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VfL Wolfsburg v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Bundesliga, and Niko Kovač’s VfL Wolfsburg will have the joy of it on Saturday afternoon. Edin Terzic’s Borussia Dortmund are their visitors to the Volkswagen Arena. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall records can be found, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.

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VfL Wolfsburg's next match is v Leverkusen at 18:30 on Sunday 10th March
Borussia Dortmund's next match is v W.Bremen at 17:30 on Saturday 9th March
The last German Bundesliga meeting between Wolfsburg and Dortmund was on Saturday 17th February 2024
German Bundesliga
February 17th 2024
Wolfsburg 1
1 Dortmund
 
Y. Gerhardt 63'8' N. Füllkrug
 
WOB
BVB
Shots On
4
5
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
5
3
Possession
36%
64%
Fouls
18
5
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
WolfsburgDortmund
 
K. Casteels
R. Baku
M. Lacroix
M. Jenz
J. Mæhle
M. Svanberg (Y. Gerhardt 46')
M. Arnold
L. Majer
K. Paredes
K. Behrens (L. Nmecha 77')
J. Older Wind (A. Sarr 88')
G. Kobel
N. Schlotterbeck
J. Ryerson
N. Süle
I. Maatsen
E. Can
J. Brandt
M. Sabitzer
(S. Özcan 79') M. Reus
(Y. Moukoko 85') football iconN. Füllkrug
(J. Bynoe-Gittens 79') J. Sancho
Best Tip: Dortmund to win

Claiming a victory away from home the Bundesliga is always an impressive achievement, and we predict Edin Terzic and his Dortmund side will do exactly that at Volkswagen Arena on Saturday afternoon. The stats below, including historical head-to-head (H2H) records, make their ability to get the job done clear, and the bookmakers think so too. Top odds are 2.30 on Dortmund to win. We think it's well worth backing.

As we move closer to kick-off, the bookmakers' odds are fluctuating. Odds for a Borussia Dortmund victory are shortening, and a VfL Wolfsburg win are drifting. These changes shows there are plenty out there predicting victory for E. Terzic's men.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Dortmund coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Wolfsburg
30%
23/10
18%
11/5
14%
11/5
7%
9/4
18%
Draw
24%
3/1
11%
27/10
3%
3/1
7%
11/4
4%
Dortmund
46%
21/20
11%
11/10
11%
21/20
7%
27/25
14%
Draw 1-1
11%
7/1
7%
13/2
7%
7/1
7%
13/2
7%
Dortmund 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
15/2
6%
15/28/1
5%
Dortmund 1-0
8%
10/1
8%
10/19/1
11%
11/1
4%
Wolfsburg 2-1
7%
10/110/1
10%
10/1
10%
10/1
10%
Dortmund 2-0
7%
11/1
8%
12/1
13%
11/123/2
17%
Wolfsburg 1-0
6%
12/114/1
15%
12/1
18%
14/1
15%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
18%
10/110/1
8%
10/1
5%
Dortmund 3-1
5%
14/1
12%
14/1
12%
14/114/1
12%
Draw 0-0
5%
16/116/116/1
13%
17/1
6%
Wolfsburg 2-0
4%
18/1
12%
20/1
24%
18/1
12%
19/1
18%
Dortmund 3-0
4%
18/1
17%
20/1
19%
18/1
10%
18/1
10%
Dortmund 3-2
4%
20/118/1
10%
16/1
19%
18/1
Wolfsburg 3-1
3%
20/122/1
10%
20/120/1
17%
Wolfsburg 3-2
3%
22/122/122/1
12%
20/1
5%
Dortmund 4-1
2%
28/1
15%
33/1
17%
28/1
15%
25/1
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
8/15
3%
1/2
2%
8/15
12%
13/25
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
6/4
5%
13/10
2%
11/8
19%
6/4
2%
Home 1st Goal
46%
5/4
7%
6/5
5%
23/20
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/13
6%
4/5
4%
8/11
4%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/116/114/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/15
2%
4/9
4%
1/2
7%
12/25
BTTS - No
40%
11/8
5%
31/206/4
14%
31/20
BTTS - Home Win
17%
4/1
11%
15/4
10%
18/5
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
10%
16/5
5%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
25%
5/2
13%
12/5
8%
23/10
12%
-
Home/draw
54%
8/11
10%
8/11
10%
8/11
4%
3/4
12%
Away/draw
70%
1/3
5%
1/3
5%
4/11
3%
7/20
8%
Home/away
76%
2/9
5%
2/71/47/25
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/61/7
1%
1/6
4%
2/15
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4/118/5
5%
7/2
13%
23/5
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
11/85/4
2%
11/8
13%
13/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/78/15
2%
8/15
9%
3/5
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
10/314/5
5%
3/1
20%
3/1
2%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
2/91/5
2%
2/9
7%
2/9
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
7/16/1
7%
13/2
25%
7/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/121/141/14
3%
1/14
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/401/40-1.00
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
16/114/1-16/1
6%
Home DNB
47%
11/8
19%
13/10
15%
11/8
8%
7/5
19%
Away DNB
63%
8/15
12%
4/7
9%
8/15
6%
11/20
13%
Wolfsburg win to nil
13%
6/1
17%
6/1
17%
6/1
27%
-
Dortmund win to nil
21%
10/3
13%
18/5
8%
16/5
5%
-
Wolfsburg / Wolfsburg
16%
4/1
15%
9/2
15%
4/1
9%
21/5
20%
Wolfsburg / Dortmund
4%
20/122/120/1
9%
20/1
9%
Wolfsburg / Draw
6%
12/112/112/123/2
4%
Draw / Wolfsburg
10%
13/2
7%
13/2
15%
15/2
6%
7/1
14%
Draw / Dortmund
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
9%
9/2
8%
5/1
6%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
3%
6/1
8%
11/2
4%
Dortmund / Wolfsburg
3%
25/1
13%
28/1
12%
25/1
10%
25/1
4%
Dortmund / Dortmund
26%
9/4
13%
5/2
10%
21/10
6%
11/5
16%
Dortmund / Draw
6%
12/112/112/112/1
4%
bet365
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Wolfsburg have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Wolfsburg have conceded 21 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Wolfsburg have played 10 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Dortmund lay in 4th place on 40 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 6 and losing 1 game. They have scored 41 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Dortmund have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Dortmund have played 10 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Wolfsburg
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Dortmund
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-2A
Mar 10
 Leverkusen2420404564 
Apr 21
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2A
May 11
 Bayern2417343754 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 30
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1F
 Stuttgart2416262450 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Dortmund Away2412841844 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Apr 13
 RB Leipzig2413472243 
l
 
2-3A
Apr 27
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
 E.Frankfurt249105737 
Mar 17
d
 
3-3A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-1F
 Hoffenheim24969-133 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-3F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 30
 W.Bremen248610-430 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 9
l
 
0-1A
Apr 27
 Freiburg248610-1230 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-4F
Mar 16
l
 
3-2A
 Augsburg24789-229 
May 4
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Heidenheim247710-828 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 7
l
 
4-0A
 B. M'gladbach246810-426 
w
 
4-2A
Apr 13
-
-
 Wolfsburg Home246711-925 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
 Union Berlin247413-1625 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-2F
Apr 20
l
 
3-1A
 VfL Bochum245109-2125 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
 Köln243813-2317 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
May 18
d
 
1-1F
 Mainz2421012-1916 
d
 
1-1F
May 11
May 4
w
 
0-1F
 Darmstadt242715-3413 
May 18
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Wolfsburg 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Dortmund 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Wolfsburg since 2013
Wolfsburg
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
12
23
Games: Scored
7 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
4 / 11
WOB
3
D
1
BVB
7
All league games since 2012
Wolfsburg
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
17
53
Games: Scored
10 / 21
19 / 21
Clean sheets
2 / 21
11 / 21
WOB
4
D
2
BVB
15
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund's defensive record is to be admired, E. Terzic's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Bundesliga matches. An average PG rating of 1.3 for VfL Wolfsburg makes sense in this context.

Borussia Dortmund's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because VfL Wolfsburg have conceded in each of their last 6 Bundesliga games. A PG of 1.7 for E. Terzic's side suggests that run should continue.

Wolfsburg 13th Dortmund 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Wolfsburg will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
Wolfsburg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+20
Dortmund have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Statistics Bundesliga - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/263548/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Wolfsburg
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.3
1.7
Attack rating
WOB
BVB
27%
better
view stats
Games scored20
22
Failed to score4
2
Scored first10
16
Goals scored30
48
Avg. goals scored1.3
2
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate14%
17%
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
WOB
BVB
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
16
Clean sheets3
8
Conceded first14
7
Goals conceded39
30
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate16%
12%
KickOff rating
+30%

Wolfsburg v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Wolfsburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23968
J WindJ WindJ WindM Arnold
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Casteels GLK20
2
-
R Baku DEF23
3
-
M Lacroix DEF202
3
1
M Jenz DEF171
4
-
J Maehle DEF2323
5
-
M Svanberg MID2013
6
-
M Arnold MID201
8
-
L Majer MID2444
3
-
J Wind MID2496
3
-
K Paredes MID202
2
-
K Behrens FWD511
-
Subs
P Pervan GLK4
1
-
K Fischer DEF1
-
C Zesiger DEF14
4
-
Y Gerhardt MID182
4
-
P Wimmer MID7
1
-
A Vranckx MID16
5
-
V Cerny MID183
2
-
A Sarr FWD8
-
L Nmecha  FWD31
-
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231185
N SchlotterbeckN FüllkrugJ BrandtM Hummels
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK20
1
-
J Ryerson DEF1431
3
-
N Süle DEF181
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF232
-
I Maatsen DEF812
3
-
M Sabitzer  MID1922
3
-
E Can MID1912
3
-
J Brandt MID2268
1
-
M Reus MID1843
1
-
J Sancho MID71
-
N Füllkrug FWD22118
-
Subs
A Meyer GLK5
-
M Bauzà DEF1
-
M Hummels DEF172
4
1
S Özcan MID15
3
-
M Wolf MID141
2
-
D Malen FWD2110
5
-
Y Moukoko FWD143
1
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD1613
1
-
S. Bamba FWD2
-