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Finland v Malta : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 14th Nov, 17:00 BST, Helsingin olympiastadion, Helsingfors

We’ve World Cup Qualifying Europe action to look forward to on Friday evening, as Jacob Friis and his Finland side host Emilio De Leo’s Malta at the Helsingin olympiastadion. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.

Best Tip: Finland to win

As training goes on this week and the Finland players prepare themselves for this game, the bookmakers are predicting success for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Helsingin olympiastadion has rarely been a successful away day for Malta in the past, and we expect more of the same come Friday evening. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Finland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 79% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Finland 79%	-	2/9 2%
Draw 14%	-	11/2
Malta 7%	-	12/1 24%
Finland 2-0 12%	-	17/4
Finland 3-0 11%	-	11/2 8%
Finland 1-0 9%	-	5/1
Finland 2-1 9%	-	15/2 6%
Finland 3-1 8%	-	10/1
Finland 4-0 7%	-	17/2 12%
Draw 1-1 7%	-	10/1
Finland 4-1 5%	-	14/1
Finland 5-0 4%	-	14/1
Draw 0-0 4%	-	12/1 8%
Draw 2-2 3%	-	22/1 12%
Finland 3-2 3%	-	25/1 10%
Finland 5-1 3%	-	25/1 13%
Malta 1-0 2%	-	20/1 9%
Malta 2-1 2%	-	25/1 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%	-	13/20 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%	-	23/20 2%
Home 1st Goal 63%	-	1/5 2%
Away 1st Goal 34%	-	4/1 9%
No 1st Goal 2%	-	12/1 18%
BTTS - Yes 47%	-	6/4
BTTS - No 53%	-	1/2 1%
BTTS - Home Win 32%	-	12/5 3%
BTTS - Draw 10%	-	15/2 6%
BTTS - Away Win 4%	-	18/1 17%
Home/draw 92%	-	1/33 1%
Away/draw 21%	-	10/3 6%
Home/away 86%	-	1/9
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	-	1/5
Under 1.5 Goals 15%	-	16/5
Over 3.5 Goals 43%	-	13/8 5%
Under 3.5 Goals 57%	-	4/9 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%	-	18/5 6%
Under 4.5 Goals 76%	-	1/6 3%
Over 5.5 Goals 12%	-	8/1 13%
Under 5.5 Goals 88%	-	1/20 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	-	1/40
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	-	12/1 8%
Home DNB 88%	-	1/25 2%
Away DNB 17%	-	9/1 17%
Finland win to nil 46%	-	-
Malta win to nil 4%	-	-
Finland / Finland 47%	-	7/10 2%
Finland / Malta 2%	-	50/1 16%
Finland / Draw 4%	-	20/1
Draw / Finland 21%	-	27/10 3%
Draw / Malta 4%	-	18/1 17%
Draw / Draw 10%	-	7/1 7%
Malta / Finland 4%	-	18/1 10%
Malta / Malta 5%	-	16/1 19%
Malta / Draw 4%	-	20/1 9%

Group G table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Finland Malta
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	Netherlands	6	5	1	0	19	16	l 0-2A	l 0-4A
2	Poland	6	4	1	1	6	13	w 2-1F	Nov 17
3	Finland	7	3	1	3	-5	10	-	l 0-1A
4	Lithuania	7	0	3	4	-5	3	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0
5	Malta	6	0	2	4	-15	2	Nov 14	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

5 / 7

Conceded

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

Failed to score

2 / 7

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Finland	2 - 1	Lithuania
Finland	2 - 1	Poland
Finland	0 - 2	Netherlands
Finland	0 - 2	France
Finland	1 - 2	Ukraine
Finland	1 - 0	Kazakhstan
Finland	2 - 2	Bosnia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 15

Conceded

12 / 15

Clean sheets

3 / 15

Failed to score

4 / 15

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Finland	0 - 4	Netherlands
H	Finland	2 - 1	Lithuania
A	Finland	1 - 3	Poland
H	Finland	2 - 1	Poland
H	Finland	0 - 2	Netherlands
A	Finland	2 - 2	Lithuania
A	Finland	1 - 0	Malta
H	Finland	0 - 2	France
A	Finland	3 - 1	Bosnia
A	Finland	2 - 0	Kazakhstan
H	Finland	1 - 2	Ukraine
A	Finland	0 - 2	France
H	Finland	1 - 0	Kazakhstan
A	Finland	1 - 1	Ukraine
H	Finland	2 - 2	Bosnia

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

3 / 8

Conceded

8 / 8

Clean sheets

0 / 8

Failed to score

5 / 8

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lithuania	1 - 1	Malta
Netherlands	8 - 0	Malta
Poland	2 - 0	Malta
Cyprus	2 - 2	Malta
Russia	2 - 0	Malta
Slovenia	1 - 0	Malta
Croatia	3 - 0	Malta
Slovakia	2 - 2	Malta

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 16

Conceded

14 / 16

Clean sheets

2 / 16

Failed to score

10 / 16

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Malta	0 - 4	Netherlands
A	Malta	1 - 1	Lithuania
A	Malta	0 - 8	Netherlands
H	Malta	0 - 0	Lithuania
A	Malta	0 - 2	Poland
H	Malta	0 - 1	Finland
H	Malta	0 - 6	Slovakia
H	Malta	1 - 7	Croatia
A	Malta	2 - 2	Cyprus
H	Malta	0 - 4	Slovenia
A	Malta	0 - 2	Russia
A	Malta	0 - 1	Slovenia
H	Malta	3 - 0	Cyprus
A	Malta	0 - 3	Croatia
A	Malta	2 - 2	Slovakia
H	Malta	1 - 3	Russia

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.6 is fairly strong for Finland in their clash with Malta, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 20 consecutive World Cup Qualifying Europe games.

	Finland	Malta
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.6 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	1 19% 2 25% 3 22% 4 14% 5+ 20% There is a 81% probability that Finland will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 50% 1 35% 2 12% 3 4+ There is a 85% probability of Malta scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
7 home / away league games	=0 Finland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Malta’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.1 average goals scored	0.6 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	2.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

30%

better

FIN

MLT

view stats

Games scored	13		9
Failed to score	7		11
Scored first	7		6
Goals scored	23		13
Avg. goals scored	1.2		0.7
Avg. shots per game	6		7
Avg. shots per goal	5		10
Conversion rate for	19		10
Avg. XG for	1.2		0.8
KickOff rating		+30%

FIN

MLT

10%

better

view stats

Games conceded	18		14
Clean sheets	2		6
Conceded first	13		11
Goals conceded	39		43
Avg. goals conceded	2		2.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate against	18%		20%
Avg. XG against	1.7		1.8
KickOff rating		+10%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Finland v Malta will show here when available.

Finland World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	3	2	2
K Kairinen	B Källman	O Antman	R Ivanov

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Alho DEF	7		1	-
R Lod MID	7			-
K Kairinen MID	7	1		1 -
O Antman FWD	7	1	2	-
J Pohjanpalo FWD	7	2		-
B Källman FWD	7	3	1	1 -
M Tenho DEF	6			1 -
R Ivanov DEF	6			2 -
L Hradecky GLK	4			-
V Koski DEF	3			1 -
T Pukki FWD	3			-
J Joronen GLK	2			-
J. Lähteenmäki DEF	2			-
L Walta MID	2			-
A Markhiyev MID	2	1		-
A Suhonen MID	2			-
T Keskinen FWD	2			1 -
V Sinisalo GLK	1			-
N Skyttä MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	2	2
B Källman	B Källman	O Antman	O Antman

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Källman FWD	3	7	1
J Pohjanpalo FWD	2	3		1
K Kairinen MID	1	1
O Antman FWD	1	5	2	2
A Markhiyev MID	1	2
N Alho DEF		2	1	1
M Tenho DEF		1
L Walta MID		3		1
T Keskinen FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
331	10	23
K Kairinen	R Lod	R Lod

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Kairinen MID	331	10	17
R Ivanov DEF	299	5	17
N Alho DEF	240	8	17
M Tenho DEF	197	6	13
V Koski DEF	161	3	10
L Hradecky GLK	154
O Antman FWD	153	6	16
R Lod MID	136	10	23
J Pohjanpalo FWD	95	1	19
J. Lähteenmäki DEF	76		2
L Walta MID	69		4
J Joronen GLK	62		1
A Markhiyev MID	56	3	9
B Källman FWD	48	1	17
V Sinisalo GLK	25
A Suhonen MID	22	3	8
T Keskinen FWD	14		2
T Pukki FWD	6	1	1
N Skyttä MID	1	1	1

Malta World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	1	1	2
H Bonello	A Satariano	A Overend	T Teuma

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
H Bonello GLK	6			-
J Mbong FWD	6			-
A Satariano FWD	6	1		1 -
E Pepe DEF	5			1 -
A Overend DEF	5		1	1 -
T Teuma MID	5			2 -
R Camenzuli MID	5			2 -
M Guillaumier MID	5			2 -
B Tuma FWD	5			1 -
P Mbong FWD	5			2 -
J Carragher DEF	4			-
K Shaw DEF	4			1 1
Z Muscat DEF	4			2 -
I Chouaref FWD	4			1 1
J Corbalan FWD	4			-
M Beerman DEF	3			1 -
I Cardona FWD	2			1 -
G Mentz DEF	1			-
J Borg DEF	1			-
B Paiber MID	1			-
Y Yankam MID	1			-
J Grech MID	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	4	1	1
A Satariano	P Mbong	A Overend	J Mbong

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Satariano FWD	1	3
J Mbong FWD		1		1
A Overend DEF		1	1	1
M Guillaumier MID		1
B Tuma FWD		1
P Mbong FWD		4
J Carragher DEF		1
K Shaw DEF		1
Z Muscat DEF		1
I Chouaref FWD		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
261	15	32
T Teuma	T Teuma	I Chouaref

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Teuma MID	261	15	25
M Guillaumier MID	242	12	24
J Carragher DEF	217	2	5
H Bonello GLK	183		2
E Pepe DEF	175	6	20
R Camenzuli MID	162	10	14
A Satariano FWD	150	13	31
J Mbong FWD	127	11	25
Z Muscat DEF	114	5	18
K Shaw DEF	112	5	10
I Chouaref FWD	105	10	32
P Mbong FWD	90	5	19
J Corbalan FWD	41	2	8
G Mentz DEF	39		1
I Cardona FWD	31	2	7
A Overend DEF	26	1	4
B Paiber MID	25	1	1
M Beerman DEF	21		1
B Tuma FWD	19	5	11
J Grech MID	6
Y Yankam MID	2
J Borg DEF	1