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Atalanta v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 6th Dec, 19:45 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Atalanta are in Serie A action on Friday evening, as Gian Piero Gasperini looks to get one over on Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca and his Milan side at the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia. We have odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head to head (H2H) data for both teams. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Serie A fixture, with Atalanta and Milan going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the widely used 2.5 goals market, with at least 3 goals predicted to be scored in total. Attackers on both sides will look to take advantage of an open match and, having studied the relevant statistics and odds, we firmly believe that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atalanta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
56%
1/1
9%
1/1
2%
Draw
20%
12/5
6%
13/5
5%
Milan
24%
14/5
23%
5/2
8%
Atalanta 2-1
9%
8/1
10%
7/1
Draw 1-1
8%
11/2
19%
11/2
7%
Atalanta 3-1
7%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1
26%
10/1
10%
Atalanta 2-0
6%
10/1
27%
9/1
9%
Milan 2-1
6%
12/1
8%
9/1
Atalanta 1-0
6%
17/2
37%
15/2
11%
Atalanta 3-2
5%
20/1
24%
16/1
13%
Atalanta 3-0
5%
16/1
26%
14/1
Atalanta 4-1
4%
28/1
12%
20/1
Milan 1-0
4%
14/1
21%
10/1
8%
Milan 3-2
3%
28/1
38%
20/1
11%
Atalanta 4-2
3%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Atalanta 4-0
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
Milan 3-1
3%
28/1
38%
18/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
8/11
24%
13/20
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
11/10
30%
23/20
10%
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/7
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/4
19%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
12/1
43%
-
BTTS - Yes
68%
4/7
15%
4/7
5%
BTTS - No
32%
5/4
25%
5/4
8%
BTTS - Home Win
35%
13/5
11%
12/5
5%
BTTS - Draw
17%
3/116/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
11/2
44%
9/2
15%
Home/draw
76%
1/4
8%
2/7
3%
Away/draw
44%
4/5
8%
3/4
Home/away
80%
3/10
1%
2/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
2/9
10%
1/5
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
10/3
33%
3/1
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
7/4
44%
6/4
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
50%
4/9
25%
10/21
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
31%
4/1
56%
7/2
18%
Under 4.5 Goals
69%
1/6
14%
2/11
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
9/1
82%
15/2
21%
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
1/16
7%
1/16
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/25
3%
1/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
12/1
43%
10/1
15%
Home DNB
70%
2/5
14%
10/21
1%
Away DNB
38%
7/4
25%
6/4
4%
Atalanta win to nil
22%
11/4
32%
-
Milan win to nil
8%
7/1-
Atalanta / Atalanta
26%
21/10
9%
21/10
Atalanta / Milan
3%
28/1
26%
22/1
10%
Atalanta / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Atalanta
16%
4/1
17%
4/1
Draw / Milan
10%
7/1
7%
13/2
7%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
14%
17/4
9%
Milan / Atalanta
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
Milan / Milan
14%
5/1
33%
9/2
10%
Milan / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Atalanta have played 14 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 1 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Atalanta have outscored their opponents by 36 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Atalanta have played 6 games at home winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 20 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 8 goals at home.

Milan are in 7th position in the Serie A on 22 points having played 13 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 10 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Milan have conceded 7 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli1410221232 
Jan 19
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-2A
Mar 30
2
Atalanta 1410132031 
-
-
Apr 20
Dec 6
3
Inter138411728 
Mar 16
l
 
4-0A
Feb 2
w
 
1-2F
4
Fiorentina138411728 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 30
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
5
Lazio149141228 
Apr 6
Dec 28
Mar 2
d
 
2-2F
6
Juventus146801426 
Jan 14
Mar 9
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 19
7
Milan 13643922 
Dec 6
Apr 20
-
-
8
Bologna13562221 
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
May 11
-
9
Udinese14527-517 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 11
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
10
Empoli14374-416 
Dec 22
Feb 23
w
 
3-0F
Feb 9
11
Parma14365-215 
May 25
w
 
1-3F
Jan 26
l
 
2-1A
12
Torino14437-415 
Feb 2
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
Feb 23
13
Cagliari14356-914 
Feb 16
Dec 14
Jan 11
d
 
3-3A
14
Genoa14356-1114 
w
 
5-1F
May 18
Dec 15
May 4
15
Roma14347-613 
May 11
w
 
0-2F
Dec 29
May 18
16
Lecce14347-1513 
Apr 27
w
 
0-4F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 9
17
Verona144010-1612 
w
 
6-1F
Feb 9
Feb 16
Dec 20
18
Como 190714257-1211 
l
 
2-3F
Jan 26
Mar 16
Jan 14
19
Monza14176-510 
w
 
2-0F
May 4
May 25
w
 
0-1F
20
Venezia142210-148 
Mar 2
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 27
Win / draw / win form
8
Atalanta have won 8 consecutive league games
9
Atalanta have not lost in 9 consecutive league games
Atalanta 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
1
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta2 - 1Udinese
Atalanta2 - 0Monza
Atalanta6 - 1Verona
Atalanta5 - 1Genoa
Atalanta2 - 3Como 1907
Atalanta3 - 2Fiorentina
Atalanta2 - 3Fiorentina
Atalanta3 - 0Torino
Atalanta2 - 1Roma
Atalanta2 - 0Empoli
Atalanta2 - 2Verona
Atalanta1 - 2Bologna
Atalanta3 - 0Sassuolo
Atalanta3 - 1Lazio
Atalanta2 - 0Udinese
Atalanta5 - 0Frosinone
Atalanta1 - 0Lecce
Atalanta4 - 1Salernitana
Atalanta3 - 2Milan
Atalanta1 - 2Napoli
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
1
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAtalanta2 - 0Roma
AAtalanta3 - 1Parma
HAtalanta2 - 1Udinese
AAtalanta3 - 0Napoli
HAtalanta2 - 0Monza
HAtalanta6 - 1Verona
AAtalanta2 - 0Venezia
HAtalanta5 - 1Genoa
AAtalanta1 - 1Bologna
HAtalanta2 - 3Como 1907
HAtalanta3 - 2Fiorentina
AAtalanta0 - 4Inter
AAtalanta1 - 2Torino
AAtalanta4 - 0Lecce
HAtalanta2 - 3Fiorentina
HAtalanta3 - 0Torino
AAtalanta2 - 0Lecce
HAtalanta2 - 1Roma
AAtalanta2 - 1Salernitana
HAtalanta2 - 0Empoli
Milan 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cagliari3 - 3Milan
Monza0 - 1Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1Milan
Inter1 - 2Milan
Lazio2 - 2Milan
Parma2 - 1Milan
Torino3 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Sassuolo3 - 3Milan
Fiorentina1 - 2Milan
Verona1 - 3Milan
Lazio0 - 1Milan
Monza4 - 2Milan
Frosinone2 - 3Milan
Udinese2 - 3Milan
Empoli0 - 3Milan
Salernitana2 - 2Milan
Atalanta3 - 2Milan
Lecce2 - 2Milan
Napoli2 - 2Milan
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan3 - 0Empoli
HMilan0 - 0Juventus
AMilan3 - 3Cagliari
AMilan1 - 0Monza
HMilan0 - 2Napoli
HMilan1 - 0Udinese
AMilan1 - 2Fiorentina
HMilan3 - 0Lecce
AMilan2 - 1Inter
HMilan4 - 0Venezia
AMilan2 - 2Lazio
AMilan1 - 2Parma
HMilan2 - 2Torino
HMilan3 - 3Salernitana
AMilan1 - 3Torino
HMilan5 - 1Cagliari
HMilan3 - 3Genoa
AMilan0 - 0Juventus
HMilan1 - 2Inter
AMilan3 - 3Sassuolo
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Atalanta since 2015
Atalanta
Milan
Goals: Scored
17
17
Games: Scored
9 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
1 / 10
ATA
3
D
3
ACM
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
Atalanta3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Milan
0 - 2Milan
Atalanta5 - 0
1 - 3Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Atalanta2 - 1
1 - 3Milan
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
8
10
Games: Scored
5 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
5 / 10
ATA
3
D
5
ACM
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
Milan2 - 0
Milan2 - 0
0 - 3Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Atalanta
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Atalanta
Goal Statistics

Atalanta's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 8 consecutive Serie A outings. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Friday evening.

Atalanta's defensive record is very strong, Gian Piero Gasperini's men having conceded 1 or less in 15 consecutive Serie A outings. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Milan makes sense in this context.

Atalanta 2nd Milan 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 66% probability that Atalanta will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+37
Atalanta have scored 37% more goals at home than predicted
+22
Milan have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
2.7
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283185/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
2.3
1.4
Attack rating
26%
better
ATA
ACM
view stats
Games scored13
11
Failed to score1
2
Scored first10
7
Goals scored36
23
Avg. goals scored2.6
1.8
Avg. shots per game13
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
16
Avg. XG for2.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
ATA
ACM
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
7
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded16
14
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1
1
KickOff rating
+7%

Atalanta v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
141254
M RoonM ReteguiC KetelaereM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Roon MID143
4
-
Éderson MID1421
3
-
M Retegui FWD14123
1
-
M Carnesecchi GLK13
-
M Ruggeri DEF122
1
-
B Djimsiti DEF12
3
-
R Bellanova MID123
1
-
C Ketelaere MID1225
-
M Pasalic MID1221
1
-
I Hien DEF11
3
-
L Samardžić MID1121
-
D Zappacosta MID1121
1
-
A Lookman FWD1174
1
-
M Brescianini MID102
-
S Kolasinac DEF8
3
-
N Zaniolo FWD811
2
-
O Kossounou  DEF7
1
-
J Cuadrado MID72
-
I Sulemana MID3
-
R Tolói DEF2
-
B Godfrey DEF1
-
G Scalvini DEF1
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14544
M Maignan C PulisicC PulisicY Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK14
1
-
C Pulisic MID1454
-
Y Fofana MID1312
4
-
R Leão FWD1333
1
-
E Royal DEF12
3
-
T Reijnders MID1233
1
1
R Loftus-Cheek MID12
1
-
S Chukwueze FWD121
-
T Hernández DEF1122
1
1
Y Musah MID111
1
-
N Okafor FWD111
-
Álvaro Morata FWD113
3
-
S Pavlovic DEF101
1
-
F Tomori DEF9
1
-
T Abraham FWD821
-
M Thiaw DEF7
-
M Gabbia DEF71
2
-
F Terracciano DEF5
2
-
D Calabria DEF4
-
L Jović  FWD3
1
-
I Bennacer MID1
-
K. Zeroli MID1
-