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Empoli v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Carlo Castellani, Empoli

Roberto D'Aversa's Empoli side are on home soil in the Serie A on Saturday evening, as Giuseppe Pillon's Milan arrive at the Carlo Castellani. We've got odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for both teams. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.

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Empoli's next match is v Udinese at 14:00 on Sunday 16th February
Milan's next match is v Verona at 19:45 on Saturday 15th February
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Empoli and Milan was on Saturday 8th February 2025
Italian Serie A
February 8th 2025
Empoli 0
2 Milan
 
68' R. Conceição Leão
76' S. Giménez
 
EMP
ACM
Shots On
5
Shots Off
4
7
Corners
2
6
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
17
10
Yellow/red cards
2/1
3/1
 
EmpoliMilan
 
D. Vásquez Llach
M. Viti (S. Goglichidze 28')
L. Marianucci
M. De Sciglio
L. Cacace
G. Pezzella
L. Henderson (C. Kouamé 70')
A. Grassi (J. Bacci 81')
E. Gyasi
L. Colombo (S. Żurkowski 70')
S. Esposito (I. Konate 80')
M. Maignan
K. Walker
S. Pavlović
(R. Conceição Leão 46') A. Jiménez Sánchez
T. Hernández
F. Tomori
(C. Pulisic 46') Y. Fofana
Y. Musah
(M. Thiaw 69') T. Reijnders
(F. Terracciano 84') J. Sequeira
(S. Giménez 46') K. Bakumo-Abraham

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Empoli and Milan combined during 90 mins. Up to date form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to our prediction, and we think there's a 78% chance of it being a winning tip. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Milan coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Empoli
26%
15/4
14%
4/1
9%
Draw
26%
3/1
18%
11/4
1%
Milan
48%
4/6
5%
7/10
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2
15%
6/1
8%
Milan 1-0
12%
7/1
23%
6/1
17%
Milan 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Milan 2-0
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
Empoli 1-0
8%
14/1
15%
11/1
20%
Draw 0-0
8%
12/1
44%
9/1
18%
Empoli 2-1
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
20%
Milan 3-1
5%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Milan 3-0
4%
12/111/1
9%
Empoli 2-0
4%
25/120/1
11%
Milan 3-2
2%
22/1
21%
16/1
19%
Empoli 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Milan 4-1
2%
22/1
21%
18/1
17%
Milan 4-0
2%
22/1
21%
18/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
8/11
14%
7/10
13%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
11/10
17%
21/20
17%
Home 1st Goal
43%
15/8
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
4/9
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
12/1
44%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
7/10
11%
7/10
13%
BTTS - No
50%
21/20
7%
21/20
14%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
15/2
15%
13/2
6%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
5%
18/5
8%
BTTS - Away Win
20%
9/4
19%
11/5
15%
Home/draw
52%
23/20
8%
11/10
2%
Away/draw
74%
2/11
4%
1/6
1%
Home/away
74%
2/9
6%
1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
2/9
8%
2/9
8%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
10/3
27%
14/5
19%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
7/4
21%
17/10
21%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
4/9
11%
2/5
9%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
4/1
29%
19/5
26%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/6
6%
2/13
5%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
9/1
33%
8/1
31%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/16
3%
1/20
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25
3%
1/25
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/1
44%
9/1
18%
Home DNB
44%
5/25/2
6%
Away DNB
66%
2/71/4
3%
Empoli win to nil
15%
8/1-
Milan win to nil
28%
2/1
9%
-
Empoli / Empoli
11%
7/113/2
7%
Empoli / Milan
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Empoli / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Empoli
8%
9/1
5%
17/2
6%
Draw / Milan
18%
7/2
4%
17/5
2%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
20%
17/4
5%
Milan / Empoli
3%
33/1
17%
28/1
Milan / Milan
31%
8/5
5%
8/5
4%
Milan / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Empoli have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Empoli have conceded 31 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Empoli have played 11 games at home, winning 1, drawing 5 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Milan lay in 8th place on 35 points in the Serie A league table having played 22 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 26 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Milan have played 10 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Empoli
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli2417432255 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
l
 
0-2A
Mar 30
2
Inter2416623554 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
3
Atalanta2415542850 
Feb 23
l
 
3-2F
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
4
Lazio2414371345 
May 4
l
 
2-1F
Mar 2
d
 
2-2F
5
Juventus24101312043 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
6
Fiorentina2412661642 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
7
Milan Away2310851138 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
-
-
8
Bologna239113838 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
May 11
Feb 26
9
Roma24978634 
Mar 9
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
May 18
10
Udinese248610-830 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 16
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
11
Torino246108-328 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 16
d
 
2-2A
Feb 22
12
Genoa24699-1127 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
May 4
13
Cagliari246612-1324 
Apr 6
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
14
Lecce246612-2324 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 9
15
Verona247215-2723 
May 25
w
 
1-4F
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
16
Como 1907245712-1222 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
Mar 16
w
 
1-2A
17
Empoli Home244911-1321 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
18
Parma244812-1420 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
19
Venezia243714-1716 
Apr 20
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-0F
Apr 27
20
Monza242715-1813 
d
 
0-00-0
May 18
May 25
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Empoli 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
Milan 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Milan have beaten Empoli in 3 consecutive league meetings
9
Milan have not lost to Empoli in 9 consecutive league meetings
4
Milan have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Empoli
League games at Empoli since 2014
Empoli
Milan
Goals: Scored
9
19
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
D
3
ACM
4
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Empoli
Goals: Scored
12
4
Games: Scored
7 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
1 / 8
EMP
1
D
2
ACM
5
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Empoli of late. It has been 5 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday evening against Milan.

Milan have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Empoli on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Empoli 17th Milan 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Empoli will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-30
Empoli have scored 30% fewer goals at home than predicted
+8
Milan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.8
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283275/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Empoli
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1
1.5
Attack rating
%
better
EMP
ACM
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
EMP
ACM
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Empoli v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Empoli Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24837
E GyasiS EspositoL HendersonL Henderson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Vásquez GLK23
2
-
M Sciglio DEF111
1
L. Marianucci DEF8
1
M Viti DEF21
1
-
E Gyasi MID2421
4
-
L Henderson MID233
7
-
A Grassi MID15
6
-
G Pezzella MID223
6
-
S Esposito FWD208
1
-
L Cacace FWD2022
4
-
L Colombo FWD2452
2
-
Subs
M Silvestri GLK
-
J Seghetti GLK1
-
S. Goglichidze DEF21
1
J Sambia DEF7
-
L. Tosto DEF1
-
D. Falcusan DEF
-
S Zurkowski MID3
-
J. Bacci MID2
-
C Kouamé FWD1
-
B. Pereira Gravelo FWD
-
I. Konate FWD4
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23765
M Maignan T ReijndersC PulisicY Fofana
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK23
1
-
K Walker DEF2
-
F Tomori DEF14
2
1
S Pavlovic DEF1311
2
-
T Hernández DEF2032
2
1
Y Musah MID182
2
-
Y Fofana MID2114
5
-
T Reijnders MID2273
2
1
A. Jiménez Sánchez FWD6
2
-
T Abraham FWD1822
-
J Félix FWD1
1
-
Subs
M Sportiello GLK
-
L. Torriani GLK
-
M Thiaw DEF14
1
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF2
1
M Gabbia DEF141
3
-
F Terracciano MID9
2
-
C Pulisic MID1966
-
S Giménez FWD11
1
-
R Leão FWD2154
2
-
S Chukwueze FWD192
-
F. Camarda FWD8
-
R Sottil  FWD
-