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VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg and their manager Ralph Hasenhuttl will be looking to get one over on Bo Henriksen and his 1. FSV Mainz 05 side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair clash at the Volkswagen Arena in the Bundesliga. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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The last German Bundesliga meeting between Wolfsburg and Mainz was on Saturday 18th May 2024
German Bundesliga
May 18th 2024
Wolfsburg 1
3 Mainz
 
K. Paredes 18'24' B. Gruda
72' S. van den Berg
85' J. Burkardt
 
WOB
M05
Shots On
4
6
Shots Off
11
6
Corners
1
3
Possession
65%
35%
Fouls
13
12
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
WolfsburgMainz
 
K. Casteels
R. Baku (V. Černý 76')
K. Fischer
C. Zesiger
M. Lacroix
S. Bornauw
J. Kamiński
M. Arnold
K. Paredesfootball icon (P. Wimmer 46')
L. Majer
J. Older Wind (K. Behrens 76')
R. Zentner
P. Mwene
(L. Ajorque 73') S. Widmer
A. Hanche-Olsen
football iconS. van den Berg
(M. Richter 90') N. Amiri
L. Barreiro Martins
D. Kohr
(A. Caci 73') J. Lee
(T. Krauß 87') football iconB. Gruda
(J. Guilavogui 90') football iconJ. Burkardt
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Wolfsburg and Mainz will score at least 2 between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 77%. Bookies have it available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Wolfsburg are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.25.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Wolfsburg
41%
21/10
13%
21/10
7%
Draw
25%
5/25/2
Mainz
34%
5/4
6%
5/4
2%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
Wolfsburg 1-0
9%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
Wolfsburg 2-1
9%
10/1
10%
17/2
Mainz 1-0
8%
17/2
5%
15/2
Mainz 2-1
8%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Wolfsburg 2-0
7%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
Draw 0-0
6%
12/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/110/1
Mainz 2-0
5%
11/1
8%
10/1
Wolfsburg 3-1
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
Mainz 3-1
3%
16/1
11%
12/1
Wolfsburg 3-0
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
Wolfsburg 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
18/1
Mainz 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Mainz 3-0
2%
20/1
9%
16/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
49%
6/5
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
8/11
4%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
8/134/7
3%
BTTS - No
43%
6/55/4
2%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
9/2
10%
4/1
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
17%
3/1
8%
14/5
5%
Home/draw
66%
8/13
6%
8/13
1%
Away/draw
59%
4/11
3%
4/11
3%
Home/away
75%
2/73/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9/1
9%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Home DNB
59%
6/5
10%
6/5
5%
Away DNB
51%
8/13
6%
3/5
4%
Wolfsburg win to nil
21%
5/1
9%
-
Mainz win to nil
17%
10/3
4%
-
Wolfsburg / Wolfsburg
16%
15/4
10%
19/5
7%
Wolfsburg / Mainz
4%
22/118/1
Wolfsburg / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Wolfsburg
11%
6/1
8%
11/2
Draw / Mainz
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
5%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
4/1
Mainz / Wolfsburg
3%
25/120/1
Mainz / Mainz
23%
13/5
10%
5/2
3%
Mainz / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Wolfsburg have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 2 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Wolfsburg have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 36 goals.

Home League Performance

Wolfsburg have played 16 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 22 goals at home.

Mainz are in 15th position in the Bundesliga on 32 points having played 33 matches so far this season. Mainz are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 5 of those games.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 32 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 10 and won 5. Mainz have conceded 44 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Wolfsburg
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Mainz
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Leverkusen3428606590 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1F
 Stuttgart3423473973 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Bayern3423384972 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
8-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
 RB Leipzig3419873865 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Dortmund3418972563 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
 E.Frankfurt3411149147 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-1F
 Hoffenheim3413714046 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Heidenheim34101212-542 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
 W.Bremen3411914-642 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
 Freiburg3411914-1342 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-2A
 Augsburg3410915-1039 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
-
-
 Wolfsburg Home3410717-1537 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3A
l
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
 Mainz Away3471413-1235 
-
-
l
 
1-3F
l
 
4-0A
 B. M'gladbach3471314-1134 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
 Union Berlin349619-2533 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
 VfL Bochum3471215-3233 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
 Köln3451217-3227 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Darmstadt343823-5617 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
3
Mainz have drawn 3 consecutive away league games
20
Mainz have not won in 20 consecutive away league games
Wolfsburg 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Mainz 15TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Draw
11
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Wolfsburg since 2012
Wolfsburg
Mainz
Goals: Scored
25
7
Games: Scored
9 / 11
4 / 11
Clean sheets
7 / 11
2 / 11
WOB
6
D
3
M05
2
All league games since 2012
Wolfsburg
Mainz
Goals: Scored
36
19
Games: Scored
17 / 23
12 / 23
Clean sheets
11 / 23
6 / 23
WOB
9
D
9
M05
5
Goal Statistics
Wolfsburg 12th Mainz 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Wolfsburg will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Wolfsburg have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-34
Mainz have scored 34% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Statistics Bundesliga - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/263654/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Wolfsburg
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
10%
better
WOB
M05
view stats
Games scored27
25
Failed to score7
9
Scored first16
12
Goals scored41
39
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate13%
12%
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
WOB
M05
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
26
Clean sheets6
8
Conceded first18
19
Goals conceded56
51
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate17%
17%
KickOff rating
+7%

Wolfsburg v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Wolfsburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301179
J WindJ WindJ WindM Arnold
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Casteels GLK24
2
-
K Fischer DEF5
1
-
M Lacroix DEF2741
3
2
S Bornauw DEF19
5
-
C Zesiger DEF22
5
-
L Majer MID3155
4
-
M Arnold MID2921
9
-
R Baku MID321
4
-
J Kaminski MID161
-
K Paredes MID272
4
-
J Wind FWD32117
3
-
Subs
N Klinger GLK
-
P Pervan GLK9
1
-
M Jenz DEF221
6
-
A Börset DEF
-
P Wimmer MID132
2
1
B. Bröger MID
-
V Cerny MID214
2
-
K Behrens FWD1211
1
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
307313
S BergJ Burkardt S Widmer D Kohr
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK29
3
-
D Kohr DEF301
13
-
S Berg DEF322
10
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF141
4
-
S Widmer  MID1913
4
-
L Barreiro MID3042
8
-
N Amiri MID1413
5
-
P Mwene MID2212
4
1
B Gruda MID2732
6
-
J Lee MID2863
5
-
J Burkardt  FWD2072
2
-
Subs
D Batz GLK4
-
A Caci DEF3023
8
-
D Costa DEF191
1
-
T Krauß MID2812
5
-
E Fernandes MID212
4
-
A Cil MID101
1
-
N Weiper FWD5
-
M Richter FWD191
3
-
L Ajorque FWD252
4
-
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