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Milan v Empoli : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Milan and their boss Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca will be looking to get one over on Roberto D'Aversa and his Empoli side on Saturday evening, as the pair clash at the Giuseppe Meazza in the Serie A. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Milan's next match is v Atalanta at 19:45 on Friday 6th December
Empoli's next match is v Verona at 14:00 on Sunday 8th December
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Milan and Empoli was on Saturday 30th November 2024
Italian Serie A
November 30th 2024
Milan 3
0 Empoli
 
Á. Morata Martín 19'
T. Reijnders 44'
T. Reijnders 69'
 
ACM
EMP
Shots On
4
Shots Off
5
5
Corners
7
3
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
12
16
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
MilanEmpoli
 
M. Maignan
E. Leite de Souza Junior
M. Gabbia (E. Ekong 75')
M. Thiaw
T. Hernández
Y. Fofana (S. Pavlović 75')
T. Reijndersfootball iconfootball icon
C. Pulisic
Y. Musah (S. Chukwueze 75')
Á. Morata Martínfootball icon (K. Bakumo-Abraham 81')
R. Conceição Leão (F. Camarda 84')
D. Vásquez Llach
M. Viti
(L. Marianucci 71') S. Goglichidze
(L. Cacace 46') G. Pezzella
A. Ismajli
Y. Maleh
(S. Esposito 66') F. Anjorin
L. Henderson
(O. Solbakken 46') L. Colombo
E. Gyasi
(R. Loftus-Cheek 75') P. Pellegri

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Milan and Empoli have served up plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Milan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
55%
1/3
4%
1/3
2%
Draw
25%
15/4
10%
4/1
4%
Empoli
20%
9/1
11%
8/1
6%
Milan 1-0
13%
11/2
7%
19/4
4%
Draw 1-1
12%
17/2
12%
15/2
Milan 2-0
11%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Milan 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
Draw 0-0
8%
10/110/1
Empoli 1-0
7%
20/114/1
Milan 3-0
6%
7/1
6%
13/2
6%
Milan 3-1
5%
11/19/1
Empoli 2-1
5%
25/120/1
11%
Draw 2-2
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Empoli 2-0
3%
40/133/1
17%
Milan 4-0
2%
14/111/1
8%
Milan 3-2
2%
28/122/1
10%
Milan 4-1
2%
20/116/1
13%
Empoli 3-1
2%
66/145/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
4/5
4%
3/4
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1/1
5%
1/1
2%
Home 1st Goal
55%
2/9
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
15/4
10%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
47%
6/5
10%
6/5
7%
BTTS - No
53%
8/13
7%
8/13
5%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
12/5
5%
23/10
6%
BTTS - Draw
17%
6/1
17%
11/2
8%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Home/draw
80%
1/16
1%
1/18
1%
Away/draw
45%
9/4
8%
11/5
7%
Home/away
75%
2/11
2%
1/6
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3/1
8%
27/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
2/1
9%
15/8
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/5
3%
4/11
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
9/2
10%
17/4
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/7
3%
1/7
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/19/1
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/201/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25
1%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/1
18%
10/1
Home DNB
72%
1/12
2%
1/12
2%
Away DNB
38%
7/1
14%
11/2
8%
Milan win to nil
33%
1/1
5%
-
Empoli win to nil
12%
14/1-
Milan / Milan
42%
20/21
3%
10/11
5%
Milan / Empoli
2%
50/140/1
Milan / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
16/1
13%
Draw / Milan
22%
11/429/10
Draw / Empoli
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Draw / Draw
12%
6/111/2
Empoli / Milan
4%
20/118/1
Empoli / Empoli
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Empoli / Draw
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Milan have outscored their opponents by 20 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Milan have played 6 games at home winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 10 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Empoli are in 10th position in the Serie A on 16 points having played 13 matches so far this season. Empoli are winless in the 7 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 5 of those games.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 6 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 8 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 4 and won zero. Empoli have conceded 8 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Milan
Empoli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli1410221232 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 30
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
2
Atalanta1410132031 
Apr 20
Dec 6
Feb 23
Dec 22
3
Inter138411728 
Feb 2
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-3A
Jan 19
4
Fiorentina138411728 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
5
Lazio149141228 
Mar 2
d
 
2-2F
May 4
l
 
2-1F
6
Juventus146801426 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 19
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 2
7
Milan 13643922 
-
-
Feb 9
l
 
3-0A
8
Bologna13562221 
May 11
-
Jan 26
d
 
1-1A
9
Udinese14527-517 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
d
 
1-1F
Feb 16
10
Empoli 14374-416 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 9
-
-
11
Parma14365-215 
Jan 26
l
 
2-1A
May 11
d
 
1-1F
12
Torino14437-415 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 23
Dec 13
Mar 16
13
Cagliari14356-914 
Jan 11
d
 
3-3A
Apr 6
w
 
0-2F
14
Genoa14356-1114 
Dec 15
May 4
Dec 28
Mar 2
15
Roma14347-613 
Dec 29
May 18
Mar 9
w
 
1-2F
16
Lecce14347-1513 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 9
Jan 11
d
 
1-1F
17
Verona144010-1612 
Feb 16
Dec 20
May 25
Dec 8
18
Como 190714257-1211 
Mar 16
Jan 14
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
19
Monza14176-510 
May 25
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
May 18
20
Venezia142210-148 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 27
Apr 20
Jan 4
Win / draw / win form
Milan 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan0 - 0Juventus
Milan0 - 2Napoli
Milan1 - 0Udinese
Milan3 - 0Lecce
Milan4 - 0Venezia
Milan2 - 2Torino
Milan3 - 3Salernitana
Milan5 - 1Cagliari
Milan3 - 3Genoa
Milan1 - 2Inter
Milan3 - 0Lecce
Milan1 - 0Empoli
Milan1 - 1Atalanta
Milan1 - 0Napoli
Milan2 - 2Bologna
Milan3 - 1Roma
Milan1 - 0Sassuolo
Milan3 - 0Monza
Milan3 - 1Frosinone
Milan1 - 0Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan0 - 0Juventus
AMilan3 - 3Cagliari
AMilan1 - 0Monza
HMilan0 - 2Napoli
HMilan1 - 0Udinese
AMilan1 - 2Fiorentina
HMilan3 - 0Lecce
AMilan2 - 1Inter
HMilan4 - 0Venezia
AMilan2 - 2Lazio
AMilan1 - 2Parma
HMilan2 - 2Torino
HMilan3 - 3Salernitana
AMilan1 - 3Torino
HMilan5 - 1Cagliari
HMilan3 - 3Genoa
AMilan0 - 0Juventus
HMilan1 - 2Inter
AMilan3 - 3Sassuolo
HMilan3 - 0Lecce
Empoli 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lecce1 - 1Empoli
Parma1 - 1Empoli
Lazio2 - 1Empoli
Cagliari0 - 2Empoli
Bologna1 - 1Empoli
Roma1 - 2Empoli
Udinese1 - 1Empoli
Lazio2 - 0Empoli
Atalanta2 - 0Empoli
Lecce1 - 0Empoli
Inter2 - 0Empoli
Milan1 - 0Empoli
Sassuolo2 - 3Empoli
Salernitana1 - 3Empoli
Juventus1 - 1Empoli
Verona2 - 1Empoli
Cagliari0 - 0Empoli
Torino1 - 0Empoli
Genoa1 - 1Empoli
Napoli0 - 1Empoli
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEmpoli1 - 1Udinese
AEmpoli1 - 1Lecce
HEmpoli1 - 0Como 1907
HEmpoli0 - 3Inter
AEmpoli1 - 1Parma
HEmpoli0 - 1Napoli
AEmpoli1 - 2Lazio
HEmpoli0 - 0Fiorentina
AEmpoli2 - 0Cagliari
HEmpoli0 - 0Juventus
AEmpoli1 - 1Bologna
AEmpoli2 - 1Roma
HEmpoli0 - 0Monza
HEmpoli2 - 1Roma
AEmpoli1 - 1Udinese
AEmpoli0 - 2Lazio
HEmpoli0 - 0Frosinone
AEmpoli0 - 2Atalanta
HEmpoli1 - 0Napoli
AEmpoli0 - 1Lecce
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Milan have not lost to Empoli in 8 consecutive league meetings
4
Milan have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive home league meetings with Empoli
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Empoli
Goals: Scored
9
4
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
ACM
4
D
2
EMP
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Milan1 - 0
Milan3 - 0
1 - 2Empoli
Milan2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Empoli since 2014
Empoli
Milan
Goals: Scored
9
19
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
ACM
4
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Empoli
0 - 3Milan
1 - 3Milan
2 - 4Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Milan
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Empoli fans, as should a 8 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Milan 7th Empoli 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Empoli scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Milan have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-4
Empoli’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283176/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Empoli
1.6
0.9
Attack rating
24%
better
ACM
EMP
view stats
Games scored10
8
Failed to score2
5
Scored first6
7
Goals scored20
10
Avg. goals scored1.7
0.8
Avg. shots per game11
6
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for1.8
0.7
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
ACM
EMP
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
8
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded14
11
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
13
Conversion rate against13%
8%
Avg. XG against1
1.4
KickOff rating
+16%

Milan v Empoli Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14544
M Maignan C PulisicC PulisicY Fofana
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK14
1
-
E Royal DEF12
3
-
M Gabbia DEF71
2
-
M Thiaw DEF7
-
T Hernández DEF1122
1
1
Y Fofana MID1312
4
-
T Reijnders MID1233
1
1
Y Musah MID111
1
-
C Pulisic FWD1454
-
Álvaro Morata FWD113
3
-
R Leão FWD1333
1
-
Subs
M Sportiello GLK
-
L. Torriani GLK
-
F Tomori DEF9
1
-
S Pavlovic DEF101
1
-
D Calabria DEF4
-
F Terracciano MID5
2
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID12
1
-
F. Camarda FWD3
-
T Abraham FWD821
-
S Chukwueze FWD121
-
Empoli Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14324
D VásquezP Pellegri G PezzellaL Henderson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Vásquez GLK14
2
-
S. Goglichidze DEF11
1
A Ismajli DEF14
1
-
M Viti DEF14
-
E Gyasi MID142
2
-
L Henderson MID14
4
-
F Anjorin MID101
2
-
G Pezzella MID132
2
-
L Colombo MID1421
2
-
Y Maleh MID10
1
-
P Pellegri  FWD103
3
-
Subs
S Perisan GLK
-
J Seghetti GLK
-
L. Marianucci DEF2
-
D. Bembnista DEF
-
J Sambia DEF2
-
L Cacace DEF102
4
-
L. Tosto DEF
-
J. Bacci MID
-
L Belardinelli MID
-
I. Konate FWD1
-
S Esposito FWD102
-
O Solbakken FWD13
1
-
E Ekong FWD10
1
-