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VfB Stuttgart v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mercedes-Benz Arena, Stuttgart

Hamburger SV are away on Sunday afternoon, as manager Merlin Polzin takes his side to visit VfB Stuttgart and Sebastian Hoeneß at the Mercedes-Benz Arena in the Bundesliga. Below we've got predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and odds. Access it all using the tabs below.

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VfB Stuttgart's next match is v W.Bremen at 14:30 on Sunday 26th April
Hamburger SV's next match is v Hoffenheim at 17:30 on Saturday 25th April

The last German Bundesliga meeting between Stuttgart and Hamburg was on Sunday 12th April 2026

German Bundesliga

April 12th 2026

Stuttgart 4	0 Hamburg

A. Stiller 21'
C. Führich 32'
M. Mittelstädt 56'
B. El Khannous 86'

	VFB HSV
Shots On	11 5
Shots Off	5 4
Corners	8 2
Possession	65% 35%
Fouls	10 14
Yellow/red cards	3/0 1/0

Stuttgart	Hamburg

R. Hendriks M. Mittelstädt A. Stiller C. Führich (B. El Khannous 70') E. Demirović (T. de Melo Tomás 70') L. Assignon (J. Karaboue Vagnomann 88') J. Chabot D. Undav (J. Arévalo Mera 88') J. Andrés Baixauli (N. Nartey 70') A. Nübel J. Leweling	D. Heuer Fernandes W. Mikelbrencis (N. Capaldo 72') D. Elfadli W. Omari R. Königsdörffer (O. Emerson Stange 60') R. Philippe F. Ferreira Vieira J. Torunarigha N. Remberg (R. Glatzel 60') A. Erlykke (G. Gocholeishvili 72') F. Uri Baldé

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Bundesliga tie, with Stuttgart and Hamburg going head-to-head, offers great potential in the highly popular under 2.5 goals market, with at least 3 goals predicted to be scored in total. Forwards at both clubs will look to come out on the front foot and, having analysed the relevant statistics and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Stuttgart are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Stuttgart 59%	2/7 1%	1/50
Draw 21%	5/1	1/50 4%
Hamburg 20%	8/1 4%	1/50 5%
Stuttgart 2-1 10%	17/2 6%	8/1
Draw 1-1 10%	11/1	11/1 6%
Stuttgart 2-0 9%	8/1 6%	9/2
Stuttgart 1-0 8%	11/1 5%	17/2
Stuttgart 3-1 7%	9/1	8/1
Stuttgart 3-0 6%	17/2	4/5
Draw 2-2 6%	16/1	20/1
Hamburg 2-1 5%	25/1	25/1
Hamburg 1-0 5%	33/1	16/1
Draw 0-0 4%	25/1 10%	12/1
Stuttgart 3-2 4%	18/1	45/1
Stuttgart 4-1 4%	12/1 12%	17/2
Stuttgart 4-0 3%	12/1	1/2
Hamburg 2-0 3%	50/1	28/1
Hamburg 3-2 2%	40/1	60/1
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	1/3	1/8 1%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	12/5	9/2 2%
Home 1st Goal 55%	1/3	1/3
Away 1st Goal 42%	9/4	27/10
No 1st Goal 3%	25/1 10%	12/1 13%
BTTS - Yes 59%	8/13 3%	12/1
BTTS - No 41%	6/5 5%	1/50
BTTS - Home Win 31%	13/10 5%	6/1 2%
BTTS - Draw 17%	11/2	1/50 5%
BTTS - Away Win 11%	12/1 5%	1/50
Home/draw 80%	1/14 2%	1/50 1%
Away/draw 41%	5/2	1/50
Home/away 79%	1/8	1/50 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1/10 3%	1/25
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	6/1 9%	9/1
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	10/11 10%	10/11
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	10/11 6%	4/5
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	2/1 7%	17/4
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	2/5 3%	1/7
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	4/1 8%	33/1
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/6 1%	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/66 1%	1/50 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	20/1 19%	12/1
Home DNB 74%	1/12	1/50 2%
Away DNB 34%	7/1	1/50 3%
Stuttgart win to nil 29%	13/8	-
Hamburg win to nil 8%	18/1	-
Stuttgart / Stuttgart 47%	8/11	1/40 2%
Stuttgart / Hamburg 2%	40/1 21%	33/1
Stuttgart / Draw 5%	18/1	14/1
Draw / Stuttgart 18%	10/3 4%	100/1 2%
Draw / Hamburg 5%	20/1	125/1
Draw / Draw 9%	9/1 6%	125/1
Hamburg / Stuttgart 5%	14/1	1/50
Hamburg / Hamburg 6%	16/1	1/50 7%
Hamburg / Draw 4%	20/1	1/50 15%

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Stuttgart have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Stuttgart have outscored their opponents by 56 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Stuttgart have played 14 games at home winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Hamburg are in 12th position in the Bundesliga on 31 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Hamburg have conceded 29 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Stuttgart Hamburg
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	30	25	4	1	80	79	l 0-5A	l 4-2F	d 2-2F	l 5-0A
2	Dortmund	30	19	7	4	30	64	l 0-2A	d 3-3A	d 1-1A	l 3-2F
3	RB Leipzig	30	18	5	7	22	59	w 1-0F	l 3-1A	l 1-2F	l 2-1A
4	Stuttgart	30	17	5	8	20	56	-	-	w 2-1F	l 4-0A
5	Hoffenheim	30	16	6	8	15	54	d 0-00-0	May 2	Apr 25	l 4-1A
6	Leverkusen	30	15	7	8	19	52	May 9	w 1-4F	l 0-1A	May 16
7	Freiburg	30	12	7	11	-4	43	w 1-0F	l 3-1F	May 10	l 2-1F
8	E.Frankfurt	30	11	9	10	-2	42	w 3-2A	May 16	d 1-1F	May 2
9	Augsburg	30	10	6	14	-16	36	w 3-2A	w 2-5F	d 1-1A	l 1-0A
10	Mainz	30	8	10	12	-9	34	w 2-1A	d 2-2A	w 4-0F	d 1-1A
11	Union Berlin	30	8	8	14	-18	32	d 1-1F	l 2-1A	w 3-2A	d 0-00-0
12	Köln	30	7	10	13	-7	31	w 3-1F	w 1-2A	d 1-1F	l 4-1A
13	B. M'gladbach	30	7	10	13	-14	31	w 1-0F	w 0-3F	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0
14	Hamburg	30	7	10	13	-15	31	w 4-0F	l 2-1A	-	-
15	W.Bremen	30	8	7	15	-18	31	Apr 26	w 0-4F	w 3-2A	l 3-1A
16	St. Pauli	30	6	8	16	-25	26	w 2-0F	l 2-1A	l 0-2A	d 0-00-0
17	Wolfsburg	30	6	6	18	-25	24	w 4-0F	w 0-3F	l 0-1A	w 1-2A
18	Heidenheim	30	4	7	19	-33	19	w 1-0F	d 3-3F	w 2-1F	w 0-2F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stuttgart	0 - 2	Dortmund
Stuttgart	1 - 0	RB Leipzig
Stuttgart	4 - 0	Wolfsburg
Stuttgart	3 - 1	Köln
Stuttgart	1 - 0	Freiburg
Stuttgart	1 - 1	Union Berlin
Stuttgart	3 - 2	E.Frankfurt
Stuttgart	0 - 0	Hoffenheim
Stuttgart	0 - 5	Bayern
Stuttgart	3 - 2	Augsburg
Stuttgart	2 - 1	Mainz
Stuttgart	1 - 0	Heidenheim
Stuttgart	2 - 0	St. Pauli
Stuttgart	1 - 0	B. M'gladbach
Stuttgart	4 - 0	Augsburg
Stuttgart	0 - 1	Heidenheim
Stuttgart	1 - 2	W.Bremen
Stuttgart	3 - 4	Leverkusen
Stuttgart	1 - 3	Bayern
Stuttgart	1 - 2	Wolfsburg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Stuttgart	0 - 2	Dortmund
A	Stuttgart	5 - 2	Augsburg
H	Stuttgart	1 - 0	RB Leipzig
A	Stuttgart	2 - 2	Mainz
H	Stuttgart	4 - 0	Wolfsburg
A	Stuttgart	3 - 3	Heidenheim
H	Stuttgart	3 - 1	Köln
A	Stuttgart	1 - 2	St. Pauli
H	Stuttgart	1 - 0	Freiburg
A	Stuttgart	3 - 0	B. M'gladbach
H	Stuttgart	1 - 1	Union Berlin
H	Stuttgart	3 - 2	E.Frankfurt
A	Stuttgart	4 - 1	Leverkusen
H	Stuttgart	0 - 0	Hoffenheim
A	Stuttgart	4 - 0	W.Bremen
H	Stuttgart	0 - 5	Bayern
A	Stuttgart	1 - 2	Hamburg
A	Stuttgart	3 - 3	Dortmund
H	Stuttgart	3 - 2	Augsburg
A	Stuttgart	1 - 3	RB Leipzig

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund	3 - 2	Hamburg
Wolfsburg	1 - 2	Hamburg
Mainz	1 - 1	Hamburg
Heidenheim	0 - 2	Hamburg
St. Pauli	0 - 0	Hamburg
Freiburg	2 - 1	Hamburg
Hoffenheim	4 - 1	Hamburg
Augsburg	1 - 0	Hamburg
Köln	4 - 1	Hamburg
RB Leipzig	2 - 1	Hamburg
Union Berlin	0 - 0	Hamburg
Bayern	5 - 0	Hamburg
B. M'gladbach	0 - 0	Hamburg
Greuther	3 - 2	Hamburg
Darmstadt	0 - 4	Hamburg
Schalke	2 - 2	Hamburg
Nurnberg	0 - 3	Hamburg
Magdeburg	0 - 3	Hamburg
Paderborn	2 - 0	Hamburg
Regensburg	1 - 1	Hamburg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	Augsburg
A	Hamburg	2 - 3	Dortmund
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	Köln
A	Hamburg	2 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Hamburg	0 - 1	Leverkusen
H	Hamburg	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
A	Hamburg	1 - 1	Mainz
H	Hamburg	3 - 2	Union Berlin
A	Hamburg	2 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Hamburg	2 - 2	Bayern
A	Hamburg	0 - 0	St. Pauli
H	Hamburg	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach
A	Hamburg	1 - 2	Freiburg
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Hamburg	1 - 4	Hoffenheim
H	Hamburg	3 - 2	W.Bremen
H	Hamburg	2 - 1	Stuttgart
A	Hamburg	0 - 1	Augsburg
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	Dortmund
A	Hamburg	1 - 4	Köln

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Stuttgart have not lost to Hamburg in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Stuttgart

Hamburg

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

VFB

HSV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stuttgart
Stuttgart	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Stuttgart	2 - 1
Stuttgart	2 - 1
Stuttgart	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Hamburg

Hamburg

Stuttgart

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

1 / 5

VFB

HSV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
Hamburg	2 - 1
Hamburg	6 - 2
Hamburg	3 - 1
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	0 - 1	Stuttgart

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for VfB Stuttgart in their clash with Hamburger SV, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 19 consecutive Bundesliga games.

	Stuttgart 4th	Hamburg 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 13% 1 26% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 16% There is a 61% probability that Stuttgart will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Stuttgart have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	-6 Hamburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

35%

better

VFB

HSV

view stats

Games scored	25		19
Failed to score	3		9
Scored first	15		10
Goals scored	56		32
Avg. goals scored	2		1.1
Avg. shots per game	11		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	18		12
Avg. XG for	1.7		1.3
KickOff rating		+35%

13%

better

VFB

HSV

view stats

Games conceded	18		22
Clean sheets	10		6
Conceded first	12		14
Goals conceded	38		41
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	15%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.8
KickOff rating		+13%

Stuttgart v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Stuttgart Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	18	7	5
A Nübel	D Undav	J Leweling	D Undav

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Nübel GLK	30		1	-
L Assignon DEF	21			3 1
R Hendriks DEF	27		2	3 -
J Chabot DEF	24			3 -
M Mittelstädt DEF	28	5	4	3 -
J. Andrés Baixauli MID	22	2		3 -
A Stiller MID	30	2	6	1 -
J Leweling MID	28	7	7	4 -
D Undav MID	25	18	6	5 -
C Führich MID	29	6	6	1 -
E Demirovic FWD	21	9	3	4 -
Subs
F Bredlow GLK				-
F. Jeltsch DEF	22		1	3 -
J Vagnoman DEF	24	1	3	3 -
L Jaquez DEF	10		1	1 -
D Zagadou DEF	2			-
B Khannouss MID	22	4	4	4 -
N Nartey MID	25	3	2	2 -
T Tomás FWD	23	4	3	3 -
J. Arévalo Mera FWD	7		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
18	43	7	12
D Undav	D Undav	J Leweling	C Führich

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Undav MID	18	43	6	6
E Demirovic FWD	9	16	3	3
J Leweling MID	7	17	7	10
C Führich MID	6	20	6	12
M Mittelstädt DEF	5	14	4	10
Subs
B Khannouss MID	4	14	4	6
T Tomás FWD	4	9	3	2
N Nartey MID	3	10	2	4
J. Andrés Baixauli MID	2	5		1
A Stiller MID	2	6	6	9
Subs
J Vagnoman DEF	1	11	3	4
A Nübel GLK			1	1
L Assignon DEF		4		1
R Hendriks DEF			2	1
J Chabot DEF		6
Subs
F. Jeltsch DEF			1
L Jaquez DEF			1	1
D Zagadou DEF		1
J. Arévalo Mera FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2073	62	185
A Stiller	M Mittelstädt	J Chabot

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
A Stiller MID	2073	40	116
J Chabot DEF	1607	31	185
M Mittelstädt DEF	1167	62	128
A Nübel GLK	1098		13
R Hendriks DEF	1084	31	96
Subs
F. Jeltsch DEF	1042	24	74
B Khannouss MID	846	25	68
C Führich MID	750	16	45
J Leweling MID	647	21	94
J. Andrés Baixauli MID	605	24	75
Subs
J Vagnoman DEF	584	31	67
L Jaquez DEF	549	5	22
D Undav MID	525	16	72
Subs
N Nartey MID	466	15	80
L Assignon DEF	443	22	59
Subs
T Tomás FWD	269	13	60
E Demirovic FWD	218	12	64
Subs
D Zagadou DEF	171	5	23
J. Arévalo Mera FWD	19		6

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	5	5	10
D Fernandes	F Vieira	F Vieira	N Remberg

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Fernandes GLK	30			3 -
W Omari DEF	16			-
J Torunarigha DEF	21			2 -
D Elfadli DEF	20			5 1
A Grönbaek MID	3			-
F Vieira MID	25	5	5	3 2
N Remberg MID	28		1	10 -
W Mikelbrencis MID	24		4	3 -
R Königsdörffer FWD	30	5	2	2 -
R Philippe FWD	25	5		2 -
F. Uri Baldé FWD	14		1	1 -
Subs
H. Hermann GLK				-
N Katterbach DEF				-
G Gocholeishvili DEF	22		2	2 1
S. Nandja DEF				-
N Capaldo MID	22	1	2	7 -
R Glatzel FWD	17	2	2	-
D Downs FWD	10			-
P Otele FWD	9	1	1	3 1
O. Emerson Stange FWD	7			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	22	5	7
F Vieira	R Königsdörffer	F Vieira	F Vieira

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Vieira MID	5	16	5	7
R Königsdörffer FWD	5	22	2	1
R Philippe FWD	5	14		2
Subs
R Glatzel FWD	2	6	2	1
N Capaldo MID	1	5	2	2
P Otele FWD	1	3	1	3
W Omari DEF		1
J Torunarigha DEF		1
D Elfadli DEF		1
A Grönbaek MID		1
N Remberg MID		7	1	3
W Mikelbrencis MID		6	4	5
F. Uri Baldé FWD		3	1	2
Subs
G Gocholeishvili DEF		2	2	1
D Downs FWD		4		1
O. Emerson Stange FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1502	55	154
D Fernandes	N Remberg	N Remberg

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
D Fernandes GLK	1502		7
N Remberg MID	1159	55	154
J Torunarigha DEF	964	30	95
F Vieira MID	722	15	81
D Elfadli DEF	664	22	58
Subs
N Capaldo MID	632	55	130
W Omari DEF	568	16	45
R Königsdörffer FWD	381	4	88
W Mikelbrencis MID	337	33	61
Subs
G Gocholeishvili DEF	235	24	67
R Philippe FWD	189	20	48
Subs
P Otele FWD	113	2	23
R Glatzel FWD	108	1	26
F. Uri Baldé FWD	96	14	31
Subs
D Downs FWD	66	6	15
A Grönbaek MID	32	4	8
Subs
O. Emerson Stange FWD	25	2	13