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Lecce v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Via Del Mare, Lecce

the Via Del Mare plays host on Monday evening, as Eusebio Di Francesco's Lecce welcome Paolo Vanoli's Fiorentina in the Serie A. Statistics for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

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Lecce's next match is v Verona at 19:45 on Saturday 25th April
Fiorentina's next match is v Sassuolo at 11:30 on Sunday 26th April
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Lecce and Fiorentina was on Monday 20th April 2026
Italian Serie A
April 20th 2026
Lecce 1
1 Fiorentina
 
T. Coelho Oliveira 71'30' J. Harrison
 
LEC
FIO
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
7
2
Corners
5
2
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
8
13
Yellow/red cards
3/0
4/0
 
LecceFiorentina
 
J. Siebert
D. Melo Veiga
K. Jocelyn N’dri (L. Banda 56')
A. Gallo (C. Ndaba 85')
Y. Ramadani
W. Falcone
T. Coelho Oliveirafootball icon
L. Coulibaly
O. Ngom (O. Gandelman 57')
S. Pierotti
W. Cheddira (N. Štulić 57')
D. Cordeiro dos Santos
M. Pongracic
L. Ranieri
(L. Balbo Vieira 11') R. Gosens
R. Mandragora
(M. Solomon 60') A. Gudmundsson
(J. Fazzini 80') football iconJ. Harrison
D. de Gea Quintana
(M. Brescianini 80') C. Ndour
(G. Fabbian 80') N. Fagioli
R. Piccoli

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's unlikely that this game will deliver 4 goals or more, and the odds and statistics point in the same direction as KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Lecce and Fiorentina have rarely served up goal-fests of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a convincing favourite draw or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Fiorentina coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lecce
31%
5/2
8%
9/1
6%
Draw
26%
23/10
2%
1/9
2%
Fiorentina
43%
11/10
10%
12/1
2%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
1/9
4%
Fiorentina 1-0
11%
11/26/5
Lecce 1-0
9%
8/1
5%
19/4
Fiorentina 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
11/1
6%
Draw 0-0
8%
7/118/5
6%
Fiorentina 2-0
8%
17/2
5%
4/1
6%
Lecce 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
17/2
9%
Lecce 2-0
5%
16/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/155/1
Fiorentina 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
100/1
15%
Fiorentina 3-0
4%
18/1
11%
16/1
Lecce 3-1
3%
33/170/1
9%
Fiorentina 3-2
2%
33/1100/1
10%
Lecce 3-0
2%
40/1
17%
25/1
10%
Lecce 3-2
2%
40/1125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
13/10
5%
5/1
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
8/13
3%
1/9
Home 1st Goal
45%
11/8
5%
11/8
1%
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/5
4%
11/10
3%
No 1st Goal
5%
13/218/5
6%
BTTS - Yes
52%
19/207/5
3%
BTTS - No
48%
4/58/15
1%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
7/1
7%
8/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/41/10
2%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
4/1
5%
11/1
10%
Home/draw
57%
7/10
6%
1/40
3%
Away/draw
69%
2/7
3%
1/25
1%
Home/away
74%
1/35/1
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/98/13
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
7/46/5
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
10/333/1
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/91/300
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
8/160/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/141/1000
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
18/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/501/50
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/121/6
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/119/5
Home DNB
49%
6/4
10%
8/13
5%
Away DNB
62%
1/2
5%
23/20
3%
Lecce win to nil
17%
9/2
8%
-
Fiorentina win to nil
24%
12/5
3%
-
Lecce / Lecce
14%
5/1
8%
80/1
5%
Lecce / Fiorentina
3%
25/1100/1
Lecce / Draw
6%
14/1125/1
8%
Draw / Lecce
11%
13/2
7%
25/1
7%
Draw / Fiorentina
16%
4/1
10%
25/1
5%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
5%
20/1
Fiorentina / Lecce
3%
33/19/1
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
24%
5/2
6%
4/11
3%
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/110/3
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Lecce have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 5 and won 6. Lecce have conceded 45 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 16 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Lecce have played 16 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in home league games.

Fiorentina lay in 15th place on 35 points in the Serie A league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 10 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Fiorentina have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Fiorentina have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lecce
Fiorentina
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3325354978 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
Milan3319952166 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
3
Napoli3320671566 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
4
Juventus3318962863 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
May 17
5
Como 190733161072958 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2F
6
Roma33184111758 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
May 4
7
Atalanta33141271654 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-1A
May 24
l
 
2-0A
8
Bologna3314613348 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
9
Lazio33121110447 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
10
Sassuolo3313614-345 
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
11
Udinese3312714-543 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
5-1F
l
 
3-0A
12
Torino3311715-1740 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
13
Genoa3310914-639 
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
d
 
2-2A
14
Parma3391212-1639 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
15
Fiorentina3381213-736 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
-
-
16
Cagliari338916-1433 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
17
Cremonese3361017-2128 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-4F
18
Lecce337719-2428 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
19
Verona333921-3318 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 25
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
20
Pisa3321219-3618 
w
 
1-0F
May 1
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
4
Lecce have lost 4 consecutive league games
5
Fiorentina have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
3
Lecce have failed to score in 3 consecutive league games
Lecce 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
Fiorentina 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lecce since 2020
Lecce
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
5
12
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
LEC
1
D
1
FIO
2
League games at Fiorentina since 2019
Fiorentina
Lecce
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
LEC
2
D
1
FIO
2
Goal Statistics

Fiorentina's defensive record is very strong, P. Vanoli's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Lecce makes sense in this context.

Lecce 18th Fiorentina 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Lecce will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-34
Lecce have scored 34% fewer goals at home than predicted
+5
Fiorentina’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Lecce
PG (predicted goals)
Fiorentina
1.1
1.4
Attack rating
LEC
FIO
31%
better
view stats
Games scored15
24
Failed to score17
8
Scored first13
14
Goals scored21
37
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.2
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal10
8
Conversion rate for10
13
Avg. XG for0.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
3%
better
LEC
FIO
view stats
Games conceded24
25
Clean sheets8
7
Conceded first15
15
Goals conceded45
44
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+3%

Lecce v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33348
W FalconeL Coulibaly A GalloD Veiga
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK33
2
-
D Veiga DEF311
8
-
T. Coelho Oliveira DEF332
5
-
J Siebert DEF161
3
-
A Gallo DEF324
2
-
Y Ramadani MID321
7
-
O Ngom MID10
1
-
S Pierotti MID321
3
-
L Coulibaly  MID2831
2
-
K N’Dri MID232
2
-
W Cheddira FWD12
-
Subs
C Früchtl GLK
-
J Samooja GLK
-
M. Pérez Sepúlveda DEF1
-
G Jean DEF2
-
C Ndaba DEF14
-
Álex Sala MID91
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID7
-
O Gendelman MID152
-
L Banda MID2733
6
1
O. Gorter MID2
-
F Marchwiński MID
-
N. Kovac MID
-
N Stulic FWD313
1
-
Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
336410
D GeaR Mandragora A GudmundssonM Pongracic 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK33
1
-
Dodô DEF3112
7
-
M Pongracic  DEF31
10
-
L Ranieri DEF301
7
-
R Gosens DEF2231
2
-
R Mandragora  MID3063
6
-
N Fagioli MID2923
5
-
C Ndour MID282
2
-
J Harrison FWD1113
-
R Piccoli FWD
-
A Gudmundsson FWD2854
3
1
Subs
L Lezzerini GLK
-
O Christensen GLK
-
D Rugani DEF4
2
-
P. Comuzzo DEF231
2
-
E. Košpo DEF
-
E. Kouadio DEF3
-
L. Balbo Vieira DEF3
-
M Brescianini MID131
1
-
J Fazzini MID18
2
-
G Fabbian MID11
2
-
M Solomon FWD112
1
-
R. Braschi FWD
-
G. Puzzoli FWD
-