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Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 14:30 BST, BayArena, Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen are in Bundesliga action on Saturday afternoon, as Kasper Hjulmand looks to get one over on Vincent Kompany and his Bayern Munich side at the BayArena. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Kasper Hjulmand and his side approach kick-off, we predict a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the match. Stats imply both sides possess a number of attacking options, and have had few problems in finding the back of the net of late. With a real favourite to win the match, we're going for over 2.5 goals.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 55% chance of Bayern coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Leverkusen 24%	5.50 5%	4.80 8%
Draw 20%	4.50 3%	4.60
Bayern 55%	1.53 5%	1.60 3%
Bayern 2-1 9%	9.00	7.50
Draw 1-1 9%	9.50 5%	8.50
Bayern 3-1 7%	11.00	10.00 5%
Bayern 2-0 7%	11.00	9.50
Draw 2-2 6%	12.00 8%	11.00 9%
Bayern 1-0 6%	13.00	10.00
Leverkusen 2-1 6%	19.00	13.00
Bayern 3-0 5%	13.00 15%	12.00
Bayern 3-2 5%	17.00	15.00
Leverkusen 1-0 4%	26.00 9%	17.00 12%
Bayern 4-1 4%	17.00	15.00
Leverkusen 3-2 3%	34.00	21.00
Draw 0-0 3%	23.00	17.00
Leverkusen 3-1 3%	34.00	23.00
Leverkusen 2-0 3%	34.00	23.00 9%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%	1.36	1.36
Under 2.5 Goals 31%	3.20	2.88
Home 1st Goal 45%	2.63	2.70 4%
Away 1st Goal 53%	1.44	1.48 1%
No 1st Goal 1%	23.00	17.00
BTTS - Yes 67%	1.44	1.48
BTTS - No 33%	2.63	2.50
BTTS - Home Win 16%	7.50 7%	6.50 7%
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.75 5%	4.80
BTTS - Away Win 33%	2.50 1%	2.60 4%
Home/draw 45%	2.38 3%	2.30 5%
Away/draw 76%	1.14 1%	1.18 1%
Home/away 80%	1.18 2%	1.18
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	1.11	1.11
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	6.50	6.00
Over 3.5 Goals 48%	1.91	1.95
Under 3.5 Goals 52%	1.91	1.80
Over 4.5 Goals 29%	3.20	3.00
Under 4.5 Goals 71%	1.36	1.35
Over 5.5 Goals 15%	5.00	5.00
Under 5.5 Goals 85%	1.17	1.14
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1.02 1%	1.00 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	21.00 17%	17.00
Home DNB 39%	4.33 6%	3.60 5%
Away DNB 70%	1.20 2%	1.25
Leverkusen win to nil 9%	13.00 15%	-
Bayern win to nil 22%	3.50 7%	-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen 10%	8.50 12%	7.00 7%
Leverkusen / Bayern 5%	17.00	15.00
Leverkusen / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00
Draw / Leverkusen 7%	12.00 8%	10.00 9%
Draw / Bayern 17%	4.75 5%	4.80 4%
Draw / Draw 10%	8.00 6%	7.50
Bayern / Leverkusen 3%	34.00	26.00
Bayern / Bayern 36%	2.25 4%	2.25 2%
Bayern / Draw 6%	15.00 13%	12.00

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Leverkusen have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn zero and won 1. Leverkusen have conceded 13 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 2 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Leverkusen have played 12 games at home, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Bayern lay in 1st place on 66 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 25 matches. Bayern are unbeaten away after 12 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 21, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 92 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bayern have conceded 24 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Bayern have played 12 away games, winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 3.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Leverkusen Bayern
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	25	21	3	1	68	66	Mar 14	l 3-0A	-	-
2	Dortmund	25	16	7	2	27	55	l 1-2A	Apr 11	w 2-1F	w 2-3A
3	Hoffenheim	25	15	4	6	20	49	l 1-2F	l 1-0A	w 5-1F	w 1-4F
4	Stuttgart	25	14	5	6	16	47	l 1-4A	May 9	Apr 19	w 0-5F
5	RB Leipzig	25	14	5	6	14	47	May 2	w 1-3A	w 6-0F	w 1-5A
6	Leverkusen	25	13	5	7	16	44	-	-	w 3-0F	Mar 14
7	E.Frankfurt	25	9	8	8	-1	35	w 3-1F	w 1-3F	w 3-2F	w 0-3F
8	Freiburg	25	9	7	9	-5	34	w 2-0F	d 3-3A	w 6-2A	Apr 4
9	Augsburg	25	9	4	12	-12	31	Apr 18	l 2-0A	l 1-2F	w 2-3F
10	Hamburg	25	7	8	10	-8	29	May 16	w 0-1F	w 5-0F	d 2-2A
11	Union Berlin	25	7	7	11	-12	28	w 2-0F	l 1-0A	Mar 21	d 2-2A
12	B. M'gladbach	25	6	7	12	-15	25	d 1-1F	d 1-1A	w 4-1F	w 0-3F
13	W.Bremen	25	6	7	12	-16	25	w 1-0F	d 3-3F	w 4-0F	w 0-3F
14	Köln	25	6	6	13	-9	24	w 2-0F	Apr 25	May 16	w 1-3A
15	Mainz	25	5	9	11	-12	24	d 1-1A	w 3-4F	d 2-2F	Apr 25
16	St. Pauli	25	6	6	13	-17	24	w 4-0F	w 1-2F	w 3-1A	Apr 11
17	Wolfsburg	25	5	5	15	-21	20	Apr 4	w 1-3F	w 8-1F	May 9
18	Heidenheim	25	3	5	17	-33	14	w 6-0F	Mar 21	May 2	w 0-4F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Bayern have won 5 consecutive league games

Bayern have not lost in 21 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen	1 - 1	Mainz
Leverkusen	4 - 0	St. Pauli
Leverkusen	1 - 0	W.Bremen
Leverkusen	1 - 4	Stuttgart
Leverkusen	2 - 0	Köln
Leverkusen	1 - 2	Dortmund
Leverkusen	6 - 0	Heidenheim
Leverkusen	2 - 0	Freiburg
Leverkusen	2 - 0	Union Berlin
Leverkusen	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
Leverkusen	3 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Leverkusen	1 - 2	Hoffenheim
Leverkusen	2 - 4	Dortmund
Leverkusen	2 - 0	Augsburg
Leverkusen	0 - 0	Union Berlin
Leverkusen	3 - 1	VfL Bochum
Leverkusen	0 - 2	W.Bremen
Leverkusen	0 - 0	Bayern
Leverkusen	3 - 1	Hoffenheim
Leverkusen	3 - 1	B. M'gladbach

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Leverkusen	3 - 3	Freiburg
A	Leverkusen	1 - 0	Hamburg
H	Leverkusen	1 - 1	Mainz
A	Leverkusen	0 - 1	Union Berlin
H	Leverkusen	4 - 0	St. Pauli
A	Leverkusen	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	Leverkusen	3 - 1	E.Frankfurt
H	Leverkusen	1 - 0	W.Bremen
A	Leverkusen	0 - 1	Hoffenheim
H	Leverkusen	1 - 4	Stuttgart
A	Leverkusen	3 - 1	RB Leipzig
H	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Köln
A	Leverkusen	0 - 2	Augsburg
H	Leverkusen	1 - 2	Dortmund
A	Leverkusen	3 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Leverkusen	6 - 0	Heidenheim
A	Leverkusen	0 - 3	Bayern
H	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Freiburg
A	Leverkusen	4 - 3	Mainz
H	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Union Berlin

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund	2 - 3	Bayern
W.Bremen	0 - 3	Bayern
Hamburg	2 - 2	Bayern
RB Leipzig	1 - 5	Bayern
Köln	1 - 3	Bayern
Heidenheim	0 - 4	Bayern
Stuttgart	0 - 5	Bayern
Union Berlin	2 - 2	Bayern
B. M'gladbach	0 - 3	Bayern
E.Frankfurt	0 - 3	Bayern
Hoffenheim	1 - 4	Bayern
Augsburg	2 - 3	Bayern
Hoffenheim	0 - 4	Bayern
RB Leipzig	3 - 3	Bayern
Heidenheim	0 - 4	Bayern
Augsburg	1 - 3	Bayern
Union Berlin	1 - 1	Bayern
Stuttgart	1 - 3	Bayern
Leverkusen	0 - 0	Bayern
Freiburg	1 - 2	Bayern

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Bayern	4 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	Bayern	3 - 2	Dortmund
H	Bayern	3 - 2	E.Frankfurt
A	Bayern	3 - 0	W.Bremen
H	Bayern	5 - 1	Hoffenheim
A	Bayern	2 - 2	Hamburg
H	Bayern	1 - 2	Augsburg
A	Bayern	5 - 1	RB Leipzig
A	Bayern	3 - 1	Köln
H	Bayern	8 - 1	Wolfsburg
A	Bayern	4 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Bayern	2 - 2	Mainz
A	Bayern	5 - 0	Stuttgart
H	Bayern	3 - 1	St. Pauli
H	Bayern	6 - 2	Freiburg
A	Bayern	2 - 2	Union Berlin
H	Bayern	3 - 0	Leverkusen
A	Bayern	3 - 0	B. M'gladbach
H	Bayern	2 - 1	Dortmund
A	Bayern	3 - 0	E.Frankfurt

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Leverkusen

Bayern

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 13

8 / 13

Clean sheets

5 / 13

3 / 13

B04

FCB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leverkusen
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Leverkusen	3 - 0
Leverkusen	2 - 1
	1 - 5	Bayern
	1 - 2	Bayern
	2 - 4	Bayern
Leverkusen	3 - 1
	1 - 3	Bayern
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Leverkusen	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Bayern

Bayern

Leverkusen

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

13 / 13

9 / 13

Clean sheets

4 / 13

0 / 13

B04

FCB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bayern
Bayern	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Bayern	4 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Bayern	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Leverkusen
Bayern	3 - 1
Bayern	3 - 1
Bayern	2 - 1
Bayern	3 - 0
Bayern	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Leverkusen

Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 6 consecutive Bundesliga outings. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

	Leverkusen 6th	Bayern 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	2.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Leverkusen will score no more than 1 goal	0 11% 1 25% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 18% There is a 64% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Leverkusen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+29 Bayern have scored 29% more goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	3.0 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	0.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

B04

FCB

37%

better

view stats

Games scored	21		25
Failed to score	4		0
Scored first	15		18
Goals scored	48		92
Avg. goals scored	1.9		3.7
Avg. shots per game	10		14
Avg. shots per goal	5		4
Conversion rate for	19		26
Avg. XG for	1.7		2.7
KickOff rating		+37%

B04

FCB

16%

better

view stats

Games conceded	18		16
Clean sheets	7		9
Conceded first	10		7
Goals conceded	32		24
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	14%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.1
KickOff rating		+16%

Leverkusen v Bayern Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	7	5	6
A García	P Schick	A García	J Quansah

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A García MID	25	1	5	4 -
R Andrich MID	24	1		4 1
E Poku FWD	23	5	4	-
C. Kofane FWD	22	5	3	3 -
E Tapsoba DEF	21	4	2	4 -
J Quansah DEF	21	3		6 -
A Grimaldo DEF	21	6	5	4 -
M Tillman MID	20	4	1	1 -
J Hofmann MID	20	2	2	3 -
L Badé DEF	19			5 -
I Maza MID	19	2	3	1 -
P Schick FWD	19	7	2	-
M Flekken GLK	17			1 -
Arthur DEF	16	1	3	2 -
M Terrier FWD	16	4	1	-
E Fernández MID	15			2 1
N Tella FWD	10		2	2 -
J Blaswich GLK	9			-
L Vázquez DEF	9	1	2	2 -
E Palacios MID	9			1 -
J Belocian DEF	8			-
E Seghir FWD	7			2 -
A. Tape-Kobrissa DEF	6			1 -
C Echeverri MID	6			-
A. Sarco FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	17	5	11
P Schick	C. Kofane	A García	A Grimaldo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Schick FWD	7	15	2	4
A Grimaldo DEF	6	15	5	11
E Poku FWD	5	9	4	4
C. Kofane FWD	5	17	3	2
E Tapsoba DEF	4	7	2	2
M Tillman MID	4	6	1	7
M Terrier FWD	4	6	1	2
J Quansah DEF	3	6		1
J Hofmann MID	2	7	2	4
I Maza MID	2	7	3	7
A García MID	1	3	5	9
R Andrich MID	1	2
Arthur DEF	1	2	3	2
L Vázquez DEF	1	1	2	4
L Badé DEF		3
M Flekken GLK				1
E Fernández MID		1		1
N Tella FWD		2	2	3
E Palacios MID		1
E Seghir FWD		1		2
A. Tape-Kobrissa DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2411	34	91
A García	R Andrich	M Tillman

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A García MID	2411	18	43
E Tapsoba DEF	1855	20	83
R Andrich MID	1401	34	84
A Grimaldo DEF	1350	32	84
J Quansah DEF	1278	21	82
L Badé DEF	1205	28	78
E Fernández MID	693	26	59
M Tillman MID	640	32	91
I Maza MID	608	25	82
M Flekken GLK	560		10
J Hofmann MID	522	13	33
E Poku FWD	497	14	51
E Palacios MID	455	9	20
Arthur DEF	411	18	54
P Schick FWD	275	5	63
M Terrier FWD	236	11	34
J Belocian DEF	201	5	11
J Blaswich GLK	199		3
L Vázquez DEF	181	6	18
C. Kofane FWD	166	12	54
E Seghir FWD	112	3	17
N Tella FWD	110	6	27
A. Tape-Kobrissa DEF	76	1	16
C Echeverri MID	73	1	4
A. Sarco FWD	18	1	5

Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	30	16	5
L Díaz	H Kane	M Olise	L Díaz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Díaz FWD	24	14	11	5 -
H Kane FWD	24	30	5	1 -
M Olise FWD	23	10	16	5 -
L Goretzka MID	22	2	1	4 -
J Tah DEF	21	2	2	4 -
L. Karl MID	21	4	3	-
J Kimmich MID	21	2	6	4 -
D Upamecano DEF	20	1	1	3 -
K Laimer DEF	20	3	4	5 -
A Pavlović MID	20	3	1	2 -
T Bischof MID	20		3	2 -
M Neuer GLK	19			-
S Gnabry FWD	19	6	6	1 -
J Stanisic DEF	17	2	3	1 -
M Kim DEF	17	1	1	1 -
N Jackson FWD	16	4		1 -
R Guerreiro DEF	12	3	2	-
H Ito DEF	10	1	3	-
S Boey DEF	9			1 -
J Urbig GLK	8			-
A Davies DEF	8		1	1 -
J Musiala MID	8	1	2	1 -
W. Okpako Mike FWD	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
30	58	16	22
H Kane	H Kane	M Olise	M Olise

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Kane FWD	30	58	5	13
L Díaz FWD	14	32	11	12
M Olise FWD	10	38	16	22
S Gnabry FWD	6	15	6	8
L. Karl MID	4	16	3	4
N Jackson FWD	4	10		1
K Laimer DEF	3	8	4	4
A Pavlović MID	3	5	1	3
R Guerreiro DEF	3	3	2	2
L Goretzka MID	2	5	1	2
J Tah DEF	2	5	2	1
J Kimmich MID	2	8	6	14
J Stanisic DEF	2	3	3	2
D Upamecano DEF	1	2	1	3
M Kim DEF	1	1	1	1
H Ito DEF	1	3	3	1
J Musiala MID	1	4	2
T Bischof MID		3	3	3
A Davies DEF			1
W. Okpako Mike FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1874	33	115
J Kimmich	D Upamecano	M Olise

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Kimmich MID	1874	20	50
J Tah DEF	1524	20	62
A Pavlović MID	1388	25	46
D Upamecano DEF	1363	33	71
M Olise FWD	1163	20	115
L Goretzka MID	1100	22	55
L Díaz FWD	1037	19	109
M Kim DEF	1001	16	48
K Laimer DEF	957	30	61
J Stanisic DEF	835	20	53
T Bischof MID	820	13	29
L. Karl MID	626	23	51
M Neuer GLK	608		3
H Kane FWD	604	15	108
S Gnabry FWD	569	17	34
H Ito DEF	417	1	16
R Guerreiro DEF	322	6	11
S Boey DEF	293	6	20
J Urbig GLK	254		1
A Davies DEF	233	8	24
N Jackson FWD	148	3	18
J Musiala MID	134	6	28
W. Okpako Mike FWD	17