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Italy v Norway : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Nov, 19:45 BST, Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

It's an away trip for Ståle Solbakken's Norway side on Sunday evening, as they travel to the Giuseppe Meazza for a World Cup Qualifying Europe tie with Ivan Gennaro Gattuso's Italy. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of effective, attacking sides going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective bosses Ivan Gennaro Gattuso or Ståle Solbakken deliver a defensive plan that will shut out the opposition? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, suggest that's unlikely.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Italy are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Italy 52%	-	17/20
Draw 23%	-	27/10 3%
Norway 25%	-	3/1 5%
Draw 1-1 10%	-	11/2
Italy 2-1 10%	-	13/2
Italy 1-0 8%	-	6/1 17%
Italy 2-0 8%	-	7/1 7%
Norway 2-1 6%	-	11/1
Italy 3-1 6%	-	11/1 8%
Draw 2-2 6%	-	11/1 8%
Norway 1-0 6%	-	9/1 5%
Italy 3-0 5%	-	12/1 8%
Draw 0-0 4%	-	17/2 19%
Italy 3-2 4%	-	20/1
Norway 2-0 3%	-	14/1 12%
Italy 4-1 3%	-	20/1 9%
Norway 3-1 3%	-	22/1 12%
Norway 3-2 2%	-	25/1 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	-	5/6 9%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	-	10/11 10%
Home 1st Goal 53%	-	8/13
Away 1st Goal 45%	-	6/4 7%
No 1st Goal 3%	-	17/2 19%
BTTS - Yes 60%	-	4/5 8%
BTTS - No 40%	-	19/20 8%
BTTS - Home Win 28%	-	27/10 8%
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	18/5 4%
BTTS - Away Win 14%	-	6/1 7%
Home/draw 75%	-	2/9
Away/draw 48%	-	10/11
Home/away 77%	-	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	-	2/7 3%
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	-	5/2 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	-	2/1 14%
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	-	7/20 8%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	-	9/2 21%
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	-	1/8 4%
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	-	10/1 15%
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	-	1/33 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	-	1/25 2%
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	-	17/2 19%
Home DNB 68%	-	4/11 1%
Away DNB 41%	-	15/8 4%
Italy win to nil 24%	-	-
Norway win to nil 11%	-	-
Italy / Italy 27%	-	9/5 3%
Italy / Norway 3%	-	25/1 10%
Italy / Draw 6%	-	12/1
Draw / Italy 17%	-	18/5 2%
Draw / Norway 10%	-	7/1
Draw / Draw 15%	-	17/4 9%
Norway / Italy 4%	-	18/1
Norway / Norway 13%	-	5/1 8%
Norway / Draw 6%	-	12/1

Group I table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Italy Norway
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	Norway	6	6	0	0	26	18	Nov 16	-
2	Italy	6	5	0	1	10	15	-	w 3-0F
3	Israel	7	3	0	4	-4	9	w 3-0F	w 5-0F
4	Estonia	7	1	1	5	-10	4	w 5-0F	Nov 13
5	Moldova	6	0	1	5	-22	1	w 2-0F	w 11-1F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 8

Conceded

3 / 8

Clean sheets

5 / 8

Failed to score

1 / 8

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Italy	3 - 0	Israel
Italy	5 - 0	Estonia
Italy	2 - 0	Moldova
Italy	0 - 1	Macedonia
Italy	1 - 1	Switzerland
Italy	5 - 0	Lithuania
Italy	1 - 1	Bulgaria
Italy	2 - 0	N Ireland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 15

Conceded

6 / 15

Clean sheets

9 / 15

Failed to score

4 / 15

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Italy	3 - 0	Israel
A	Italy	3 - 1	Estonia
A	Italy	5 - 4	Israel
H	Italy	5 - 0	Estonia
H	Italy	2 - 0	Moldova
A	Italy	0 - 3	Norway
H	Italy	0 - 1	Macedonia
A	Italy	0 - 0	N Ireland
H	Italy	1 - 1	Switzerland
H	Italy	5 - 0	Lithuania
A	Italy	0 - 0	Switzerland
H	Italy	1 - 1	Bulgaria
A	Italy	2 - 0	Lithuania
A	Italy	2 - 0	Bulgaria
H	Italy	2 - 0	N Ireland

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 8

Conceded

3 / 8

Clean sheets

5 / 8

Failed to score

1 / 8

Won

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estonia	0 - 1	Norway
Israel	2 - 4	Norway
Moldova	0 - 5	Norway
Netherlands	2 - 0	Norway
Turkey	1 - 1	Norway
Latvia	0 - 2	Norway
Montenegro	0 - 1	Norway
Gibraltar	0 - 3	Norway

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 16

Conceded

7 / 16

Clean sheets

9 / 16

Failed to score

3 / 16

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Norway	5 - 0	Israel
H	Norway	11 - 1	Moldova
A	Norway	1 - 0	Estonia
H	Norway	3 - 0	Italy
A	Norway	4 - 2	Israel
A	Norway	5 - 0	Moldova
A	Norway	0 - 2	Netherlands
H	Norway	0 - 0	Latvia
H	Norway	2 - 0	Montenegro
A	Norway	1 - 1	Turkey
H	Norway	5 - 1	Gibraltar
A	Norway	2 - 0	Latvia
H	Norway	1 - 1	Netherlands
A	Norway	1 - 0	Montenegro
H	Norway	0 - 3	Turkey
A	Norway	3 - 0	Gibraltar

Goal Statistics

Italy have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive World Cup Qualifying Europe outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Norway on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Italy	Norway
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 84% probability that Italy will score 1 or more goals	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 71% probability that Norway will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
8 home / away league games	=0 Italy’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Norway’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.4 average goals scored	2.1 average goals scored
	0.4 conceded	0.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

ITA

NOR

31%

better

view stats

Games scored	16		19
Failed to score	4		1
Scored first	10		16
Goals scored	39		57
Avg. goals scored	2		2.9
Avg. shots per game	10		12
Avg. shots per goal	5		4
Conversion rate for	19		24
Avg. XG for	1.7		2.6
KickOff rating		+31%

ITA

NOR

29%

better

view stats

Games conceded	14		10
Clean sheets	6		10
Conceded first	9		3
Goals conceded	26		20
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	17%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.1		0.8
KickOff rating		+29%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Italy v Norway will show here when available.

Italy World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	5	4	2
G Donnarumma	M Retegui	M Retegui	N Barella

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Donnarumma GLK	6			-
G Lorenzo DEF	6			-
F Dimarco DEF	6		2	-
N Barella MID	6			2 -
S Tonali MID	6	1		1 -
G Raspadori FWD	6	3	2	-
M Retegui FWD	6	5	4	-
A Bastoni DEF	5	1		2 -
A Cambiaso MID	5	1	2	1 -
R Orsolini FWD	5		1	-
D Frattesi MID	4		2	1 -
R Calafiori DEF	3			-
M Locatelli MID	3			-
F. Esposito FWD	3	1		-
G Mancini DEF	2	1		-
B Cristante MID	2			-
S Ricci MID	2			-
M Politano FWD	2	1	1	-
N Cambiaghi FWD	1			-
M Zaccagni FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	8	4	6
M Retegui	M Retegui	M Retegui	M Retegui

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Retegui FWD	5	8	4	6
G Raspadori FWD	3	5	2	1
S Tonali MID	1	5
A Bastoni DEF	1	1		2
A Cambiaso MID	1	2	2	2
F. Esposito FWD	1	3
G Mancini DEF	1	1		1
M Politano FWD	1	1	1	1
F Dimarco DEF		4	2	3
R Orsolini FWD		1	1	1
D Frattesi MID		2	2	1
R Calafiori DEF		1
M Zaccagni FWD		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
391	13	27
A Bastoni	N Barella	M Retegui

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Bastoni DEF	391	5	20
N Barella MID	381	13	24
G Lorenzo DEF	359	7	19
S Tonali MID	336	8	26
R Calafiori DEF	249	3	17
F Dimarco DEF	229	3	6
G Donnarumma GLK	152		2
G Raspadori FWD	132		7
M Locatelli MID	124	2	3
A Cambiaso MID	110	4	12
G Mancini DEF	95	1	6
M Retegui FWD	93	6	27
S Ricci MID	79	1	4
M Politano FWD	66		4
R Orsolini FWD	54	2	11
D Frattesi MID	35	3	6
F. Esposito FWD	32	1	9
M Zaccagni FWD	30		3
B Cristante MID	19	2	3

Norway World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	12	3	1
Örjan Nyland	E Haaland	A Nusa	K Ajer

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Örjan Nyland GLK	6			-
K Ajer DEF	6	1		1 -
D Wolfe DEF	6	1	1	1 -
T Heggem DEF	6			1 -
J Ryerson DEF	6	1	2	-
S Berge MID	6		1	-
E Haaland FWD	6	12	2	-
A Sörloth FWD	6	3	1	1 -
P Berg MID	5			1 -
A Schjelderup FWD	4		1	-
O Bobb FWD	4			-
A Nusa FWD	4	1	3	-
T Aasgaard MID	3	4	1	-
A Dönnum MID	3	1	1	-
J Larsen FWD	3			-
M Pedersen DEF	2			-
F Björkan DEF	1			-
F Myhre MID	1	1	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	23	3	5
E Haaland	E Haaland	A Nusa	J Ryerson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Haaland FWD	12	23	2	2
T Aasgaard MID	4	4	1	1
A Sörloth FWD	3	7	1	2
K Ajer DEF	1	2
D Wolfe DEF	1	1	1	1
J Ryerson DEF	1	1	2	5
A Nusa FWD	1	2	3	5
A Dönnum MID	1	1	1
F Myhre MID	1	1	1	1
T Heggem DEF		1
S Berge MID		1	1	1
P Berg MID		1
A Schjelderup FWD		2	1	2
O Bobb FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
572	14	32
S Berge	S Berge	A Sörloth

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Berge MID	572	14	29
K Ajer DEF	399	6	14
T Heggem DEF	369	8	13
D Wolfe DEF	300	3	14
J Ryerson DEF	270	7	15
Örjan Nyland GLK	139		1
A Sörloth FWD	137	2	32
A Nusa FWD	110	4	26
P Berg MID	104	3	5
E Haaland FWD	86		23
O Bobb FWD	73	3	16
T Aasgaard MID	42		1
A Schjelderup FWD	42	2	5
F Myhre MID	27	1	2
A Dönnum MID	26		2
M Pedersen DEF	11
F Björkan DEF	11	1	2
J Larsen FWD	8		1