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Fiorentina v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Artemio Franchi, Firenze

Massimiliano Allegri guides his Milan team to the Artemio Franchi in the Serie A on Sunday afternoon, with Paolo Vanoli's Fiorentina their rivals. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare Serie A clash.

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Fiorentina's next match is v Cagliari at 17:00 on Saturday 24th January
Milan's next match is v Roma at 19:45 on Sunday 25th January
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Fiorentina and Milan was on Sunday 11th January 2026
Italian Serie A
January 11th 2026
Fiorentina 1
1 Milan
 
P. Comuzzo 66'90' C. Nkunku
 
FIO
ACM
Shots On
7
3
Shots Off
6
7
Corners
8
5
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
10
14
Yellow/red cards
2/0
4/0
 
FiorentinaMilan
 
M. Pongracic
R. Mandragora (M. Brescianini 65')
A. Gudmundsson (M. Solomon 83')
D. de Gea Quintana
D. Cordeiro dos Santos
P. Comuzzofootball icon
R. Gosens (L. Ranieri 83')
C. Ndour (S. Sohm 90')
N. Fagioli
F. Parisi (N. Fortini 83')
M. Kean
 (D. Bartesaghi 60') P. Estupiñán Tenorio
S. Ricci
K. De Winter
(Y. Fofana 63') R. Loftus-Cheek
M. Maignan
(C. Nkunku 74') S. Pavlović
M. Gabbia
(A. Rabiot 60') A. Jasari
A. Saelemaekers
(R. Conceição Leão 60') N. Füllkrug
C. Pulisic

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our best tip on this fixture, meaning that the sides will score at least two goals between them during 90 mins. Both Fiorentina and Milan's current form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Milan coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fiorentina
27%
23/1025/1
Draw
25%
9/41/50
Milan
48%
5/422/1
Draw 1-1
12%
5/14/1
Milan 1-0
11%
15/210/3
Milan 2-1
9%
8/128/1
Milan 2-0
9%
10/110/1
Fiorentina 1-0
8%
10/17/20
Draw 0-0
7%
9/16/4
Fiorentina 2-1
7%
11/125/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/180/1
Milan 3-1
5%
16/1125/1
Milan 3-0
4%
20/133/1
Fiorentina 2-0
4%
16/17/1
Milan 3-2
3%
25/1200/1
Fiorentina 3-1
2%
25/1125/1
Milan 4-1
2%
40/1200/1
Fiorentina 3-2
2%
33/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
4/518/5
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1/11/6
Home 1st Goal
44%
6/521/10
Away 1st Goal
52%
4/56/4
No 1st Goal
4%
9/16/4
BTTS - Yes
53%
7/1016/5
BTTS - No
47%
21/201/5
BTTS - Home Win
13%
5/122/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
3/119/5
BTTS - Away Win
22%
10/325/1
Home/draw
52%
8/131/14
Away/draw
73%
1/31/25
Home/away
75%
1/319/5
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/42/1
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3/17/20
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
2/125/1
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/51/500
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/280/1
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/71/500
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/201/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/2010/21
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/16/4
Home DNB
44%
5/41/1000
Away DNB
66%
4/722/1
Fiorentina win to nil
14%
5/1-
Milan win to nil
26%
3/1-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
16%
4/112/1
Fiorentina / Milan
4%
22/128/1
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/122/1
Draw / Fiorentina
11%
6/13/1
Draw / Milan
15%
9/22/1
Draw / Draw
16%
9/217/10
Milan / Fiorentina
3%
28/140/1
Milan / Milan
23%
13/59/1
Milan / Draw
6%
12/122/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Fiorentina have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 7 and won 2. Fiorentina have conceded 30 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Fiorentina have played 9 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Milan lay in 2nd place on 39 points in the Serie A league table having played 18 matches. Milan are unbeaten away after 8 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 6 and losing 1 game. They have scored 28 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 14 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Milan have played 8 away games, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Fiorentina
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2116142749 
Mar 22
l
 
3-0A
Mar 8
w
 
0-1F
2
Milan2113711846 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
-
-
3
Napoli2113441443 
l
 
1-3A
Jan 31
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
4
Roma2114071442 
l
 
1-2F
May 3
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
5
Juventus2111641539 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
6
Como 19072110741537 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 15
Feb 8
w
 
1-3A
7
Atalanta21885632 
May 24
l
 
2-0A
May 10
d
 
1-1F
8
Bologna21867630 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
Feb 3
9
Lazio21777228 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
10
Udinese21759-1126 
w
 
5-1F
Mar 1
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
11
Torino216510-1323 
Feb 7
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 22
w
 
2-3A
12
Parma21588-823 
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
Feb 22
d
 
2-2F
13
Cremonese21588-823 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
l
 
1-2A
Mar 1
14
Sassuolo216510-523 
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
May 3
15
Cagliari21579-822 
Jan 24
d
 
1-1F
May 24
w
 
0-1F
16
Genoa21489-720 
May 10
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
May 17
17
Lecce214512-1617 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
18
Fiorentina213810-917 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
19
Pisa211119-1514 
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
Feb 15
20
Verona212811-1714 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 4
w
 
3-0F
Apr 19
Win / draw / win form
Fiorentina 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fiorentina1 - 0Cremonese
Fiorentina5 - 1Udinese
Fiorentina1 - 2Verona
Fiorentina1 - 1Juventus
Fiorentina0 - 1Lecce
Fiorentina2 - 2Bologna
Fiorentina1 - 2Roma
Fiorentina1 - 2Como 1907
Fiorentina1 - 3Napoli
Fiorentina3 - 2Bologna
Fiorentina2 - 1Empoli
Fiorentina0 - 0Parma
Fiorentina1 - 0Atalanta
Fiorentina3 - 0Juventus
Fiorentina1 - 0Lecce
Fiorentina0 - 2Como 1907
Fiorentina3 - 0Inter
Fiorentina2 - 1Genoa
Fiorentina1 - 1Torino
Fiorentina0 - 3Napoli
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFiorentina2 - 2Lazio
HFiorentina1 - 0Cremonese
AFiorentina0 - 1Parma
HFiorentina5 - 1Udinese
HFiorentina1 - 2Verona
AFiorentina1 - 3Sassuolo
AFiorentina0 - 2Atalanta
HFiorentina1 - 1Juventus
AFiorentina2 - 2Genoa
HFiorentina0 - 1Lecce
AFiorentina0 - 3Inter
HFiorentina2 - 2Bologna
AFiorentina1 - 2Milan
HFiorentina1 - 2Roma
AFiorentina0 - 0Pisa
HFiorentina1 - 2Como 1907
HFiorentina1 - 3Napoli
AFiorentina0 - 0Torino
AFiorentina1 - 1Cagliari
AFiorentina3 - 2Udinese
Milan 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cagliari0 - 1Milan
Torino2 - 3Milan
Inter0 - 1Milan
Parma2 - 2Milan
Atalanta1 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Udinese0 - 3Milan
Lecce0 - 2Milan
Roma3 - 1Milan
Genoa1 - 2Milan
Venezia0 - 2Milan
Udinese0 - 4Milan
Napoli2 - 1Milan
Lecce2 - 3Milan
Bologna2 - 1Milan
Torino2 - 1Milan
Empoli0 - 2Milan
Juventus2 - 0Milan
Como 19071 - 2Milan
Verona0 - 1Milan
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan1 - 1Genoa
AMilan1 - 0Cagliari
HMilan3 - 0Verona
HMilan2 - 2Sassuolo
AMilan3 - 2Torino
HMilan1 - 0Lazio
AMilan1 - 0Inter
AMilan2 - 2Parma
HMilan1 - 0Roma
AMilan1 - 1Atalanta
HMilan2 - 2Pisa
HMilan2 - 1Fiorentina
AMilan0 - 0Juventus
HMilan2 - 1Napoli
AMilan3 - 0Udinese
HMilan1 - 0Bologna
AMilan2 - 0Lecce
HMilan1 - 2Cremonese
HMilan2 - 0Monza
AMilan1 - 3Roma
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Fiorentina since 2015
Fiorentina
Milan
Goals: Scored
17
14
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
FIO
5
D
3
ACM
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
Fiorentina2 - 1
1 - 2Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1
Fiorentina4 - 3
2 - 3Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Fiorentina2 - 0
Fiorentina2 - 1
League games at Milan since 2014
Milan
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
21
11
Games: Scored
11 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
1 / 12
FIO
2
D
2
ACM
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Milan1 - 0
Milan2 - 1
Milan1 - 0
Milan2 - 0
1 - 3Fiorentina
0 - 1Fiorentina
Milan5 - 1
Milan2 - 1
Milan2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Milan have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.6 against Fiorentina on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Fiorentina 20th Milan 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Fiorentina’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Milan have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Fiorentina
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.1
1.6
Attack rating
FIO
ACM
35%
better
view stats
Games scored13
17
Failed to score6
1
Scored first7
12
Goals scored20
29
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for11
15
Avg. XG for1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
FIO
ACM
46%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
9
Clean sheets3
9
Conceded first10
5
Goals conceded30
14
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against16%
10%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+46%

Fiorentina v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21637
D GeaR Mandragora N FagioliM Pongracic 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK21
-
Dodô DEF211
3
-
P. Comuzzo DEF151
-
M Pongracic  DEF19
7
-
R Gosens DEF142
2
-
R Mandragora  MID216
4
-
N Fagioli MID183
4
-
C Ndour MID171
1
-
F Parisi FWD131
4
-
M Kean FWD1951
3
-
A Gudmundsson FWD1943
3
-
Subs
L Lezzerini GLK
-
O Christensen GLK
-
L Ranieri DEF191
5
-
E. Košpo DEF
-
N. Fortini DEF15
-
E. Kouadio DEF3
-
M Brescianini MID2
-
S Sohm MID161
2
-
H Caviglia MID111
4
-
J Fazzini MID10
-
M Solomon FWD4
-
R Piccoli FWD172
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21834
A SaelemaekersC PulisicA SaelemaekersY Fofana
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK20
2
-
K Winter DEF13
1
-
M Gabbia DEF20
3
-
S Pavlovic DEF1821
2
-
A Saelemaekers MID2123
2
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID1911
1
-
A Jashari MID5
-
S Ricci MID1712
1
-
P Estupiñán MID111
2
1
C Pulisic FWD1582
-
N Füllkrug FWD51
-
Subs
L. Torriani GLK
-
Z. Athekame DEF121
2
-
D Odogu DEF1
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF162
1
-
M. Duțu DEF
-
A Rabiot MID1433
2
-
L Modric MID2012
2
-
Y Fofana MID1812
4
-
R Leão FWD1572
1
-
C Nkunku  FWD1542
-