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Roma v Lecce : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Dec, 19:45 BST, Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Daniele De Rossi's Roma side enjoy home advantage in the Serie A on Saturday evening, as Luca Gotti's Lecce travel to the Stadio Olimpico. We've got the best odds for 17 top betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for both teams. You can access it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Daniele De Rossi and Luca Gotti to park the bus here, but we're certainly not expecting a glut of goals as Roma and Lecce go head-to-head. The stats belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon that's a good shout here. With best odds of 1.91 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we recommend.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Roma are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Roma
53%
1.53
2%
1.55
3%
Draw
27%
4.00
16%
4.00
5%
Lecce
20%
6.00
9%
6.00
8%
Roma 1-0
16%
6.005.75
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
8.00
11%
7.00
7%
Roma 2-0
12%
6.506.50
8%
Draw 0-0
12%
9.50
14%
8.50
6%
Roma 2-1
9%
8.507.50
Lecce 1-0
9%
13.00
8%
12.00
Roma 3-0
6%
11.00
10%
9.50
6%
Lecce 2-1
4%
19.00
12%
15.00
12%
Roma 3-1
4%
13.0012.00
9%
Draw 2-2
3%
21.00
9%
17.00
Lecce 2-0
3%
29.0023.00
Roma 4-0
2%
21.0017.00
13%
Roma 3-2
2%
29.00
15%
23.00
Roma 4-1
1%
26.0021.00
11%
Lecce 3-1
1%
51.0034.00
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
2.001.95
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
1.801.75
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.36
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
3.60-
No 1st Goal
8%
9.50
14%
-
BTTS - Yes
40%
2.05
2%
2.10
2%
BTTS - No
60%
1.70
2%
1.70
3%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
3.753.60
3%
BTTS - Draw
16%
6.00
8%
5.50
4%
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12.0011.00
Home/draw
81%
1.12
2%
1.12
1%
Away/draw
47%
2.38
5%
2.40
4%
Home/away
73%
1.22
3%
1.25
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
1.331.33
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
3.403.10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
3.50
7%
3.40
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
1.30
1%
1.29
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
7.006.50
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1.101.10
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
15.0013.00
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1.06
1%
1.06
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
9.50
14%
8.50
6%
Home DNB
72%
1.18
2%
1.18
1%
Away DNB
39%
4.50
4%
4.40
4%
Roma win to nil
36%
2.38
6%
-
Lecce win to nil
13%
10.00
11%
-
Roma / Roma
34%
2.40
4%
2.38
6%
Roma / Lecce
2%
41.0034.00
Roma / Draw
5%
15.00
12%
15.00
Draw / Roma
20%
4.004.00
3%
Draw / Lecce
7%
12.0011.00
Draw / Draw
15%
5.505.25
5%
Lecce / Roma
4%
23.0019.00
Lecce / Lecce
8%
11.009.00
Lecce / Draw
5%
17.00
11%
15.00
bet365
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Roma have played 14 matches so far this season and lay in 15th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Roma have outscored their opponents by 14 goals to 7 goals.

Home League Performance

Roma have played 7 games at home winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 4 games. They have scored 9 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Lecce are in 16th position in the Serie A on 13 points having played 14 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 1 goal in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Lecce have conceded 22 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Roma
Lecce
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli1410221232 
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
May 4
l
 
1-0A
2
Atalanta1410132031 
l
 
0-2A
May 11
l
 
0-4A
Apr 27
3
Inter138411728 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 27
Jan 26
l
 
2-0A
4
Fiorentina138411728 
May 4
l
 
5-1A
l
 
0-6A
Mar 2
5
Lazio149141228 
Jan 5
Apr 13
Dec 21
May 25
6
Juventus146801426 
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
Apr 13
7
Milan13643922 
May 18
Dec 29
Mar 9
l
 
3-0A
8
Bologna13562221 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 12
Feb 9
l
 
1-0A
9
Udinese14527-517 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 26
Feb 23
l
 
1-0A
10
Empoli14374-416 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 9
d
 
1-1A
Jan 11
11
Parma14365-215 
Dec 22
Feb 16
d
 
2-2F
Feb 2
12
Torino14437-415 
w
 
1-0F
May 25
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
13
Cagliari14356-914 
Mar 16
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Jan 19
14
Genoa14356-1114 
Jan 19
d
 
1-1F
Jan 5
Mar 16
15
Roma 14347-613 
-
-
Mar 30
Dec 7
16
Lecce 14347-1513 
Dec 7
Mar 30
-
-
17
Verona144010-1612 
Apr 20
l
 
3-2A
w
 
1-0F
May 11
18
Como 190714257-1211 
Mar 2
Dec 15
Apr 20
Dec 30
19
Monza14176-510 
Feb 23
d
 
1-1F
Dec 15
Feb 16
20
Venezia142210-148 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 9
Apr 6
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
4
Roma have lost 4 consecutive league games
Roma 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Lecce 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Roma have beaten Lecce in 3 consecutive home league meetings
6
Roma have not lost to Lecce in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Roma since 2020
Roma
Lecce
Goals: Scored
8
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
RMA
3
League games at Lecce since 2019
Lecce
Roma
Goals: Scored
1
2
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
RMA
1
D
2
Goal Statistics

Lecce's defensive record is very strong, L. Gotti's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Serie A outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Roma makes sense in this context.

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Lecce fans, as should a 9 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Roma 15th Lecce 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Roma will score 1 or more goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Lecce scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Roma’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-50
Lecce have scored 50% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283183/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Roma
PG (predicted goals)
Lecce
1.4
0.7
Attack rating
32%
better
RMA
LEC
view stats
Games scored9
6
Failed to score5
8
Scored first4
4
Goals scored14
7
Avg. goals scored1
0.5
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal9
20
Conversion rate for11
5
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
3%
better
RMA
LEC
view stats
Games conceded10
10
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded20
22
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.8
KickOff rating
+3%

Roma v Lecce Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Roma Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14415
M SvilarA DovbykE NdickaN Pisilli
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Svilar GLK14
-
A Angeliño DEF14
-
E Ndicka DEF141
1
-
G Mancini DEF14
3
-
Z Celik DEF141
-
B Cristante MID141
4
-
T Baldanzi MID1311
1
-
A Dovbyk FWD1341
-
M Koné MID121
2
-
L Pellegrini MID121
2
-
P Dybala FWD112
1
-
N Pisilli MID101
5
-
M Malvano FWD101
1
-
S Shaarawy FWD1021
2
-
N Zalewski MID91
-
E Shomurodov FWD711
1
-
L Paredes MID61
-
E Fée MID5
-
A Saelemaekers FWD3
1
-
S Dahl DEF2
-
S Abdulhamid DEF1
-
Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14323
W FalconeP. Chinazaekpere DorguA GalloK Gaspar
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK14
1
-
K Gaspar DEF141
3
-
F Baschirotto DEF14
2
-
L Coulibaly  MID14
1
-
Y Ramadani MID141
1
-
N Krstovic FWD1421
-
A Gallo DEF132
1
1
S Pierotti FWD131
1
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu FWD133
1
1
H Rafia MID12
3
-
A Rebic  FWD121
2
-
B Pierret MID11
1
-
F Guilbert DEF10
2
1
L Banda FWD101
1
-
T Morente FWD10
1
-
R Oudin MID8
-
G Jean DEF3
-
A Pelmard DEF3
1
-
M Kaba MID3
-
M Berisha MID3
-
N Sansone FWD2
1
-
F Marchwiński MID1
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID1
-