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Bayer Leverkusen v FC St. Pauli : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Dec, 14:30 BST, BayArena, Leverkusen

Alexander Blessin guides his FC St. Pauli side to the BayArena in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, with Xabi Alonso's Bayer Leverkusen their rivals. Bundesliga statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. There's so much to explore, with infographics and odds from leading bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookies suggest that this Bundesliga clash will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their recent form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point strongly towards on over 2.5 goals top tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leverkusen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leverkusen
58%
2/91/4
2%
Draw
20%
6/1
8%
11/2
St. Pauli
22%
17/2
14%
10/1
15%
Leverkusen 2-1
10%
8/1
10%
7/1
6%
Draw 1-1
9%
12/1
8%
10/1
Leverkusen 2-0
8%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
Leverkusen 1-0
7%
15/213/2
7%
Leverkusen 3-1
7%
10/117/2
Draw 2-2
6%
25/118/1
10%
St. Pauli 2-1
6%
25/1
10%
22/1
12%
Leverkusen 3-0
5%
7/1
14%
6/1
Leverkusen 3-2
4%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
St. Pauli 1-0
4%
22/1
12%
20/1
Leverkusen 4-1
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
Draw 0-0
3%
20/1
24%
14/1
Leverkusen 4-0
3%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
St. Pauli 2-0
3%
40/1
20%
40/1
St. Pauli 3-2
3%
50/1
24%
45/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
4/9
6%
10/21
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
7/4
10%
6/4
2%
Home 1st Goal
54%
2/11
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/2
10%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
20/1
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
64%
19/20
7%
1/1
5%
BTTS - No
36%
4/5
8%
3/4
6%
BTTS - Home Win
33%
7/4
8%
7/4
5%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/213/2
6%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
14/1
21%
16/1
11%
Home/draw
78%
1/14
2%
1/20
1%
Away/draw
42%
3/13/1
8%
Home/away
80%
1/10
1%
1/8
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/7
3%
1/7
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
9/2
10%
4/1
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
6/5
4%
6/5
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
4/6
3%
8/13
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
11/4
6%
13/5
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
2/7
3%
1/4
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
11/2
7%
11/2
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/9
1%
1/10
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/501/80
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/1
12%
14/1
Home DNB
72%
1/12
2%
1/18
1%
Away DNB
36%
7/1
20%
8/1
10%
Leverkusen win to nil
25%
1/1
5%
-
St. Pauli win to nil
8%
16/1
11%
-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen
48%
8/117/10
Leverkusen / St. Pauli
2%
50/1
24%
55/1
8%
Leverkusen / Draw
4%
20/120/1
Draw / Leverkusen
21%
11/43/1
3%
Draw / St. Pauli
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
10%
Draw / Draw
9%
8/18/1
St. Pauli / Leverkusen
5%
16/1
11%
18/1
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
5%
18/1
17%
16/1
11%
St. Pauli / Draw
4%
22/120/1
9%
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Leverkusen have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Leverkusen have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Leverkusen have played 6 games at home winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 15 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 11 goals at home.

St. Pauli are in 15th position in the Bundesliga on 11 points having played 12 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 2. St. Pauli have conceded 12 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leverkusen
St. Pauli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern129302930 
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
Mar 29
2
E.Frankfurt128221526 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
Jan 11
May 10
3
Leverkusen 12651923 
-
-
Apr 19
Dec 7
4
RB Leipzig12633521 
l
 
2-3F
Jan 25
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 8
5
Dortmund12624420 
May 10
Jan 10
Mar 1
l
 
2-1A
6
Freiburg12624020 
Dec 21
May 3
Feb 15
w
 
0-3F
7
Mainz12543619 
Jan 14
May 17
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
8
Wolfsburg12534618 
w
 
4-3A
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
9
Stuttgart12453217 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
May 3
Dec 21
10
B. M'gladbach12525117 
Jan 18
w
 
2-3F
Apr 5
l
 
2-0A
11
Union Berlin12444-116 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2F
Jan 26
l
 
1-0A
12
W.Bremen12444-516 
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
Dec 14
Apr 26
13
Augsburg12435-915 
Apr 26
Dec 14
Feb 1
l
 
3-1A
14
Hoffenheim12336-712 
Feb 1
w
 
1-4F
Mar 15
w
 
0-2F
15
St. Pauli 12327-511 
Dec 7
Apr 19
-
-
16
Heidenheim12318-910 
w
 
5-2A
Apr 5
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
17
Holstein12129-185 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 22
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
18
VfL Bochum120210-232 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
May 17
Jan 15
Win / draw / win form
10
Leverkusen have not lost in 10 consecutive league games
Leverkusen 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
10
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen5 - 2Heidenheim
Leverkusen0 - 0Stuttgart
Leverkusen2 - 1E.Frankfurt
Leverkusen2 - 2Holstein
Leverkusen4 - 3Wolfsburg
Leverkusen2 - 3RB Leipzig
Leverkusen2 - 1Augsburg
Leverkusen2 - 2Stuttgart
Leverkusen5 - 0W.Bremen
Leverkusen2 - 1Hoffenheim
Leverkusen2 - 0Wolfsburg
Leverkusen2 - 1Mainz
Leverkusen3 - 0Bayern
Leverkusen0 - 0B. M'gladbach
Leverkusen4 - 0VfL Bochum
Leverkusen3 - 0E.Frankfurt
Leverkusen1 - 1Dortmund
Leverkusen4 - 0Union Berlin
Leverkusen2 - 1Freiburg
Leverkusen3 - 0Köln
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeverkusen2 - 1Union Berlin
HLeverkusen5 - 2Heidenheim
ALeverkusen1 - 1VfL Bochum
HLeverkusen0 - 0Stuttgart
ALeverkusen2 - 2W.Bremen
HLeverkusen2 - 1E.Frankfurt
HLeverkusen2 - 2Holstein
ALeverkusen1 - 1Bayern
HLeverkusen4 - 3Wolfsburg
ALeverkusen4 - 1Hoffenheim
HLeverkusen2 - 3RB Leipzig
ALeverkusen3 - 2B. M'gladbach
HLeverkusen2 - 1Augsburg
ALeverkusen5 - 0VfL Bochum
ALeverkusen5 - 1E.Frankfurt
HLeverkusen2 - 2Stuttgart
ALeverkusen1 - 1Dortmund
HLeverkusen5 - 0W.Bremen
ALeverkusen1 - 0Union Berlin
HLeverkusen2 - 1Hoffenheim
St. Pauli 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
B. M'gladbach2 - 0St. Pauli
Hoffenheim0 - 2St. Pauli
Dortmund2 - 1St. Pauli
Freiburg0 - 3St. Pauli
Augsburg3 - 1St. Pauli
Union Berlin1 - 0St. Pauli
Wiesbaden1 - 2St. Pauli
Hamburg1 - 0St. Pauli
Hannover1 - 2St. Pauli
Karlsruher2 - 1St. Pauli
Nurnberg0 - 2St. Pauli
Schalke3 - 1St. Pauli
Holstein3 - 4St. Pauli
Magdeburg1 - 0St. Pauli
Dusseldorf1 - 2St. Pauli
Osnabruck1 - 1St. Pauli
Rostock2 - 3St. Pauli
Elversberg0 - 2St. Pauli
Paderborn2 - 2St. Pauli
H.Berlin1 - 2St. Pauli
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSt. Pauli3 - 1Holstein
ASt. Pauli0 - 2B. M'gladbach
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Bayern
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Hoffenheim
HSt. Pauli0 - 0Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Dortmund
HSt. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
ASt. Pauli3 - 0Freiburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 0RB Leipzig
ASt. Pauli1 - 3Augsburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
HSt. Pauli0 - 2Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli2 - 1Wiesbaden
HSt. Pauli3 - 1Osnabruck
ASt. Pauli0 - 1Hamburg
HSt. Pauli1 - 0Rostock
ASt. Pauli2 - 1Hannover
HSt. Pauli3 - 4Elversberg
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Karlsruher
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Paderborn
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is decent for Bayer Leverkusen in their clash with FC St. Pauli, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 18 consecutive Bundesliga matches.

Leverkusen 3rd St. Pauli 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Leverkusen will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Leverkusen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
St. Pauli’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283527/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leverkusen
PG (predicted goals)
St. Pauli
2.2
1.3
Attack rating
54%
better
B04
STP
view stats
Games scored11
5
Failed to score1
7
Scored first8
3
Goals scored28
10
Avg. goals scored2.3
0.8
Avg. shots per game13
8
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for18
11
Avg. XG for2.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+54%
Defence rating
B04
STP
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
8
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first3
7
Goals conceded19
15
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against19%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+17%

Leverkusen v St. Pauli Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12644
A GrimaldoV BonifaceG XhakaR Andrich
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Grimaldo DEF1212
3
-
J Tah DEF121
1
-
E Tapsoba DEF12
1
-
P Hincapié DEF121
2
-
J Frimpong MID1222
3
-
G Xhaka MID1224
1
-
F Wirtz MID1244
1
-
L Hradecky GLK11
-
A García MID101
-
R Andrich MID102
4
-
P Schick  FWD105
1
-
V Boniface FWD1061
1
-
M Terrier  FWD911
1
-
N Tella MID81
-
A Adli FWD7
1
-
E Palacios MID614
-
N Mukiele DEF4
2
-
J Hofmann MID41
-
Arthur DEF31
-
J Belocian DEF2
1
-
M Kovář GLK1
-
St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12234
N VasiljO AfolayanJ IrvineM Guilavogui
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK12
-
H Wahl DEF12
-
E Smith DEF121
2
-
J Irvine MID123
1
-
O Afolayan FWD122
1
-
J Eggestein FWD1213
1
-
M Saliakas DEF111
2
-
P Treu DEF111
1
-
M Guilavogui FWD111
4
-
K Mets DEF10
1
-
C Boukhalfa MID101
-
A Albers FWD91
-
R Wagner MID8
1
-
A Dzwigala DEF7
-
L Ritzka DEF7
1
-
D Sinani FWD7
-
E Saad FWD622
1
-
S Banks FWD5
1
-
C Metcalfe MID4
-
D Nemeth  DEF2
-
E Ahlstrand MID2
-