 0W.Bremen
Hamburg3 - 2W.Bremen
RB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
Mainz1 - 1W.Bremen
Heidenheim2 - 2W.Bremen
Bayern4 - 0W.Bremen
B. M'gladbach0 - 4W.Bremen
E.Frankfurt4 - 1W.Bremen
Heidenheim1 - 4W.Bremen
Union Berlin2 - 2W.Bremen
Stuttgart1 - 2W.Bremen
Holstein0 - 3W.Bremen
Leverkusen0 - 2W.Bremen
Freiburg5 - 0W.Bremen
Bayern3 - 0W.Bremen
Dortmund2 - 2W.Bremen
RB Leipzig4 - 2W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HW.Bremen0 - 3Bayern
AW.Bremen0 - 1Freiburg
HW.Bremen1 - 1B. M'gladbach
HW.Bremen0 - 2Hoffenheim
AW.Bremen0 - 1Leverkusen
HW.Bremen3 - 3E.Frankfurt
AW.Bremen0 - 3Dortmund
AW.Bremen0 - 0Augsburg
HW.Bremen0 - 4Stuttgart
AW.Bremen2 - 3Hamburg
HW.Bremen1 - 1Köln
AW.Bremen0 - 2RB Leipzig
HW.Bremen2 - 1Wolfsburg
AW.Bremen1 - 1Mainz
HW.Bremen1 - 0Union Berlin
AW.Bremen2 - 2Heidenheim
HW.Bremen1 - 0St. Pauli
AW.Bremen0 - 4Bayern
HW.Bremen0 - 3Freiburg
AW.Bremen4 - 0B. M'gladbach
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
W.Bremen have not lost to St. Pauli in 5 consecutive league meetings
3
W.Bremen have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with St. Pauli
League games at St. Pauli since 2022
St. Pauli
W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
1
3
Games: Scored
1 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
1 / 2
D
1
SVW
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT St. Pauli
0 - 2W.Bremen
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at W.Bremen since 2021
W.Bremen
St. Pauli
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
D
2
SVW
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT W.Bremen
W.Bremen1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for SV Werder Bremen of late. It has been 5 Bundesliga games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against FC St. Pauli.

St. Pauli 15th W.Bremen 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that W.Bremen will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-32
St. Pauli have scored 32% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
W.Bremen’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
St. Pauli
PG (predicted goals)
W.Bremen
1.4
1.3
Attack rating
STP
SVW
1%
better
view stats
Games scored13
12
Failed to score9
10
Scored first5
6
Goals scored20
22
Avg. goals scored0.9
1
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for13
11
Avg. XG for1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
STP
SVW
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
18
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first15
15
Goals conceded39
42
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against21%
18%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+4%

St. Pauli v W.Bremen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24435
N VasiljD SinaniM SaliakasA Dzwigala
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK24
-
T Ando DEF6
-
H Wahl DEF202
-
K Mets DEF18
2
-
M Saliakas MID1413
3
-
E Smith MID2122
3
1
J Irvine MID15
-
A Pyrka MID211
3
-
J Fujita FWD2313
4
-
D Sinani FWD2143
3
-
M Kaars FWD203
1
-
Subs
B Voll GLK
-
L. Oppie DEF181
-
A Dzwigala DEF1411
5
-
L Ritzka DEF13
1
-
J Sands MID231
4
-
M Rasmussen MID5
-
M Lage MID2212
2
-
A. Ceesay FWD15
2
-
T Hara FWD2
-
W.Bremen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24667
R SchmidJ StageR SchmidN Stark
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Backhaus GLK22
-
N Stark DEF10
5
2
S Lynen DEF23
4
-
M Friedl DEF221
7
-
J Njinmah MID234
1
-
C Puertas MID19
4
-
J Stage MID2261
4
-
F Agu MID8
1
-
R Schmid FWD2426
4
-
S. Mbangula FWD2032
-
M Grüll FWD2421
4
-
Subs
K Hein GLK2
-
O Deman DEF61
2
-
Y Sugawara DEF224
1
-
J Malatini DEF9
2
-
I Schmidt DEF141
2
-
L Bittencourt MID10
2
-
P. Čović MID11
1
-
K Topp FWD1811
3
-
J Milosevic FWD83
1
-