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Empoli v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Carlo Castellani, Empoli

The Serie A is the focus for both Empoli and Fiorentina on Sunday afternoon, as managers Davide Nicola and Vincenzo Italiano battle it out at the Carlo Castellani. You'll find stats supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Serie A performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

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Empoli's next match is v Milan at 14:00 on Sunday 10th March
Fiorentina's next match is v Roma at 19:45 on Sunday 10th March
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Empoli and Fiorentina was on Sunday 18th February 2024
Italian Serie A
February 18th 2024
Empoli 1
1 Fiorentina
 
M. Niang 56'29' L. Beltrán
 
EMP
FIO
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
3
Corners
3
Possession
39%
61%
Fouls
15
14
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
EmpoliFiorentina
 
E. Caprile
L. Cacace (G. Pezzella 87')
A. Ismajli
S. Luperto
S. Walukiewicz
S. Żurkowski
Y. Maleh (J. Fazzini 80')
A. Grassi (R. Marin 30')
N. Cambiaghi
E. Gyasi (M. Niang 46')
A. Cerri (M. Cancellieri 46')
P. Terracciano
(M. Kayode 62') M. Faraoni
N. Milenković
L. Martínez Quarta
(F. Parisi 75') C. Biraghi
R. Mandragora
(Arthur 62') J. Duncan
(G. Bonaventura 72') A. Belotti
N. González
football iconL. Beltrán
(N. Ikoné 72') R. Sottil
Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're anticipating a relatively tight affair here and, as such, we predict under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Empoli and Fiorentina go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have reason to trust both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

As we get closer to the start of the game, it's always interesting to note shifts in the bookmaker's odds. On this occasion, the odds are getting shorter for under 2.5 goals and drifting for over 2.5 goals. We're in agreement with the bookmakers and the betting public – defences really should be expected to come out on top in this affair.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Fiorentina coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Empoli
28%
5/2
3%
13/511/4
4%
11/4
1%
Draw
27%
9/4
4%
11/5
3%
23/10
3%
49/20
3%
Fiorentina
45%
23/20
8%
23/20
2%
21/20
2%
Evens
2%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
11/211/2
Fiorentina 1-0
13%
6/1
7%
11/2
13%
6/16/1
7%
Empoli 1-0
9%
17/2
5%
8/1
10%
10/119/2
9%
Draw 0-0
9%
15/2
15%
7/1
20%
17/2
5%
17/2
10%
Fiorentina 2-1
9%
8/18/1
6%
15/28/1
6%
Fiorentina 2-0
9%
17/217/2
5%
17/2
5%
8/1
5%
Empoli 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
12/1
8%
11/123/2
Empoli 2-0
5%
16/1
11%
18/118/117/1
5%
Draw 2-2
4%
14/116/1
13%
14/115/1
14%
Fiorentina 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
18/1
12%
16/117/1
13%
Fiorentina 3-0
4%
18/120/1
11%
16/116/1
Empoli 3-1
2%
28/133/128/129/1
15%
Fiorentina 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
33/1
17%
25/125/1
4%
Empoli 3-0
2%
40/150/140/135/1
Empoli 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
45/1
12%
33/133/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
6/5
10%
5/4
15%
Evs
5%
11/10
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
13/20
8%
3/5
11%
8/11
4%
8/11
6%
Home 1st Goal
43%
6/429/20
2%
7/5
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/6
3%
5/6
5%
8/11
2%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
7/1
20%
7/1
20%
15/2
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
10/11
6%
19/20
11%
4/5
4%
22/25
4%
BTTS - No
52%
10/11
2%
4/5
8%
10/11
5%
17/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
13/2
7%
13/2
15%
6/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/217/5
4%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
18%
15/4
10%
19/5
14%
16/5-
Home/draw
55%
4/6
7%
7/10
2%
8/11
4%
4/5
2%
Away/draw
72%
2/72/72/77/25
Home/away
73%
1/3
2%
1/31/3
2%
8/25
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
2/5
8%
2/5
8%
1/31/3
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
2/1
14%
7/4
15%
9/411/5
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
10/3
24%
16/5
24%
5/214/5
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
2/9
6%
1/5
7%
2/71/4
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
8/1
38%
8/1
38%
6/1
8%
7/1
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/14
4%
1/16
4%
1/12
2%
1/14
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
27%
22/1
53%
-18/1
19%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
1/40
1%
-1.00
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12
2%
1/12
2%
1/16
1%
1/18
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1
20%
13/2
21%
7/1
11%
8/1
14%
Home DNB
47%
6/411/8
5%
13/8
5%
33/20
2%
Away DNB
64%
1/28/15
2%
4/9
4%
12/25
1%
Empoli win to nil
16%
9/2
8%
19/4
12%
5/1-
Fiorentina win to nil
27%
5/212/5
3%
23/10
3%
-
Empoli / Empoli
13%
9/2
8%
11/25/121/4
Empoli / Fiorentina
3%
25/1
13%
33/1
17%
25/128/1
12%
Empoli / Draw
6%
14/114/114/114/1
Draw / Empoli
10%
13/213/215/27/1
Draw / Fiorentina
17%
4/119/5
4%
4/117/4
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
5%
7/2
10%
4/14/1
6%
Fiorentina / Empoli
2%
33/145/1
12%
40/1
21%
35/1
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
26%
5/2
3%
27/10
6%
9/4
2%
11/5
3%
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
14/114/1
15%
14/1
7%
bet365
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Empoli have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Empoli have conceded 29 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Empoli have played 12 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

Fiorentina lay in 7th place on 37 points in the Serie A league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 30 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Fiorentina have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Fiorentina have played 12 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Empoli
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Fiorentina
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-1A
Apr 1
 Inter2622315569 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
 Juventus2717642157 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 7
l
 
0-3A
Mar 10
 Milan2717551956 
Mar 30
l
 
1-0A
Mar 15
l
 
3-0A
 Bologna2714941751 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
May 26
l
 
7-0A
 Roma2714581947 
Mar 10
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-3A
Apr 28
 Atalanta2714491946 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 17
Apr 21
w
 
0-1F
 Napoli2712781143 
May 19
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
 Fiorentina Away271269942 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
May 12
 Lazio2712411340 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 7
l
 
1-0A
 Torino279108037 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
 Monza27999-636 
May 12
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
 Genoa26899-333 
Apr 14
w
 
1-4F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 14
 Lecce2751012-1925 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2A
-
-
 Empoli Home276714-1925 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
May 19
 Udinese273159-1524 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
May 5
l
 
2-1A
 Frosinone276615-2124 
w
 
5-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
 Verona275814-1223 
w
 
1-0F
May 5
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Cagliari275814-2223 
w
 
3-0F
May 26
l
 
3-4F
w
 
2-3F
 Sassuolo275517-2320 
Apr 28
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
 Salernitana272817-3314 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 21
Win / draw / win form
Empoli 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Fiorentina 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Empoli since 2015
Empoli
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
7
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
EMP
3
D
1
FIO
2
All league games since 2014
Empoli
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
16
17
Games: Scored
10 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
3 / 13
EMP
5
D
4
FIO
4
Goal Statistics
Empoli 14th Fiorentina 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Empoli will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Empoli have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
+22
Fiorentina have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264532/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Empoli
PG (predicted goals)
Fiorentina
1
1.4
Attack rating
EMP
FIO
34%
better
view stats
Games scored13
18
Failed to score14
9
Scored first7
13
Goals scored22
39
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate10%
15%
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
EMP
FIO
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
20
Clean sheets7
7
Conceded first17
13
Goals conceded41
30
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate14%
14%
KickOff rating
+11%

Empoli v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Empoli Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27429
S LupertoS ZurkowskiR MarinY Maleh
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Caprile GLK12
-
A Ismajli DEF21
1
-
S Walukiewicz DEF18
5
-
S Luperto DEF2711
2
-
E Gyasi MID221
5
-
A Grassi MID231
4
-
Y Maleh MID24
9
-
L Cacace MID21
5
-
S Zurkowski MID64
2
-
N Cambiaghi MID261
2
-
A Cerri FWD7
1
-
Subs
S Perisan GLK1
-
F. Vertua GLK
-
B Bereszynski DEF131
2
-
S. Goglichidze DEF
-
G Pezzella DEF9
1
-
R Marin MID212
1
-
J Fazzini MID2211
4
-
S Bastoni  MID91
2
-
V Kovalenko MID1311
-
M Cancellieri FWD2622
6
-
M Destro  FWD11
1
-
S. Shpendi FWD111
-
M Niang FWD431
-
Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
257511
P TerraccianoN GonzálezA DuncanL Ranieri
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Terracciano GLK25
3
-
D Faraoni  DEF41
-
L Quarta DEF214
5
-
N Milenković DEF25
3
1
C Biraghi DEF2213
6
-
A Duncan MID2215
2
-
R Mandragora  MID2422
2
-
N González MID2071
1
-
L Beltrán MID2461
5
-
R Sottil  MID1611
-
A Belotti FWD611
-
Subs
T Martinelli GLK
-
T Vannucchi GLK
-
M Kayode DEF1811
2
-
P. Comuzzo DEF3
-
L Ranieri DEF181
11
-
F Parisi DEF151
3
-
M López  MID12
-
J Ikoné MID1911
5
-
G Infantino MID5
1
-
A Barak MID121
2
-
Arthur MID261
2
-
G Bonaventura MID2572
4
-
M Nzola  FWD2522
1
-