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Napoli v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

San Paolo, Castelvolturno

Napoli and their boss Antonio Conte will be hoping for victory against Paolo Vanoli and his Fiorentina side on Saturday evening, as the pair meet at the San Paolo in the Serie A. All stats, including 20-game form for both teams and head-to-head history, will change as you browse each of the seventeen betting markets using the tabs below. The best odds and, of course, our predictions will too.

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Napoli's next match is v Roma at 19:45 on Sunday 15th February
Fiorentina's next match is v Como 1907 at 14:00 on Saturday 14th February
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Napoli and Fiorentina was on Saturday 31st January 2026
Italian Serie A
January 31st 2026
Napoli 2
1 Fiorentina
 
A. Vergara 11'57' M. Solomon
M. Gutiérrez Ortega 49'
 
NAP
FIO
Shots On
6
5
Shots Off
6
8
Corners
4
4
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
21
13
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
NapoliFiorentina
 
A. Meret
M. Gutiérrez Ortegafootball icon
A. Buongiorno
J. Nunes Jesus
S. McTominay
R. Højlund (R. Lukaku Menama 90')
G. Di Lorenzo (M. Olivera Miramontes 30')
E. Elmas
L. Spinazzola
A. Vergarafootball icon (G. Santana do Nascimento 84')
S. Lobotka
D. Cordeiro dos Santos
M. Pongracic
P. Comuzzo
(M. Kean 70') M. Brescianini
(J. Fazzini 79') A. Gudmundsson
(F. Parisi 70') football iconM. Solomon
(L. Ranieri 70') R. Gosens
D. de Gea Quintana
N. Fagioli
(R. Mandragora 46') G. Fabbian
R. Piccoli

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Napoli and Fiorentina have taken part in a host of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Napoli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Napoli
57%
7/101/16
3%
Draw
24%
13/58/1
4%
Fiorentina
18%
4/160/1
5%
Napoli 1-0
14%
11/211/4
Napoli 2-0
11%
13/22/1
8%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/117/4
7%
Napoli 2-1
10%
15/21/5
Draw 0-0
8%
17/211/2
6%
Fiorentina 1-0
7%
12/18/1
Napoli 3-0
6%
12/116/5
Napoli 3-1
5%
14/113/2
Fiorentina 2-1
5%
16/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/115/2
Fiorentina 2-0
3%
25/116/1
Napoli 4-0
3%
25/19/1
12%
Napoli 4-1
2%
28/150/1
Napoli 3-2
2%
28/140/1
Fiorentina 3-1
1%
40/145/1
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
1/11/3
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
4/521/10
2%
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/713/20
1%
Away 1st Goal
39%
7/49/5
No 1st Goal
6%
17/211/2
6%
BTTS - Yes
46%
19/206/5
2%
BTTS - No
54%
4/58/13
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/11/18
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/115/2
4%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
9/150/1
Home/draw
82%
1/61/1000
Away/draw
43%
11/107/1
4%
Home/away
76%
2/71/18
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/31/4
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
12/511/4
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
5/216/5
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
3/101/5
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
11/222/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/91/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/180/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/500
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/161/11
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/111/2
6%
Home DNB
74%
1/41/200
2%
Away DNB
35%
11/450/1
3%
Napoli win to nil
35%
13/8-
Fiorentina win to nil
11%
7/1-
Napoli / Napoli
29%
13/83/10
1%
Napoli / Fiorentina
2%
40/112/1
Napoli / Draw
6%
14/14/1
Draw / Napoli
17%
7/218/1
Draw / Fiorentina
9%
9/125/1
Draw / Draw
17%
9/216/1
4%
Fiorentina / Napoli
4%
22/1125/1
11%
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
11%
15/260/1
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
16/180/1
13%
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Napoli have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Serie A league table. Napoli are unbeaten at home after 10 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 3 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. Napoli have outscored their opponents by 31 goals to 24 goals.

Home League Performance

Napoli have played 10 games at home winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Fiorentina are in 18th position in the Serie A on 17 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Fiorentina have conceded 32 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Napoli
Fiorentina
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2419143858 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 22
l
 
3-0A
2
Milan2314812150 
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
3
Napoli2415451349 
-
-
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
4
Juventus2313642145 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
May 17
5
Roma2314181343 
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
May 3
6
Como 19072311842141 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
l
 
1-2F
Feb 14
7
Atalanta239951036 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 22
May 24
l
 
2-0A
8
Lazio23887332 
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
9
Udinese249510-932 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-1F
Mar 1
10
Bologna248610130 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
11
Sassuolo248511-729 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
12
Cagliari23779-328 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 22
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
13
Torino247611-1827 
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
14
Parma246810-1426 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
15
Cremonese235810-1123 
Apr 26
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
16
Genoa245811-823 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
2-3A
May 10
d
 
2-2A
17
Lecce245613-1621 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
18
Fiorentina243912-1118 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
-
-
19
Pisa2411211-2115 
w
 
3-2F
May 17
Feb 23
d
 
0-00-0
20
Verona242913-2315 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 1
l
 
1-2A
Apr 4
Win / draw / win form
Napoli 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Fiorentina 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Napoli have beaten Fiorentina in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Napoli since 2015
Napoli
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
22
11
Games: Scored
9 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
2 / 11
NAP
7
D
1
FIO
3
League games at Fiorentina since 2014
Fiorentina
Napoli
Goals: Scored
14
21
Games: Scored
7 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
5 / 12
NAP
6
D
5
FIO
1
Goal Statistics
Napoli 3rd Fiorentina 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
There is a 81% probability that Napoli will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Fiorentina scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Napoli have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
-8
Fiorentina’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Napoli
PG (predicted goals)
Fiorentina
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
13%
better
NAP
FIO
view stats
Games scored16
16
Failed to score6
6
Scored first12
9
Goals scored31
24
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for15
12
Avg. XG for1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
34%
better
NAP
FIO
view stats
Games conceded13
19
Clean sheets9
3
Conceded first8
11
Goals conceded20
34
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
16%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+34%

Napoli v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23848
G LorenzoR HöjlundGiovaneJ Jesus
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Meret GLK71
1
-
G Lorenzo DEF2311
1
-
J Jesus DEF17
7
1
A Buongiorno DEF201
2
-
M Gutiérrez MID141
-
S Lobotka MID2011
1
-
S McTominay MID2363
1
-
L Spinazzola MID2022
2
-
A Vergara FWD711
1
-
E Elmas FWD211
1
-
R Höjlund FWD2082
1
-
Subs
N Contini GLK
-
M. Ferrante GLK
-
M Olivera DEF14
2
-
S Beukema DEF131
2
-
E. De Chiara MID
-
Giovane FWD3
-
R Lukaku  FWD2
-
Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24638
D GeaR Mandragora N FagioliM Pongracic 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK24
-
Dodô DEF242
4
-
P. Comuzzo DEF181
2
-
M Pongracic  DEF22
8
-
R Gosens DEF162
2
-
N Fagioli MID213
4
-
M Solomon MID72
-
G Fabbian MID3
1
-
M Brescianini MID51
-
A Gudmundsson MID2243
3
-
R Piccoli FWD202
-
Subs
L Lezzerini GLK
-
O Christensen GLK
-
L Ranieri DEF211
5
-
N. Fortini DEF16
-
E. Kouadio DEF3
-
L. Balbo Vieira DEF
-
F Parisi DEF151
4
-
R Mandragora  MID2461
4
-
J Fazzini MID11
-
C Ndour MID191
1
-
J Harrison FWD21
-
M Kean FWD2161
3
-