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Poland v Netherlands : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 14th Nov, 19:45 BST, Stadion Narodowy, Warszawa

Poland and their boss Jan Urban will be looking to get one over on Ronald Koeman and his Netherlands side on Friday evening, as the pair meet at the Stadion Narodowy in the World Cup Qualifying Europe. We have custom-designed statistics for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this World Cup Qualifying Europe tie should present fine viewing for neutrals in the ground, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their latest form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of a tip of over 2.5 goals.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 58% chance of Netherlands coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Poland 21%	-	18/5 12%
Draw 21%	-	10/3 3%
Netherlands 58%	-	13/20 2%
Netherlands 2-1 10%	-	13/2
Draw 1-1 9%	-	13/2
Netherlands 2-0 8%	-	13/2 6%
Netherlands 1-0 8%	-	13/2
Netherlands 3-1 7%	-	9/1
Draw 2-2 6%	-	12/1 8%
Netherlands 3-0 6%	-	10/1
Poland 2-1 6%	-	12/1
Poland 1-0 4%	-	11/1 8%
Netherlands 3-2 4%	-	16/1
Draw 0-0 4%	-	11/1 9%
Netherlands 4-1 4%	-	16/1
Netherlands 4-0 3%	-	18/1 12%
Poland 2-0 3%	-	20/1
Poland 3-2 2%	-	25/1 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%	-	13/20 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%	-	23/20
Home 1st Goal 44%	-	7/4 2%
Away 1st Goal 54%	-	1/2
No 1st Goal 2%	-	11/1 9%
BTTS - Yes 61%	-	7/10
BTTS - No 39%	-	21/20
BTTS - Home Win 13%	-	6/1 13%
BTTS - Draw 17%	-	4/1
BTTS - Away Win 32%	-	21/10 3%
Home/draw 42%	-	5/4 2%
Away/draw 79%	-	2/11 3%
Home/away 79%	-	2/9
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	-	1/5
Under 1.5 Goals 16%	-	3/1 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%	-	13/8 5%
Under 3.5 Goals 58%	-	4/9 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%	-	18/5 2%
Under 4.5 Goals 76%	-	1/6 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 12%	-	8/1 6%
Under 5.5 Goals 88%	-	1/20 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	-	1/40 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	-	11/1 9%
Home DNB 36%	-	5/2 7%
Away DNB 73%	-	1/4 2%
Poland win to nil 9%	-	-
Netherlands win to nil 26%	-	-
Poland / Poland 11%	-	6/1 7%
Poland / Netherlands 5%	-	16/1
Poland / Draw 6%	-	12/1
Draw / Poland 9%	-	8/1 10%
Draw / Netherlands 18%	-	10/3
Draw / Draw 13%	-	5/1 4%
Netherlands / Poland 3%	-	28/1
Netherlands / Netherlands 31%	-	29/20 2%
Netherlands / Draw 6%	-	12/1

Group G table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Poland Netherlands
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	Netherlands	6	5	1	0	19	16	Nov 14	-
2	Poland	6	4	1	1	6	13	-	d 1-1F
3	Finland	7	3	1	3	-5	10	w 3-1F	w 4-0F
4	Lithuania	7	0	3	4	-5	3	w 1-0F	Nov 17
5	Malta	6	0	2	4	-15	2	w 2-0F	w 8-0F

Win / draw / win form

Poland have won 3 consecutive games

Netherlands have won 3 consecutive games

Netherlands have not lost in 10 consecutive games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 9

Conceded

4 / 9

Clean sheets

5 / 9

Failed to score

0 / 9

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Poland	3 - 1	Finland
Poland	2 - 0	Malta
Poland	1 - 0	Lithuania
Poland	2 - 0	Sweden
Poland	1 - 2	Hungary
Poland	5 - 0	San Marino
Poland	1 - 1	England
Poland	4 - 1	Albania
Poland	3 - 0	Andorra

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 17

Conceded

10 / 17

Clean sheets

7 / 17

Failed to score

0 / 17

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Poland	2 - 0	Lithuania
H	Poland	3 - 1	Finland
A	Poland	1 - 1	Netherlands
A	Poland	1 - 2	Finland
H	Poland	2 - 0	Malta
H	Poland	1 - 0	Lithuania
H	Poland	2 - 0	Sweden
H	Poland	1 - 2	Hungary
A	Poland	4 - 1	Andorra
A	Poland	1 - 0	Albania
H	Poland	5 - 0	San Marino
H	Poland	1 - 1	England
A	Poland	7 - 1	San Marino
H	Poland	4 - 1	Albania
A	Poland	1 - 2	England
H	Poland	3 - 0	Andorra
A	Poland	3 - 3	Hungary

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 8

Conceded

4 / 8

Clean sheets

4 / 8

Failed to score

0 / 8

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Malta	0 - 4	Netherlands
Lithuania	2 - 3	Netherlands
Finland	0 - 2	Netherlands
Montenegro	2 - 2	Netherlands
Latvia	0 - 1	Netherlands
Norway	1 - 1	Netherlands
Gibraltar	0 - 7	Netherlands
Turkey	4 - 2	Netherlands

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 16

Conceded

6 / 16

Clean sheets

10 / 16

Failed to score

0 / 16

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Netherlands	4 - 0	Finland
A	Netherlands	4 - 0	Malta
A	Netherlands	3 - 2	Lithuania
H	Netherlands	1 - 1	Poland
H	Netherlands	8 - 0	Malta
A	Netherlands	2 - 0	Finland
H	Netherlands	2 - 0	Norway
A	Netherlands	2 - 2	Montenegro
H	Netherlands	6 - 0	Gibraltar
A	Netherlands	1 - 0	Latvia
H	Netherlands	6 - 1	Turkey
H	Netherlands	4 - 0	Montenegro
A	Netherlands	1 - 1	Norway
A	Netherlands	7 - 0	Gibraltar
H	Netherlands	2 - 0	Latvia
A	Netherlands	2 - 4	Turkey

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Poland

Netherlands

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

1 / 3

NED

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Poland
		1 - 2		Netherlands
		0 - 2		Netherlands
		1 - 2		Netherlands

Netherlands

Poland

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

0 / 3

NED

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Netherlands
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Netherlands	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Netherlands's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive World Cup Qualifying Europe matches. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Friday evening.

	Poland	Netherlands
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	2.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Poland will score no more than 1 goal	0 12% 1 26% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 16% There is a 62% probability that Netherlands will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
9 home / away league games	=0 Poland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Netherlands’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.4 average goals scored	2.8 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

POL

NED

16%

better

view stats

Games scored	18		18
Failed to score	2		2
Scored first	11		12
Goals scored	30		49
Avg. goals scored	1.5		2.5
Avg. shots per game	11		11
Avg. shots per goal	7		5
Conversion rate for	13		21
Avg. XG for	1.6		2
KickOff rating		+16%

POL

NED

10%

better

view stats

Games conceded	14		13
Clean sheets	6		7
Conceded first	8		7
Goals conceded	28		21
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	13%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.1
KickOff rating		+10%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Poland v Netherlands will show here when available.

Poland World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	3	2	2
L Skorupski	R Lewandowski	J Kaminski	B Slisz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Skorupski GLK	6			-
M Cash DEF	6	2		-
J Kiwior DEF	6	1		-
J Bednarek DEF	6			1 -
S Szymanski MID	6	1	1	-
K Swiderski FWD	6	2		-
J Kaminski FWD	6	1	2	-
B Slisz MID	5			2 -
R Lewandowski FWD	5	3	1	-
P Wszolek DEF	3			-
P Wisniewski DEF	3			2 -
N Zalewski MID	3			1 -
B Kapustka MID	3			-
P Zielinski MID	3		1	-
A Buksa FWD	3			-
K Grosicki FWD	3			-
P Frankowski DEF	2			1 -
J Piotrowski MID	2			-
T Kedziora DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	9	2	5
R Lewandowski	M Cash	J Kaminski	S Szymanski

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Lewandowski FWD	3	4	1	1
M Cash DEF	2	9
K Swiderski FWD	2	6		2
J Kiwior DEF	1	3
S Szymanski MID	1	4	1	5
J Kaminski FWD	1	4	2	1
J Bednarek DEF		2
P Wisniewski DEF		1
N Zalewski MID				2
P Zielinski MID			1	2
P Frankowski DEF		1		1
J Piotrowski MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
327	18	39
J Kiwior	J Kiwior	J Kiwior

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Kiwior DEF	327	18	39
J Bednarek DEF	257	6	30
B Slisz MID	178	6	15
L Skorupski GLK	162	1	4
S Szymanski MID	156	17	33
M Cash DEF	138	12	29
P Zielinski MID	119	3	9
J Kaminski FWD	115	4	24
P Wisniewski DEF	113	6	14
P Frankowski DEF	92	5	9
N Zalewski MID	83	1	18
R Lewandowski FWD	79	4	21
K Swiderski FWD	76	1	19
J Piotrowski MID	47		7
P Wszolek DEF	22	2	8
A Buksa FWD	14	2	4
B Kapustka MID	11	2	3
K Grosicki FWD	11	2	3
T Kedziora DEF	1

Netherlands World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	7	4	1
V Dijk	M Depay	M Depay	V Dijk

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Dijk DEF	6	2		1 -
M Ven DEF	6	1	1	-
D Dumfries DEF	6	2	3	-
C Gakpo FWD	6	3	3	-
M Depay FWD	6	7	4	1 -
X Simons MID	5	1	1	-
R Gravenberch MID	5			-
F Jong MID	5		2	-
J Kluivert MID	5			-
T Reijnders MID	5	1		1 -
D Malen FWD	5	3	1	-
B Verbruggen GLK	4			-
J Timber DEF	3			-
J Hecke DEF	3			1 -
N Aké DEF	3			-
M Flekken GLK	2			-
Q Timber MID	2	1		-
L Geertruida DEF	1			-
M Ligt DEF	1			-
Q Hartman DEF	1			-
J Schouten MID	1			-
N Lang FWD	1	1		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	9	4	7
M Depay	M Depay	M Depay	C Gakpo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Depay FWD	7	9	4	2
C Gakpo FWD	3	6	3	7
D Malen FWD	3	5	1	1
V Dijk DEF	2	2		1
D Dumfries DEF	2	6	3	3
M Ven DEF	1	1	1	1
X Simons MID	1	1	1	1
T Reijnders MID	1	5		1
Q Timber MID	1	1
N Lang FWD	1	1
R Gravenberch MID				1
F Jong MID		1	2
J Kluivert MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
544	10	30
V Dijk	D Dumfries	V Dijk

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
V Dijk DEF	544	7	30
F Jong MID	458	9	21
R Gravenberch MID	336	6	20
D Dumfries DEF	286	10	28
M Ven DEF	222	6	16
T Reijnders MID	207	5	12
C Gakpo FWD	186	3	22
J Hecke DEF	184	1	3
J Timber DEF	171		4
M Depay FWD	161	1	6
B Verbruggen GLK	127
N Aké DEF	122	2	7
X Simons MID	112	3	13
J Kluivert MID	99		1
D Malen FWD	72	3	13
J Schouten MID	72	2	6
M Flekken GLK	65
Q Timber MID	36	3	6
N Lang FWD	25	1	3
L Geertruida DEF	5	1	1
M Ligt DEF	1		1
Q Hartman DEF	1	1	1