FREE BETS	ODDS	RETURNS	BET
	-	-
	-	-

1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC St. Pauli : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Dec, 14:30 BST, Mewa Arena, Mainz

1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC St. Pauli clash at the Mewa Arena on Sunday afternoon, with both Bo Henriksen and Alexander Blessin aiming for victory in the Bundesliga. You'll find statistics supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Bundesliga performances and head-to-heads included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Mainz and St. Pauli combined during 90 mins. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this conclusion, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of it coming in. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.30.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Mainz 39%	2.00	-
Draw 28%	3.40	-
St. Pauli 33%	3.60	-
Draw 1-1 13%	6.50	-
Mainz 1-0 12%	7.00	-
St. Pauli 1-0 10%	10.00	-
Draw 0-0 9%	9.50	-
Mainz 2-1 8%	9.00	-
St. Pauli 2-1 7%	12.00	-
Mainz 2-0 7%	9.50	-
St. Pauli 2-0 6%	17.00	-
Draw 2-2 5%	15.00	-
Mainz 3-1 3%	17.00	-
Mainz 3-0 3%	19.00	-
St. Pauli 3-1 3%	29.00	-
St. Pauli 3-0 2%	41.00	-
Mainz 3-2 2%	29.00	-
St. Pauli 3-2 2%	41.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	2.00	-
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	1.80	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	1.73	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	2.30	-
No 1st Goal 6%	9.50	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	1.80	-
BTTS - No 51%	1.95	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	4.33	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.75	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	7.00	-
Home/draw 67%	1.29	-
Away/draw 61%	1.80	-
Home/away 72%	1.30	-
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	1.33	-
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	3.40	-
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	3.50	-
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	1.30	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	7.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1.10	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	15.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.03	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.06	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	9.50	-
Home DNB 59%	1.44	-
Away DNB 52%	2.63	-
Mainz win to nil 23%	3.40	-
St. Pauli win to nil 19%	6.00	-
Mainz / Mainz 25%	3.25	-
Mainz / St. Pauli 2%	34.00	-
Mainz / Draw 6%	13.00	-
Draw / Mainz 16%	5.00	-
Draw / St. Pauli 11%	7.50	-
Draw / Draw 16%	5.00	-
St. Pauli / Mainz 4%	23.00	-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli 14%	6.00	-
St. Pauli / Draw 5%	15.00	-

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league. Mainz are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 4 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Mainz have conceded 24 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 7 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Mainz have played 7 games at home, winning 0, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Mainz St. Pauli
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	13	12	1	0	40	37	Apr 25	Dec 14	Apr 11	l 3-1F
2	RB Leipzig	13	9	2	2	15	29	l 0-1A	Jan 31	Jan 10	May 9
3	Dortmund	13	8	4	1	12	28	l 0-2A	Feb 14	d 3-3A	Jan 17
4	Leverkusen	13	7	2	4	9	23	l 3-4A	Feb 28	l 1-2A	Feb 14
5	Hoffenheim	13	7	2	4	6	23	d 1-1A	Apr 4	l 0-3A	Feb 28
6	Stuttgart	13	7	1	5	-1	22	Mar 7	l 2-1F	Feb 7	l 2-0A
7	E.Frankfurt	13	6	3	4	-1	21	Mar 21	l 1-0A	Mar 7	l 2-0A
8	Köln	13	4	4	5	1	16	l 0-1A	Jan 17	Apr 18	d 1-1A
9	Freiburg	13	4	4	5	-2	16	Apr 11	l 4-0A	Mar 21	l 2-1A
10	B. M'gladbach	13	4	4	5	-2	16	l 0-1A	Apr 18	l 0-4A	Mar 14
11	W.Bremen	13	4	4	5	-6	16	d 1-1F	Mar 14	Feb 21	l 1-0A
12	Union Berlin	13	4	3	6	-6	15	May 9	Jan 10	l 0-1A	Apr 4
13	Hamburg	13	4	3	6	-6	15	Feb 21	l 4-0A	Jan 23	w 0-2F
14	Augsburg	13	4	1	8	-10	13	Feb 7	w 1-4F	w 2-1A	Jan 31
15	Wolfsburg	13	3	3	7	-6	12	Jan 24	d 1-1A	May 16	Jan 14
16	Heidenheim	13	3	2	8	-16	11	Jan 13	May 16	Dec 13	Apr 25
17	St. Pauli	13	2	2	9	-14	8	Dec 21	May 2	-	-
18	Mainz	13	1	3	9	-13	6	-	-	May 2	Dec 21

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Mainz have not won in 12 consecutive home league games

St. Pauli have not won in 6 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mainz	0 - 1	B. M'gladbach
Mainz	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
Mainz	1 - 1	W.Bremen
Mainz	3 - 4	Leverkusen
Mainz	0 - 2	Dortmund
Mainz	0 - 1	RB Leipzig
Mainz	0 - 1	Köln
Mainz	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Mainz	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Mainz	2 - 2	Wolfsburg
Mainz	1 - 1	Holstein
Mainz	2 - 2	Freiburg
Mainz	2 - 0	St. Pauli
Mainz	0 - 0	Augsburg
Mainz	2 - 0	Stuttgart
Mainz	2 - 0	VfL Bochum
Mainz	2 - 1	Bayern
Mainz	2 - 0	Hoffenheim
Mainz	3 - 1	Dortmund
Mainz	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

20 / 20

Clean sheets

0 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Mainz	0 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	Mainz	0 - 4	Freiburg
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
A	Mainz	0 - 1	E.Frankfurt
H	Mainz	1 - 1	W.Bremen
A	Mainz	1 - 2	Stuttgart
H	Mainz	3 - 4	Leverkusen
A	Mainz	0 - 4	Hamburg
H	Mainz	0 - 2	Dortmund
A	Mainz	4 - 1	Augsburg
H	Mainz	0 - 1	RB Leipzig
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Mainz	0 - 1	Köln
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Leverkusen
A	Mainz	4 - 1	VfL Bochum
H	Mainz	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Mainz	0 - 3	Bayern
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	Mainz	0 - 2	Hoffenheim
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Holstein

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Köln	1 - 1	St. Pauli
Bayern	3 - 1	St. Pauli
Freiburg	2 - 1	St. Pauli
E.Frankfurt	2 - 0	St. Pauli
W.Bremen	1 - 0	St. Pauli
Stuttgart	2 - 0	St. Pauli
Hamburg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
E.Frankfurt	2 - 2	St. Pauli
W.Bremen	0 - 0	St. Pauli
Holstein	1 - 2	St. Pauli
Bayern	3 - 2	St. Pauli
Wolfsburg	1 - 1	St. Pauli
Mainz	2 - 0	St. Pauli
RB Leipzig	2 - 0	St. Pauli
Heidenheim	0 - 2	St. Pauli
VfL Bochum	1 - 0	St. Pauli
Stuttgart	0 - 1	St. Pauli
Leverkusen	2 - 1	St. Pauli
B. M'gladbach	2 - 0	St. Pauli
Hoffenheim	0 - 2	St. Pauli

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Köln
A	St. Pauli	1 - 3	Bayern
H	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Union Berlin
A	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Freiburg
H	St. Pauli	0 - 4	B. M'gladbach
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	E.Frankfurt
H	St. Pauli	0 - 3	Hoffenheim
A	St. Pauli	0 - 1	W.Bremen
H	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Leverkusen
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	Stuttgart
H	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Augsburg
A	St. Pauli	2 - 0	Hamburg
H	St. Pauli	3 - 3	Dortmund
H	St. Pauli	0 - 2	VfL Bochum
A	St. Pauli	2 - 2	E.Frankfurt
H	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Stuttgart
A	St. Pauli	0 - 0	W.Bremen
H	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Leverkusen
A	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Holstein
H	St. Pauli	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for 1. FSV Mainz 05 of late. It has been 6 Bundesliga games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against FC St. Pauli.

	Mainz 18th	St. Pauli 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-13 Mainz have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted	-27 St. Pauli have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

better

M05

STP

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

M05

STP

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Mainz v St. Pauli Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	3	2	6
P Mwene	N Amiri	B Hollerbach	D Kohr

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
P Mwene DEF	13			3 -
D Costa DEF	13	1		2 -
K Sano MID	13	1	1	-
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	12		1	3 -
N Amiri MID	12	3	1	5 -
J Lee MID	11	1		1 -
A Sieb FWD	11	2		1 -
N Weiper FWD	11			-
D Kohr DEF	10	1		4 2
D Hoof DEF	10			2 -
P Nebel MID	10	1		2 2
A Nordin FWD	10			-
R Zentner GLK	9			2 1
S Widmer DEF	9	1		2 -
N Veratschnig DEF	9			2 -
B Hollerbach FWD	9		2	-
L Maloney MID	7			-
S Kawasaki MID	5			1 -
L Rieß GLK	4			-
A Caci DEF	4			1 -
M Leitsch DEF	3			-
W Bøving FWD	3			1 -
D Batz GLK	1			-
B Bobzien FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	2	4
N Amiri	N Amiri	B Hollerbach	N Amiri

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Amiri MID	3	6	1	4
A Sieb FWD	2	3		1
D Costa DEF	1	3
K Sano MID	1	2	1	2
J Lee MID	1	4		3
D Kohr DEF	1	2		1
P Nebel MID	1	1		1
S Widmer DEF	1	2
P Mwene DEF				1
A Hanche-Olsen DEF		3	1	1
N Weiper FWD		3
D Hoof DEF				1
A Nordin FWD		2
B Hollerbach FWD		2	2	2
L Maloney MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
625	21	80
N Amiri	N Amiri	K Sano

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Amiri MID	625	21	52
D Costa DEF	549	12	47
K Sano MID	521	17	80
D Kohr DEF	381	14	59
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	363	9	58
P Nebel MID	355	11	32
R Zentner GLK	338		8
P Mwene DEF	293	8	36
J Lee MID	261	15	53
D Hoof DEF	181	4	28
S Widmer DEF	169	16	35
A Caci DEF	165	5	16
A Nordin FWD	150	8	27
L Maloney MID	121	3	15
B Hollerbach FWD	101	8	31
L Rieß GLK	99		4
N Weiper FWD	93	2	29
M Leitsch DEF	91	3	9
N Veratschnig DEF	81	3	14
A Sieb FWD	76	2	15
S Kawasaki MID	45	5	8
D Batz GLK	35
W Bøving FWD	29		1
B Bobzien FWD	10	2	2

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	4	2	3
N Vasilj	A Hountondji	D Sinani	J Fujita

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Vasilj GLK	13			-
L. Oppie DEF	13	1		-
E Smith DEF	13	1		2 -
C Metcalfe MID	13		1	-
D Sinani MID	13	2	2	2 -
J Fujita MID	13		1	3 -
M Lage FWD	13		2	1 -
H Wahl DEF	12	1		-
J Sands MID	12			2 -
M Kaars FWD	11			-
A Hountondji FWD	11	4		1 -
A Pyrka DEF	10			2 -
A. Ceesay FWD	10			2 -
M Saliakas DEF	8		1	2 -
A Dzwigala DEF	7	1		3 -
L Ritzka DEF	7			-
K Mets DEF	7			1 -
O Afolayan FWD	7			1 -
J Irvine MID	6			-
R Jade-Jones FWD	1	1		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	8	2	3
A Hountondji	M Lage	D Sinani	D Sinani

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Hountondji FWD	4	7
D Sinani MID	2	6	2	3
L. Oppie DEF	1	3		2
E Smith DEF	1	3
H Wahl DEF	1	3
A Dzwigala DEF	1	1
R Jade-Jones FWD	1	1
C Metcalfe MID		2	1	2
J Fujita MID		1	1	3
M Lage FWD		8	2	3
J Sands MID		2		1
M Kaars FWD		3
A Pyrka DEF		1		1
A. Ceesay FWD		1
M Saliakas DEF		2	1
O Afolayan FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
818	28	79
E Smith	J Sands	J Sands

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Smith DEF	818	18	52
H Wahl DEF	742	20	49
J Fujita MID	610	26	52
D Sinani MID	472	12	35
J Sands MID	455	28	79
L. Oppie DEF	445	19	35
N Vasilj GLK	428	1	6
K Mets DEF	357	7	17
A Pyrka DEF	308	12	24
M Saliakas DEF	288	13	23
A Dzwigala DEF	261	18	27
M Lage FWD	254	22	63
L Ritzka DEF	157	10	17
M Kaars FWD	141	1	12
C Metcalfe MID	121	9	17
J Irvine MID	115	5	18
A Hountondji FWD	87	5	21
O Afolayan FWD	64	4	15
A. Ceesay FWD	37	1	16
R Jade-Jones FWD	2		2