FC Union Berlin's team badge 1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge

FC Union Berlin v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Jan, 14:30 BST, An der Alten Forsterei, Berlin

1. FSV Mainz 05 are away from home on Sunday afternoon, as manager Bo Henriksen takes his men to visit FC Union Berlin and Steffen Baumgart at the An der Alten Forsterei in the Bundesliga. For every Bundesliga fixture, KickOff explores the stats for seventeen major betting markets. Important stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then given alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Union Berlin or Mainz are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Mainz coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Union Berlin
31%
2.62
5%
2.50
Draw
25%
3.20
11%
3.20
14%
Mainz
44%
2.75
5%
2.88
11%
Draw 1-1
12%
6.00
14%
5.75
12%
Mainz 1-0
10%
8.50
6%
8.00
6%
Mainz 2-1
9%
10.009.50
12%
Union Berlin 1-0
8%
8.507.50
12%
Union Berlin 2-1
7%
10.00
5%
9.00
6%
Mainz 2-0
7%
13.0012.00
9%
Draw 0-0
6%
9.00
18%
8.00
20%
Draw 2-2
6%
15.0012.00
Union Berlin 2-0
5%
12.0011.00
Mainz 3-1
5%
23.00
10%
17.00
13%
Mainz 3-0
4%
29.00
12%
23.00
21%
Union Berlin 3-1
3%
21.00
11%
17.00
13%
Mainz 3-2
3%
34.00
17%
23.00
21%
Union Berlin 3-2
2%
29.0021.00
11%
Union Berlin 3-0
2%
26.00
13%
19.00
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
2.00
10%
2.00
14%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
1.80
9%
1.75
10%
Home 1st Goal
46%
1.91
4%
1.95
Away 1st Goal
50%
2.102.05
No 1st Goal
4%
9.00
18%
8.00
BTTS - Yes
55%
1.80
3%
1.75
5%
BTTS - No
45%
1.95
3%
1.95
7%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5.50
16%
4.80
9%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33
4%
4.20
5%
BTTS - Away Win
21%
5.50
10%
5.25
17%
Home/draw
56%
1.40
3%
1.40
7%
Away/draw
69%
1.44
4%
1.50
Home/away
75%
1.36
5%
1.35
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1.33
3%
1.33
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
3.40
9%
3.10
16%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
3.75
10%
3.40
17%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1.29
3%
1.29
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
7.00
17%
6.50
24%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.10
2%
1.10
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
15.00
15%
13.00
30%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.03
1%
1.02
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.07
2%
1.06
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9.00
18%
8.00
27%
Home DNB
49%
1.83
2%
1.75
4%
Away DNB
61%
1.83
4%
1.95
5%
Union Berlin win to nil
16%
4.33-
Mainz win to nil
23%
4.50-
Union Berlin / Union Berlin
19%
4.33
8%
4.00
5%
Union Berlin / Mainz
3%
29.0023.00
10%
Union Berlin / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Union Berlin
14%
6.005.50
8%
Draw / Mainz
13%
6.00
8%
6.00
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00
9%
4.40
20%
Mainz / Union Berlin
3%
29.00
12%
21.00
Mainz / Mainz
18%
4.504.60
18%
Mainz / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Union Berlin have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Union Berlin have conceded 19 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Union Berlin have played 8 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Mainz lay in 6th place on 28 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 22 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Mainz have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Mainz have played 8 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Union Berlin
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1814314145 
Mar 15
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
2
Leverkusen1812512041 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 12
May 17
l
 
1-0A
3
E.Frankfurt1811341836 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
May 3
w
 
1-3F
4
Stuttgart189541032 
Apr 19
l
 
3-2F
Jan 25
d
 
3-3A
5
RB Leipzig18945531 
Feb 1
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
6
Mainz Away17845928 
Jan 19
d
 
1-1A
-
-
7
Wolfsburg18837827 
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
Apr 19
l
 
4-3F
8
Freiburg18837-927 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
9
W.Bremen17755-126 
May 3
l
 
4-1A
l
 
1-2A
Jan 31
10
Dortmund18747125 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 22
w
 
3-1F
Mar 29
11
B. M'gladbach18738-224 
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
12
Augsburg17548-1419 
l
 
0-2A
May 17
Feb 8
w
 
2-3F
13
St. Pauli185211-717 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
14
Union Berlin H17458-917 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Jan 19
15
Hoffenheim18459-1217 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 8
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
16
Heidenheim184212-1514 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
Feb 16
17
Holstein183213-2011 
Mar 2
w
 
0-2F
Apr 5
w
 
0-3F
18
VfL Bochum182412-2310 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
w
 
2-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
3
Union Berlin have lost 3 consecutive league games
10
Union Berlin have not won in 10 consecutive league games
Union Berlin 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Mainz 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Union Berlin have beaten Mainz in 4 consecutive home league meetings
7
Union Berlin have not lost to Mainz in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Union Berlin since 2020
Union Berlin
Mainz
Goals: Scored
14
4
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
FCU
4
D
1
League games at Mainz since 2019
Mainz
Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
6
7
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
FCU
2
D
3
M05
1
Goal Statistics

1. FSV Mainz 05's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because FC Union Berlin have conceded in each of their last 8 Bundesliga outings. A PG of 1.5 for Bo Henriksen's side suggests that run should continue.

Union Berlin 14th Mainz 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Union Berlin will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Union Berlin have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
+7
Mainz’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283573/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Union Berlin
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
FCU
M05
41%
better
view stats
Games scored10
13
Failed to score7
4
Scored first5
11
Goals scored14
30
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal11
5
Conversion rate for9
20
Avg. XG for1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
FCU
M05
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
12
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first10
5
Goals conceded23
21
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+17%

Union Berlin v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Union Berlin Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17325
D DoekhiB HollerbachT RotheR Khedira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Doekhi DEF171
4
-
B Hollerbach FWD1731
2
-
D Leite DEF161
2
-
R Khedira MID16
5
-
Y Vertessen FWD161
2
-
K Vogt DEF151
5
-
W Jeong MID1521
2
-
Jordan FWD151
2
-
T Skarke FWD151
1
-
F Rönnow GLK14
2
-
T Rothe DEF1322
3
1
C Trimmel  DEF13
4
-
A Schäfer  MID1311
1
-
A Kemlein MID131
2
-
L Querfeld DEF12
3
-
J Haberer  MID12
-
R Skov MID1012
1
-
L Bénes MID911
2
-
L Tousart MID5
1
-
A Schwolow GLK3
-
J Juranovic DEF3
-
J Roussillon DEF2
-
A Ilić FWD2
-
I Prtajin FWD2
-
K Volland  FWD1
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
171258
R ZentnerJ Burkardt P MweneD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK17
1
-
P Mwene DEF175
4
-
K Sano MID17
-
A Caci MID174
3
-
D Kohr MID16
8
-
J Lee MID1652
2
-
A Sieb FWD1622
2
-
J Burkardt  FWD16121
-
H Hyun-seok MID151
-
P Nebel MID1551
2
-
N Amiri MID1432
4
2
S Widmer  DEF131
3
-
D Hoof DEF121
2
-
M Leitsch  DEF101
1
-
M Jenz DEF9
2
-
D Costa DEF81
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF81
2
1
N Weiper FWD7
-
N Veratschnig DEF5
-
A Barkok MID4
-
G Vidović FWD1
-