SV Werder Bremen's team badge 1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge

SV Werder Bremen v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 14:30 BST, Weser-Stadion, Bremen

the Weser-Stadion is the stage on Sunday afternoon, as Daniel Thioune's SV Werder Bremen are visited by Urs Fischer's 1. FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga. This preview has the best odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you explore. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall performance can be found, while you'll also find head-to-head history a little further down the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 79% probability of W.Bremen and Mainz delivering at least 2 goals in this Bundesliga match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it would appear that the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think W.Bremen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
W.Bremen
48%
6/513/10
2%
Draw
24%
12/55/2
3%
Mainz
28%
2/1
3%
19/10
9%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
8%
W.Bremen 2-1
9%
8/17/1
W.Bremen 1-0
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
6%
W.Bremen 2-0
8%
11/19/1
Mainz 2-1
7%
10/117/2
5%
Mainz 1-0
7%
11/117/2
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
8%
9/1
5%
W.Bremen 3-1
5%
16/114/1
W.Bremen 3-0
4%
20/116/1
Mainz 2-0
4%
16/112/1
W.Bremen 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Mainz 3-1
3%
22/116/1
11%
Mainz 3-2
2%
28/120/1
W.Bremen 4-1
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
8/11
4%
3/4
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
11/10
5%
1/1
3%
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/55/6
2%
Away 1st Goal
45%
11/1011/10
5%
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
BTTS - Yes
58%
8/13
3%
8/13
3%
BTTS - No
42%
6/5
5%
23/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/1
8%
16/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/24/1
9%
Home/draw
72%
4/112/5
4%
Away/draw
52%
4/63/5
1%
Home/away
76%
3/103/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
10/3
8%
14/5
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/4
8%
9/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/9
3%
2/5
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
4/1
9%
17/4
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/6
3%
1/7
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
8%
9/1
5%
Home DNB
64%
8/134/6
4%
Away DNB
45%
6/511/10
5%
W.Bremen win to nil
23%
10/3
8%
-
Mainz win to nil
13%
5/1-
W.Bremen / W.Bremen
23%
13/55/2
3%
W.Bremen / Mainz
3%
25/1
10%
22/1
12%
W.Bremen / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / W.Bremen
14%
9/25/1
4%
Draw / Mainz
12%
6/16/1
7%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
5%
Mainz / W.Bremen
4%
22/120/1
Mainz / Mainz
17%
4/1
5%
7/2
6%
Mainz / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

W.Bremen have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 3 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Both W.Bremen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 have scored 29 goals this season.

Home League Performance

W.Bremen have played 12 games at home winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 21 goals at home.

Mainz are in 15th position in the Bundesliga on 24 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Mainz have conceded 38 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
W.Bremen
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2521316866 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-0A
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
2
Dortmund2516722755 
May 16
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
3
Hoffenheim2515462049 
l
 
0-2A
May 9
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
4
Stuttgart2514561647 
l
 
0-4A
Apr 25
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
5
RB Leipzig2514561447 
Apr 4
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
6
Leverkusen2513571644 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
3-4A
d
 
1-1F
7
E.Frankfurt25988-135 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
4-1A
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
8
Freiburg25979-534 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 12
l
 
4-0A
9
Augsburg259412-1231 
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
10
Hamburg257810-829 
Apr 18
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
11
Union Berlin257711-1228 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-4A
May 9
d
 
2-2F
12
B. M'gladbach256712-1525 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
13
W.Bremen256712-1625 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
14
Köln256613-924 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
15
Mainz255911-1224 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1A
-
-
16
St. Pauli256613-1724 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
17
Wolfsburg255515-2120 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 21
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
18
Heidenheim253517-3314 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
May 16
Win / draw / win form
3
Mainz have drawn 3 consecutive league games
W.Bremen 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
W.Bremen2 - 0Heidenheim
W.Bremen0 - 3Bayern
W.Bremen1 - 1B. M'gladbach
W.Bremen0 - 2Hoffenheim
W.Bremen3 - 3E.Frankfurt
W.Bremen0 - 4Stuttgart
W.Bremen1 - 1Köln
W.Bremen2 - 1Wolfsburg
W.Bremen1 - 0Union Berlin
W.Bremen1 - 0St. Pauli
W.Bremen0 - 3Freiburg
W.Bremen3 - 3Leverkusen
W.Bremen0 - 0RB Leipzig
W.Bremen0 - 0St. Pauli
W.Bremen1 - 0VfL Bochum
W.Bremen2 - 0E.Frankfurt
W.Bremen2 - 4B. M'gladbach
W.Bremen1 - 2Wolfsburg
W.Bremen1 - 3Hoffenheim
W.Bremen1 - 0Mainz
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AW.Bremen4 - 1Union Berlin
HW.Bremen2 - 0Heidenheim
AW.Bremen1 - 2St. Pauli
HW.Bremen0 - 3Bayern
AW.Bremen0 - 1Freiburg
HW.Bremen1 - 1B. M'gladbach
HW.Bremen0 - 2Hoffenheim
AW.Bremen0 - 1Leverkusen
HW.Bremen3 - 3E.Frankfurt
AW.Bremen0 - 3Dortmund
AW.Bremen0 - 0Augsburg
HW.Bremen0 - 4Stuttgart
AW.Bremen2 - 3Hamburg
HW.Bremen1 - 1Köln
AW.Bremen0 - 2RB Leipzig
HW.Bremen2 - 1Wolfsburg
AW.Bremen1 - 1Mainz
HW.Bremen1 - 0Union Berlin
AW.Bremen2 - 2Heidenheim
HW.Bremen1 - 0St. Pauli
Mainz 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen1 - 1Mainz
Dortmund4 - 0Mainz
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
Köln2 - 1Mainz
Union Berlin2 - 2Mainz
Bayern2 - 2Mainz
Freiburg4 - 0Mainz
E.Frankfurt1 - 0Mainz
Stuttgart2 - 1Mainz
Hamburg4 - 0Mainz
Augsburg1 - 4Mainz
Wolfsburg1 - 1Mainz
VfL Bochum1 - 4Mainz
Bayern3 - 0Mainz
Hoffenheim2 - 0Mainz
Dortmund3 - 1Mainz
B. M'gladbach1 - 3Mainz
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
Heidenheim0 - 2Mainz
W.Bremen1 - 0Mainz
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMainz2 - 2Stuttgart
AMainz1 - 1Leverkusen
HMainz1 - 1Hamburg
AMainz0 - 4Dortmund
HMainz2 - 0Augsburg
AMainz2 - 1RB Leipzig
HMainz3 - 1Wolfsburg
AMainz1 - 2Köln
HMainz2 - 1Heidenheim
AMainz2 - 2Union Berlin
HMainz0 - 0St. Pauli
AMainz2 - 2Bayern
HMainz0 - 1B. M'gladbach
AMainz0 - 4Freiburg
HMainz1 - 1Hoffenheim
AMainz0 - 1E.Frankfurt
HMainz1 - 1W.Bremen
AMainz1 - 2Stuttgart
HMainz3 - 4Leverkusen
AMainz0 - 4Hamburg
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
W.Bremen have not lost to Mainz in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at W.Bremen since 2012
W.Bremen
Mainz
Goals: Scored
16
18
Games: Scored
8 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
4 / 12
SVW
4
D
3
M05
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT W.Bremen
W.Bremen1 - 0
W.Bremen4 - 0
0 - 2Mainz
0 - 1Mainz
0 - 5Mainz
W.Bremen3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Mainz
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Mainz
W.Bremen2 - 1
League games at Mainz since 2013
Mainz
W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
15
17
Games: Scored
9 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
3 / 12
SVW
6
D
3
M05
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2W.Bremen
0 - 1W.Bremen
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1W.Bremen
Mainz3 - 1
Mainz2 - 1
1 - 2W.Bremen
0 - 2W.Bremen
1 - 3W.Bremen
Mainz3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
W.Bremen 13th Mainz 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that W.Bremen will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-31
W.Bremen have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
Mainz’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
W.Bremen
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
SVW
M05
14%
better
view stats
Games scored14
16
Failed to score10
9
Scored first7
10
Goals scored25
29
Avg. goals scored1
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for11
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
5%
better
SVW
M05
view stats
Games conceded19
23
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first16
14
Goals conceded44
41
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+5%

W.Bremen v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

W.Bremen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25778
R SchmidJ StageR SchmidN Stark
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Schmid MID2527
4
-
M Grüll FWD2531
4
-
S Lynen MID24
4
-
J Njinmah FWD244
1
-
M Backhaus GLK23
-
M Friedl DEF231
7
-
Y Sugawara DEF234
1
-
J Stage MID2372
4
-
A. Coulibaly DEF211
4
1
C Puertas MID201
4
-
S. Mbangula FWD2032
-
K Topp FWD1911
4
-
I Schmidt DEF151
2
-
A Pieper DEF12
3
-
P. Čović MID121
1
-
N Stark DEF11
6
2
L Bittencourt MID111
2
-
V Boniface FWD112
1
-
J Malatini DEF10
3
-
F Agu DEF8
1
-
O Deman DEF711
2
-
K Hein GLK2
-
S Alvero MID2
-
I Hansen-Aaroen MID1
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251039
K SanoN AmiriD CostaD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa DEF2523
3
-
K Sano MID2511
1
-
J Lee MID2332
2
-
P Nebel MID2111
2
2
P Mwene DEF20
3
-
D Kohr DEF201
7
2
N Amiri MID20102
6
-
S Widmer  DEF192
5
-
D Hoof DEF1821
4
-
A Sieb FWD162
1
-
N Weiper FWD16
1
-
L Maloney MID15
1
-
N Veratschnig MID151
2
-
B Hollerbach FWD1413
-
D Batz GLK13
1
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF131
3
-
A Nordin FWD13
-
R Zentner GLK9
2
1
W Bøving FWD71
1
-
S Kawasaki MID6
1
-
L Rieß GLK4
-
A Caci DEF4
1
-
M Leitsch  DEF3
-
B Bobzien FWD1
-