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Fiorentina v Parma : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Artemio Franchi, Firenze

the Artemio Franchi is the setting on Sunday afternoon, as Paolo Vanoli's Fiorentina are visited by Carlos Antón Cuesta's Parma in the Serie A. All of the key statistics for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.

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Fiorentina's next match is v Rakow at 20:00 on Thursday 12th March
Parma's next match is v Torino at 19:45 on Friday 13th March
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Fiorentina and Parma was on Sunday 8th March 2026
Italian Serie A
March 8th 2026
Fiorentina 0
0 Parma
 
FIO
PMA
Shots On
1
Shots Off
6
6
Corners
7
1
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
12
14
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
FiorentinaParma
 
D. de Gea Quintana
D. Cordeiro dos Santos
M. Pongracic (P. Comuzzo 86')
L. Ranieri
R. Gosens
R. Mandragora (G. Fabbian 64')
A. Gudmundsson
J. Harrison (J. Fazzini 81')
C. Ndour (M. Brescianini 86')
N. Fagioli
R. Piccoli
E. Corvi
(G. Oristanio 72') G. Strefezza Rebelato
E. Valeri
E. Del Prato
M. Troilo
A. Circati
M. Keita
(N. Estévez 82') O. Jensen
(N. Elphege 72') M. Pellegrino Casalanguila
(C. Ordoñez 54') H. Nicolussi Caviglia
B. Cremaschi

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Fiorentina and Parma combined during the standard 90 minutes. Up to date form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to our prediction, and we think there's a 77% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fiorentina are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fiorentina
46%
7/1011/1
Draw
27%
5/21/18
Parma
27%
9/222/1
Draw 1-1
13%
11/228/1
Fiorentina 1-0
12%
6/15/1
Parma 1-0
9%
12/111/1
Fiorentina 2-1
9%
15/2125/1
Draw 0-0
9%
9/12/9
Fiorentina 2-0
9%
7/133/1
Parma 2-1
6%
16/1150/1
Parma 2-0
5%
25/170/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1250/1
Fiorentina 3-1
4%
12/1250/1
Fiorentina 3-0
4%
12/1125/1
Parma 3-1
2%
40/1200/1
Fiorentina 3-2
2%
25/1200/1
Parma 3-0
2%
50/1200/1
Parma 3-2
2%
40/1200/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
10/1166/1
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
10/111/300
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/1510/1
Away 1st Goal
43%
7/418/1
No 1st Goal
5%
9/11/20
BTTS - Yes
48%
10/1170/1
BTTS - No
52%
10/111/1000
BTTS - Home Win
19%
11/480/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/428/1
BTTS - Away Win
12%
9/1100/1
Home/draw
73%
1/71/1000
Away/draw
54%
11/101/40
Home/away
73%
2/715/2
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/755/1
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
11/41/300
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
12/51/50
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/31/50
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
11/21/50
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/91/50
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/251/50
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/1615/2
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/11/18
Home DNB
65%
1/43/10
Away DNB
46%
11/421/10
Fiorentina win to nil
27%
7/4-
Parma win to nil
16%
8/1-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
31%
13/88/1
Fiorentina / Parma
2%
40/150/1
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/125/1
Draw / Fiorentina
18%
7/27/5
Draw / Parma
8%
9/119/4
Draw / Draw
15%
9/28/5
Parma / Fiorentina
4%
20/140/1
Parma / Parma
10%
15/218/1
Parma / Draw
6%
14/128/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Fiorentina have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 8 and won 3. Fiorentina have conceded 40 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Fiorentina have played 13 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Parma lay in 12th place on 33 points in the Serie A league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 11 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Parma have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Parma have played 13 away games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Fiorentina
Parma
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2822154267 
Mar 22
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
May 3
2
Milan2817922460 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
3
Napoli2817561456 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
4
Roma2816391751 
l
 
1-2F
May 3
May 10
l
 
2-1A
5
Como 19072814952551 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
6
Juventus2814862250 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
7
Atalanta28121061346 
May 24
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
8
Bologna2811611339 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-3F
w
 
0-1F
9
Sassuolo2811512-338 
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
May 24
d
 
1-1A
10
Lazio289109037 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
11
Udinese2810612-836 
w
 
5-1F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
12
Parma2881010-1234 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
-
-
13
Genoa287912-630 
May 10
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
14
Cagliari287912-830 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
15
Torino288614-2130 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
Mar 13
16
Lecce287615-1727 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
17
Fiorentina2851013-1225 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
18
Cremonese285914-1824 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 16
Mar 21
d
 
0-00-0
19
Verona283916-2718 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 4
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
20
Pisa2811215-2815 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Fiorentina 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fiorentina1 - 0Pisa
Fiorentina2 - 2Torino
Fiorentina1 - 2Cagliari
Fiorentina1 - 1Milan
Fiorentina1 - 0Cremonese
Fiorentina5 - 1Udinese
Fiorentina1 - 2Verona
Fiorentina1 - 1Juventus
Fiorentina0 - 1Lecce
Fiorentina2 - 2Bologna
Fiorentina1 - 2Roma
Fiorentina1 - 2Como 1907
Fiorentina1 - 3Napoli
Fiorentina3 - 2Bologna
Fiorentina2 - 1Empoli
Fiorentina0 - 0Parma
Fiorentina1 - 0Atalanta
Fiorentina3 - 0Juventus
Fiorentina1 - 0Lecce
Fiorentina0 - 2Como 1907
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFiorentina0 - 3Udinese
HFiorentina1 - 0Pisa
AFiorentina2 - 1Como 1907
HFiorentina2 - 2Torino
AFiorentina1 - 2Napoli
HFiorentina1 - 2Cagliari
AFiorentina2 - 1Bologna
HFiorentina1 - 1Milan
AFiorentina2 - 2Lazio
HFiorentina1 - 0Cremonese
AFiorentina0 - 1Parma
HFiorentina5 - 1Udinese
HFiorentina1 - 2Verona
AFiorentina1 - 3Sassuolo
AFiorentina0 - 2Atalanta
HFiorentina1 - 1Juventus
AFiorentina2 - 2Genoa
HFiorentina0 - 1Lecce
AFiorentina0 - 3Inter
HFiorentina2 - 2Bologna
Parma 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan0 - 1Parma
Bologna0 - 1Parma
Atalanta4 - 0Parma
Napoli0 - 0Parma
Lecce1 - 2Parma
Sassuolo1 - 1Parma
Pisa0 - 1Parma
Verona1 - 2Parma
Roma2 - 1Parma
Genoa0 - 0Parma
Cremonese0 - 0Parma
Cagliari2 - 0Parma
Juventus2 - 0Parma
Atalanta2 - 3Parma
Empoli2 - 1Parma
Lazio2 - 2Parma
Fiorentina0 - 0Parma
Verona0 - 0Parma
Monza1 - 1Parma
Udinese1 - 0Parma
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HParma1 - 1Cagliari
AParma1 - 0Milan
HParma2 - 1Verona
AParma1 - 0Bologna
HParma1 - 4Juventus
AParma0 - 4Atalanta
HParma0 - 0Genoa
AParma0 - 0Napoli
AParma2 - 1Lecce
HParma0 - 2Inter
AParma1 - 1Sassuolo
HParma1 - 0Fiorentina
HParma0 - 1Lazio
AParma1 - 0Pisa
HParma0 - 2Udinese
AParma2 - 1Verona
HParma2 - 2Milan
HParma1 - 3Bologna
AParma1 - 2Roma
HParma0 - 0Como 1907
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Fiorentina have drawn with Parma in 3 consecutive home league meetings
5
Parma have not lost to Fiorentina in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Fiorentina since 2015
Fiorentina
Parma
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
FIO
1
D
3
PMA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Parma
Fiorentina3 - 0
League games at Parma since 2015
Parma
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
5
3
Games: Scored
5 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
1 / 6
FIO
1
D
2
PMA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Parma
Parma1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Fiorentina
Parma1 - 0
Parma1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Fiorentina 17th Parma 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Parma will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Fiorentina’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
Parma’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Fiorentina
PG (predicted goals)
Parma
1.4
1
Attack rating
25%
better
FIO
PMA
view stats
Games scored20
15
Failed to score7
12
Scored first11
8
Goals scored30
20
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.7
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal9
10
Conversion rate for12
10
Avg. XG for1.5
1
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
FIO
PMA
24%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
18
Clean sheets4
9
Conceded first14
14
Goals conceded42
32
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against16%
11%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+24%

Fiorentina v Parma Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28639
D GeaR Mandragora N FagioliM Pongracic 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK28
-
Dodô DEF272
6
-
M Pongracic  DEF26
9
-
L Ranieri DEF251
7
-
R Gosens DEF172
2
-
N Fagioli MID2513
4
-
J Harrison MID61
-
C Ndour MID231
1
-
R Mandragora  MID2761
6
-
A Gudmundsson MID2443
3
-
R Piccoli FWD242
-
Subs
P. Leonardelli GLK
-
O Christensen GLK
-
D Rugani DEF1
1
-
P. Comuzzo DEF211
2
-
N. Fortini DEF16
-
E. Kouadio DEF3
-
L. Balbo Vieira DEF
-
M Brescianini MID91
-
J Fazzini MID14
1
-
G Fabbian MID6
2
-
R. Braschi FWD
-
Parma Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26727
E PratoM PellegrinoH CavigliaM. Troilo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Corvi GLK16
1
-
E Prato DEF271
4
-
M. Troilo DEF121
5
2
A Circati DEF211
5
-
M Keita MID271
1
-
B Cremaschi MID7
-
O Sørensen MID261
2
-
H Caviglia MID62
-
E Valeri MID242
2
-
G Strefezza FWD5
-
M Pellegrino FWD2871
4
-
Subs
Z Suzuki GLK11
1
-
F Rinaldi GLK1
1
-
M. Mena Martínez DEF
-
B. Conde DEF
-
N Ndiaye DEF7
3
1
F Carboni DEF2
-
N Estévez MID24
2
-
J Ondrejka FWD13
1
-
N Elphege FWD2
-