1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge Borussia Dortmund's team badge

1. FSV Mainz 05 v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 9th Nov, 14:30 BST, Mewa Arena, Mainz

It's a long trek for Nuri Şahin's Borussia Dortmund side on Saturday afternoon, as they head to the Mewa Arena for a Bundesliga tie with Bo Henriksen's 1. FSV Mainz 05. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a sound selection is shown below. Go between 17 markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for each one.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% probability of Mainz and Dortmund serving up at least 2 goals in this Bundesliga match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.15.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.40.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mainz
38%
12/5
6%
9/4
5%
Draw
25%
27/1014/5
10%
Dortmund
37%
1/1
5%
21/20
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
13/26/1
7%
Mainz 1-0
9%
14/111/1
Dortmund 1-0
8%
10/1
8%
17/2
Mainz 2-1
8%
11/19/1
Dortmund 2-1
8%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
6%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Mainz 2-0
6%
20/114/1
Dortmund 2-0
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
Draw 2-2
6%
10/19/1
9%
Mainz 3-1
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
Dortmund 3-1
4%
14/111/1
Mainz 3-0
3%
40/1
21%
25/1
13%
Mainz 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Dortmund 3-0
3%
18/1
10%
14/1
Dortmund 3-2
3%
18/114/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
4/7
5%
1/2
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
11/8
9%
7/5
4%
Home 1st Goal
48%
13/10
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
8/13
3%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
16/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
1/2
4%
10/21
1%
BTTS - No
43%
6/4
5%
6/4
BTTS - Home Win
19%
9/2
10%
19/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
8%
16/5
7%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
12/59/4
2%
Home/draw
63%
4/5
6%
3/4
Away/draw
62%
3/10
4%
1/3
1%
Home/away
75%
2/71/4
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/6
3%
2/13
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
4/1
9%
19/5
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
11/8
8%
5/4
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/7
6%
3/5
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
10/3
8%
11/4
1%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
2/9
2%
1/4
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
7/1
23%
11/2
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/12
3%
1/11
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
1/50
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1
21%
12/1
13%
Home DNB
55%
6/4
11%
11/8
Away DNB
55%
1/2
4%
8/15
Mainz win to nil
19%
7/1
14%
-
Dortmund win to nil
18%
10/3
4%
-
Mainz / Mainz
16%
4/14/1
9%
Mainz / Dortmund
4%
20/116/1
Mainz / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Mainz
10%
7/1
7%
13/2
Draw / Dortmund
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
5%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/219/4
12%
Dortmund / Mainz
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
Dortmund / Dortmund
25%
11/5
6%
21/10
3%
Dortmund / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league. Mainz are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Mainz have conceded 13 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Mainz have played 5 games at home, winning 0, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 3 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Dortmund lay in 5th place on 16 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 9 matches. Dortmund are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 13 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Dortmund have conceded 14 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Dortmund have played 4 away games, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Mainz
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
Bayern97202523 
Dec 14
Apr 26
Nov 30
Apr 12
RB Leipzig96211020 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
w
 
2-1A
Mar 15
E.Frankfurt9522917 
May 3
Dec 21
w
 
2-0F
Jan 18
Leverkusen9441516 
May 17
Jan 15
Jan 11
May 10
Dortmund Away9513216 
Nov 9
Mar 29
-
-
Freiburg9513216 
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 23
Apr 5
Union Berlin9432115 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
Feb 22
l
 
2-1A
Stuttgart9342113 
Jan 25
d
 
3-3A
Feb 8
l
 
5-1A
B. M'gladbach9414113 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
Apr 19
Dec 7
W.Bremen9333-512 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 1
Jan 25
d
 
0-00-0
Augsburg9324-711 
Feb 8
w
 
2-3F
Mar 8
l
 
2-1F
Heidenheim9315010 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
w
 
4-2F
Feb 1
Mainz Home9243-110 
-
-
Mar 29
Nov 9
Wolfsburg9234-19 
Apr 19
Dec 7
May 3
Dec 21
St. Pauli9225-48 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
Hoffenheim9225-68 
Dec 1
Apr 12
Dec 14
Apr 26
Holstein9126-125 
Apr 5
Nov 24
May 17
Jan 15
VfL Bochum9018-201 
Jan 11
May 10
w
 
4-2A
Feb 15
Win / draw / win form
3
Dortmund have lost 3 consecutive away league games
5
Mainz have not won in 5 consecutive home league games
6
Dortmund have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Mainz 13TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Dortmund 5TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Mainz since 2012
Mainz
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
11
22
Games: Scored
8 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
4 / 12
M05
2
D
1
BVB
9
League games at Dortmund since 2013
Dortmund
Mainz
Goals: Scored
18
12
Games: Scored
9 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
1 / 10
M05
2
D
3
BVB
5
Goal Statistics
Mainz 13th Dortmund 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Dortmund will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
Mainz have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
Dortmund’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283506/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Mainz
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
M05
BVB
24%
better
view stats
Games scored6
8
Failed to score3
1
Scored first4
4
Goals scored12
17
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.9
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
18
Avg. XG for1.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
10%
better
M05
BVB
view stats
Games conceded7
7
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded13
15
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded12
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
4
Conversion rate against12%
23%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%

Mainz v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9535
R ZentnerJ Burkardt P MweneD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK9
-
P Mwene DEF93
1
-
A Caci DEF9
2
-
A Sieb MID92
1
-
K Sano MID9
-
J Burkardt  FWD95
-
M Leitsch  DEF81
1
-
D Kohr MID8
5
-
N Amiri MID822
2
-
J Lee MID81
1
-
H Hyun-seok MID71
-
P Nebel MID7
1
-
S Widmer  DEF61
3
-
M Jenz DEF6
2
-
N Weiper FWD5
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF41
2
-
D Hoof DEF4
1
-
A Barkok MID4
-
K Onisiwo  FWD3
-
N Veratschnig DEF2
-
D Costa DEF1
-
G Vidović FWD1
-
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9535
J BrandtS Guirassy J BrandtR Bensebaini
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Bensebaini DEF911
5
-
P Groß MID92
2
-
E Can MID92
1
-
J Brandt MID93
1
-
F Nmecha MID911
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD922
2
-
G Kobel GLK8
-
W Anton DEF8
2
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF8
2
-
J Ryerson DEF811
1
-
M Sabitzer  MID8
2
-
M Beier FWD811
1
-
D Malen FWD82
-
S Guirassy  FWD751
-
N Süle DEF5
1
-
K Adeyemi  FWD523
-
Y Couto DEF4
2
-
W Campbell FWD2
-
A Meyer GLK1
-
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF1
1
-
G Reyna MID1
-
K. Wätjen MID1
-
J Duranville FWD1
-