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Hamburger SV v SV Werder Bremen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 7th Dec, 14:30 BST, Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Bundesliga, and Merlin Polzin’s Hamburger SV will have the joy of it on Sunday afternoon. Horst Steffen’s SV Werder Bremen are their visitors to the Volksparkstadion. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but good reason to think Hamburg and W.Bremen will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Merlin Polzin or Horst Steffen has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s recently either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.18 equating to approximately a 81% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hamburg are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamburg
50%
2.302.30
Draw
23%
3.503.60
W.Bremen
27%
3.002.90
Draw 1-1
11%
6.506.50
Hamburg 2-1
10%
9.508.00
Hamburg 1-0
9%
10.008.50
Hamburg 2-0
8%
13.0011.00
W.Bremen 2-1
7%
11.009.00
W.Bremen 1-0
6%
12.0010.00
Draw 2-2
6%
12.0011.00
Hamburg 3-1
6%
17.0015.00
Draw 0-0
5%
13.0011.00
Hamburg 3-0
5%
23.0017.00
W.Bremen 2-0
4%
17.0013.00
Hamburg 3-2
4%
23.0017.00
W.Bremen 3-1
3%
21.0017.00
Hamburg 4-1
3%
34.0026.00
W.Bremen 3-2
2%
26.0019.00
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
1.731.67
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
2.102.10
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.801.85
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.052.10
No 1st Goal
3%
13.0011.00
BTTS - Yes
59%
1.571.60
BTTS - No
41%
2.252.25
BTTS - Home Win
26%
4.003.90
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.004.20
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5.004.60
Home/draw
73%
1.361.40
Away/draw
50%
1.571.60
Home/away
77%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.221.22
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.334.00
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2.752.62
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.441.44
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
5.004.60
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.171.17
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
10.008.50
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.061.06
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.041.03
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.0011.00
Home DNB
66%
1.671.67
Away DNB
43%
2.102.10
Hamburg win to nil
24%
4.50-
W.Bremen win to nil
12%
6.00-
Hamburg / Hamburg
22%
3.753.60
Hamburg / W.Bremen
3%
26.0021.00
Hamburg / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Hamburg
14%
6.005.50
Draw / W.Bremen
12%
7.006.50
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.25
W.Bremen / Hamburg
4%
23.0019.00
W.Bremen / W.Bremen
18%
4.504.40
W.Bremen / Draw
7%
13.0011.00
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hamburg have played 12 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Hamburg have conceded 15 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hamburg have played 6 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

W.Bremen lay in 11th place on 16 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 12 matches. W.Bremen are unbeaten in 5 games against teams below them in the league and kept 2 clean sheets out of 5 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 7 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. W.Bremen have conceded 4 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

W.Bremen have played 6 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hamburg
W.Bremen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1312104037 
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
Feb 14
l
 
4-0A
2
RB Leipzig139221529 
Feb 28
l
 
2-1A
Apr 4
l
 
2-0A
3
Dortmund127411025 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
May 16
Jan 13
4
Leverkusen13724923 
Jan 13
May 16
d
 
3-3A
Jan 24
5
Hoffenheim12723823 
Apr 25
Dec 13
Jan 10
May 9
6
Stuttgart13715-122 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 11
Dec 14
Apr 25
7
E.Frankfurt13634-121 
Dec 20
May 2
Jan 16
l
 
4-1A
8
Köln13445116 
Mar 14
l
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
9
Freiburg13445-216 
May 9
Jan 10
l
 
0-3A
Feb 7
10
B. M'gladbach13445-216 
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 31
w
 
0-4F
11
W.Bremen12444-516 
Dec 7
Apr 18
-
-
12
Union Berlin13436-615 
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Mar 7
13
Augsburg13418-1013 
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
May 2
Dec 20
14
Wolfsburg13337-612 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 7
w
 
2-1A
Mar 21
15
Hamburg12336-712 
-
-
Apr 18
Dec 7
16
Heidenheim13328-1611 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 7
Feb 28
d
 
2-2F
17
St. Pauli13229-148 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 23
w
 
1-0F
Feb 21
18
Mainz13139-136 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 21
Mar 14
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Hamburg 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg2 - 1Stuttgart
Hamburg1 - 1Dortmund
Hamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
Hamburg4 - 0Mainz
Hamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
Hamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
Hamburg6 - 1Ulm
Hamburg1 - 2Karlsruher
Hamburg2 - 4E. Braun
Hamburg0 - 0Elversberg
Hamburg4 - 1Dusseldorf
Hamburg3 - 0Kaiserslautern
Hamburg2 - 2Hannover
Hamburg1 - 0Köln
Hamburg5 - 0Greuther
Hamburg2 - 2Darmstadt
Hamburg2 - 2Schalke
Hamburg1 - 1Nurnberg
Hamburg3 - 1Magdeburg
Hamburg2 - 2Paderborn
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHamburg2 - 1Stuttgart
AHamburg0 - 1Augsburg
HHamburg1 - 1Dortmund
AHamburg1 - 4Köln
HHamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
AHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
HHamburg4 - 0Mainz
AHamburg0 - 0Union Berlin
HHamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
AHamburg0 - 5Bayern
HHamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
AHamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AHamburg2 - 3Greuther
HHamburg6 - 1Ulm
AHamburg4 - 0Darmstadt
HHamburg1 - 2Karlsruher
AHamburg2 - 2Schalke
HHamburg2 - 4E. Braun
AHamburg3 - 0Nurnberg
HHamburg0 - 0Elversberg
W.Bremen 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
Mainz1 - 1W.Bremen
Heidenheim2 - 2W.Bremen
Bayern4 - 0W.Bremen
B. M'gladbach0 - 4W.Bremen
E.Frankfurt4 - 1W.Bremen
Heidenheim1 - 4W.Bremen
Union Berlin2 - 2W.Bremen
Stuttgart1 - 2W.Bremen
Holstein0 - 3W.Bremen
Leverkusen0 - 2W.Bremen
Freiburg5 - 0W.Bremen
Bayern3 - 0W.Bremen
Dortmund2 - 2W.Bremen
RB Leipzig4 - 2W.Bremen
St. Pauli0 - 2W.Bremen
VfL Bochum0 - 1W.Bremen
E.Frankfurt1 - 0W.Bremen
B. M'gladbach4 - 1W.Bremen
Wolfsburg2 - 4W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HW.Bremen1 - 1Köln
AW.Bremen0 - 2RB Leipzig
HW.Bremen2 - 1Wolfsburg
AW.Bremen1 - 1Mainz
HW.Bremen1 - 0Union Berlin
AW.Bremen2 - 2Heidenheim
HW.Bremen1 - 0St. Pauli
AW.Bremen0 - 4Bayern
HW.Bremen0 - 3Freiburg
AW.Bremen4 - 0B. M'gladbach
HW.Bremen3 - 3Leverkusen
AW.Bremen1 - 4E.Frankfurt
AW.Bremen4 - 1Heidenheim
HW.Bremen0 - 0RB Leipzig
AW.Bremen2 - 2Union Berlin
HW.Bremen0 - 0St. Pauli
HW.Bremen1 - 0VfL Bochum
AW.Bremen2 - 1Stuttgart
HW.Bremen2 - 0E.Frankfurt
AW.Bremen3 - 0Holstein
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Hamburg since 2013
Hamburg
W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
HSV
3
D
2
SVW
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
2 - 3W.Bremen
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Hamburg2 - 1
Hamburg2 - 0
0 - 2W.Bremen
Hamburg3 - 2
League games at W.Bremen since 2012
W.Bremen
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
HSV
2
SVW
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT W.Bremen
0 - 2Hamburg
W.Bremen1 - 0
W.Bremen2 - 1
1 - 3Hamburg
W.Bremen1 - 0
W.Bremen2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Hamburg 15th W.Bremen 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that W.Bremen will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Hamburg have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+10
W.Bremen’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.2
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Hamburg
PG (predicted goals)
W.Bremen
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
HSV
SVW
30%
better
view stats
Games scored6
9
Failed to score6
3
Scored first3
5
Goals scored11
16
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate for10
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
7%
better
HSV
SVW
view stats
Games conceded9
9
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first7
7
Goals conceded18
21
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded11
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+7%

Hamburg v W.Bremen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12324
D FernandesR PhilippeM MuheimN Remberg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK12
1
-
M Muheim DEF122
2
-
N Remberg MID121
4
-
R Philippe FWD123
2
-
R Königsdörffer FWD1211
-
W Mikelbrencis DEF11
-
L. Vušković DEF101
2
-
N Capaldo  MID101
3
-
M Dompé FWD102
-
D Elfadli DEF9
2
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF91
1
1
A Lokonga MID92
-
R Glatzel FWD91
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD81
1
1
F Vieira MID711
2
2
F. Uri Baldé FWD71
-
G Ramos DEF6
-
Y Poulsen FWD6
3
-
W Omari DEF5
-
J Torunarigha DEF5
-
I Pherai MID4
1
1
J Meffert MID3
-
E Sahiti FWD2
-
A. Souhmahoro DEF1
1
-
W.Bremen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12435
R SchmidJ StageY SugawaraN Stark
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A. Coulibaly DEF121
2
-
R Schmid MID1222
1
-
M Grüll FWD1221
3
-
M Friedl DEF111
3
-
Y Sugawara DEF113
-
S Lynen MID11
1
-
J Njinmah FWD112
1
-
S. Mbangula FWD1131
-
M Backhaus GLK10
-
C Puertas MID10
3
-
J Stage MID1041
2
-
V Boniface FWD102
1
-
P. Čović MID8
1
-
K Topp FWD81
2
-
L Bittencourt MID7
1
-
F Agu DEF6
1
-
A Pieper DEF6
2
-
I Schmidt DEF61
1
-
N Stark DEF5
3
2
K Hein GLK2
-
J Malatini DEF2
1
-
S Alvero MID2
-
I Hansen-Aaroen MID1
-