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AC Monza v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadio Brianteo, Monza

Milan are away on Sunday evening, as manager Stefano Pioli takes his team to visit AC Monza and Raffaele Palladino at the Stadio Brianteo in the Serie A. This preview has the best odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall records can be viewed, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.

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AC Monza's next match is v Salernitana at 17:00 on Saturday 24th February
Milan's next match is v Rennes at 17:45 on Thursday 22nd February
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Monza and Milan was on Sunday 18th February 2024
Italian Serie A
February 18th 2024
Monza 4
2 Milan
 
M. Pessina 45'64' O. Giroud
D. Carvalho 45'88' C. Pulisic
W. Bondo 90'
L. Colombo 90'
 
MON
ACM
Shots On
6
6
Shots Off
2
5
Corners
7
3
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
11
9
Yellow/red cards
4/0
1/1
 
MonzaMilan
 
M. Di Gregorio (A. Sorrentino 43')
A. Carboni
S. Birindelli
A. Izzo
P. Marí Villar
M. Pessinafootball icon
A. Colpani (P. Almeida Lopes Pereira 81')
V. Carboni (W. Bondo 66')
R. Gagliardini
M. Đurić (L. Colombo 66')
D. Carvalhofootball icon (D. Maldini 81')
M. Maignan
M. Thiaw
M. Gabbia
(Y. Musah 83') A. Florenzi
T. Hernández
(O. Giroud 54') I. Bennacer
(T. Reijnders 46') Y. Adli
R. Loftus-Cheek
(R. Conceição Leão 46') N. Okafor
L. Jović
(C. Pulisic 46') S. Chukwueze
Best Tip: Milan to win

An away win in Serie A is always cause for celebration, and we predict Stefano Pioli and his Milan team will do exactly that at Stadio Brianteo on Sunday evening. The statistics below, including long-running head-to-head (H2H) records, suggest they have a great chance of delivering, and the bookmakers are expecting exactly that. The best available price is 1.87 on Milan to win. We think it's well worth backing.

As kick-off fast approaches, the bookmakers' odds are changing. Odds for a Milan win are getting shorter, and a AC Monza win are drifting. These changes shows there are plenty out there predicting win for Stefano Pioli's men.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Milan coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Monza
29%
15/4
10%
15/4
19%
4/1
15%
18/5
8%
Draw
25%
5/2
3%
13/5
3%
13/5
4%
27/10
5%
Milan
46%
3/4
3%
3/4
4%
8/11
4%
3/4
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
6/16/1
7%
23/4
4%
Milan 1-0
10%
6/1
18%
11/2
24%
11/2
13%
6/1
7%
Milan 2-1
9%
15/215/2
6%
7/115/2
Milan 2-0
8%
7/1
16%
7/1
20%
7/1
11%
7/1
6%
Monza 1-0
7%
11/1
8%
11/1
8%
12/1
13%
23/2
4%
Monza 2-1
7%
14/114/1
15%
14/1
15%
14/1
Draw 0-0
6%
17/2
21%
9/1
23%
9/1
17%
10/1
16%
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
15%
14/1
15%
14/1
15%
15/1
14%
Milan 3-1
5%
14/1
15%
14/1
15%
14/1
15%
14/1
7%
Monza 2-0
4%
22/125/1
13%
25/1
13%
20/1
10%
Milan 3-0
4%
14/114/1
12%
12/1
13%
12/1
Milan 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
28/1
38%
25/1
24%
25/1
13%
Monza 3-1
3%
40/1
21%
45/1
35%
40/1
21%
34/1
16%
Monza 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
45/1
35%
40/1
21%
35/1
6%
Milan 4-1
2%
28/133/1
17%
28/125/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1/1
16%
19/20
15%
10/11
10%
19/20
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
4/5
13%
4/5
12%
4/5
10%
5/6
9%
Home 1st Goal
45%
15/8
10%
9/5
10%
7/4
15%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
1/2
2%
3/5
4%
4/7
6%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
17/2
21%
9/1
23%
17/2
14%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
10/11
14%
17/20
14%
5/6
10%
22/25
6%
BTTS - No
44%
10/11
9%
20/23
15%
5/6
13%
17/20
6%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
8/1
20%
15/2
31%
15/2
21%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
6%
18/5
6%
18/5
2%
-
BTTS - Away Win
22%
3/1
14%
11/4
10%
11/4
10%
-
Home/draw
54%
1/1
3%
21/20
7%
21/20
3%
27/25
Away/draw
71%
2/11
2%
2/11
4%
2/11
3%
1/5
2%
Home/away
75%
2/72/7
1%
2/7
3%
2/7
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
3/10
7%
3/10
7%
1/3
6%
2/7
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
5/2
19%
23/10
19%
9/4
13%
5/2
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
5/2
27%
23/10
22%
5/2
17%
49/20
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
3/10
10%
3/10
8%
2/7
5%
3/10
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
11/2
30%
11/2
30%
11/2
30%
6/1
15%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/9
5%
1/10
4%
1/10
4%
1/10
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
14/1
36%
14/1
50%
9/114/1
23%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/33
2%
1/33
3%
1/251/100
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16
2%
1/16
2%
1/20
1%
1/20
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1
17%
9/1
27%
8/1
10%
19/2
17%
Home DNB
46%
12/5
5%
12/5
18%
5/2
8%
12/5
5%
Away DNB
63%
3/10
2%
3/10
5%
2/7
3%
3/10
3%
Monza win to nil
14%
7/17/17/1
14%
-
Milan win to nil
24%
2/1
12%
19/10
17%
7/4
19%
-
Monza / Monza
11%
13/2
15%
15/2
21%
7/1
14%
13/2
7%
Monza / Milan
3%
22/1
10%
25/1
13%
22/1
10%
25/1
13%
Monza / Draw
5%
14/116/1
13%
14/115/1
Draw / Monza
9%
17/2
6%
17/2
12%
10/1
10%
9/1
Draw / Milan
18%
7/2
5%
17/5
7%
7/2
10%
19/5
2%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2
8%
21/5
10%
4/1
9%
9/2
9%
Milan / Monza
2%
33/150/1
24%
40/145/1
12%
Milan / Milan
30%
15/819/10
3%
7/417/10
Milan / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
16/1
13%
14/113/1
7%
bet365
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Monza have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Monza have conceded 19 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Monza have played 12 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Milan lay in 3rd place on 52 points in the Serie A league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 46 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 21 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Milan have played 12 away games, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Monza
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Milan
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-5A
l
 
2-0A
 Inter2420314763 
Apr 21
l
 
5-1A
l
 
1-2A
May 26
 Juventus2516632154 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 28
w
 
4-2F
l
 
3-0A
 Milan Away2516451852 
-
-
Apr 21
l
 
3-0A
 Atalanta2414372445 
Feb 25
l
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 14
 Bologna2512941445 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
Mar 2
l
 
1-0A
 Roma2512581541 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
May 12
 Fiorentina251159838 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
May 5
d
 
1-1A
 Lazio241149337 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
Apr 7
d
 
0-00-0
 Napoli241068536 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 30
 Torino24996336 
w
 
4-1F
May 19
-
-
 Monza Home25898-533 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-2A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 10
 Genoa25799-530 
May 5
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 28
 Lecce255911-1524 
Apr 7
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
 Udinese253148-1323 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3F
May 19
w
 
2-3F
 Frosinone256514-2023 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
 Empoli255713-1922 
Mar 10
w
 
0-3F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
 Verona254813-1120 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 17
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Sassuolo245514-1620 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 14
Mar 17
d
 
1-1A
 Cagliari254714-2319 
May 12
w
 
1-3A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 24
 Salernitana252716-3113 
May 26
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
Monza 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Milan 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for AC Monza of late. It has been 5 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday evening against Milan.

Milan have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 13 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.6 against AC Monza on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Monza 11th Milan 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Monza will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Monza have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
+33
Milan have scored 33% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264529/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Monza
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.2
1.6
Attack rating
MON
ACM
45%
better
view stats
Games scored15
23
Failed to score10
2
Scored first9
18
Goals scored25
49
Avg. goals scored1
2
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate11%
20%
KickOff rating
+45%
Defence rating
MON
ACM
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets9
9
Conceded first12
7
Goals conceded30
31
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate11%
13%
KickOff rating
+4%

Monza v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Monza Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25736
M PessinaA ColpaniG KyriakopoulosP Marí
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Gregorio GLK22
-
A Izzo DEF11
4
-
P Marí DEF21
6
-
A Carboni DEF15
1
-
S Birindelli MID221
5
-
M Pessina MID2532
3
-
R Gagliardini MID2311
4
-
D Mota MID2332
3
-
A Colpani MID2572
1
-
V Carboni MID1822
1
-
M Djuric FWD4
1
-
Subs
S Gori GLK
-
A Sorrentino GLK5
-
L Caldirola DEF2111
4
-
G Donati DEF2
-
G Kyriakopoulos DEF183
3
-
P Pereira DEF172
3
-
D Bettella DEF1
-
D D'Ambrosio DEF19
4
-
J Akpro  MID11
3
-
J Machín MID9
3
-
W Bondo MID131
3
-
A Zerbin FWD3
-
L Colombo FWD2141
2
-
D Maldini FWD21
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231288
T ReijndersO GiroudO GiroudT Hernández
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK221
1
1
A Florenzi  DEF222
4
-
M Thiaw DEF121
3
1
M Gabbia DEF71
2
-
T Hernández DEF2242
8
-
I Bennacer MID81
1
-
Y Adli MID151
2
-
S Chukwueze MID151
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID2151
4
-
N Okafor MID174
1
-
L Jović  FWD1751
2
1
Subs
A Mirante GLK1
-
M Sportiello GLK2
-
J. Simic DEF41
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF5
-
S Kjaer DEF151
1
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF3
1
-
T Reijnders MID2422
5
-
C Pulisic MID2376
1
-
Y Musah MID201
4
-
F Terracciano MID1
1
-
O Giroud FWD22128
1
1
R Leão FWD2237
3
-