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Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Feb, 17:30 BST, BayArena, Leverkusen

Home advantage makes a difference in the Bundesliga, and Xabi Alonso’s Bayer Leverkusen will have the luxury of it on Saturday evening. Vincent Kompany’s Bayern Munich are their visitors to the BayArena. All of the important statistics for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 markets are included in this betting preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a well informed, intelligent bet.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Xabi Alonso prepares his side for kick-off, our prediction is for a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the game. Statistics imply both teams have the weapons to deliver up top, and have had few problems in finding the back of the net of late. As there is no outright, odds-on favourite to win the game, we really like the look of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Bayern coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leverkusen
35%
2/1
4%
2/1
15%
Draw
22%
13/5
6%
13/5
14%
Bayern
43%
5/4
4%
6/5
2%
Draw 1-1
9%
6/1
7%
11/2
19%
Bayern 2-1
8%
8/1
10%
7/1
6%
Leverkusen 2-1
8%
10/1
8%
17/2
6%
Draw 2-2
7%
10/1
22%
9/1
Bayern 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Bayern 1-0
5%
10/1
35%
8/1
25%
Bayern 2-0
5%
12/1
24%
10/1
15%
Leverkusen 1-0
5%
12/1
32%
10/1
8%
Bayern 3-2
5%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Leverkusen 3-1
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Leverkusen 3-2
4%
25/1
24%
18/1
27%
Leverkusen 2-0
4%
16/1
19%
14/1
Bayern 3-0
3%
20/1
19%
16/1
Draw 0-0
3%
14/1
29%
10/1
35%
Draw 3-3
3%
33/1
48%
25/1
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
8/13
16%
3/5
14%
Under 2.5 Goals
30%
13/10
23%
5/4
20%
Home 1st Goal
48%
6/5
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/11-
No 1st Goal
1%
14/1
29%
-
BTTS - Yes
70%
8/15
15%
8/15
9%
BTTS - No
30%
11/8
27%
11/8
13%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
4/1
15%
18/5
21%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
15%
16/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
28%
11/4
7%
13/5
9%
Home/draw
57%
8/13
3%
13/20
2%
Away/draw
65%
4/11
3%
4/11
8%
Home/away
78%
2/7
1%
2/7
6%
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1/5
8%
2/11
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
7/2
31%
10/3
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
49%
13/8
37%
29/20
23%
Under 3.5 Goals
51%
1/2
21%
1/2
14%
Over 4.5 Goals
30%
7/2
32%
16/5
31%
Under 4.5 Goals
70%
1/5
10%
1/5
8%
Over 5.5 Goals
16%
8/1
64%
13/2
36%
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
1/14
6%
1/14
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/33
2%
1/33
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
14/1
29%
11/1
29%
Home DNB
51%
6/5
5%
6/5
10%
Away DNB
58%
8/13
3%
8/13
6%
Leverkusen win to nil
12%
11/2
19%
-
Bayern win to nil
15%
7/2
25%
-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen
17%
15/4
10%
18/5
18%
Leverkusen / Bayern
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
Leverkusen / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Leverkusen
11%
6/16/1
8%
Draw / Bayern
14%
5/1
8%
9/2
8%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
14%
17/4
25%
Bayern / Leverkusen
3%
25/1
24%
20/1
24%
Bayern / Bayern
23%
13/512/5
Bayern / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Leverkusen have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 2nd position in the league. Leverkusen are unbeaten in 1 games against teams above them in the league and kept zero clean sheets out of 1 games. Leverkusen are winless in the 1 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn 1 and won zero. Leverkusen have conceded 1 goal, scored 1, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Leverkusen have played 11 games at home, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 29 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Bayern lay in 1st place on 54 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 65 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bayern have conceded 19 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Bayern have played 10 away games, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leverkusen
Bayern
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern Away2117314654 
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
-
-
2
Leverkusen Home2113712246 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Feb 15
3
E.Frankfurt2111641839 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
Feb 23
d
 
3-3F
4
RB Leipzig211065736 
l
 
2-3F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
5-1F
May 3
5
Stuttgart211056835 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 16
w
 
4-0F
Feb 28
6
Freiburg211038-833 
w
 
5-1F
May 3
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
7
Mainz21957932 
w
 
1-0F
May 17
Apr 26
l
 
2-1A
8
B. M'gladbach21948231 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
May 10
w
 
0-1F
9
Wolfsburg21867830 
w
 
4-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2F
w
 
2-3F
10
W.Bremen21867-530 
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-5F
11
Dortmund21858129 
May 10
w
 
2-3F
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
12
Augsburg21768-1127 
Apr 26
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
13
Union Berlin21669-724 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 15
14
St. Pauli216312-621 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 19
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
15
Hoffenheim214611-1818 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
5-0F
May 17
16
Heidenheim214215-1814 
w
 
5-2A
Apr 5
w
 
4-2F
Apr 19
17
Holstein213414-2113 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 22
w
 
4-3F
w
 
1-6F
18
VfL Bochum212514-2711 
Mar 28
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
6
Leverkusen have won 6 consecutive home league games
7
Bayern have won 7 consecutive league games
10
Leverkusen have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
7
Bayern have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
Leverkusen 2ND
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
62
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leverkusen since 2013
Leverkusen
Bayern
Goals: Scored
17
19
Games: Scored
10 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
2 / 12
B04
4
D
3
FCB
5
League games at Bayern since 2012
Bayern
Leverkusen
Goals: Scored
25
12
Games: Scored
12 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
0 / 12
B04
2
D
3
FCB
7
Goal Statistics

Bayer Leverkusen have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 11 consecutive Bundesliga outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Bayern Munich on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Leverkusen 2nd Bayern 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Leverkusen will score 1 or more goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Bayern will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Leverkusen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+13
Bayern have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
2.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283608/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leverkusen
PG (predicted goals)
Bayern
1.7
1.9
Attack rating
%
better
B04
FCB
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
B04
FCB
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Leverkusen v Bayern Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211496
G XhakaP Schick F WirtzR Andrich
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Hincapié DEF2111
3
-
J Frimpong MID2134
3
-
G Xhaka MID2126
2
-
F Wirtz MID2199
1
-
J Tah DEF202
2
-
E Tapsoba DEF20
3
-
L Hradecky GLK19
-
A Grimaldo DEF1924
4
1
A García MID1813
1
-
P Schick  FWD1814
3
-
N Tella MID1712
-
R Andrich MID1621
6
-
M Terrier  FWD1521
1
-
E Palacios MID1415
-
V Boniface FWD1271
2
-
Arthur DEF111
-
N Mukiele DEF9
3
-
A Adli FWD7
1
-
J Belocian DEF5
1
-
J Hofmann MID51
-
M Kovář GLK2
-
M Hermoso DEF2
-
E Buendía MID2
-
Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
212176
J KimmichH KaneM OliseK Laimer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Olise MID2167
1
-
J Kimmich MID2116
3
-
M Kim DEF202
2
-
K Coman FWD1933
-
T Müller FWD1912
3
-
H Kane FWD19217
3
-
D Upamecano DEF182
5
-
J Musiala MID18102
2
-
M Neuer  GLK17
-
K Laimer MID1711
6
-
L Sané FWD1763
1
-
A Davies DEF1613
-
R Guerreiro DEF1612
-
L Goretzka MID1531
1
-
S Gnabry FWD1443
-
A Pavlović MID131
1
-
J Palhinha MID10
1
-
E Dier DEF91
-
S Boey DEF71
1
-
D Peretz GLK3
1
-
J Stanisic DEF2
-
S Ulreich GLK1
-