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Verona v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Apr, 14:00 BST, Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona

Massimiliano Allegri is aiming for a vital away win in the Serie A on Sunday afternoon, as he takes his Milan side to the Marcantonio Bentegodi to visit Verona and Paolo Sammarco. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are provided too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Verona and Milan have delivered plenty of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 59% chance of Milan coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Verona
17%
19/419/4
5%
Draw
24%
13/5
3%
11/4
1%
Milan
59%
3/5
1%
8/13
2%
Milan 1-0
14%
5/119/4
5%
Milan 2-0
12%
6/111/2
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Milan 2-1
10%
15/213/2
6%
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1
6%
7/1
Milan 3-0
7%
11/19/1
Verona 1-0
7%
12/110/1
Milan 3-1
5%
14/111/1
Verona 2-1
5%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/114/1
12%
Milan 4-0
3%
22/116/1
11%
Verona 2-0
3%
28/120/1
Milan 4-1
2%
28/120/1
Milan 3-2
2%
28/120/1
9%
Verona 3-1
1%
40/1
20%
33/1
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
11/1021/20
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
8/118/11
2%
Home 1st Goal
38%
15/811/5
3%
Away 1st Goal
56%
1/2
2%
10/21
1%
No 1st Goal
6%
8/1
6%
7/1
BTTS - Yes
45%
1/121/20
2%
BTTS - No
55%
3/47/10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
7%
11/19/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
10%
17/4
BTTS - Away Win
22%
3/111/4
4%
Home/draw
41%
13/10
2%
5/4
2%
Away/draw
83%
1/72/15
1%
Home/away
76%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/3
2%
1/3
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
12/5
6%
21/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
11/45/2
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/72/7
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
6/1
13%
11/2
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/10
2%
1/11
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/66
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
6%
7/1
Home DNB
34%
10/33/1
3%
Away DNB
75%
1/51/5
2%
Verona win to nil
10%
8/1
10%
-
Milan win to nil
36%
6/4-
Verona / Verona
9%
17/215/2
6%
Verona / Milan
4%
22/118/1
Verona / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Verona
8%
10/19/1
Draw / Milan
19%
10/310/3
Draw / Draw
16%
9/219/5
4%
Milan / Verona
2%
40/133/1
Milan / Milan
33%
6/47/5
2%
Milan / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Verona have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 20 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Verona have conceded 55 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 14 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Verona have played 15 games at home, winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 10 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Milan lay in 3rd place on 63 points in the Serie A league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 9 and losing 4 games. They have scored 43 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Milan have played 16 away games, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Verona
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3224354675 
l
 
1-2A
May 17
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
2
Napoli3220661766 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
3
Milan3218952063 
Apr 19
l
 
3-0A
-
-
4
Juventus3217962660 
d
 
1-1A
May 3
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
5
Como 190732161063058 
May 10
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3A
6
Roma32183111757 
May 24
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
7
Atalanta32141171653 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
May 10
d
 
1-1F
8
Bologna3214612548 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
9
Lazio3111119344 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
10
Udinese3212713-443 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-3F
11
Sassuolo3212614-442 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2A
May 3
12
Torino3211615-1739 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-2F
w
 
2-3A
13
Genoa329914-736 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
May 17
14
Parma3281212-1736 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
15
Cagliari328915-1133 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
4-0A
May 24
w
 
0-1F
16
Fiorentina3171113-832 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
17
Cremonese326917-2127 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
18
Lecce327619-2427 
Apr 25
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
19
Verona323920-3218 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Apr 19
20
Pisa3221218-3518 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
3
Verona have lost 3 consecutive home league games
8
Verona have not won in 8 consecutive home league games
Verona 19TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
1
Draw
8
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Verona0 - 1Fiorentina
Verona0 - 2Genoa
Verona1 - 2Napoli
Verona0 - 0Pisa
Verona1 - 3Udinese
Verona2 - 3Bologna
Verona0 - 1Lazio
Verona0 - 3Torino
Verona3 - 1Atalanta
Verona1 - 2Parma
Verona1 - 2Inter
Verona2 - 2Cagliari
Verona0 - 1Sassuolo
Verona1 - 1Juventus
Verona0 - 0Cremonese
Verona1 - 1Como 1907
Verona1 - 1Lecce
Verona0 - 2Cagliari
Verona0 - 0Genoa
Verona0 - 0Parma
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVerona1 - 2Torino
HVerona0 - 1Fiorentina
AVerona0 - 1Atalanta
HVerona0 - 2Genoa
AVerona2 - 1Bologna
HVerona1 - 2Napoli
AVerona0 - 3Sassuolo
AVerona1 - 2Parma
HVerona0 - 0Pisa
AVerona0 - 4Cagliari
HVerona1 - 3Udinese
AVerona0 - 0Cremonese
HVerona2 - 3Bologna
HVerona0 - 1Lazio
AVerona2 - 2Napoli
HVerona0 - 3Torino
AVerona0 - 3Milan
AVerona2 - 1Fiorentina
HVerona3 - 1Atalanta
AVerona1 - 2Genoa
Milan 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Napoli1 - 0Milan
Lazio1 - 0Milan
Cremonese0 - 2Milan
Pisa1 - 2Milan
Bologna0 - 3Milan
Roma1 - 1Milan
Como 19071 - 3Milan
Fiorentina1 - 1Milan
Cagliari0 - 1Milan
Torino2 - 3Milan
Inter0 - 1Milan
Parma2 - 2Milan
Atalanta1 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Udinese0 - 3Milan
Lecce0 - 2Milan
Roma3 - 1Milan
Genoa1 - 2Milan
Venezia0 - 2Milan
Udinese0 - 4Milan
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan0 - 3Udinese
AMilan0 - 1Napoli
HMilan3 - 2Torino
AMilan0 - 1Lazio
HMilan1 - 0Inter
AMilan2 - 0Cremonese
HMilan0 - 1Parma
HMilan1 - 1Como 1907
AMilan2 - 1Pisa
AMilan3 - 0Bologna
AMilan1 - 1Roma
HMilan1 - 0Lecce
AMilan3 - 1Como 1907
AMilan1 - 1Fiorentina
HMilan1 - 1Genoa
AMilan1 - 0Cagliari
HMilan3 - 0Verona
HMilan2 - 2Sassuolo
AMilan3 - 2Torino
HMilan1 - 0Lazio
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Milan have beaten Verona in 10 consecutive league meetings
14
Milan have not lost to Verona in 14 consecutive league meetings
3
Milan have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Verona
League games at Verona since 2014
Verona
Milan
Goals: Scored
9
16
Games: Scored
6 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
3 / 9
VER
2
ACM
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Verona
0 - 1Milan
1 - 3Milan
1 - 2Milan
1 - 3Milan
0 - 2Milan
0 - 1Milan
Verona3 - 0
Verona2 - 1
1 - 3Milan
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Verona
Goals: Scored
21
10
Games: Scored
10 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
0 / 10
D
4
ACM
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan3 - 0
Milan1 - 0
Milan1 - 0
Milan3 - 1
Milan3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Milan4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks unlikely for Verona, with P. Sammarco's men failing to score in 3 consecutive Serie A games.

Milan's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Verona have conceded in each of their last 7 Serie A matches. A PG of 1.7 for M. Allegri's side suggests that run should continue.

Verona 19th Milan 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Verona scoring 1 goal or less
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-34
Verona have scored 34% fewer goals at home than predicted
+17
Milan have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
0.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Verona
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
0.8
1.7
Attack rating
VER
ACM
46%
better
view stats
Games scored16
27
Failed to score16
5
Scored first6
19
Goals scored23
47
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal11
7
Conversion rate for9
15
Avg. XG for1
1.6
KickOff rating
+46%
Defence rating
VER
ACM
42%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
19
Clean sheets5
13
Conceded first21
12
Goals conceded55
27
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
10
Conversion rate against19%
10%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+42%

Verona v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Verona Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31727
V NelssonG OrbanA BernedeR Gagliardini
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Nelsson DEF32
4
-
A Sarr FWD311
1
1
L Montipò GLK291
-
A Bernede MID2712
1
-
G Orban FWD2772
4
1
M Frese DEF262
6
-
D Bradaric DEF25
2
-
R Gagliardini MID241
7
-
D Mosquera FWD222
1
-
R Belghali  DEF202
6
-
C Niasse MID201
1
-
S Serdar MID202
3
-
A Harroui MID201
2
-
A Bella-Kotchap DEF17
3
-
N Valentini DEF16
4
-
J Akpro  MID161
7
-
A Musrati MID161
4
1
D Oyegoke DEF14
2
-
A Edmundsson DEF9
3
-
K Bowie FWD92
1
-
T Slotsager DEF7
-
F. Cham DEF6
-
T Suslov MID6
1
1
P Lirola DEF4
1
-
S Perilli GLK3
-
S Lovric MID2
-
I Tomich FWD1
-
J. Ajayi FWD1
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31946
M Maignan R LeãoA RabiotA Rabiot
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK31
3
-
L Modric MID3123
4
-
A Saelemaekers MID3023
4
-
S Pavlovic DEF2841
3
-
F Tomori DEF282
5
-
Y Fofana MID2723
4
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF262
2
-
S Ricci MID2613
1
-
C Nkunku  FWD2653
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID2531
1
-
C Pulisic FWD2583
-
K Winter DEF2411
1
-
M Gabbia DEF24
3
-
R Leão FWD2492
4
-
A Rabiot MID2354
5
1
Z. Athekame DEF2212
3
-
P Estupiñán DEF1611
3
1
N Füllkrug FWD161
-
S Giménez FWD11
2
-
A Jashari MID101
-
P Terracciano GLK2
-
D Odogu DEF2
-