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Luxembourg v Germany : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 14th Nov, 19:45 BST, Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg

The World Cup Qualifying Europe is the focus for both Luxembourg and Germany on Friday evening, as managers Jeff Strasser and Julian Nagelsmann face one another at the Stade de Luxembourg. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a sound selection is shown below. Go between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds for every one.

Best Tip: Germany to win

The stands should be full at Stade de Luxembourg on Friday evening but, unfortunately, we predict the majority of those in attendance will be leaving the place 90 minutes later rather less happy than they arrived. The stats below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, are all pointing towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors Germany getting the better of hosts Luxembourg. An inquest will follow for home manager Jeff Strasser but, in the meantime, we'd strongly recommend making the most of best bookmaker odds of 1.08 to back the away win.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 89% chance of Germany coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Luxembourg 3%	-	28/1 12%
Draw 7%	-	12/1 18%
Germany 89%	-	1/14 2%
Germany 3-0 12%	-	19/4 4%
Germany 4-0 10%	-	6/1
Germany 2-0 10%	-	5/1 8%
Germany 5-0 7%	-	8/1 5%
Germany 3-1 7%	-	10/1 10%
Germany 4-1 6%	-	11/1
Germany 2-1 6%	-	10/1
Germany 1-0 5%	-	15/2 6%
Germany 5-1 5%	-	16/1
Germany 6-0 4%	-	14/1
Draw 1-1 3%	-	16/1
Germany 6-1 3%	-	22/1
Germany 7-0 2%	-	20/1 9%
Germany 3-2 2%	-	28/1 12%
Germany 4-2 2%	-	33/1 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%	-	3/10
Under 2.5 Goals 21%	-	9/4 2%
Home 1st Goal 31%	-	6/1 8%
Away 1st Goal 68%	-	1/10 2%
No 1st Goal 1%	-	20/1
BTTS - Yes 44%	-	8/5 6%
BTTS - No 55%	-	4/9 4%
BTTS - Home Win 2%	-	33/1 17%
BTTS - Draw 6%	-	12/1 8%
BTTS - Away Win 37%	-	2/1 4%
Home/draw 10%	-	15/2 13%
Away/draw 97%	-	1/1000
Home/away 92%	-	1/33 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%	-	1/12
Under 1.5 Goals 8%	-	6/1
Over 3.5 Goals 60%	-	4/5 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 40%	-	19/20
Over 4.5 Goals 40%	-	17/10
Under 4.5 Goals 59%	-	4/9
Over 5.5 Goals 24%	-	17/5
Under 5.5 Goals 76%	-	2/11
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	-	1/1000
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	-	20/1
Home DNB 8%	-	20/1 11%
Away DNB 94%	-	1/1000
Luxembourg win to nil 1%	-	-
Germany win to nil 53%	-	-
Luxembourg / Luxembourg 3%	-	28/1 12%
Luxembourg / Germany 4%	-	20/1
Luxembourg / Draw 3%	-	28/1
Draw / Luxembourg 2%	-	33/1 17%
Draw / Germany 19%	-	16/5
Draw / Draw 5%	-	14/1 15%
Germany / Luxembourg 1%	-	80/1 21%
Germany / Germany 60%	-	4/11 3%
Germany / Draw 3%	-	28/1

Group A table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Luxembourg Germany
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	Slovakia	4	3	1	3	9	l 0-1A	Nov 17
2	Germany	4	3	1	5	9	Nov 14	-
3	N Ireland	4	2	2	1	6	l 1-3A	w 3-1F
4	Luxembourg	4	0	4	-9	0	-	w 4-0F

Win / draw / win form

Luxembourg have lost 4 consecutive games

Germany have won 3 consecutive games

Luxembourg have not won in 7 consecutive games

Luxembourg have failed to score in 3 consecutive games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

3 / 6

Conceded

6 / 6

Clean sheets

0 / 6

Failed to score

3 / 6

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luxembourg	0 - 1	Slovakia
Luxembourg	1 - 3	N Ireland
Luxembourg	0 - 3	Ireland
Luxembourg	0 - 1	Serbia
Luxembourg	2 - 1	Azerbaijan
Luxembourg	1 - 3	Portugal

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 12

Conceded

11 / 12

Clean sheets

1 / 12

Failed to score

6 / 12

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Luxembourg	0 - 2	Slovakia
A	Luxembourg	0 - 4	Germany
H	Luxembourg	0 - 1	Slovakia
H	Luxembourg	1 - 3	N Ireland
H	Luxembourg	0 - 3	Ireland
A	Luxembourg	3 - 1	Azerbaijan
A	Luxembourg	0 - 5	Portugal
H	Luxembourg	0 - 1	Serbia
A	Luxembourg	1 - 4	Serbia
H	Luxembourg	2 - 1	Azerbaijan
H	Luxembourg	1 - 3	Portugal
A	Luxembourg	1 - 0	Ireland

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 7

Conceded

2 / 7

Clean sheets

5 / 7

Failed to score

1 / 7

Won

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
N Ireland	0 - 1	Germany
Slovakia	2 - 0	Germany
Armenia	1 - 4	Germany
Macedonia	0 - 4	Germany
Iceland	0 - 4	Germany
Liechtenstein	0 - 2	Germany
Romania	0 - 1	Germany

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 14

Conceded

5 / 14

Clean sheets

9 / 14

Failed to score

1 / 14

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Germany	1 - 0	N Ireland
H	Germany	4 - 0	Luxembourg
H	Germany	3 - 1	N Ireland
A	Germany	0 - 2	Slovakia
A	Germany	4 - 1	Armenia
H	Germany	9 - 0	Liechtenstein
A	Germany	4 - 0	Macedonia
H	Germany	2 - 1	Romania
A	Germany	4 - 0	Iceland
H	Germany	6 - 0	Armenia
A	Germany	2 - 0	Liechtenstein
H	Germany	1 - 2	Macedonia
A	Germany	1 - 0	Romania
H	Germany	3 - 0	Iceland

Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks unlikely for Luxembourg, with J. Strasser's men failing to score in 3 consecutive World Cup Qualifying Europe games.

	Luxembourg 4th	Germany 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.6 goals	3.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 54% 1 33% 2 3 4+ There is a 54% probability that Luxembourg will fail to score	1 2 18% 3 21% 4 19% 5+ 31% There is a 32% probability that Germany will score 5 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
6 home / away league games	=0 Luxembourg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Germany’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	0.7 average goals scored	2.3 average goals scored
	2.0 conceded	0.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

LUX

GER

60%

better

view stats

Games scored	8		18
Failed to score	12		2
Scored first	3		13
Goals scored	13		45
Avg. goals scored	0.7		2.3
Avg. shots per game	6		12
Avg. shots per goal	10		6
Conversion rate for	10		18
Avg. XG for	0.7		2.3
KickOff rating		+60%

LUX

GER

30%

better

view stats

Games conceded	16		13
Clean sheets	4		7
Conceded first	15		7
Goals conceded	31		19
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.1
KickOff rating		+30%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Luxembourg v Germany will show here when available.

Luxembourg World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	1	1	2
A Moris	A. Dardari	D Sinani	S Korac

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Moris GLK	4			-
F Bohnert DEF	4			1 -
L Jans DEF	4			1 -
M Olesen MID	4			-
L Barreiro MID	4			1 -
A. Dardari FWD	4	1		-
D Carlson DEF	3			1
S Korac DEF	3			1 1
D Sinani MID	3		1	2 -
V Thill MID	3			-
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz MID	3			-
E Muratovic FWD	3			1 -
V Selimovic DEF	2			1 -
S Thill MID	2			-
C Pereira MID	2			1 -
E Dzogovic DEF	1			-
E Veiga DEF	1			-
A Curci FWD	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	1	1
A. Dardari	A. Dardari	D Sinani	A. Dardari

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A. Dardari FWD	1	3		1
M Olesen MID		1
D Sinani MID		1	1	1
V Thill MID		2
E Muratovic FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
192	9	31
A Moris	L Jans	L Barreiro

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Moris GLK	192	1	3
S Korac DEF	135	3	7
L Jans DEF	127	9	14
L Barreiro MID	120	4	31
D Carlson DEF	115	4	12
M Olesen MID	104	1	9
D Sinani MID	103	3	9
F Bohnert DEF	97	3	17
A. Dardari FWD	65	4	14
C Pereira MID	60	4	11
V Thill MID	31	4	5
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz MID	29		3
V Selimovic DEF	13		1
E Muratovic FWD	11		3
A Curci FWD	6		1
S Thill MID	5	1	2
E Dzogovic DEF	4	2	3
E Veiga DEF	4	1	1

Germany World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	2	2	2
O Baumann	J Kimmich	D Raum	K Adeyemi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O Baumann GLK	4			-
J Tah DEF	4			-
D Raum DEF	4	1	2	-
L Goretzka MID	4			-
J Kimmich MID	4	2		-
F Wirtz MID	4	1		-
N Woltemade FWD	4	1	1	-
S Gnabry FWD	4	2		-
W Anton DEF	3			-
K Adeyemi FWD	3			2 -
R Baku DEF	2			-
N Schlotterbeck DEF	2			-
A Pavlović MID	2			-
J Burkardt FWD	2			-
N Brown DEF	1			-
J Leweling FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	2	3
J Kimmich	J Kimmich	D Raum	D Raum

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Kimmich MID	2	5		2
S Gnabry FWD	2	3
D Raum DEF	1	2	2	3
F Wirtz MID	1	3		3
N Woltemade FWD	1	1	1	2
L Goretzka MID		2
A Pavlović MID				1
J Burkardt FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
338	5	20
J Kimmich	L Goretzka	L Goretzka

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Kimmich MID	338	5	16
J Tah DEF	328	4	8
A Pavlović MID	203	3	6
F Wirtz MID	197	1	13
D Raum DEF	192	4	13
W Anton DEF	186		8
N Schlotterbeck DEF	149	1	6
O Baumann GLK	146		2
L Goretzka MID	128	5	20
S Gnabry FWD	115	3	13
K Adeyemi FWD	62	1	7
J Leweling FWD	56	1	7
N Woltemade FWD	40	3	17
R Baku DEF	23	1	1
N Brown DEF	14
J Burkardt FWD	7