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AEK Athens v Larissa : Super League match betting preview, prediction and odds

OPAP Arena, Athens

Stylianos Malezas pays counterpart Marko Nikolić a visit on Saturday afternoon in the Super League, as their Larissa and AEK Athens sides face each other at the OPAP Arena. We've got odds from leading bookmakers for 17 top betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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AEK Athens's next match is v Celje at 20:00 on Thursday 12th March
Larissa's next match is v A Tripolis at 18:00 on Saturday 14th March
The last Greek Super League meeting between AEK and Larissa was on Saturday 7th March 2026
Greek Super League
March 7th 2026
AEK 1
0 Larissa
 
H. Moukoudi 5'
 
AEK
AEL
Shots On
8
2
Shots Off
8
5
Corners
7
3
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
13
13
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
AEKLarissa
 
T. Strakosha
H. Moukoudifootball icon
L. Rota
J. Penrice
R. Marin
N. Eliasson (M. Gaćinović 79')
L. Jović (A. Cabaça 84')
A. Koita (R. Pereyra 67')
B. Varga
F. Bem Relvas Vito Oliveira
O. Pineda Alvarado (P. Mandalos 67')
T. Iliadis
(Á. Sagal Tapia 57') G. Kakuta
(S. Mourgos 57') F. Pérez
(V. Sourlis 58') G. Naor
D. Ólafsson
Y. Macon
D. Batubinsika
(Z. Chatzistravos 70') L. Rosić
(L. Garate 80') Ľ. Tupta
J. Atanasov
A. Anagnostopoulos

Best Tip: AEK to win

A Super League win on home turf for Marko Nikolić's AEK team win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should have too much for their visitors. The odds from the bookies suggest the same, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A AEK win is the bet we'd suggest, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think AEK are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AEK
69%
7/501/1000
Draw
20%
13/233/1
Larissa
12%
12/11/50
AEK 2-0
14%
9/211/2
AEK 1-0
14%
6/12/15
AEK 2-1
9%
10/150/1
Draw 1-1
9%
14/116/1
AEK 3-0
9%
11/233/1
Draw 0-0
7%
14/111/1
AEK 3-1
6%
11/1125/1
AEK 4-0
5%
17/2100/1
Larissa 1-0
5%
25/120/1
Draw 2-2
3%
33/1150/1
Larissa 2-1
3%
33/1125/1
AEK 4-1
3%
16/1150/1
AEK 3-2
2%
40/1125/1
AEK 5-0
2%
16/1125/1
Larissa 2-0
2%
50/140/1
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
4/725/1
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
27/201/1000
Home 1st Goal
61%
2/92/11
Away 1st Goal
35%
10/319/4
No 1st Goal
4%
14/111/1
BTTS - Yes
43%
6/416/1
BTTS - No
57%
1/21/150
BTTS - Home Win
25%
12/550/1
BTTS - Draw
13%
9/116/1
BTTS - Away Win
5%
25/1125/1
Home/draw
88%
1/251/1000
Away/draw
31%
4/116/1
Home/away
80%
1/101/300
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
2/114/1
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
7/22/15
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
6/460/1
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/21/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
10/31/50
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/51/50
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
8/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/141/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/331/66
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
16/111/1
Home DNB
83%
1/201/1000
Away DNB
25%
10/1125/1
AEK win to nil
44%
4/6-
Larissa win to nil
7%
18/1-
AEK / AEK
50%
4/71/16
AEK / Larissa
1%
50/140/1
AEK / Draw
4%
22/110/1
Draw / AEK
21%
11/425/1
Draw / Larissa
3%
28/160/1
Draw / Draw
9%
17/233/1
Larissa / AEK
4%
20/1125/1
Larissa / Larissa
3%
28/1150/1
Larissa / Draw
3%
28/190/1
Win / draw / win Super League table

AEK have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Super League league table. AEK are unbeaten in 19 games against teams below them in the league and kept 12 clean sheets out of 19 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have scored in every game. AEK have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

AEK have played 11 games at home winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 21 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Larissa are in 12th position in the Super League on 21 points having played 23 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 8 and won 2. Larissa have conceded 35 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
AEK
Larissa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
AEK2417522956 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
2
PAOK2416623354 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
3
Olympiakos2416623154 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
4
Panathinaikos2413651745 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
2-3F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
5
Levadiakos2411671639 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
6
Crete249213-1029 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
7
Aris246117-529 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
8
Atromitos247710-328 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
9
Volos Nps248412-1128 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-5A
w
 
0-2F
10
Panaitolikos247314-1424 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-5F
l
 
1-4A
l
 
3-0A
11
Kifisia245910-924 
Mar 22
w
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
12
Larissa244911-1721 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
-
-
13
A Tripolis243714-1816 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 14
d
 
2-2A
14
Panserraikos244317-3915 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
Championship Round
UEFA Conference League Play Offs
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
AEK 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Larissa 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
AEK have not lost to Larissa in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at AEK since 2017
AEK
Larissa
Goals: Scored
14
2
Games: Scored
4 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
1 / 5
AEK
4
AEL
1
League games at Larissa since 2016
Larissa
AEK
Goals: Scored
4
7
Games: Scored
3 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
3 / 6
AEK
2
D
4
Goal Statistics
AEK 1st Larissa 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that AEK will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 51% probability that Larissa will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
AEK’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Larissa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Super League - 2025/2026 season
AEK
PG (predicted goals)
Larissa
2
0.7
Attack rating
39%
better
AEK
AEL
view stats
Games scored20
16
Failed to score3
7
Scored first17
8
Goals scored43
21
Avg. goals scored1.9
0.9
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for18
10
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+39%
Defence rating
49%
better
AEK
AEL
view stats
Games conceded10
18
Clean sheets13
5
Conceded first5
14
Goals conceded15
37
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate against10%
17%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+49%

AEK v Larissa Super League lLine ups will show here when available.

AEK Super League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241376
T StrakoshaL Jović R MarinL Rota
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Strakosha GLK24
2
-
L Rota DEF215
6
-
H Moukoudi DEF192
3
1
F Relvas DEF201
5
1
J Penrice DEF15
5
-
R Marin MID2437
4
1
O Pineda MID2341
5
-
N Eliasson  MID153
1
-
A Koita MID232
5
-
B Varga FWD942
2
-
L Jović  FWD2213
4
-
Subs
A Brignoli GLK
-
S Pilios DEF181
2
-
M. Georgiev DEF2
-
D Vida DEF11
3
-
M Grujić MID101
1
-
D Kutesa MID131
2
-
M Gacinovic  MID13
4
-
J Mário MID1911
1
-
P Mantalos MID1934
5
-
A Ademi MID1444
2
-
R Pereyra MID4
-
Zini FWD112
1
-
Larissa Super League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20427
Ľubomír TuptaG. PasasS. MourgosJ Atanasov
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Anagnostopoulos GLK11
2
-
D Batubinsika DEF6
1
-
T Iliadis DEF10
3
-
L Rosić DEF1
-
Y Maçon MID8
3
1
G Naor MID7
1
-
J Atanasov MID2111
7
-
D Ólafsson MID8
3
-
Ľubomír Tupta FWD2331
1
-
F Pérez FWD223
7
-
G Kakuta FWD31
-
Subs
N Melissas GLK13
2
-
T Venetikidis GLK
-
E Ferigra DEF121
2
-
E Pantelakis DEF14
6
-
A. Ouattara DEF171
4
-
S. Mourgos MID202
5
-
Z Chatzistravos MID
-
G. Pasas MID174
1
1
V Sourlis MID15
4
-
D. Diminikos MID
-
L Garate FWD1931
5
1
Ángelo Sagal FWD184
4
-