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Bari 1908 v Spezia : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 11th Feb, 19:00 BST, Stadio Comunale San Nicola, Bari

The Serie B is the focus for both Bari 1908 and Spezia on Wednesday evening, as bosses Fabio Caserta and Luca D'Angelo go head to head at the Stadio Comunale San Nicola. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Bari 1908 and Spezia have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Wednesday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.20.

It looks highly unlikely that this fixture will have more than 4 goals. In fact, our algorithmplaces the probability at just 91%. ‘Under 4.5 goals’ is therefore the most likely outcome, and is available at 1.06.

Discover the top tips from the communities best over/under tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bari 1908 35%	3.40 13%	3.20 34%
Draw 28%	2.87 7%	2.90
Spezia 36%	2.25 4%	2.15 23%
Draw 1-1 13%	5.50 8%	5.50 4%
Spezia 1-0 12%	6.50 7%	6.00 20%
Bari 1908 1-0 11%	8.50 6%	7.50 15%
Draw 0-0 10%	7.00 7%	7.00 7%
Spezia 2-1 8%	10.00	8.50 11%
Bari 1908 2-1 8%	13.00 8%	11.00 29%
Spezia 2-0 7%	10.00 9%	9.00 25%
Bari 1908 2-0 7%	17.00 31%	13.00 30%
Draw 2-2 4%	15.00 12%	13.00 8%
Spezia 3-1 3%	21.00	15.00 21%
Bari 1908 3-1 3%	34.00 17%	21.00 24%
Spezia 3-0 3%	21.00 9%	17.00 19%
Bari 1908 3-0 2%	41.00 21%	26.00 37%
Spezia 3-2 2%	34.00	23.00
Bari 1908 3-2 2%	41.00	29.00 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%	2.40 2%	2.25 7%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%	1.53 3%	1.53 4%
Home 1st Goal 47%	2.30 5%	2.38 25%
Away 1st Goal 47%	1.83 4%	1.85 16%
No 1st Goal 6%	7.00 7%	7.00 7%
BTTS - Yes 47%	2.00	1.95 5%
BTTS - No 53%	1.75	1.75 4%
BTTS - Home Win 14%	8.00 14%	7.00 40%
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.33 4%	4.33 3%
BTTS - Away Win 15%	5.50 8%	5.00 13%
Home/draw 64%	1.57 3%	1.62 19%
Away/draw 65%	1.30 4%	1.30 15%
Home/away 72%	1.40 3%	1.36 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%	1.44	1.40 3%
Under 1.5 Goals 33%	2.63	2.60 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%	4.50	4.00 8%
Under 3.5 Goals 80%	1.18	1.18 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	11.00	8.00 14%
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1.05	1.04 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	23.00	15.00 15%
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1.01	1.00
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1.10 2%	1.07 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	7.00 13%	6.50 7%
Home DNB 55%	2.25 7%	2.30 35%
Away DNB 56%	1.57 6%	1.55 24%
Bari 1908 win to nil 21%	5.50 22%	-
Spezia win to nil 22%	3.50 7%	-
Bari 1908 / Bari 1908 15%	5.50 10%	5.25 38%
Bari 1908 / Spezia 3%	29.00	23.00 12%
Bari 1908 / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00
Draw / Bari 1908 12%	7.00 8%	7.00 22%
Draw / Spezia 15%	5.50	5.25 19%
Draw / Draw 19%	4.50	4.20 3%
Spezia / Bari 1908 3%	34.00	26.00 13%
Spezia / Spezia 22%	3.75 6%	3.50 22%
Spezia / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00

Over / under 4.5 goals Serie B table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Bari 1908 Spezia
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Venezia	24	15	5	4	24	50	Apr 18	l 2-1A	May 1	l 2-0A
2	Monza	23	14	5	4	17	47	d 1-1A	Apr 11	Mar 7	l 1-0A
3	Frosinone	23	13	7	3	20	46	l 2-3A	Mar 18	Feb 15	l 2-1A
4	Palermo	24	12	9	3	20	45	l 0-3A	l 2-0A	l 1-2A	l 1-0A
5	Catanzaro	24	10	8	6	6	38	l 1-2A	May 9	d 0-00-0	Apr 25
6	Modena	24	10	7	7	12	37	Apr 6	l 3-0A	l 0-2A	Mar 13
7	Cesena	24	11	4	9	2	37	w 1-0F	w 1-2F	l 1-2F	Feb 21
8	Juve Stabia	23	8	11	4	1	35	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0	l 1-3A	Mar 21
9	Carrarese	24	7	9	8	-2	30	Mar 22	l 1-0A	l 0-2A	Apr 6
10	Sudtirol	23	6	11	6	1	29	Feb 15	d 0-00-0	Apr 18	l 2-1F
11	Padova	24	7	8	9	-5	29	w 2-1A	Feb 21	d 1-1F	Mar 3
12	Empoli	23	7	7	9	-3	28	Mar 4	l 5-0A	Mar 17	d 1-1F
13	Avellino	23	7	7	9	-9	28	d 1-1F	Apr 25	w 1-0F	w 0-4F
14	Sampdoria	24	6	8	10	-6	26	d 1-1A	Feb 27	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
15	V.Entella	24	5	10	9	-8	25	May 1	d 2-2F	d 1-1F	w 0-1F
16	Reggiana	24	6	6	12	-8	24	Mar 14	l 3-1F	Feb 28	d 1-1F
17	Mantova	24	6	5	13	-14	23	w 1-0F	l 2-1A	Apr 11	l 4-1F
18	Spezia	23	5	6	12	-10	21	Feb 11	d 1-1F	-	-
19	Bari 1908	23	4	8	11	-17	20	-	-	d 1-1A	Feb 11
20	Pescara	24	2	9	13	-21	15	d 1-1A	Mar 8	w 2-1F	May 9

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Over / under 4.5 goals form

There have been under 4.5 goals in 10 consecutive Bari 1908 league games

There have been under 4.5 goals in 10 consecutive Spezia league games

Home

Overall

Avg: Scored

1.2

Conceded

1.1

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Under

HOME FORM Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Bari 1908	0 - 3	Palermo
Bari 1908	0 - 1	Juve Stabia
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Avellino
Bari 1908	1 - 2	Catanzaro
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Pescara
Bari 1908	2 - 3	Frosinone
Bari 1908	1 - 0	Cesena
Bari 1908	1 - 0	Mantova
Bari 1908	2 - 1	Padova
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Sampdoria
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Monza
Bari 1908	1 - 0	Pisa
Bari 1908	1 - 2	Modena
Bari 1908	2 - 1	Palermo
Bari 1908	0 - 0	Salernitana
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Sampdoria
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Cremonese
Bari 1908	2 - 1	Frosinone
Bari 1908	2 - 2	Brescia
Bari 1908	2 - 0	Spezia

Avg: Scored

0.9

Conceded

1.5

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 4.5 Goals
A	Bari 1908	1 - 2	Mantova
H	Bari 1908	0 - 3	Palermo
A	Bari 1908	2 - 1	Cesena
H	Bari 1908	0 - 1	Juve Stabia
A	Bari 1908	0 - 1	Carrarese
H	Bari 1908	1 - 1	Avellino
H	Bari 1908	1 - 2	Catanzaro
A	Bari 1908	0 - 0	Sudtirol
H	Bari 1908	1 - 1	Pescara
A	Bari 1908	0 - 0	Juve Stabia
A	Bari 1908	0 - 5	Empoli
H	Bari 1908	2 - 3	Frosinone
A	Bari 1908	1 - 1	Spezia
H	Bari 1908	1 - 0	Cesena
H	Bari 1908	1 - 0	Mantova
A	Bari 1908	1 - 3	Reggiana
H	Bari 1908	2 - 1	Padova
A	Bari 1908	2 - 2	V.Entella
H	Bari 1908	1 - 1	Sampdoria
A	Bari 1908	0 - 2	Palermo

Away

Overall

Avg: Scored

1.1

Conceded

1.2

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Under

AWAY FORM Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Sampdoria	1 - 0	Spezia
Palermo	1 - 0	Spezia
Sudtirol	2 - 1	Spezia
Frosinone	2 - 1	Spezia
V.Entella	0 - 1	Spezia
Mantova	4 - 1	Spezia
Monza	1 - 0	Spezia
Avellino	0 - 4	Spezia
Reggiana	1 - 1	Spezia
Venezia	2 - 0	Spezia
Empoli	1 - 1	Spezia
Cremonese	0 - 0	Spezia
Catanzaro	0 - 2	Spezia
Reggiana	2 - 1	Spezia
Frosinone	2 - 2	Spezia
Mantova	2 - 2	Spezia
Cesena	0 - 0	Spezia
Sudtirol	1 - 1	Spezia
Modena	1 - 1	Spezia
Cittadella	0 - 2	Spezia

Avg: Scored

1.0

Conceded

1.4

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 4.5 Goals
H	Spezia	1 - 1	V.Entella
A	Spezia	0 - 1	Sampdoria
H	Spezia	1 - 0	Avellino
A	Spezia	0 - 1	Palermo
A	Spezia	1 - 2	Sudtirol
H	Spezia	2 - 1	Pescara
A	Spezia	1 - 2	Frosinone
H	Spezia	0 - 2	Modena
A	Spezia	1 - 0	V.Entella
H	Spezia	1 - 0	Sampdoria
A	Spezia	1 - 4	Mantova
H	Spezia	1 - 1	Bari 1908
A	Spezia	0 - 1	Monza
H	Spezia	1 - 1	Padova
A	Spezia	4 - 0	Avellino
H	Spezia	1 - 2	Cesena
H	Spezia	1 - 2	Palermo
A	Spezia	1 - 1	Reggiana
A	Spezia	0 - 2	Venezia
H	Spezia	1 - 3	Juve Stabia

Over / under 4.5 goals head to head (H2H)

Bari 1908

Spezia

Average goals:

1.5

0.5

Games: Scored

2 / 2

1 / 2

Clean sheets

1 / 2

0 / 2

Under

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bari 1908 Over \| Under
Bari 1908		2 - 0
Draw		1 - 1		Draw

Spezia

Bari 1908

Average goals:

0.7

0.3

Games: Scored

2 / 3

1 / 3

Clean sheets

2 / 3

1 / 3

Under

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Spezia Over \| Under
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Spezia	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Spezia of late. It has been 5 Serie B games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Wednesday evening against Bari 1908.

	Bari 1908 19th	Spezia 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Bari 1908 will score no more than 1 goal	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Spezia will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-10 Bari 1908’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-15 Spezia have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2025/2026 season

SPE

12%

better

view stats

Games scored	15		16
Failed to score	8		7
Scored first	7		12
Goals scored	19		20
Avg. goals scored	0.8		0.9
Avg. shots per game	7		7
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	11		12
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+12%

SPE

13%

better

view stats

Games conceded	19		18
Clean sheets	4		5
Conceded first	14		10
Goals conceded	36		30
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	14%		14%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+13%

Bari 1908 v Spezia Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Bari 1908 Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	6	3	5
M Cerofolini	G Moncini	L Dickmann	D Nikolaou

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Cerofolini GLK	23			2 -
L Dickmann DEF	22	1	3	4 -
M Verreth MID	22	2	2	2 -
G Moncini FWD	22	6		1 -
M Braunöder MID	21		1	4 -
M Dorval DEF	19	1	3	3 -
D Nikolaou DEF	19		1	4 1
C Gytkjaer FWD	19	3		-
R Pucino DEF	17			4 -
G Castrovilli MID	17	1		4 -
E Rao FWD	17	1		2 -
R. Pagano MID	16		1	-
G Maggiore MID	14	1	1	-
M Antonucci MID	14		1	-
A Meroni DEF	12			3 1
A Partipilo FWD	11			3 -
L. Cerri FWD	10	1		-
F Vicari DEF	9			2 -
N Bellomo MID	7	1		-
B Mane DEF	6			-
S. Kassama DEF	6			1 -
E Darboe MID	6			2 -
R Burgio DEF	5			-
G Sibilli MID	5			1 -
V. Colangiuli MID	3			-
G Pereiro MID	2			-
I. Mavraj DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	10	3	5
G Moncini	G Moncini	L Dickmann	L Dickmann

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Moncini FWD	6	10		1
C Gytkjaer FWD	3	8		1
M Verreth MID	2	4	2	3
L Dickmann DEF	1	1	3	5
M Dorval DEF	1	5	3	5
G Castrovilli MID	1	3		4
E Rao FWD	1	3
G Maggiore MID	1	4	1	1
L. Cerri FWD	1	1		1
N Bellomo MID	1	4
M Braunöder MID		1	1	2
D Nikolaou DEF			1
R Pucino DEF		1
R. Pagano MID		6	1
M Antonucci MID		5	1	1
A Meroni DEF		1
A Partipilo FWD				1
F Vicari DEF		1
B Mane DEF		1
G Sibilli MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
958	49	107
D Nikolaou	M Braunöder	L Dickmann

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Nikolaou DEF	958	20	65
M Verreth MID	928	22	71
M Braunöder MID	740	49	91
R Pucino DEF	691	25	60
M Cerofolini GLK	687		12
L Dickmann DEF	608	42	107
A Meroni DEF	540	20	69
M Dorval DEF	526	18	76
G Castrovilli MID	396	20	72
F Vicari DEF	362	9	23
R. Pagano MID	318	17	39
G Moncini FWD	258	2	53
G Maggiore MID	250	10	42
M Antonucci MID	188	13	34
S. Kassama DEF	178	8	16
C Gytkjaer FWD	173	4	39
E Rao FWD	131	6	41
E Darboe MID	125	8	15
G Sibilli MID	125	1	18
B Mane DEF	116	8	21
R Burgio DEF	108	1	6
A Partipilo FWD	104	8	39
N Bellomo MID	59	1	8
L. Cerri FWD	37	1	11
V. Colangiuli MID	14
G Pereiro MID	10
I. Mavraj DEF			2

Spezia Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	5	2	10
P Wisniewski	G Artistico	P Beruatto	F Cassata

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
P Beruatto DEF	21	1	2	3 -
F Cassata MID	21		2	9 1
P Wisniewski DEF	19			2 -
G Serio FWD	19	2	1	3 -
A Mateju DEF	18			5 -
G Aurelio DEF	18	2	1	-
G Artistico FWD	18	5		2 -
A Candela DEF	17			1 -
P Hristov DEF	17			3 1
E Soleri FWD	17	1		1 -
Ádám Nagy MID	16		2	2 -
V Vlahovic FWD	16	2	2	1
R. Kouda MID	15	1	1	2 2
L Vignali DEF	14	1		1 1
C. Comotto MID	13			1 -
D. Mascardi GLK	12			-
S Esposito MID	12	1	2	5 -
G Lapadula FWD	11	3		1 -
F. Moreira Pacheco DEF	7			2 1
A Cistana DEF	7			1 -
F Bandinelli MID	7			3 -
M Sarr GLK	6			-
P Candelari MID	6			1 -
D Verde FWD	6		1	-
S Zurkowski MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	12	2	4
G Artistico	G Serio	P Beruatto	P Beruatto

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Artistico FWD	5	12
G Lapadula FWD	3	5		1
G Serio FWD	2	12	1	3
G Aurelio DEF	2	6	1	2
V Vlahovic FWD	2	10	2	1
P Beruatto DEF	1	4	2	4
E Soleri FWD	1	4
R. Kouda MID	1	3	1	3
L Vignali DEF	1	1		1
S Esposito MID	1	11	2	3
F Cassata MID		1	2	1
P Wisniewski DEF		3		1
A Mateju DEF		1
A Candela DEF		3		3
Ádám Nagy MID			2	2
C. Comotto MID		2		2
F. Moreira Pacheco DEF		2
A Cistana DEF		1
F Bandinelli MID				2
D Verde FWD		1	1	1
S Zurkowski MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
847	37	105
P Wisniewski	P Wisniewski	P Wisniewski

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Wisniewski DEF	847	37	105
A Mateju DEF	782	24	95
S Esposito MID	636	16	75
P Hristov DEF	608	30	97
P Beruatto DEF	537	30	64
Ádám Nagy MID	487	15	30
F Cassata MID	464	28	91
D. Mascardi GLK	376		3
G Aurelio DEF	316	14	56
R. Kouda MID	294	10	51
F. Moreira Pacheco DEF	287	7	18
A Candela DEF	243	13	34
L Vignali DEF	242	14	40
F Bandinelli MID	194	10	28
A Cistana DEF	193	3	15
E Soleri FWD	174	3	69
G Serio FWD	173	8	80
M Sarr GLK	147		3
G Artistico FWD	144	1	69
C. Comotto MID	132	12	21
V Vlahovic FWD	109	2	22
G Lapadula FWD	75	2	17
P Candelari MID	59	1	11
D Verde FWD	45	1	3
S Zurkowski MID	7