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Fiorentina v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Artemio Franchi, Firenze

the Stadio Comunale Gino Bozzi faithful welcome Milan's travelling contingent on Sunday evening, as Raffaele Palladino's Fiorentina take on Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca's charges in the Serie A. We've got predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Serie A clash.

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Fiorentina's next match is v Lecce at 14:00 on Sunday 20th October
Milan's next match is v Udinese at 17:00 on Saturday 19th October
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Fiorentina and Milan was on Sunday 6th October 2024
Italian Serie A
October 6th 2024
Fiorentina 2
1 Milan
 
Y. Adli 35'60' C. Pulisic
A. Gudmundsson 73'
 
FIO
ACM
Shots On
3
8
Shots Off
8
5
Corners
7
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
11
21
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/1
 
FiorentinaMilan
 
D. de Gea Quintana
D. Cordeiro dos Santos
R. Gosens
L. Ranieri
P. Comuzzo
A. Colpani (M. Kayode 90')
Y. Adlifootball icon (C. Kouamé 77')
D. Cataldi (A. Richardson 67')
E. Bove
M. Kean
A. Gudmundssonfootball icon (C. Biraghi 77')
M. Maignan
E. Leite de Souza Junior
M. Gabbia
F. Tomori
T. Hernández
Y. Fofana
T. Reijnders
(N. Okafor 73') R. Conceição Leão
(S. Chukwueze 82') football iconC. Pulisic
K. Bakumo-Abraham
Á. Morata Martín
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Fiorentina and Milan's current form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fiorentina
28%
23/10
22%
12/5
21%
Draw
23%
27/10
6%
13/5
6%
Milan
48%
21/20
16%
21/20
16%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
8%
Milan 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Milan 1-0
8%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
Milan 2-0
7%
10/1
15%
9/1
17%
Fiorentina 2-1
7%
11/1
20%
9/1
11%
Fiorentina 1-0
6%
12/1
18%
10/1
16%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Milan 3-1
6%
14/1
21%
11/1
20%
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
15%
10/1
10%
Milan 3-0
4%
18/1
17%
14/1
21%
Fiorentina 2-0
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
Milan 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Fiorentina 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Fiorentina 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Milan 4-1
2%
28/1
29%
22/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
4/6
3%
4/6
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
6/5
5%
11/10
5%
Home 1st Goal
46%
13/10
12%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/13
8%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/13
3%
3/5
BTTS - No
40%
6/55/4
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/2
16%
17/4
14%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
16/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
26%
11/4
17%
5/2
17%
Home/draw
52%
8/11
15%
8/11
13%
Away/draw
72%
1/3
6%
3/10
10%
Home/away
77%
2/7
3%
2/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/9
3%
2/9
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/33/1
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
7/4
2%
8/5
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/9
2%
4/9
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/118/5
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6
4%
1/6
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1
9%
15/2
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
3%
1/18
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
10/1
10%
Home DNB
45%
11/8
27%
7/5
23%
Away DNB
65%
8/15
14%
1/2
14%
Fiorentina win to nil
13%
11/2
18%
-
Milan win to nil
23%
3/1
11%
-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
15%
9/2
27%
17/4
21%
Fiorentina / Milan
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw / Fiorentina
11%
13/2
15%
6/1
8%
Draw / Milan
15%
9/2
8%
4/1
13%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
17/4
5%
Milan / Fiorentina
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
Milan / Milan
25%
9/4
19%
11/5
16%
Milan / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Serie A table
Fiorentina
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Milan
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Jan 5
Mar 9
 Napoli7511916 
Oct 29
Mar 30
Dec 1
Feb 9
 Inter7421714 
Feb 2
w
 
1-2F
Dec 23
May 25
 Udinese7412013 
Oct 19
Apr 13
Mar 16
Dec 29
 Juventus7340913 
Nov 23
Jan 19
w
 
2-1A
Jan 26
 Lazio7412313 
Mar 2
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 6
 Milan Away7322611 
-
-
Jan 19
Nov 3
 Torino7322111 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 23
Mar 30
l
 
3-2F
 Atalanta7313310 
Apr 20
Dec 6
Apr 27
d
 
0-00-0
 Empoli7241210 
Nov 30
Feb 9
-
-
 Fiorentina Home7241110 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
Oct 27
May 4
 Roma7241310 
Dec 29
May 18
Nov 10
Feb 23
 Verona730409 
Feb 16
Dec 20
May 18
Dec 15
 Bologna7151-28 
May 11
Oct 26
Feb 16
Nov 24
 Como 19077223-48 
Mar 16
Jan 5
Dec 8
Apr 20
 Cagliari7133-66 
Jan 12
Nov 9
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
 Parma7133-26 
Jan 26
l
 
2-1A
Mar 2
Oct 20
 Lecce7124-95 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 9
Feb 2
Oct 31
 Genoa7124-105 
Dec 15
May 4
d
 
2-2A
Jan 12
 Monza7043-44 
May 25
Nov 2
d
 
0-00-0
May 11
 Venezia7115-74 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 27
Win / draw / win form
Fiorentina 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fiorentina2 - 1Lazio
Fiorentina2 - 2Monza
Fiorentina0 - 0Venezia
Fiorentina2 - 2Napoli
Fiorentina2 - 1Monza
Fiorentina5 - 1Sassuolo
Fiorentina1 - 1Genoa
Fiorentina1 - 2Milan
Fiorentina2 - 2Roma
Fiorentina2 - 1Lazio
Fiorentina5 - 1Frosinone
Fiorentina0 - 1Inter
Fiorentina2 - 2Udinese
Fiorentina1 - 0Torino
Fiorentina1 - 0Verona
Fiorentina3 - 0Salernitana
Fiorentina2 - 1Bologna
Fiorentina0 - 1Juventus
Fiorentina0 - 2Empoli
Fiorentina3 - 0Cagliari
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFiorentina0 - 0Empoli
HFiorentina2 - 1Lazio
AFiorentina2 - 3Atalanta
HFiorentina2 - 2Monza
HFiorentina0 - 0Venezia
AFiorentina1 - 1Parma
AFiorentina3 - 2Atalanta
AFiorentina3 - 2Cagliari
HFiorentina2 - 2Napoli
HFiorentina2 - 1Monza
AFiorentina1 - 2Verona
HFiorentina5 - 1Sassuolo
AFiorentina2 - 0Salernitana
HFiorentina1 - 1Genoa
AFiorentina0 - 1Juventus
HFiorentina1 - 2Milan
HFiorentina2 - 2Roma
AFiorentina0 - 0Torino
HFiorentina2 - 1Lazio
AFiorentina1 - 1Empoli
Milan 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Inter1 - 2Milan
Lazio2 - 2Milan
Parma2 - 1Milan
Torino3 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Sassuolo3 - 3Milan
Fiorentina1 - 2Milan
Verona1 - 3Milan
Lazio0 - 1Milan
Monza4 - 2Milan
Frosinone2 - 3Milan
Udinese2 - 3Milan
Empoli0 - 3Milan
Salernitana2 - 2Milan
Atalanta3 - 2Milan
Lecce2 - 2Milan
Napoli2 - 2Milan
Genoa0 - 1Milan
Cagliari1 - 3Milan
Inter5 - 1Milan
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan3 - 0Lecce
AMilan2 - 1Inter
HMilan4 - 0Venezia
AMilan2 - 2Lazio
AMilan1 - 2Parma
HMilan2 - 2Torino
HMilan3 - 3Salernitana
AMilan1 - 3Torino
HMilan5 - 1Cagliari
HMilan3 - 3Genoa
AMilan0 - 0Juventus
HMilan1 - 2Inter
AMilan3 - 3Sassuolo
HMilan3 - 0Lecce
AMilan2 - 1Fiorentina
AMilan3 - 1Verona
HMilan1 - 0Empoli
AMilan1 - 0Lazio
HMilan1 - 1Atalanta
AMilan2 - 4Monza
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Fiorentina since 2015
Fiorentina
Milan
Goals: Scored
15
13
Games: Scored
8 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
2 / 10
FIO
4
D
3
ACM
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
1 - 2Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1
Fiorentina4 - 3
2 - 3Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Fiorentina2 - 0
Fiorentina2 - 1
League games at Milan since 2014
Milan
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
17
8
Games: Scored
9 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
1 / 10
FIO
2
D
1
ACM
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan1 - 0
Milan2 - 1
Milan1 - 0
Milan2 - 0
1 - 3Fiorentina
0 - 1Fiorentina
Milan5 - 1
Milan2 - 1
Milan2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Milan have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Fiorentina on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Fiorentina 10th Milan 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Fiorentina have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+28
Milan have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283105/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Fiorentina
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.3
1.8
Attack rating
FIO
ACM
50%
better
view stats
Games scored4
6
Failed to score2
0
Scored first1
4
Goals scored7
14
Avg. goals scored1.2
2.3
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate for11
19
Avg. XG for1.6
1.9
KickOff rating
+50%
Defence rating
FIO
ACM
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
4
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first3
2
Goals conceded7
7
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
15%
Avg. XG against1
1
KickOff rating
+4%

Fiorentina v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7323
DodôA GudmundssonR GosensDodô
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK4
-
Dodô DEF7
3
-
P. Comuzzo DEF6
1
-
L Ranieri DEF61
-
R Gosens DEF512
1
-
E Bove MID5
2
-
D Cataldi MID5
-
A Colpani MID7
-
Y Adli MID511
-
A Gudmundsson MID33
-
M Kean FWD721
-
Subs
T Martinelli GLK
-
P Terracciano GLK3
-
C Biraghi DEF61
1
-
M Moreno DEF
-
L Quarta DEF51
-
M Kayode DEF2
-
F Parisi DEF3
-
J Ikoné MID5
-
A Richardson MID3
1
-
R Sottil  FWD2
-
L Beltrán FWD3
-
C Kouamé FWD6
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7532
M Maignan C PulisicR LeãoE Royal
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK7
-
E Royal DEF6
2
-
F Tomori DEF6
1
-
M Gabbia DEF41
1
-
T Hernández DEF722
-
T Reijnders MID72
1
-
Y Fofana MID61
2
-
C Pulisic MID752
-
Álvaro Morata MID52
2
-
R Leão MID713
-
T Abraham FWD511
-
Subs
N Raveyre GLK
-
L. Torriani GLK
-
M Thiaw DEF1
-
S Pavlovic DEF41
1
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF
-
F Terracciano MID1
1
-
Y Musah MID51
-
K. Zeroli MID1
-
S Chukwueze FWD6
-
F. Camarda FWD
-
N Okafor FWD61
-