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Roma v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th May, 14:00 BST, Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Roma are in Serie A action on Sunday afternoon, as Raul Procopio aims to beat Giuseppe Pillon and his Milan side at the Stadio Olimpico. All of the key stats for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across seventeen major markets are included in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Roma are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Roma
50%
9/10
3%
-
Draw
24%
27/10
1%
-
Milan
26%
11/4
4%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
7%
-
Roma 1-0
10%
8/1
6%
-
Roma 2-1
10%
15/2-
Roma 2-0
8%
9/1-
Milan 1-0
7%
12/1-
Milan 2-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1-
Roma 3-1
5%
14/1-
Roma 3-0
5%
16/1-
Milan 2-0
4%
20/1-
Roma 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
-
Milan 3-1
2%
28/1-
Roma 4-1
2%
28/1-
Milan 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/6-
BTTS - No
45%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
13/5-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
11/2-
Home/draw
74%
1/4-
Away/draw
50%
10/11-
Home/away
76%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Home DNB
67%
4/9
3%
-
Away DNB
43%
13/8
5%
-
Roma win to nil
26%
5/2-
Milan win to nil
13%
6/1-
Roma / Roma
28%
2/1-
Roma / Milan
3%
28/1-
Roma / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Roma
17%
4/1-
Draw / Milan
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Milan / Roma
4%
20/1-
Milan / Milan
14%
5/1
8%
-
Milan / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Roma have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 5 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 58 goals to 51 goals.

Home League Performance

Roma have played 18 games at home winning 12, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 34 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Milan are in 8th position in the Serie A on 60 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 30 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Milan have conceded 19 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Roma
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli3623943078 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
2
Inter3623854277 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
3
Atalanta3621874171 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
4
Juventus36161642064 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
5
Lazio36181081364 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
6
Roma Home3618991763 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
May 18
7
Bologna36161461362 
l
 
2-3A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-1F
8
Milan Away36179101860 
May 18
d
 
1-1A
-
-
9
Fiorentina36178111759 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
10
Como 19073613914-148 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2A
11
Torino36101412-344 
w
 
1-0F
May 25
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
12
Udinese3612816-1244 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
13
Genoa3691314-1340 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
14
Cagliari368919-1733 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
15
Verona369621-3333 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
16
Parma3661416-1532 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
17
Venezia3651417-2029 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
18
Empoli3651318-2728 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
19
Lecce3661020-3328 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3A
20
Monza363924-3718 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
May 25
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
3
Milan have won 3 consecutive league games
11
Roma have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games
Roma 6TH
20 league games
Home
11
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Roma1 - 0Fiorentina
Roma1 - 0Verona
Roma1 - 1Juventus
Roma1 - 0Cagliari
Roma2 - 1Como 1907
Roma4 - 0Monza
Roma1 - 1Napoli
Roma3 - 1Genoa
Roma2 - 0Lazio
Roma5 - 0Parma
Roma4 - 1Lecce
Roma0 - 2Atalanta
Roma2 - 3Bologna
Roma1 - 0Torino
Roma0 - 1Inter
Roma2 - 1Venezia
Roma3 - 0Udinese
Roma1 - 2Empoli
Roma1 - 0Genoa
Roma1 - 1Juventus
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARoma1 - 2Atalanta
HRoma1 - 0Fiorentina
ARoma1 - 0Inter
HRoma1 - 0Verona
ARoma1 - 1Lazio
HRoma1 - 1Juventus
ARoma1 - 0Lecce
HRoma1 - 0Cagliari
ARoma1 - 0Empoli
HRoma2 - 1Como 1907
HRoma4 - 0Monza
ARoma1 - 0Parma
ARoma1 - 0Venezia
HRoma1 - 1Napoli
ARoma2 - 1Udinese
HRoma3 - 1Genoa
ARoma2 - 2Bologna
HRoma2 - 0Lazio
ARoma1 - 1Milan
HRoma5 - 0Parma
Milan 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Genoa1 - 2Milan
Venezia0 - 2Milan
Udinese0 - 4Milan
Napoli2 - 1Milan
Lecce2 - 3Milan
Bologna2 - 1Milan
Torino2 - 1Milan
Empoli0 - 2Milan
Juventus2 - 0Milan
Como 19071 - 2Milan
Verona0 - 1Milan
Atalanta2 - 1Milan
Cagliari3 - 3Milan
Monza0 - 1Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1Milan
Inter1 - 2Milan
Lazio2 - 2Milan
Parma2 - 1Milan
Torino3 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan3 - 1Bologna
AMilan2 - 1Genoa
AMilan2 - 0Venezia
HMilan0 - 1Atalanta
AMilan4 - 0Udinese
HMilan2 - 2Fiorentina
AMilan1 - 2Napoli
HMilan2 - 1Como 1907
AMilan3 - 2Lecce
HMilan1 - 2Lazio
AMilan1 - 2Bologna
AMilan1 - 2Torino
HMilan1 - 0Verona
AMilan2 - 0Empoli
HMilan1 - 1Inter
HMilan3 - 2Parma
AMilan0 - 2Juventus
AMilan2 - 1Como 1907
HMilan1 - 1Cagliari
HMilan1 - 1Roma
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Milan have not lost to Roma in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at Roma since 2014
Roma
Milan
Goals: Scored
9
12
Games: Scored
8 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
2 / 10
RMA
2
D
4
ACM
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Roma
1 - 2Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Milan
1 - 2Milan
Roma2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Milan
Roma1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Roma
Goals: Scored
20
19
Games: Scored
10 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
1 / 11
RMA
3
D
3
ACM
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
Milan3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Milan3 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
Milan2 - 0
Milan2 - 1
0 - 2Roma
1 - 4Roma
1 - 3Roma
Milan2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Roma have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 19 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Milan on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Roma's defensive record is to be admired, Raul Procopio's men having conceded 1 or less in 15 consecutive Serie A games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Milan makes sense in this context.

Roma 6th Milan 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Roma will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Roma’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+4
Milan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283405/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Roma
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
RMA
ACM
7%
better
view stats
Games scored29
31
Failed to score6
5
Scored first18
16
Goals scored50
58
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
17%
better
RMA
ACM
view stats
Games conceded20
24
Clean sheets15
12
Conceded first15
18
Goals conceded32
40
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+17%

Roma v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Roma Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
361247
M SvilarA DovbykE ShomurodovG Mancini
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Svilar GLK36
-
A Angeliño DEF3621
1
-
E Ndicka DEF361
2
-
G Mancini DEF351
7
-
M Koné MID3221
7
-
A Dovbyk FWD32123
-
Z Celik DEF292
4
-
T Baldanzi MID2911
2
-
S Shaarawy FWD2933
2
-
B Cristante MID2832
7
-
N Pisilli MID2721
7
-
L Pellegrini MID2521
4
-
M Malvano FWD2553
3
-
E Shomurodov FWD2544
1
-
P Dybala FWD2463
2
-
L Paredes MID2011
4
-
A Saelemaekers FWD2063
4
-
M Hummels DEF13
1
-
D Rensch DEF121
-
L Gourna-Douath MID5
2
-
V Nelsson DEF4
-
S Abdulhamid DEF41
-
A Salah-Eddine DEF31
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351195
M Maignan C PulisicC PulisicT Hernández
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK35
2
-
T Reijnders MID35105
2
1
T Hernández DEF3343
4
1
Y Fofana MID3316
5
-
R Leão FWD3388
5
-
C Pulisic FWD32119
1
-
T Abraham FWD2834
1
-
Y Musah MID272
5
-
S Chukwueze FWD2531
-
M Gabbia DEF241
4
-
S Pavlovic DEF2221
3
1
M Thiaw DEF22
2
-
F Tomori DEF201
2
1
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF18
5
-
E Royal DEF18
5
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID17
3
-
S Giménez FWD1352
3
-
L Jović  FWD132
1
-
J Félix FWD13
3
-
F Terracciano DEF12
3
-
K Walker DEF11
1
-
R Sottil  FWD5
-
W Bondo MID4
1
-
M Sportiello GLK2
-