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Milan v Sassuolo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Dec, 11:30 BST, Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Fabio Grosso is aiming for a vital away win in the Serie A on Sunday morning, as he takes his Sassuolo side to the Giuseppe Meazza to visit Milan and Massimiliano Allegri. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 74% chance of Milan and Sassuolo a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Serie A game according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Milan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
51%
21/504/9
Draw
25%
16/518/5
Sassuolo
24%
7/16/1
Milan 1-0
12%
6/111/2
Draw 1-1
12%
7/17/1
Milan 2-0
9%
6/111/2
Milan 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
8%
11/110/1
Sassuolo 1-0
8%
18/114/1
Sassuolo 2-1
6%
22/116/1
Milan 3-0
5%
17/215/2
Milan 3-1
5%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
18/114/1
Sassuolo 2-0
4%
40/125/1
Milan 3-2
2%
25/118/1
Sassuolo 3-1
2%
50/140/1
Milan 4-0
2%
16/112/1
Milan 4-1
2%
20/116/1
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
8/118/11
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
11/101/1
Home 1st Goal
53%
2/54/11
Away 1st Goal
42%
11/55/2
No 1st Goal
5%
11/19/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
19/2019/20
BTTS - No
50%
4/53/4
BTTS - Home Win
21%
9/421/10
BTTS - Draw
18%
9/219/4
BTTS - Away Win
11%
14/110/1
Home/draw
76%
1/121/11
Away/draw
49%
7/47/4
Home/away
75%
2/91/5
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/91/4
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
10/311/4
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
7/47/4
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
4/92/5
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
4/14/1
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/62/13
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/201/20
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
11/110/1
Home DNB
68%
1/82/15
Away DNB
42%
5/117/4
Milan win to nil
29%
5/4-
Sassuolo win to nil
13%
12/1-
Milan / Milan
38%
11/1011/10
Milan / Sassuolo
2%
40/133/1
Milan / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Milan
20%
3/13/1
Draw / Sassuolo
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/25/1
Sassuolo / Milan
4%
20/116/1
Sassuolo / Sassuolo
7%
12/19/1
Sassuolo / Draw
5%
18/114/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Both Milan and Sassuolo have scored 19 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Milan have played 7 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 10 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Sassuolo are in 9th position in the Serie A on 20 points having played 14 matches so far this season. Sassuolo have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 5 matches and failed to score in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost all of those games, drawn 0 and won zero. Sassuolo have conceded 10 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Milan
Sassuolo
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter1410041930 
Mar 8
w
 
0-1F
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
2
Milan138411028 
-
-
May 3
Dec 14
3
Napoli13913928 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
l
 
0-2A
Jan 17
4
Roma13904827 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
l
 
0-1A
Jan 10
5
Bologna137331124 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 1
Mar 15
Dec 28
6
Como 190714662824 
Feb 8
Jan 15
Apr 19
l
 
2-0A
7
Juventus13652523 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 6
Mar 22
8
Cremonese14554120 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 1
Jan 25
l
 
3-2A
9
Sassuolo14626220 
Dec 14
May 3
-
-
10
Lazio13535518 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
11
Udinese13535-618 
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
12
Atalanta14374016 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
Mar 1
w
 
0-3F
13
Torino13355-1114 
Mar 22
Dec 8
Dec 21
May 10
14
Lecce14347-913 
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
May 17
d
 
0-00-0
15
Cagliari13256-611 
May 24
Jan 2
Apr 4
w
 
1-2F
16
Genoa13256-711 
Jan 8
May 17
l
 
1-2A
Apr 12
17
Parma13256-811 
Feb 22
d
 
2-2F
Jan 3
May 24
18
Pisa13175-810 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 15
d
 
2-2A
Feb 1
19
Verona14167-109 
Dec 28
Apr 19
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
20
Fiorentina14068-136 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 11
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
Win / draw / win form
6
Milan have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
Milan 2ND
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan1 - 0Lazio
Milan1 - 0Roma
Milan2 - 2Pisa
Milan2 - 1Fiorentina
Milan2 - 1Napoli
Milan1 - 0Bologna
Milan1 - 2Cremonese
Milan2 - 0Monza
Milan3 - 1Bologna
Milan0 - 1Atalanta
Milan2 - 2Fiorentina
Milan2 - 1Como 1907
Milan1 - 2Lazio
Milan1 - 0Verona
Milan1 - 1Inter
Milan3 - 2Parma
Milan1 - 1Cagliari
Milan1 - 1Roma
Milan0 - 0Genoa
Milan3 - 0Empoli
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan1 - 0Lazio
AMilan1 - 0Inter
AMilan2 - 2Parma
HMilan1 - 0Roma
AMilan1 - 1Atalanta
HMilan2 - 2Pisa
HMilan2 - 1Fiorentina
AMilan0 - 0Juventus
HMilan2 - 1Napoli
AMilan3 - 0Udinese
HMilan1 - 0Bologna
AMilan2 - 0Lecce
HMilan1 - 2Cremonese
HMilan2 - 0Monza
AMilan1 - 3Roma
HMilan3 - 1Bologna
AMilan2 - 1Genoa
AMilan2 - 0Venezia
HMilan0 - 1Atalanta
AMilan4 - 0Udinese
Sassuolo 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Como 19072 - 0Sassuolo
Atalanta0 - 3Sassuolo
Cagliari1 - 2Sassuolo
Lecce0 - 0Sassuolo
Verona0 - 1Sassuolo
Inter2 - 1Sassuolo
Cremonese3 - 2Sassuolo
Cremonese1 - 1Sassuolo
Cesena0 - 2Sassuolo
Modena1 - 3Sassuolo
Palermo5 - 3Sassuolo
Cittadella1 - 2Sassuolo
Sampdoria0 - 0Sassuolo
Mantova0 - 3Sassuolo
Spezia2 - 1Sassuolo
Salernitana1 - 2Sassuolo
Pisa3 - 1Sassuolo
Frosinone1 - 2Sassuolo
Reggiana0 - 2Sassuolo
Sudtirol0 - 1Sassuolo
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSassuolo3 - 1Fiorentina
ASassuolo0 - 2Como 1907
HSassuolo2 - 2Pisa
ASassuolo3 - 0Atalanta
HSassuolo1 - 2Genoa
ASassuolo2 - 1Cagliari
HSassuolo0 - 1Roma
ASassuolo0 - 0Lecce
ASassuolo1 - 0Verona
HSassuolo3 - 1Udinese
ASassuolo1 - 2Inter
HSassuolo1 - 0Lazio
ASassuolo2 - 3Cremonese
HSassuolo0 - 2Napoli
HSassuolo0 - 1Frosinone
HSassuolo0 - 2Catanzaro
ASassuolo1 - 1Cremonese
HSassuolo2 - 0Carrarese
ASassuolo2 - 0Cesena
ASassuolo3 - 1Modena
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Sassuolo
Goals: Scored
14
17
Games: Scored
9 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
1 / 10
ACM
4
D
2
SAS
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan1 - 0
2 - 5Sassuolo
1 - 3Sassuolo
1 - 2Sassuolo
Draw0 - 0Draw
Milan1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Milan4 - 3
Milan2 - 1
1 - 2Sassuolo
League games at Sassuolo since 2015
Sassuolo
Milan
Goals: Scored
11
19
Games: Scored
6 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
4 / 10
ACM
6
D
2
SAS
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sassuolo
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Milan
1 - 2Milan
1 - 2Milan
1 - 4Milan
0 - 2Milan
0 - 1Milan
Sassuolo2 - 0
Sassuolo3 - 2
Goal Statistics

Milan have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.6 against Sassuolo on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Milan 2nd Sassuolo 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Sassuolo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Milan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+18
Sassuolo have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Sassuolo
1.6
1
Attack rating
26%
better
ACM
SAS
view stats
Games scored12
9
Failed to score1
4
Scored first10
5
Goals scored19
16
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
38%
better
ACM
SAS
view stats
Games conceded6
9
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first2
7
Goals conceded9
16
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
9
Conversion rate against8%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+38%

Milan v Sassuolo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13523
M GabbiaR LeãoL ModricY Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Gabbia DEF13
2
-
S Pavlovic DEF1321
1
-
L Modric MID1312
2
-
A Saelemaekers MID1321
1
-
Y Fofana MID1311
3
-
M Maignan  GLK12
-
F Tomori DEF111
3
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID111
-
S Ricci MID1011
1
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF9
1
-
C Nkunku  FWD91
-
R Leão FWD951
1
-
S Giménez FWD9
1
-
C Pulisic FWD852
-
Z. Athekame DEF71
2
-
K Winter DEF7
-
P Estupiñán DEF61
1
1
A Rabiot MID61
1
-
P Terracciano GLK2
-
A Jashari MID1
-
Sassuolo Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14444
A PinamontiA PinamontiC VolpatoJ Doig
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Pinamonti FWD144
1
-
A Laurienté FWD1422
-
A Muric GLK13
3
-
J Idzes DEF13
-
S Walukiewicz DEF13
2
-
J Doig DEF13
4
-
N Matić MID131
1
-
A Fadera FWD1311
1
-
I Koné MID122
2
1
K Thorstvedt MID1211
4
-
T Muharemović DEF1112
3
-
D Berardi FWD1143
2
-
W Cheddira FWD101
1
-
A Vranckx MID9
1
-
C Volpato MID914
2
-
F Candé DEF8
1
-
W Coulibaly DEF7
-
E Iannoni MID71
2
-
N Pierini FWD6
1
-
L Moro FWD4
-
F Romagna DEF3
-
L Lipani MID3
-
D Boloca MID2
-
S Turati GLK1
-