1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's team badge

1. FSV Mainz 05 v TSG 1899 Hoffenheim : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mewa Arena, Mainz

Sunday afternoon at the Mewa Arena, and it’s a Bundesliga clash between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Bo Henriksen and Pellegrino Matarazzo going all-out to claim the win. All statistics, including each side's 20 game form and head to head (H2H) history, will change as you click through each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our predictions will too.

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1. FSV Mainz 05's next match is v Wolfsburg at 14:30 on Sunday 8th December
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's next match is v Freiburg at 16:30 on Sunday 8th December
The last German Bundesliga meeting between Mainz and Hoffenheim was on Sunday 1st December 2024
German Bundesliga
December 1st 2024
Mainz 2
0 Hoffenheim
 
J. Burkardt 4'
J. Burkardt 24'
 
M05
TSG
Shots On
8
2
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
8
3
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
13
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
MainzHoffenheim
 
R. Zentner
P. Mwene (N. Veratschnig 90')
D. Vieira da Costa
A. Caci (S. Widmer 73')
S. Bell
N. Amiri
P. Nebel (H. Hong 87')
J. Lee
K. Sano
D. Kohr
J. Burkardtfootball iconfootball icon (A. Sieb 90')
O. Baumann
(V. Gendrey 46') P. Kadeřábek
S. Nsoki
K. Akpoguma
(D. Geiger 79') A. Prass
A. Stach
T. Bischof
A. Hložek
(M. Moerstedt 68') H. Tabakovic
(D. Jurásek 68') A. Kramarić
(M. Berisha 79') J. Bruun Larsen

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Mainz and Hoffenheim have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.50.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mainz
41%
1/121/20
3%
Draw
27%
5/2
7%
5/2
8%
Hoffenheim
32%
27/10
9%
5/2
6%
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Mainz 1-0
11%
17/2
14%
7/1
11%
Hoffenheim 1-0
10%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Draw 0-0
9%
12/1
24%
9/1
23%
Mainz 2-1
8%
8/17/1
Mainz 2-0
7%
10/1
8%
17/2
5%
Hoffenheim 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Hoffenheim 2-0
6%
18/1
10%
14/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/110/1
10%
Mainz 3-1
4%
14/111/1
Mainz 3-0
3%
18/114/1
Hoffenheim 3-1
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
12%
Mainz 3-2
2%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Hoffenheim 3-0
2%
40/128/1
12%
Hoffenheim 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
8/11
10%
7/10
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
11/10
12%
21/20
14%
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
45%
7/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
12/1
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
8/13
8%
8/13
6%
BTTS - No
50%
6/5
12%
6/5
8%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
11/4
10%
13/5
9%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
5/1
9%
19/4
15%
Home/draw
68%
2/7
1%
2/7
3%
Away/draw
59%
4/53/4
3%
Home/away
73%
2/7
3%
3/10
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/9
4%
2/9
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
10/3
13%
14/5
17%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
7/4
20%
17/10
17%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
4/9
11%
4/9
7%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
4/1
25%
19/5
23%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/6
6%
2/13
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/1
38%
8/1
29%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/20
3%
1/20
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/20
3%
1/25
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
10/1
35%
9/1
23%
Home DNB
60%
1/210/21
1%
Away DNB
51%
6/46/4
2%
Mainz win to nil
23%
3/1
8%
-
Hoffenheim win to nil
18%
6/1-
Mainz / Mainz
25%
9/4
2%
21/10
Mainz / Hoffenheim
3%
28/1
12%
25/1
Mainz / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Draw / Mainz
16%
9/24/1
5%
Draw / Hoffenheim
11%
13/2
6%
7/1
7%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
8%
17/4
13%
Hoffenheim / Mainz
4%
20/120/1
11%
Hoffenheim / Hoffenheim
15%
9/29/2
5%
Hoffenheim / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Mainz have outscored their opponents by 18 goals to 17 goals.

Home League Performance

Mainz have played 6 games at home winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 6 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Hoffenheim are in 14th position in the Bundesliga on 12 points having played 11 matches so far this season. Hoffenheim are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 6 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Hoffenheim have conceded 17 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Mainz
Hoffenheim
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern129302930 
Dec 14
Apr 26
May 17
Jan 15
2
E.Frankfurt128221526 
May 3
Dec 21
Jan 26
l
 
3-1A
3
Leverkusen12651923 
May 17
Jan 14
l
 
1-4A
Feb 1
4
RB Leipzig12633521 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
w
 
4-3A
Apr 5
5
Dortmund12624420 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 29
Apr 26
Dec 15
6
Freiburg12624020 
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 8
Apr 19
7
Mainz 12543619 
-
-
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
8
Wolfsburg12534618 
Apr 19
Dec 8
Jan 11
May 10
9
Stuttgart12453217 
Jan 25
d
 
3-3A
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
10
B. M'gladbach12525117 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
Dec 21
May 3
11
Union Berlin12444-116 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 19
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
12
W.Bremen12444-516 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 1
l
 
3-4F
Feb 15
13
Augsburg12435-915 
Feb 8
w
 
2-3F
Mar 29
d
 
0-00-0
14
Hoffenheim 12336-712 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
-
-
15
St. Pauli12327-511 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-2A
Mar 15
16
Heidenheim12318-910 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
17
Holstein12129-185 
Apr 5
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-2F
Jan 18
18
VfL Bochum120210-232 
Jan 11
May 10
w
 
3-1F
Mar 1
Win / draw / win form
Mainz 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Hoffenheim 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Mainz have beaten Hoffenheim in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Mainz since 2012
Mainz
Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
26
15
Games: Scored
10 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
1 / 11
M05
6
D
3
TSG
2
League games at Hoffenheim since 2013
Hoffenheim
Mainz
Goals: Scored
23
20
Games: Scored
10 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
2 / 12
M05
4
D
3
TSG
5
Goal Statistics
Mainz 7th Hoffenheim 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Hoffenheim will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Mainz have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
+16
Hoffenheim have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283524/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Mainz
PG (predicted goals)
Hoffenheim
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
6%
better
M05
TSG
view stats
Games scored8
8
Failed to score3
3
Scored first6
4
Goals scored18
17
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
16
Avg. XG for1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
24%
better
M05
TSG
view stats
Games conceded8
9
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded14
22
Avg. goals conceded1.3
2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
18%
Avg. XG against1.5
2
KickOff rating
+24%

Mainz v Hoffenheim Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12946
R ZentnerJ Burkardt P MweneD Kohr
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK12
1
-
D Costa DEF41
-
D Hoof DEF7
1
-
D Kohr DEF11
6
-
A Caci MID123
2
-
K Sano MID12
-
N Amiri MID1132
2
1
P Mwene MID124
2
-
P Nebel MID1011
2
-
J Lee MID1131
1
-
J Burkardt  FWD129
-
Subs
L Rieß GLK
1
-
N Veratschnig DEF4
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF51
2
1
S Widmer  DEF91
3
-
M Jenz DEF6
2
-
M Leitsch  DEF81
1
-
H Hyun-seok MID101
-
A Barkok MID4
-
A Sieb FWD122
1
-
Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12524
O BaumannA KramaricA KramaricP Kaderabek
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Baumann GLK12
-
P Kaderabek DEF10
4
-
K Akpoguma DEF11
2
-
S Nsoki DEF6
1
A Prass DEF111
1
-
A Stach MID121
3
-
T Bischof MID1011
2
-
A Hlozek MID1131
1
-
A Kramaric MID1152
3
-
J Larsen  MID912
-
H Tabakovic FWD81
-
Subs
L Philipp GLK
-
R Hranáč DEF2
-
V Gendrey DEF91
-
D Jurásek DEF4
-
D Geiger MID4
-
U Tohumcu MID81
2
-
D Samassékou MID1
-
M Berisha FWD911
1
-
M. Moerstedt FWD5
1
-