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VfL Wolfsburg v Holstein Kiel : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 24th Jan, 19:30 BST, Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

Holstein Kiel pay Bundesliga counterparts VfL Wolfsburg a visit on Friday evening, as Marcel Rapp leads his men into an away clash with Ralph Hasenhuttl & co. at the Volkswagen Arena. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with weighting given to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Bundesliga tie is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the fixture. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their latest form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of over 2.5 goals being the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Wolfsburg are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Wolfsburg
56%
1.42
4%
1.44
3%
Draw
20%
5.25
5%
4.80
4%
Holstein
24%
6.25
14%
6.50
8%
Wolfsburg 2-1
9%
8.507.50
Draw 1-1
7%
10.00
5%
8.50
6%
Wolfsburg 3-1
7%
11.009.50
5%
Draw 2-2
7%
19.0013.00
Wolfsburg 2-0
6%
8.007.50
Holstein 2-1
6%
19.00
12%
15.00
Wolfsburg 3-2
5%
21.0015.00
12%
Wolfsburg 1-0
5%
9.00
13%
8.00
7%
Wolfsburg 3-0
5%
10.00
9%
9.50
Wolfsburg 4-1
4%
19.00
10%
15.00
Holstein 3-2
3%
41.0029.00
Holstein 1-0
3%
19.00
12%
15.00
Wolfsburg 4-2
3%
34.0023.00
12%
Holstein 3-1
3%
41.0029.00
Wolfsburg 4-0
3%
17.00
11%
15.00
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
1.53
6%
1.53
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
2.50
9%
2.40
7%
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.30
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
3.50
8%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
19.00
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
71%
1.75
3%
1.70
3%
BTTS - No
29%
2.00
3%
2.05
3%
BTTS - Home Win
36%
2.75
8%
2.70
6%
BTTS - Draw
17%
6.50
8%
5.50
BTTS - Away Win
17%
10.00
5%
9.00
Home/draw
76%
1.12
2%
1.11
1%
Away/draw
44%
2.75
5%
2.70
4%
Home/away
80%
1.171.18
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1.17
3%
1.17
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
5.00
11%
4.80
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
54%
2.30
12%
2.25
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
46%
1.62
8%
1.57
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
34%
4.00
11%
3.80
10%
Under 4.5 Goals
66%
1.25
4%
1.22
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
7.00
22%
7.00
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
81%
1.10
3%
1.08
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1.021.02
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
19.00
12%
13.00
8%
Home DNB
70%
1.17
3%
1.15
2%
Away DNB
38%
5.00
15%
4.80
4%
Wolfsburg win to nil
20%
2.62-
Holstein win to nil
8%
13.00
18%
-
Wolfsburg / Wolfsburg
39%
2.10
5%
2.10
2%
Wolfsburg / Holstein
2%
41.0034.00
Wolfsburg / Draw
5%
17.00
13%
15.00
Draw / Wolfsburg
19%
4.334.20
Draw / Holstein
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
Draw / Draw
11%
7.50
7%
7.00
8%
Holstein / Wolfsburg
5%
17.00
11%
15.00
12%
Holstein / Holstein
8%
11.00
10%
9.50
6%
Holstein / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Wolfsburg have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 2 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Wolfsburg have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

Wolfsburg have played 9 games at home winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 19 goals at home.

Holstein are in 17th position in the Bundesliga on 11 points having played 18 matches so far this season. Holstein are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 0 of those games.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Holstein have conceded 44 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Wolfsburg
Holstein
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1814314145 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
1-6A
Feb 1
2
Leverkusen1812512041 
Feb 8
l
 
4-3F
Feb 22
d
 
2-2A
3
E.Frankfurt1811341836 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 2
l
 
2-4A
Feb 16
4
Stuttgart189541032 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 15
Mar 8
l
 
2-1A
5
RB Leipzig18945531 
Apr 12
w
 
1-5F
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
6
Mainz18846828 
w
 
4-3A
Apr 19
l
 
0-3A
Apr 5
7
Wolfsburg Home18837827 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Jan 24
8
Freiburg18837-927 
Apr 26
l
 
3-2A
May 10
l
 
3-2A
9
W.Bremen18756-326 
l
 
2-4F
Mar 1
Mar 29
l
 
2-1A
10
Dortmund18747125 
l
 
1-3A
May 3
w
 
4-2F
May 17
11
B. M'gladbach18738-224 
w
 
5-1F
May 17
Apr 26
l
 
4-1A
12
Augsburg18648-1222 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
w
 
5-1A
May 3
13
Union Berlin18558-820 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
l
 
0-2A
Mar 2
14
St. Pauli185211-717 
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
15
Hoffenheim18459-1217 
May 10
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2A
16
Heidenheim184212-1514 
Mar 29
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
17
Holstein Away183213-2011 
Jan 24
w
 
0-2F
-
-
18
VfL Bochum182412-2310 
Feb 22
w
 
1-3F
Feb 9
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
5
Holstein have lost 5 consecutive away league games
8
Holstein have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
Wolfsburg 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolfsburg5 - 1B. M'gladbach
Wolfsburg1 - 3Dortmund
Wolfsburg4 - 3Mainz
Wolfsburg1 - 0Union Berlin
Wolfsburg1 - 1Augsburg
Wolfsburg2 - 4W.Bremen
Wolfsburg2 - 2Stuttgart
Wolfsburg1 - 2E.Frankfurt
Wolfsburg2 - 3Bayern
Wolfsburg1 - 3Mainz
Wolfsburg3 - 0Darmstadt
Wolfsburg1 - 0VfL Bochum
Wolfsburg1 - 3B. M'gladbach
Wolfsburg1 - 3Augsburg
Wolfsburg2 - 3Stuttgart
Wolfsburg1 - 1Dortmund
Wolfsburg2 - 2Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg1 - 1Köln
Wolfsburg1 - 2Bayern
Wolfsburg0 - 1Freiburg
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWolfsburg2 - 3Bayern
HWolfsburg5 - 1B. M'gladbach
AWolfsburg1 - 0Hoffenheim
HWolfsburg1 - 3Dortmund
AWolfsburg2 - 3Freiburg
HWolfsburg4 - 3Mainz
AWolfsburg5 - 1RB Leipzig
HWolfsburg1 - 0Union Berlin
AWolfsburg3 - 1Heidenheim
HWolfsburg1 - 1Augsburg
AWolfsburg0 - 0St. Pauli
HWolfsburg2 - 4W.Bremen
AWolfsburg3 - 1VfL Bochum
HWolfsburg2 - 2Stuttgart
AWolfsburg3 - 4Leverkusen
HWolfsburg1 - 2E.Frankfurt
AWolfsburg2 - 0Holstein
HWolfsburg2 - 3Bayern
HWolfsburg1 - 3Mainz
AWolfsburg0 - 2Bayern
Holstein 17TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Freiburg3 - 2Holstein
B. M'gladbach4 - 1Holstein
St. Pauli3 - 1Holstein
W.Bremen2 - 1Holstein
Stuttgart2 - 1Holstein
Leverkusen2 - 2Holstein
VfL Bochum2 - 2Holstein
Hoffenheim3 - 2Holstein
Hannover1 - 2Holstein
Wiesbaden0 - 1Holstein
Hamburg0 - 1Holstein
Nurnberg0 - 4Holstein
Elversberg0 - 2Holstein
H.Berlin2 - 2Holstein
Paderborn0 - 4Holstein
Magdeburg1 - 1Holstein
Greuther2 - 1Holstein
Dusseldorf0 - 1Holstein
Kaiserslautern0 - 3Holstein
Osnabruck1 - 1Holstein
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
48
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHolstein1 - 3Hoffenheim
HHolstein4 - 2Dortmund
AHolstein2 - 3Freiburg
HHolstein5 - 1Augsburg
AHolstein1 - 4B. M'gladbach
HHolstein0 - 2RB Leipzig
AHolstein1 - 3St. Pauli
HHolstein0 - 3Mainz
AHolstein1 - 2W.Bremen
HHolstein1 - 0Heidenheim
AHolstein1 - 2Stuttgart
HHolstein0 - 2Union Berlin
AHolstein2 - 2Leverkusen
HHolstein2 - 4E.Frankfurt
AHolstein2 - 2VfL Bochum
HHolstein1 - 6Bayern
HHolstein0 - 2Wolfsburg
AHolstein2 - 3Hoffenheim
AHolstein2 - 1Hannover
HHolstein1 - 1Dusseldorf
Goal Statistics

Holstein Kiel have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Bundesliga matches. This run could continue, with VfL Wolfsburg's PG an impressive 2.3.

Holstein Kiel have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Bundesliga outings. Their PG of 1.5 against VfL Wolfsburg on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Wolfsburg 7th Holstein 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 67% probability that Wolfsburg will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Holstein will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Wolfsburg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+19
Holstein have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283586/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Wolfsburg
PG (predicted goals)
Holstein
2.3
1.5
Attack rating
37%
better
WOB
SVE
view stats
Games scored17
14
Failed to score1
4
Scored first10
3
Goals scored40
26
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for24
17
Avg. XG for1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
33%
better
WOB
SVE
view stats
Games conceded14
17
Clean sheets4
1
Conceded first7
15
Goals conceded32
46
Avg. goals conceded1.8
2.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against17%
22%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.8
KickOff rating
+33%

Wolfsburg v Holstein Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Wolfsburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18867
K GrabaraM AmouraM AmouraM Arnold
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Grabara GLK18
2
-
K Fischer DEF18
3
-
M Arnold MID1724
7
-
T Tomás FWD1752
5
-
K Koulierakis DEF162
2
-
Y Gerhardt MID1611
1
1
J Wind FWD1672
1
-
M Amoura FWD1686
3
-
P Wimmer MID153
4
1
D Vavro DEF141
3
-
J Maehle DEF1333
2
-
J Kaminski MID131
2
-
S Özcan MID11
-
M Svanberg MID1121
2
-
B. Dárdai MID1012
-
S Bornauw DEF92
1
-
L Nmecha  FWD82
-
K Behrens FWD811
2
-
A Vranckx MID6
1
-
L Majer MID42
1
-
Holstein Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18726
T WeinerS MachinoF PorathM Knudsen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Weiner GLK18
4
-
N Remberg MID181
4
-
F Porath MID182
3
-
A Gigovic MID173
4
-
S Machino FWD1771
1
-
M Knudsen MID161
6
-
M Geschwill DEF1512
2
-
B Pichler FWD1511
-
T Becker DEF14
1
-
L Holtby MID141
1
1
F Arp FWD132
3
1
M Ivezic DEF12
2
-
L Rosenboom DEF1211
-
P Harres FWD1171
1
-
S Skrzybski MID102
-
P Erras MID101
2
-
A Bernhardsson FWD921
2
-
M Komenda  DEF8
1
-
M Schulz MID8
2
-
D Javorcek  DEF71
2
-
C Johansson DEF5
-
A. Kelati MID411
1
1
D Zec DEF3
-