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Bologna v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna

Vincenzo Italiano is aiming for a crucial away win in the Serie A on Wednesday evening, as he takes his Fiorentina side to the Renato Dall'Ara to visit Bologna and Thiago Motta. Serie A stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds from leading bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.

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Bologna's next match is v Verona at 19:45 on Friday 23rd February
Fiorentina's next match is v Lazio at 19:45 on Monday 26th February
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Bologna and Fiorentina was on Wednesday 14th February 2024
Italian Serie A
February 14th 2024
Bologna 2
0 Fiorentina
 
R. Orsolini 12'
J. Odgaard 90'
 
BOL
FIO
Shots On
7
3
Shots Off
8
6
Corners
2
3
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
10
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
BolognaFiorentina
 
F. Ravaglia
S. Posch
S. Beukema
V. Kristiansen (R. Calafiori 88')
J. Lucumí Bonilla
M. Aebischer (G. Fabbian 70')
L. Ferguson
R. Freuler
J. Zirkzee (J. Odgaard 88')
R. Orsolinifootball icon (D. Ndoye 79')
A. Saelemaekers (C. Lykogiannis 78')
P. Terracciano
N. Milenković
M. Kayode
L. Ranieri
C. Biraghi
(J. Duncan 83') R. Mandragora
(M. Lopez 83') Arthur
(L. Beltrán 56') G. Bonaventura
A. Belotti
N. Ikoné
(M. N'Zola 71') N. González
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Bologna or Fiorentina are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 71% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bologna are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Bologna
49%
6/4
11%
6/4
9%
6/4
5%
11/8
3%
Draw
26%
2/1
6%
21/1021/10
5%
43/20
2%
Fiorentina
25%
2/1
6%
2/1
6%
21/1043/20
2%
Bologna 1-0
13%
11/2
7%
6/111/2
13%
6/1
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/15/124/5
3%
Bologna 2-0
9%
10/1
10%
10/110/110/1
5%
Bologna 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
9/1
5%
9/1
11%
17/2
Draw 0-0
9%
6/1
18%
13/2
12%
13/2
17%
7/1
11%
Fiorentina 1-0
8%
13/2
17%
7/1
6%
7/1
11%
15/2
6%
Fiorentina 2-1
6%
11/110/1
8%
10/121/2
Bologna 3-0
5%
22/1
10%
25/1
13%
22/120/1
Bologna 3-1
4%
22/1
10%
22/1
10%
22/1
21%
20/1
11%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
14/115/1
7%
Fiorentina 2-0
4%
12/1
13%
14/1
12%
14/114/1
6%
Bologna 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
40/1
21%
33/1
17%
30/1
7%
Fiorentina 3-1
2%
28/128/128/1
12%
25/1
4%
Bologna 4-0
2%
50/1
24%
80/1
33%
66/1
31%
45/1
12%
Bologna 4-1
2%
50/1
24%
70/1
27%
66/1
31%
45/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
7/5
12%
13/10
5%
11/8
13%
13/10
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
8/15
8%
4/7
3%
8/15
8%
8/13
5%
Home 1st Goal
52%
5/6
6%
1/1
5%
10/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/10
3%
6/5
4%
5/4
2%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
6/1
18%
13/2
12%
6/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
1/1
3%
19/20
4%
Evs
11%
23/25
4%
BTTS - No
52%
3/4
3%
4/5
2%
8/11
9%
41/50
3%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
5/1
20%
9/2
10%
9/2
20%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/210/310/3
3%
-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
6/111/26/1
17%
-
Home/draw
75%
4/112/5
5%
4/114/11
1%
Away/draw
51%
1/2
7%
8/15
3%
8/15
3%
4/7
3%
Home/away
74%
4/114/11
2%
4/114/11
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1/2
7%
4/9
3%
4/9
6%
2/5
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
13/8
13%
17/10
4%
13/8
12%
19/10
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
7/2
13%
10/3
8%
10/3
15%
17/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/5
4%
1/5
2%
1/5
4%
1/5
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
10/1
38%
17/2
12%
8/1
29%
17/2
12%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/20
3%
1/16
1%
1/20
3%
1/18
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/1
11%
22/1
10%
-22/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/66
1%
1/50-1.00
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/10
3%
1/11
1%
1/12
1%
1/14
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
6/1
18%
13/2
6%
6/1
7%
7/1
11%
Home DNB
67%
8/11
7%
8/11
7%
4/6
3%
4/6
2%
Away DNB
44%
1/1
9%
1/1
9%
11/10
5%
6/5
2%
Bologna win to nil
29%
11/429/10
5%
13/5
4%
-
Fiorentina win to nil
14%
7/2
10%
15/4
9%
18/5
8%
-
Bologna / Bologna
23%
10/3
15%
17/5
10%
3/1
7%
29/10
4%
Bologna / Fiorentina
2%
33/140/133/135/1
Bologna / Draw
6%
14/114/114/1
15%
13/1
Draw / Bologna
16%
9/29/2
6%
9/223/5
Draw / Fiorentina
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
7%
6/1
7%
6/1
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
9%
10/3
4%
16/5
9%
7/2
6%
Fiorentina / Bologna
3%
28/133/133/1
17%
30/1
3%
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
15%
4/1
9%
17/4
9%
4/117/4
1%
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/114/114/113/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Bologna have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 6 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 36 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

Bologna have played 12 games at home winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 22 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Fiorentina are in 7th position in the Serie A on 37 points having played 23 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Fiorentina have conceded 11 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Bologna
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Fiorentina
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Mar 10
d
 
2-2A
 Inter2420314763 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
May 19
d
 
1-1F
 Juventus2516632154 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 7
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
 Milan2516451852 
Mar 30
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 3
 Atalanta2414372445 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 17
-
-
 Bologna Home2512941445 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 21
 Roma2512581541 
Mar 10
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
 Fiorentina Away251159838 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
 Lazio241149337 
Feb 26
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
May 12
 Napoli241068536 
May 19
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-0F
May 5
 Torino24996336 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 2
Apr 14
d
 
0-00-0
 Monza25898-533 
May 12
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
May 26
 Genoa25799-530 
Apr 14
w
 
1-4F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Lecce255911-1524 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2A
Apr 28
l
 
3-0A
 Udinese253148-1323 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 7
 Frosinone256514-2023 
w
 
5-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 17
 Empoli255713-1922 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
Feb 23
d
 
0-00-0
 Verona254813-1120 
w
 
1-0F
May 5
w
 
4-2A
d
 
1-1F
 Sassuolo245514-1620 
Apr 28
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
 Cagliari254714-2319 
w
 
3-0F
May 26
Mar 30
w
 
1-2F
 Salernitana252716-3113 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 21
Win / draw / win form
Bologna 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Fiorentina 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bologna since 2016
Bologna
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
10
12
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
BOL
1
D
4
FIO
3
All league games since 2015
Bologna
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
14
25
Games: Scored
9 / 17
14 / 17
Clean sheets
3 / 17
8 / 17
BOL
2
D
6
FIO
9
Goal Statistics

Bologna have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Fiorentina on Wednesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Bologna 5th Fiorentina 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Bologna will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Fiorentina scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Bologna have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
+22
Fiorentina have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264489/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bologna
PG (predicted goals)
Fiorentina
1.5
1
Attack rating
9%
better
BOL
FIO
view stats
Games scored20
17
Failed to score5
8
Scored first14
13
Goals scored37
37
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate16%
16%
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
23%
better
BOL
FIO
view stats
Games conceded15
19
Clean sheets10
6
Conceded first8
12
Goals conceded23
29
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate11%
15%
KickOff rating
+23%

Bologna v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bologna Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24936
L FergusonR OrsoliniV KristiansenS Posch
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Ravaglia GLK3
-
S Posch DEF202
6
-
S Beukema DEF2111
3
-
J Lucumí DEF16
-
V Kristiansen DEF213
3
-
R Freuler MID20
5
-
R Orsolini MID2191
1
-
M Aebischer MID241
6
-
L Ferguson MID2453
6
-
A Saelemaekers MID1912
5
-
J Zirkzee FWD2493
5
-
Subs
L Skorupski GLK22
2
-
N Bagnolini GLK
-
R Calafiori DEF222
4
-
T. Corazza DEF6
1
-
C Lykogiannis DEF1711
1
-
L Silvestri  DEF112
-
M Ilić DEF
-
O Azzouzi MID1111
3
-
G Fabbian MID1631
3
-
K Urbański MID13
3
-
N Moro MID201
-
J Karlsson FWD5
-
D Ndoye FWD201
3
-
J Odgaard FWD22
-
Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
237510
P TerraccianoN GonzálezA DuncanL Ranieri
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Terracciano GLK23
3
-
M Kayode DEF161
2
-
N Milenković DEF23
3
1
L Ranieri DEF161
10
-
C Biraghi DEF2013
6
-
Arthur MID241
1
-
R Mandragora  MID2222
2
-
J Ikoné MID1811
5
-
G Bonaventura MID2362
4
-
N González MID1871
1
-
A Belotti FWD41
-
Subs
T Martinelli GLK
-
T Vannucchi GLK
-
D Faraoni  DEF41
-
P. Comuzzo DEF3
-
F Parisi DEF151
3
-
A Duncan MID2215
2
-
M López  MID10
-
G Infantino MID5
1
-
A Barak MID101
1
-
L Beltrán FWD2261
4
-
R Sottil  FWD1411
-
M Nzola  FWD2422
1
-