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Atalanta v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Atalanta and Fiorentina meet at the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia on Sunday afternoon, with both Gian Piero Gasperini and Raffaele Palladino aiming for victory in the Serie A. In this preview you'll find odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you explore. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall records can be explored, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.

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Atalanta's next match is v Arsenal at 20:00 on Thursday 19th September
Fiorentina's next match is v Lazio at 11:30 on Sunday 22nd September
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Atalanta and Fiorentina was on Sunday 15th September 2024
Italian Serie A
September 15th 2024
Atalanta 3
2 Fiorentina
 
M. Retegui 21'15' L. Martínez Quarta
C. De Ketelaere 45'32' M. Kean
A. Lookman 45'
 
ATA
FIO
Shots On
7
5
Shots Off
5
5
Corners
4
2
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
16
15
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
AtalantaFiorentina
 
M. Carnesecchi
R. Bellanova
S. Kolašinac
M. Ruggeri (D. Zappacosta 70')
I. Hien (M. Brescianini 46')
B. Djimsiti
M. de Roon
C. De Ketelaerefootball icon
É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
A. Lookmanfootball icon
M. Reteguifootball icon (M. Pašalić 70')
D. de Gea Quintana
football iconL. Martínez Quarta
D. Cordeiro dos Santos
(M. Pongracic 81') L. Ranieri
C. Biraghi
(A. Richardson 62') R. Mandragora
R. Gosens
(N. Ikoné 62') A. Colpani
(Y. Adli 74') D. Cataldi
(R. Sottil 74') E. Bove
football iconM. Kean
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Atalanta and Fiorentina will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Gian Piero Gasperini or Raffaele Palladino has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.22 equating to approximately a 80% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atalanta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
54%
5/617/20
Draw
23%
12/513/5
3%
Fiorentina
23%
7/2
4%
16/5
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
Atalanta 1-0
11%
13/2
12%
6/1
7%
Atalanta 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Atalanta 2-0
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Fiorentina 1-0
6%
12/1
13%
9/1
9%
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
8%
8/1
10%
Fiorentina 2-1
6%
14/111/1
9%
Atalanta 3-1
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Atalanta 3-0
5%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/111/1
Fiorentina 2-0
3%
22/116/1
Atalanta 3-2
3%
22/118/1
12%
Atalanta 4-1
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Atalanta 4-0
2%
28/122/1
Fiorentina 3-1
2%
33/125/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
10/11
8%
17/20
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
10/11
11%
17/20
12%
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/15
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
3/4
3%
4/5
8%
BTTS - No
46%
1/1
5%
19/20
7%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
11/4
7%
13/5
6%
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2
4%
7/2
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/1
7%
6/1
8%
Home/draw
77%
2/11
4%
2/9
Away/draw
46%
10/11
4%
10/11
Home/away
77%
3/10
2%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/42/7
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3/1
8%
12/5
15%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
11/5
16%
21/10
18%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/11
8%
1/3
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
9/2
10%
19/4
25%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/7
5%
1/8
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
10%
10/1
29%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
3%
1/33
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/20
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
8%
8/1
18%
Home DNB
70%
1/3
2%
1/3
2%
Away DNB
39%
9/42/1
3%
Atalanta win to nil
29%
9/4
4%
-
Fiorentina win to nil
11%
7/1
11%
-
Atalanta / Atalanta
28%
15/89/5
Atalanta / Fiorentina
3%
33/128/1
12%
Atalanta / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Draw / Atalanta
17%
15/418/5
Draw / Fiorentina
9%
8/115/2
6%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
4/1
5%
Fiorentina / Atalanta
4%
20/118/1
12%
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
12%
6/111/2
8%
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Serie A table
Atalanta
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Fiorentina
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Nov 10
Jan 12
 Udinese4310310 
Dec 22
May 25
Jan 19
Nov 3
 Napoli430159 
Jan 5
Mar 9
Mar 16
l
 
4-0A
 Inter422068 
Dec 1
Feb 9
Jan 5
Mar 9
 Juventus422068 
Mar 16
Dec 29
Feb 2
l
 
2-1F
 Torino422028 
Jan 19
Nov 3
Apr 6
Dec 29
 Lazio421127 
Sep 22
Jan 26
Oct 26
Feb 9
 Verona420216 
Nov 10
Feb 23
Dec 22
Feb 23
 Empoli413016 
Apr 27
Sep 29
-
-
 Atalanta Home420206 
Mar 30
l
 
3-2F
Dec 8
Apr 20
 Milan412135 
Oct 6
Apr 6
Oct 5
May 18
 Genoa4121-15 
Feb 2
Oct 31
May 25
Nov 23
 Parma4112-14 
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
Apr 27
w
 
0-4F
 Lecce4112-54 
Mar 2
Oct 20
w
 
3-2A
Mar 30
 Fiorentina Away4031-13 
-
-
Oct 30
May 4
 Monza4031-13 
d
 
2-2A
Jan 12
May 11
Dec 1
 Roma4031-13 
Oct 27
May 4
Apr 13
Sep 28
 Bologna4031-33 
May 18
Dec 15
Sep 23
Jan 26
 Como 19074022-42 
Feb 16
Nov 24
Feb 16
Dec 15
 Cagliari4022-52 
Dec 8
Apr 20
Mar 2
Oct 20
 Venezia4013-71 
d
 
0-00-0
May 11
Win / draw / win form
Atalanta 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta2 - 3Fiorentina
Atalanta3 - 0Torino
Atalanta2 - 1Roma
Atalanta2 - 0Empoli
Atalanta2 - 2Verona
Atalanta1 - 2Bologna
Atalanta3 - 0Sassuolo
Atalanta3 - 1Lazio
Atalanta2 - 0Udinese
Atalanta5 - 0Frosinone
Atalanta1 - 0Lecce
Atalanta4 - 1Salernitana
Atalanta3 - 2Milan
Atalanta1 - 2Napoli
Atalanta1 - 2Inter
Atalanta2 - 0Genoa
Atalanta0 - 0Juventus
Atalanta2 - 0Cagliari
Atalanta3 - 0Monza
Atalanta5 - 2Monza
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAtalanta0 - 4Inter
AAtalanta1 - 2Torino
AAtalanta4 - 0Lecce
HAtalanta2 - 3Fiorentina
HAtalanta3 - 0Torino
AAtalanta2 - 0Lecce
HAtalanta2 - 1Roma
AAtalanta2 - 1Salernitana
HAtalanta2 - 0Empoli
AAtalanta2 - 1Monza
HAtalanta2 - 2Verona
AAtalanta1 - 2Cagliari
AAtalanta3 - 0Napoli
AAtalanta2 - 2Juventus
HAtalanta1 - 2Bologna
AAtalanta0 - 4Inter
AAtalanta1 - 1Milan
HAtalanta3 - 0Sassuolo
AAtalanta4 - 1Genoa
HAtalanta3 - 1Lazio
Fiorentina 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Parma1 - 1Fiorentina
Atalanta2 - 3Fiorentina
Cagliari2 - 3Fiorentina
Verona2 - 1Fiorentina
Salernitana0 - 2Fiorentina
Juventus1 - 0Fiorentina
Torino0 - 0Fiorentina
Empoli1 - 1Fiorentina
Bologna2 - 0Fiorentina
Lecce3 - 2Fiorentina
Sassuolo1 - 0Fiorentina
Monza0 - 1Fiorentina
Roma1 - 1Fiorentina
Milan1 - 0Fiorentina
Lazio1 - 0Fiorentina
Napoli1 - 3Fiorentina
Frosinone1 - 1Fiorentina
Udinese0 - 2Fiorentina
Inter4 - 0Fiorentina
Genoa1 - 4Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFiorentina2 - 2Monza
HFiorentina0 - 0Venezia
AFiorentina1 - 1Parma
AFiorentina3 - 2Atalanta
AFiorentina3 - 2Cagliari
HFiorentina2 - 2Napoli
HFiorentina2 - 1Monza
AFiorentina1 - 2Verona
HFiorentina5 - 1Sassuolo
AFiorentina2 - 0Salernitana
HFiorentina1 - 1Genoa
AFiorentina0 - 1Juventus
HFiorentina1 - 2Milan
HFiorentina2 - 2Roma
AFiorentina0 - 0Torino
HFiorentina2 - 1Lazio
AFiorentina1 - 1Empoli
AFiorentina0 - 2Bologna
HFiorentina5 - 1Frosinone
AFiorentina2 - 3Lecce
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Atalanta since 2014
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
15
13
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
ATA
3
D
3
FIO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
2 - 3Fiorentina
Atalanta1 - 0
1 - 2Fiorentina
Atalanta3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Atalanta3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Fiorentina
0 - 1Fiorentina
League games at Fiorentina since 2015
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
17
11
Games: Scored
9 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
1 / 10
ATA
2
D
3
FIO
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
Fiorentina3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fiorentina1 - 0
2 - 3Atalanta
1 - 2Atalanta
Fiorentina2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Fiorentina3 - 0
Fiorentina3 - 2
Goal Statistics

Atalanta's defensive record is very strong, Gian Piero Gasperini's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Serie A outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Fiorentina makes sense in this context.

Atalanta 9th Fiorentina 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Atalanta will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
Atalanta have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
+4
Fiorentina’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283068/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Fiorentina
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
30%
better
ATA
FIO
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score1
1
Scored first2
0
Goals scored5
3
Avg. goals scored1.7
1
Avg. shots per game13
11
Avg. shots per goal8
11
Conversion rate for13
9
Avg. XG for2.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
ATA
FIO
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded6
3
Avg. goals conceded2
1
Avg. shots/game conceded12
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against1.7
0.9
KickOff rating
+7%

Atalanta v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4412
B DjimsitiM ReteguiÉdersonI Hien
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK3
-
B Djimsiti DEF4
1
-
I Hien DEF3
2
-
S Kolasinac DEF1
-
R Bellanova MID2
-
M Roon MID4
2
-
Éderson MID41
1
-
M Ruggeri MID41
-
C Ketelaere MID311
-
A Lookman MID111
-
M Retegui FWD44
1
-
Subs
R Patrício GLK
-
F Rossi GLK
-
P. Comi DEF
-
D Zappacosta DEF41
1
-
O Kossounou  DEF
-
L Samardžić MID2
-
M Palestra MID3
-
M Brescianini MID42
-
I Sulemana MID1
-
J Cuadrado MID
-
M Pasalic MID41
1
-
N Zaniolo MID1
1
-
Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4213
C BiraghiM KeanL RanieriR Mandragora 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK1
-
L Quarta DEF41
-
L Ranieri DEF31
-
C Biraghi DEF41
-
Dodô MID4
1
-
R Mandragora  MID4
3
-
D Cataldi MID2
-
E Bove MID2
1
-
R Gosens MID211
-
A Colpani FWD4
-
M Kean FWD42
-
Subs
T Martinelli GLK
-
P Terracciano GLK3
-
P. Comuzzo DEF3
-
M Moreno DEF
-
M Kayode DEF1
-
F Parisi DEF2
-
M Pongracic  DEF2
1
-
J Ikoné MID3
-
A Richardson MID2
1
-
Y Adli MID21
-
L Beltrán FWD2
-
R Sottil  FWD1
-