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Empoli v Lecce : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Carlo Castellani, Empoli

Saturday afternoon at the Carlo Castellani, and it’s a Serie A showdown between Empoli and Lecce. Roberto D'Aversa and Luca Gotti will be doing all they can to claim victory. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Empoli's next match is v Bologna at 19:45 on Saturday 25th January
Lecce's next match is v Inter at 17:00 on Sunday 26th January
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Empoli and Lecce was on Saturday 11th January 2025
Italian Serie A
January 11th 2025
Empoli 1
3 Lecce
 
L. Cacace 47'6' J. Morente Oliva
11' N. Krstović
90' N. Krstović
 
EMP
LEC
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
6
5
Corners
9
2
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
11
21
Yellow/red cards
3/0
 
EmpoliLecce
 
J. Seghetti
A. Ismajli (M. De Sciglio 21')
S. Goglichidze
M. Viti
L. Cacacefootball icon
G. Pezzella (S. Sambia 80')
A. Grassi (L. Henderson 80')
Y. Maleh (J. Fazzini 75')
E. Gyasi
L. Colombo
S. Esposito
W. Falcone
F. Guilbert
G. Jean
F. Baschirotto
(Y. Ramadani 82') B. Pierret
L. Coulibaly
(M. Kaba 52') T. Helgason
(J. Karlsson 82') football iconJ. Morente Oliva
(K. Bonifazi 68') S. Pierotti
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu
football iconfootball iconN. Krstović

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Roberto D'Aversa and Luca Gotti to got all-out defensive here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Empoli and Lecce go head-to-head. The stats belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.57 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we're recommending.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Empoli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Empoli
46%
1/1
11%
21/20
9%
Draw
32%
11/5
7%
2/1
6%
Lecce
22%
16/5
17%
16/5
24%
Empoli 1-0
19%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Draw 0-0
17%
13/2
7%
11/2
Draw 1-1
12%
5/119/4
4%
Lecce 1-0
11%
17/2
12%
15/2
13%
Empoli 2-0
10%
15/2
11%
7/1
11%
Empoli 2-1
7%
8/1
5%
15/2
Lecce 2-1
4%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Empoli 3-0
4%
16/1
19%
14/1
12%
Lecce 2-0
4%
18/1
12%
16/1
31%
Empoli 3-1
3%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Draw 2-2
2%
16/112/1
13%
Empoli 4-0
1%
40/128/1
15%
Lecce 3-1
1%
33/125/1
13%
Empoli 3-2
1%
33/122/1
12%
Lecce 3-0
1%
40/133/1
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
11/813/10
Under 2.5 Goals
74%
4/74/7
1%
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/13
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
36%
7/4
10%
-
No 1st Goal
13%
13/2
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
32%
1/11/1
2%
BTTS - No
68%
3/48/11
2%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
4/1
9%
18/5
8%
BTTS - Draw
15%
15/4
6%
7/2
2%
BTTS - Away Win
6%
8/1
13%
7/1
14%
Home/draw
78%
2/9
5%
2/9
6%
Away/draw
54%
4/5
11%
3/4
8%
Home/away
68%
4/114/11
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
53%
4/94/9
Under 1.5 Goals
47%
7/413/8
Over 3.5 Goals
10%
7/216/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
90%
1/51/5
Over 4.5 Goals
3%
9/115/2
Under 4.5 Goals
97%
1/161/16
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
20/116/1
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/661/150
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
83%
1/12
2%
1/10
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
17%
13/2
7%
11/2
Home DNB
69%
2/5
9%
2/5
10%
Away DNB
44%
7/4
16%
7/4
20%
Empoli win to nil
35%
9/4
7%
-
Lecce win to nil
16%
5/1
9%
-
Empoli / Empoli
25%
12/5
9%
9/4
10%
Empoli / Lecce
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Empoli / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Empoli
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
8%
Draw / Lecce
10%
7/1
14%
13/2
15%
Draw / Draw
19%
7/2
4%
3/1
5%
Lecce / Empoli
3%
28/120/1
9%
Lecce / Lecce
12%
11/2
18%
11/2
24%
Lecce / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Empoli have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Empoli have outscored their opponents by 18 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Empoli have played 9 games at home winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 3 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Lecce are in 18th position in the Serie A on 17 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 2 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Lecce have conceded 30 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Empoli
Lecce
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli2116232150 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
May 4
l
 
1-0A
2
Inter2014513347 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
Jan 26
l
 
2-0A
3
Atalanta2113442243 
Feb 23
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-4A
Apr 27
4
Lazio211236939 
May 4
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2A
May 25
5
Juventus2181301737 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 2
d
 
1-1A
Apr 13
6
Fiorentina209651233 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
l
 
0-6A
Mar 2
7
Bologna20893633 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
Feb 9
l
 
1-0A
8
Milan20875831 
Feb 9
l
 
3-0A
Mar 9
l
 
3-0A
9
Roma21768427 
Mar 9
w
 
1-2F
Mar 30
l
 
4-1A
10
Udinese21759-826 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 16
Feb 23
l
 
1-0A
11
Torino21588-523 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 16
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
12
Genoa21588-1223 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 16
13
Como 190721579-822 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
14
Cagliari215610-1121 
Apr 6
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1F
15
Empoli Home21489-820 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3F
16
Parma21489-1020 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
Jan 31
17
Lecce Away215511-2120 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1F
-
-
18
Verona216114-2319 
May 25
w
 
1-4F
w
 
1-0F
May 11
19
Venezia213612-1515 
Apr 20
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
w
 
0-1F
20
Monza212712-1113 
d
 
0-00-0
May 18
w
 
2-1F
Feb 16
Win / draw / win form
Empoli 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Empoli1 - 2Genoa
Empoli0 - 1Torino
Empoli1 - 1Udinese
Empoli1 - 0Como 1907
Empoli0 - 3Inter
Empoli0 - 1Napoli
Empoli0 - 0Fiorentina
Empoli0 - 0Juventus
Empoli0 - 0Monza
Empoli2 - 1Roma
Empoli0 - 0Frosinone
Empoli1 - 0Napoli
Empoli3 - 2Torino
Empoli0 - 1Bologna
Empoli0 - 1Cagliari
Empoli1 - 1Fiorentina
Empoli0 - 0Genoa
Empoli3 - 0Monza
Empoli0 - 3Milan
Empoli0 - 2Lazio
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEmpoli1 - 1Venezia
HEmpoli1 - 2Genoa
AEmpoli2 - 3Atalanta
HEmpoli0 - 1Torino
AEmpoli4 - 1Verona
AEmpoli0 - 3Milan
HEmpoli1 - 1Udinese
AEmpoli1 - 1Lecce
HEmpoli1 - 0Como 1907
HEmpoli0 - 3Inter
AEmpoli1 - 1Parma
HEmpoli0 - 1Napoli
AEmpoli1 - 2Lazio
HEmpoli0 - 0Fiorentina
AEmpoli2 - 0Cagliari
HEmpoli0 - 0Juventus
AEmpoli1 - 1Bologna
AEmpoli2 - 1Roma
HEmpoli0 - 0Monza
HEmpoli2 - 1Roma
Lecce 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Como 19072 - 0Lecce
Roma4 - 1Lecce
Venezia0 - 1Lecce
Bologna1 - 0Lecce
Napoli1 - 0Lecce
Udinese1 - 0Lecce
Milan3 - 0Lecce
Torino0 - 0Lecce
Inter2 - 0Lecce
Napoli0 - 0Lecce
Cagliari1 - 1Lecce
Sassuolo0 - 3Lecce
Milan3 - 0Lecce
Salernitana0 - 1Lecce
Frosinone1 - 1Lecce
Torino2 - 0Lecce
Bologna4 - 0Lecce
Genoa2 - 1Lecce
Lazio1 - 0Lecce
Atalanta1 - 0Lecce
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLecce0 - 0Genoa
ALecce0 - 2Como 1907
HLecce1 - 2Lazio
HLecce2 - 1Monza
ALecce1 - 4Roma
HLecce1 - 1Juventus
ALecce1 - 0Venezia
HLecce1 - 1Empoli
ALecce0 - 1Bologna
HLecce1 - 0Verona
ALecce0 - 1Napoli
HLecce0 - 6Fiorentina
ALecce0 - 1Udinese
ALecce0 - 3Milan
HLecce2 - 2Parma
ALecce0 - 0Torino
HLecce1 - 0Cagliari
ALecce0 - 2Inter
HLecce0 - 4Atalanta
ALecce0 - 0Napoli
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Empoli since 2021
Empoli
Lecce
Goals: Scored
4
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
EMP
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Empoli
Draw1 - 1Draw
Empoli1 - 0
Empoli2 - 1
League games at Lecce since 2021
Lecce
Empoli
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
D
3
LEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lecce
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lecce1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics
Empoli 15th Lecce 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Empoli will score no more than 1 goal
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
4+
There is a 52% probability that Lecce will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-39
Empoli have scored 39% fewer goals at home than predicted
-49
Lecce have scored 49% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.7
average goals scored
0.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283229/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Empoli
PG (predicted goals)
Lecce
1.1
0.7
Attack rating
33%
better
EMP
LEC
view stats
Games scored12
9
Failed to score7
10
Scored first9
5
Goals scored18
11
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.6
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal7
16
Conversion rate for14
6
Avg. XG for0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
20%
better
EMP
LEC
view stats
Games conceded14
14
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first7
12
Goals conceded22
31
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+20%

Empoli v Lecce Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Empoli Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21825
A IsmajliS EspositoG PezzellaG Pezzella
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Seghetti GLK1
-
S. Goglichidze DEF18
1
A Ismajli DEF21
1
-
M Viti DEF19
1
-
E Gyasi MID2121
3
-
A Grassi MID13
4
-
Y Maleh MID171
2
-
G Pezzella MID202
5
-
S Esposito FWD178
1
-
L Cacace FWD1722
4
-
L Colombo FWD2142
2
-
Subs
S Perisan GLK
-
D Vásquez GLK20
2
-
J Sambia DEF7
-
M Sciglio DEF8
1
L. Tosto DEF
-
D. Falcusan DEF
-
L Henderson MID202
5
-
J Fazzini MID11
2
-
S Zurkowski MID1
-
J. Bacci MID
-
I. Konate FWD2
-
Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21624
W FalconeN KrstovicS PierottiF Guilbert
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK21
1
-
F Guilbert DEF16
2
2
F Baschirotto DEF21
2
-
G Jean DEF10
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF2031
2
1
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID5
-
L Coulibaly  MID21
2
-
B Pierret MID16
2
-
S Pierotti FWD2022
4
-
N Krstovic FWD2161
2
-
T Morente FWD1731
2
-
Subs
J Samooja GLK
-
A Borbei GLK
-
C Früchtl GLK
-
K Bonifazi  DEF3
-
C. Pehlivanov DEF
-
Y Ramadani MID181
3
-
E McJannet MID
-
F Marchwiński MID1
-
M Kaba MID8
1
-
R Pop FWD1
-
D. Daka FWD
-
J Karlsson FWD3
-
A Rebic  FWD181
3
1