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US Cremonese v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 16th Mar, 19:45 BST, Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona

US Cremonese and their boss Davide Nicola will be hoping for victory against Paolo Vanoli and his Fiorentina side on Monday evening, as the pair clash at the Stadio Giovanni Zini in the Serie A. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also given.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 74% probability of Cremonese and Fiorentina delivering at least 2 goals in this Serie A match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.29.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Fiorentina coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Cremonese 35%	29/10	27/10 1%
Draw 26%	5/2	13/5 3%
Fiorentina 39%	10/11	19/20 3%
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	11/2 8%
Fiorentina 1-0 10%	7/1	6/1 7%
Cremonese 1-0 9%	11/1	9/1
Fiorentina 2-1 8%	15/2	13/2
Cremonese 2-1 8%	12/1	10/1
Draw 0-0 7%	10/1	17/2
Fiorentina 2-0 7%	17/2	15/2 6%
Cremonese 2-0 6%	20/1	14/1
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1	11/1 9%
Fiorentina 3-1 4%	14/1	12/1
Cremonese 3-1 3%	28/1	22/1
Fiorentina 3-0 3%	16/1	12/1 13%
Cremonese 3-0 3%	40/1	28/1
Fiorentina 3-2 2%	22/1	18/1
Cremonese 3-2 2%	33/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	10/11	5/6
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	10/11	10/11
Home 1st Goal 47%	11/8	7/5
Away 1st Goal 48%	4/6	4/6 2%
No 1st Goal 5%	10/1	17/2
BTTS - Yes 54%	3/4 3%	8/11
BTTS - No 46%	1/1 2%	1/1 2%
BTTS - Home Win 17%	6/1	11/2
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	17/5 2%
BTTS - Away Win 18%	3/1 7%	11/4
Home/draw 61%	5/6	4/5
Away/draw 65%	1/4	1/4
Home/away 74%	2/7	2/7 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	2/7	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	11/4	5/2
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	11/5	2/1
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	4/11	7/20
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	5/1	19/4 5%
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/8	1/8
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	12/1	10/1
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/25	1/33
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/20	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	10/1	9/1 5%
Home DNB 54%	7/4	13/8
Away DNB 57%	2/5	4/9
Cremonese win to nil 19%	6/1	-
Fiorentina win to nil 20%	5/2	-
Cremonese / Cremonese 14%	5/1	19/4
Cremonese / Fiorentina 4%	22/1	18/1
Cremonese / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Cremonese 10%	7/1 6%	7/1
Draw / Fiorentina 16%	4/1	4/1
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	4/1
Fiorentina / Cremonese 3%	28/1	25/1
Fiorentina / Fiorentina 27%	21/10	19/10 3%
Fiorentina / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Serie A table

Cremonese have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Cremonese have conceded 39 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Cremonese have played 13 games at home, winning 2, drawing 6 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Fiorentina lay in 17th place on 25 points in the Serie A league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 3 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Fiorentina have conceded 2 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Fiorentina have played 14 away games, winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Cremonese Fiorentina
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Inter	28	22	1	5	42	67	l 0-2A	l 4-1A	Mar 22	l 3-0A
2	Milan	28	17	9	2	24	60	l 0-2A	w 1-2F	d 1-1F	l 2-1F
3	Napoli	28	17	5	6	14	56	l 0-2A	Apr 26	l 1-3A	l 2-1A
4	Roma	28	16	3	9	17	51	l 1-3A	l 3-0A	l 1-2F	May 3
5	Como 1907	28	14	9	5	25	51	May 24	d 1-1A	l 1-2F	w 1-2F
6	Juventus	28	14	8	6	22	50	l 1-2A	l 5-0A	d 1-1A	May 17
7	Atalanta	28	12	10	6	13	46	d 1-1F	l 2-1A	May 24	l 2-0A
8	Bologna	28	11	6	11	3	39	Apr 5	w 1-3F	d 2-2A	w 1-2F
9	Sassuolo	28	11	5	12	-3	38	w 3-2F	l 1-0A	Apr 26	l 3-1F
10	Lazio	28	9	10	9	0	37	May 3	d 0-00-0	Apr 12	d 2-2A
11	Udinese	28	10	6	12	-8	36	d 1-1F	May 17	w 5-1F	l 3-0A
12	Parma	28	8	10	10	-12	34	d 0-00-0	Mar 21	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
13	Genoa	28	7	9	12	-6	30	d 0-00-0	w 0-2F	May 10	d 2-2A
14	Cagliari	28	7	9	12	-8	30	d 2-2F	Apr 12	l 1-2A	d 1-1F
15	Torino	28	8	6	14	-21	30	Apr 19	l 1-0A	d 2-2A	d 0-00-0
16	Lecce	28	7	6	15	-17	27	w 2-0F	l 2-1A	l 0-1A	Apr 19
17	Fiorentina	28	5	10	13	-12	25	Mar 16	l 1-0A	-	-
18	Cremonese	28	5	9	14	-18	24	-	-	w 1-0F	Mar 16
19	Verona	28	3	9	16	-27	18	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	l 1-2A	Apr 4
20	Pisa	28	1	12	15	-28	15	May 10	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Cremonese have not won in 6 consecutive home league games

Cremonese have failed to score in 4 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cremonese	0 - 2	Milan
Cremonese	0 - 0	Genoa
Cremonese	0 - 2	Inter
Cremonese	0 - 0	Verona
Cremonese	2 - 2	Cagliari
Cremonese	0 - 2	Napoli
Cremonese	2 - 0	Lecce
Cremonese	1 - 3	Roma
Cremonese	1 - 2	Juventus
Cremonese	1 - 1	Atalanta
Cremonese	1 - 1	Udinese
Cremonese	0 - 0	Parma
Cremonese	3 - 2	Sassuolo
Cremonese	0 - 0	Spezia
Cremonese	3 - 0	Juve Stabia
Cremonese	1 - 1	Sassuolo
Cremonese	4 - 2	Mantova
Cremonese	1 - 1	Juve Stabia
Cremonese	2 - 2	Cittadella
Cremonese	4 - 0	Catanzaro

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

12 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Cremonese	1 - 2	Lecce
H	Cremonese	0 - 2	Milan
A	Cremonese	0 - 3	Roma
H	Cremonese	0 - 0	Genoa
A	Cremonese	1 - 2	Atalanta
H	Cremonese	0 - 2	Inter
A	Cremonese	0 - 1	Sassuolo
H	Cremonese	0 - 0	Verona
A	Cremonese	0 - 5	Juventus
H	Cremonese	2 - 2	Cagliari
A	Cremonese	0 - 1	Fiorentina
H	Cremonese	0 - 2	Napoli
A	Cremonese	0 - 0	Lazio
A	Cremonese	0 - 1	Torino
H	Cremonese	2 - 0	Lecce
A	Cremonese	3 - 1	Bologna
H	Cremonese	1 - 3	Roma
A	Cremonese	0 - 1	Pisa
H	Cremonese	1 - 2	Juventus
A	Cremonese	2 - 0	Genoa

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Udinese	3 - 0	Fiorentina
Como 1907	1 - 2	Fiorentina
Napoli	2 - 1	Fiorentina
Bologna	1 - 2	Fiorentina
Lazio	2 - 2	Fiorentina
Parma	1 - 0	Fiorentina
Sassuolo	3 - 1	Fiorentina
Atalanta	2 - 0	Fiorentina
Genoa	2 - 2	Fiorentina
Inter	3 - 0	Fiorentina
Milan	2 - 1	Fiorentina
Pisa	0 - 0	Fiorentina
Torino	0 - 0	Fiorentina
Cagliari	1 - 1	Fiorentina
Udinese	2 - 3	Fiorentina
Venezia	2 - 1	Fiorentina
Roma	1 - 0	Fiorentina
Cagliari	1 - 2	Fiorentina
Milan	2 - 2	Fiorentina
Napoli	2 - 1	Fiorentina

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Fiorentina	0 - 0	Parma
A	Fiorentina	0 - 3	Udinese
H	Fiorentina	1 - 0	Pisa
A	Fiorentina	2 - 1	Como 1907
H	Fiorentina	2 - 2	Torino
A	Fiorentina	1 - 2	Napoli
H	Fiorentina	1 - 2	Cagliari
A	Fiorentina	2 - 1	Bologna
H	Fiorentina	1 - 1	Milan
A	Fiorentina	2 - 2	Lazio
H	Fiorentina	1 - 0	Cremonese
A	Fiorentina	0 - 1	Parma
H	Fiorentina	5 - 1	Udinese
H	Fiorentina	1 - 2	Verona
A	Fiorentina	1 - 3	Sassuolo
A	Fiorentina	0 - 2	Atalanta
H	Fiorentina	1 - 1	Juventus
A	Fiorentina	2 - 2	Genoa
H	Fiorentina	0 - 1	Lecce
A	Fiorentina	0 - 3	Inter

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for US Cremonese of late. It has been 8 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Monday evening against Fiorentina.

	Cremonese 18th	Fiorentina 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 63% probability that Cremonese will score no more than 1 goal	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Cremonese’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Fiorentina’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season

CRE

FIO

25%

better

view stats

Games scored	13		20
Failed to score	14		7
Scored first	8		11
Goals scored	21		30
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1.1
Avg. shots per game	6		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		9
Conversion rate for	12		12
Avg. XG for	1		1.5
KickOff rating		+25%

15%

better

CRE

FIO

view stats

Games conceded	20		23
Clean sheets	7		4
Conceded first	14		14
Goals conceded	38		42
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		6
Conversion rate against	11%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.5
KickOff rating		+15%

Cremonese v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cremonese Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	6	4	7
F Baschirotto	F Bonazzoli	J Vandeputte	G Pezzella

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Terracciano DEF	26	2		5 -
F Baschirotto DEF	25	2		2 -
F Bonazzoli FWD	25	6	2	3 -
E Audero GLK	24			-
J Vardy FWD	24	5	1	4 -
J Vandeputte MID	23		4	2 -
A Zerbin FWD	23		2	1 -
G Pezzella DEF	22		1	7 -
M Bianchetti DEF	21		2	3 -
W Bondo MID	21			4 -
R Floriani DEF	20			2 -
T Barbieri DEF	20		1	5 -
A Grassi MID	20			3 -
A Sanabria FWD	20	1	1	2 -
M Payero MID	19	1		6 -
F. Folino DEF	14	1		-
F Ceccherini DEF	8			1 1
M. Faye DEF	8			1 -
Y Maleh MID	6			1 -
M Collocolo MID	6			1 -
M Djuric FWD	6		1	1 -
S Luperto DEF	5		1	1 -
M Thorsby MID	5	1		1 -
F Moumbagna FWD	5			-
M Silvestri GLK	4			-
D Okereke FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	17	4	9
F Bonazzoli	F Bonazzoli	J Vandeputte	J Vandeputte

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Bonazzoli FWD	6	17	2	4
J Vardy FWD	5	12	1	3
F Terracciano DEF	2	4		1
F Baschirotto DEF	2	5
A Sanabria FWD	1	4	1	3
M Payero MID	1	6		1
F. Folino DEF	1	1
M Thorsby MID	1	4
J Vandeputte MID		5	4	9
A Zerbin FWD		7	2	4
G Pezzella DEF			1	1
M Bianchetti DEF		1	2	1
R Floriani DEF				4
T Barbieri DEF		1	1	1
A Grassi MID		3
F Ceccherini DEF		2
M. Faye DEF				1
Y Maleh MID		1		1
M Collocolo MID		1
M Djuric FWD		4	1	1
S Luperto DEF		1	1	1
D Okereke FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1135	40	93
F Terracciano	T Barbieri	T Barbieri

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Terracciano DEF	1135	21	80
F Baschirotto DEF	1127	28	87
E Audero GLK	931		13
M Bianchetti DEF	879	39	89
J Vandeputte MID	692	32	64
W Bondo MID	589	27	70
F Bonazzoli FWD	530	20	79
A Grassi MID	488	15	41
G Pezzella DEF	475	36	88
T Barbieri DEF	404	40	93
M Payero MID	391	20	80
A Zerbin FWD	362	35	63
J Vardy FWD	262	10	76
F. Folino DEF	241	8	28
S Luperto DEF	216	8	24
R Floriani DEF	211	19	41
Y Maleh MID	204	12	22
F Ceccherini DEF	195	5	28
M Silvestri GLK	140		2
A Sanabria FWD	131	3	48
M Thorsby MID	131	12	49
M. Faye DEF	124	7	17
M Collocolo MID	109	3	9
M Djuric FWD	84	1	45
D Okereke FWD	17	1	8
F Moumbagna FWD	15		3

Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	8	3	9
D Gea	M Kean	N Fagioli	M Pongracic

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Gea GLK	28			-
Dodô DEF	27		2	6 -
R Mandragora MID	27	6	1	6 -
M Pongracic DEF	26			9 -
L Ranieri DEF	25	1		7 -
N Fagioli MID	25	1	3	4 -
R Piccoli FWD	24	2		-
A Gudmundsson FWD	24	4	3	3 -
M Kean FWD	24	8	1	3 -
C Ndour MID	23	1		1 -
P. Comuzzo DEF	21	1		2 -
F Parisi DEF	18		1	5 -
R Gosens DEF	17	2		2 -
N. Fortini DEF	16			-
J Fazzini MID	14			1 -
M Brescianini MID	9	1		-
M Solomon FWD	9	2		-
G Fabbian MID	6			2 -
J Harrison FWD	6		1	-
E. Kouadio DEF	3			-
T Lamptey DEF	2			-
D Rugani DEF	1			1 -
A Sabiri MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	26	3	9
M Kean	M Kean	N Fagioli	N Fagioli

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Kean FWD	8	26	1
R Mandragora MID	6	13	1	2
A Gudmundsson FWD	4	11	3	5
R Piccoli FWD	2	13		1
R Gosens DEF	2	6
M Solomon FWD	2	2		2
L Ranieri DEF	1	3		2
N Fagioli MID	1	6	3	9
C Ndour MID	1	4		1
P. Comuzzo DEF	1	2
M Brescianini MID	1	2		1
Dodô DEF		1	2	6
M Pongracic DEF		1		1
F Parisi DEF		3	1	3
N. Fortini DEF		2		1
J Fazzini MID		1		1
G Fabbian MID		1		1
J Harrison FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1573	37	113
M Pongracic	R Mandragora	Dodô

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Pongracic DEF	1573	27	98
N Fagioli MID	1280	36	84
Dodô DEF	1049	20	113
L Ranieri DEF	1003	27	80
P. Comuzzo DEF	867	29	59
R Mandragora MID	802	37	111
D Gea GLK	793		7
A Gudmundsson FWD	646	6	50
F Parisi DEF	537	16	91
C Ndour MID	499	17	58
R Gosens DEF	485	23	58
N. Fortini DEF	210	22	52
M Kean FWD	196	6	96
J Harrison FWD	181	2	15
M Solomon FWD	162	6	36
M Brescianini MID	156	3	18
R Piccoli FWD	154	7	84
J Fazzini MID	134	13	37
D Rugani DEF	68	2	6
G Fabbian MID	40		8
E. Kouadio DEF	24	4	6
A Sabiri MID	19	2	3
T Lamptey DEF	10	2	2

US Cremonese v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Cremonese have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Fiorentina lay in 17th place on 25 points in the Serie A league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Cremonese v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

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