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Ukraine v Iceland : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Nov, 17:00 BST, Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa i, Warszawa

Sergiy Rebrov's Ukraine side enjoy home advantage in the World Cup Qualifying Europe on Sunday evening, as Arnar Bergmann Gunnlaugsson's Iceland travel to the Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa i. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for seventeen different markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall performance can be viewed, while there's also head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Ukraine and Iceland will score at least a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 77%. The bookies have it available at 1.36.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ukraine are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Ukraine 59%	-	8/13
Draw 22%	-	14/5 3%
Iceland 19%	-	9/2
Ukraine 1-0 11%	-	9/2 5%
Draw 1-1 11%	-	6/1
Ukraine 2-0 10%	-	11/2
Ukraine 2-1 10%	-	13/2
Ukraine 3-0 6%	-	9/1
Ukraine 3-1 6%	-	12/1
Draw 0-0 6%	-	7/1
Iceland 1-0 6%	-	9/1
Iceland 2-1 5%	-	14/1
Draw 2-2 5%	-	16/1
Ukraine 4-0 3%	-	18/1
Ukraine 3-2 3%	-	22/1 12%
Ukraine 4-1 3%	-	22/1
Iceland 2-0 3%	-	18/1
Iceland 3-1 2%	-	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	-	11/10
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	-	4/6
Home 1st Goal 56%	-	1/2
Away 1st Goal 41%	-	21/10
No 1st Goal 3%	-	7/1
BTTS - Yes 52%	-	23/20 2%
BTTS - No 48%	-	13/20 2%
BTTS - Home Win 26%	-	3/1
BTTS - Draw 16%	-	9/2
BTTS - Away Win 9%	-	9/1
Home/draw 81%	-	1/7 1%
Away/draw 41%	-	5/4
Home/away 78%	-	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	-	4/11
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	-	19/10 1%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	-	14/5
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	-	2/9
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	-	13/2
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	-	1/14
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	-	14/1
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	-	1/100
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	-	1/16
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	-	7/1
Home DNB 74%	-	2/9
Away DNB 35%	-	29/10
Ukraine win to nil 33%	-	-
Iceland win to nil 10%	-	-
Ukraine / Ukraine 32%	-	29/20
Ukraine / Iceland 2%	-	33/1
Ukraine / Draw 5%	-	14/1
Draw / Ukraine 19%	-	16/5
Draw / Iceland 8%	-	9/1
Draw / Draw 16%	-	4/1 5%
Iceland / Ukraine 4%	-	18/1
Iceland / Iceland 10%	-	7/1
Iceland / Draw 5%	-	14/1

Group D table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Ukraine Iceland
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	France	4	3	1	0	6	10	l 0-2A	d 2-2F
2	Ukraine	4	2	1	1	1	7	-	l 3-5A
3	Iceland	4	1	1	2	2	4	Nov 16	-
4	Azerbaijan	4	0	1	3	-9	1	w 2-1F	w 5-0F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

5 / 6

Conceded

6 / 6

Clean sheets

0 / 6

Failed to score

1 / 6

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ukraine	2 - 1	Azerbaijan
Ukraine	0 - 2	France
Ukraine	1 - 1	Bosnia
Ukraine	1 - 1	France
Ukraine	1 - 1	Kazakhstan
Ukraine	1 - 1	Finland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 14

Conceded

13 / 14

Clean sheets

1 / 14

Failed to score

2 / 14

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Ukraine	2 - 1	Azerbaijan
A	Ukraine	5 - 3	Iceland
A	Ukraine	1 - 1	Azerbaijan
H	Ukraine	0 - 2	France
A	Ukraine	0 - 1	Wales
A	Ukraine	3 - 1	Scotland
A	Ukraine	2 - 0	Bosnia
H	Ukraine	1 - 1	Bosnia
A	Ukraine	2 - 1	Finland
H	Ukraine	1 - 1	France
A	Ukraine	2 - 2	Kazakhstan
H	Ukraine	1 - 1	Kazakhstan
H	Ukraine	1 - 1	Finland
A	Ukraine	1 - 1	France

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

3 / 6

Conceded

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

Failed to score

3 / 6

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
France	2 - 1	Iceland
Macedonia	3 - 1	Iceland
Romania	0 - 0	Iceland
Liechtenstein	1 - 4	Iceland
Armenia	2 - 0	Iceland
Germany	3 - 0	Iceland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 14

Conceded

11 / 14

Clean sheets

3 / 14

Failed to score

5 / 14

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Iceland	2 - 2	France
H	Iceland	3 - 5	Ukraine
A	Iceland	1 - 2	France
H	Iceland	5 - 0	Azerbaijan
A	Iceland	1 - 3	Macedonia
A	Iceland	0 - 0	Romania
H	Iceland	4 - 0	Liechtenstein
H	Iceland	1 - 1	Armenia
H	Iceland	0 - 4	Germany
H	Iceland	2 - 2	Macedonia
H	Iceland	0 - 2	Romania
A	Iceland	4 - 1	Liechtenstein
A	Iceland	0 - 2	Armenia
A	Iceland	0 - 3	Germany

Goal Statistics

Ukraine's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Iceland have conceded in each of their last 14 World Cup Qualifying Europe outings. A PG of 1.9 for S. Rebrov's side suggests that run should continue.

	Ukraine	Iceland
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 84% probability that Ukraine will score 1 or more goals	0 39% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Iceland scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
6 home / away league games	=0 Ukraine’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Iceland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.0 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

UKR

ISL

24%

better

view stats

Games scored	15		18
Failed to score	5		2
Scored first	9		13
Goals scored	30		35
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.8
Avg. shots per game	10		7
Avg. shots per goal	7		4
Conversion rate for	15		23
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.1
KickOff rating		+24%

UKR

ISL

better

view stats

Games conceded	16		14
Clean sheets	4		6
Conceded first	9		7
Goals conceded	31		36
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	16%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.6
KickOff rating		+6%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Ukraine v Iceland will show here when available.

Ukraine World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	3	1	1
A Trubin	R Malinovskyi	N Voloshyn	M Matvienko

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Trubin GLK	4			-
M Matvienko DEF	4			1 -
Y Konoplia DEF	4			1 -
I Zabarnyi DEF	4			-
I Kalyuzhnyi MID	4	1		1 -
O Ocheretko MID	4	1		1 -
N Voloshyn FWD	4		1	-
A Dovbyk FWD	4			-
H Sudakov MID	3	1		-
M Shaparenko MID	3			1 -
Y Yarmoliuk MID	3			-
V Vanat FWD	3			-
O Hutsuliak FWD	3	2	1	-
V Mykolenko DEF	2		1	1 -
B Mykhaylichenko DEF	2			1 -
R Malinovskyi MID	2	3	1	1 -
O Zubkov FWD	2		1	-
V Bondar DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	5	1	1
R Malinovskyi	R Malinovskyi	N Voloshyn	Y Konoplia

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Malinovskyi MID	3	5	1	1
O Hutsuliak FWD	2	2	1	1
I Kalyuzhnyi MID	1	1		1
O Ocheretko MID	1	1
H Sudakov MID	1	2
Y Konoplia DEF				1
I Zabarnyi DEF		1
N Voloshyn FWD		3	1
A Dovbyk FWD		3		1
M Shaparenko MID		1
V Vanat FWD		2
V Mykolenko DEF			1	1
O Zubkov FWD		2	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
315	10	16
M Matvienko	I Kalyuzhnyi	O Hutsuliak

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Matvienko DEF	315	3	8
I Zabarnyi DEF	249	2	13
Y Yarmoliuk MID	151	5	10
Y Konoplia DEF	137	6	13
A Trubin GLK	100		2
V Mykolenko DEF	96	2	12
H Sudakov MID	87	1	4
I Kalyuzhnyi MID	86	10	12
O Hutsuliak FWD	76	7	16
O Ocheretko MID	63	8	14
R Malinovskyi MID	62	3	9
N Voloshyn FWD	51	3	9
O Zubkov FWD	51	3	9
M Shaparenko MID	45	2	7
A Dovbyk FWD	38		8
V Vanat FWD	29	1	4
B Mykhaylichenko DEF	28	2	4

Iceland World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	3	2	2
E Ólafsson	A Gudmundsson	H Haraldsson	A Gudjohnsen

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Ólafsson GLK	4			-
D Grétarsson DEF	4			-
V Pálsson DEF	4	2		-
S Ingason DEF	4			-
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	4	2	1	-
M Ellertsson MID	4	1		1 -
K Hlynsson MID	4	1		-
M Anderson MID	4			1 -
H Haraldsson MID	4		2	-
J Thorsteinsson FWD	4		1	-
S Thórdarson MID	3			-
D Gudjohnsen FWD	3			-
A Gudjohnsen FWD	3	1	1	2 -
B Willumsson FWD	3			-
A Gudmundsson FWD	3	3	2	-
S Magnússon FWD	3			-
L Tómasson DEF	2			1 -
B Bjarkason MID	2			-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID	1			-
G Thórdarson MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	3	2	4
A Gudmundsson	Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson	H Haraldsson	A Gudmundsson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Gudmundsson FWD	3	3	2	4
V Pálsson DEF	2	2
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	2	3	1
M Ellertsson MID	1	1
K Hlynsson MID	1	2
A Gudjohnsen FWD	1	2	1
M Anderson MID		1
H Haraldsson MID			2	2
J Thorsteinsson FWD		1	1	1
L Tómasson DEF		1
G Thórdarson MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
311	8	21
S Ingason	Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson	S Ingason

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Ingason DEF	311	7	21
H Haraldsson MID	259	8	14
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	246	8	11
D Grétarsson DEF	238	4	15
V Pálsson DEF	186	1	11
E Ólafsson GLK	114		2
A Gudmundsson FWD	107	1	13
M Ellertsson MID	96	7	20
S Thórdarson MID	96		3
J Thorsteinsson FWD	74		10
A Gudjohnsen FWD	62	3	13
K Hlynsson MID	42		2
S Magnússon FWD	38	2	6
L Tómasson DEF	35	1	3
M Anderson MID	25	2	7
B Bjarkason MID	25	1	1
B Willumsson FWD	24	1	5
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID	22		1
D Gudjohnsen FWD	15	2	11
G Thórdarson MID	7