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Inter Milan v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 14:00 BST, Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Atalanta pay Serie A rivals Inter Milan a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Raffaele Palladino leads his team into an away clash with Cristian Eugen Chivu & co. at the Giuseppe Meazza. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds are also given.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Inter to win

Studying the bookmakers' odds and collated statistics regarding the two teams ahead of this Serie A match, a bet on win / draw / win for Inter to win on home turf is our recommendation. We predict they'll have too much for Atalanta, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have a track record of doing so. It may not all be plain sailing, but Inter claiming victory is the bet come Saturday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Inter are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 61% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Inter
61%
8/154/7
Draw
22%
3/116/5
Atalanta
17%
5/19/2
Inter 1-0
11%
13/26/1
Inter 2-0
11%
13/26/1
Draw 1-1
10%
13/213/2
7%
Inter 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Inter 3-0
7%
10/19/1
Inter 3-1
6%
11/19/1
9%
Draw 0-0
6%
12/110/1
Atalanta 1-0
5%
16/112/1
Atalanta 2-1
5%
18/114/1
15%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Inter 4-0
3%
20/116/1
Inter 4-1
3%
22/116/1
Inter 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Atalanta 2-0
2%
33/120/1
Atalanta 3-1
1%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
8/117/10
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
11/1021/20
Home 1st Goal
57%
4/94/9
3%
Away 1st Goal
40%
7/42/1
No 1st Goal
3%
12/110/1
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/54/5
BTTS - No
49%
19/2010/11
BTTS - Home Win
27%
9/411/5
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/14/1
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10/115/2
Home/draw
83%
1/82/13
Away/draw
39%
11/811/8
3%
Home/away
78%
2/92/9
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
10/329/10
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
7/417/10
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/92/5
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4/119/5
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/62/13
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9/1
9%
17/2
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
1/20
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
Home DNB
76%
1/52/9
Away DNB
32%
10/33/1
3%
Inter win to nil
34%
13/8-
Atalanta win to nil
9%
10/1-
Inter / Inter
35%
13/1013/10
Inter / Atalanta
2%
40/133/1
17%
Inter / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Inter
18%
10/37/2
Draw / Atalanta
7%
11/110/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/25/1
Atalanta / Inter
4%
20/116/1
Atalanta / Atalanta
9%
17/213/2
6%
Atalanta / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Inter have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 22, drawn 1 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 15 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Inter have outscored their opponents by 64 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

Inter have played 14 games at home winning 11, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 38 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Atalanta are in 7th position in the Serie A on 46 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Atalanta have conceded 8 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Inter
Atalanta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2822154267 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Mar 14
2
Milan2817922460 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
May 10
3
Napoli2817561456 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
4
Roma2816391751 
Apr 5
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
5
Como 19072814952551 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
6
Juventus2814862250 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
4-3A
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
7
Atalanta28121061346 
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
-
-
8
Bologna2811611339 
w
 
3-1F
May 24
May 17
w
 
0-2F
9
Sassuolo2811512-338 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-5F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
10
Lazio289109037 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
11
Udinese2810612-836 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
12
Parma2881010-1234 
May 3
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
13
Genoa287912-630 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
May 3
w
 
0-1F
14
Cagliari287912-830 
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
15
Torino288614-2130 
w
 
5-0F
Apr 26
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
16
Lecce287615-1727 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-1F
Apr 4
17
Fiorentina2851013-1225 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 22
w
 
2-0F
May 24
18
Cremonese285914-1824 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
19
Verona283916-2718 
May 17
w
 
1-2F
Mar 22
l
 
3-1A
20
Pisa2811215-2815 
w
 
6-2A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
4
Inter have won 4 consecutive home league games
7
Inter have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Inter 1ST
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
Atalanta 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Inter have beaten Atalanta in 7 consecutive league meetings
14
Inter have not lost to Atalanta in 14 consecutive league meetings
4
Inter have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Atalanta
League games at Inter since 2014
Inter
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
27
6
Games: Scored
10 / 11
4 / 11
Clean sheets
7 / 11
1 / 11
INT
8
D
3
League games at Atalanta since 2015
Atalanta
Inter
Goals: Scored
12
18
Games: Scored
7 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
5 / 12
INT
6
D
4
ATA
2
Goal Statistics

Inter Milan have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 15 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Atalanta on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Inter 1st Atalanta 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Inter will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Atalanta scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
Inter have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
+20
Atalanta have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Inter
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
1.9
0.9
Attack rating
33%
better
INT
ATA
view stats
Games scored26
23
Failed to score1
5
Scored first23
15
Goals scored64
39
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.4
Avg. shots per game13
11
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
13
Avg. XG for2.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
22%
better
INT
ATA
view stats
Games conceded12
18
Clean sheets15
10
Conceded first4
11
Goals conceded21
26
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against13%
11%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+22%

Inter v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Inter Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2614146
Y SommerL MartínezF DimarcoA Bastoni
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Sommer GLK26
-
M Akanji DEF262
3
-
F Dimarco DEF26614
2
-
F. Esposito FWD2644
1
-
C Augusto DEF2511
3
-
P. Sučić MID2512
2
-
N Barella  MID2515
5
-
P Zielinski MID2551
1
-
L Martínez FWD25144
3
-
A Bastoni DEF2414
6
-
L Henrique MID2312
1
-
A Bonny FWD2353
-
H Mkhitaryan MID2121
3
-
M Thuram FWD2173
2
-
H Calhanoglu  MID1882
6
-
Y Bisseck DEF1722
2
-
D Frattesi MID16
-
A Diouf MID14
-
F Acerbi DEF131
2
-
D Dumfries DEF121
2
-
S Vrij DEF7
1
-
M Darmian DEF3
-
J Martínez GLK2
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28848
M CarnesecchiG ScamaccaN ZalewskiM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK28
-
B Djimsiti DEF25
2
-
D Zappacosta MID2513
2
-
N Zalewski MID2424
3
-
M Roon MID2411
7
1
N Krstovic FWD2474
2
-
I Hien DEF231
3
-
M Pasalic MID2334
2
-
L Samardžić MID2122
1
-
C Ketelaere MID2133
2
-
Éderson MID211
1
-
K Sulemana FWD2122
3
-
G Scamacca FWD1981
2
-
L Bernasconi MID183
3
-
R Bellanova MID181
1
-
H. Ahanor DEF16
1
1
O Kossounou  DEF151
1
-
Y Musah MID151
1
-
G Scalvini DEF142
2
-
S Kolasinac DEF11
2
-
G Raspadori FWD411
-