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Calcio Padova v Modena : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadio Euganeo, Padova

Modena are away on Sunday afternoon, as manager Andrea Sottil takes his side to visit Calcio Padova and Matteo Andreoletti at the Stadio Euganeo in the Serie B. You'll see stats supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Serie B performances and head-to-heads included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

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Calcio Padova's next match is v Sudtirol at 14:00 on Sunday 25th January
Modena's next match is v Palermo at 16:15 on Saturday 24th January
The last Italian Serie B meeting between Padova and Modena was on Sunday 11th January 2026
Italian Serie B
January 11th 2026
Padova 2
0 Modena
 
M. Bortolussi 11'
K. Lasagna 90'
 
PAD
MOD
Shots On
6
6
Shots Off
14
Corners
3
12
Possession
36%
64%
Fouls
11
13
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
PadovaModena
 
F. Belli (L. Villa 68')
M. Perrotta
K. Varas Marcillo
P. Fusi
A. Capelli
A. Gómez (A. Seghetti 78')
P. Ghiglione (C. Faedo 88')
A. Sorrentino
F. Sgarbi
J. Harder (L. Crisetig 79')
M. Bortolussifootball icon (K. Lasagna 78')
L. Chichizola
F. Zampano
(N. Pyyhtiä 78') S. Santoro
F. Gerli
Y. Massolin
(P. Lobo Peixoto Mineiro Mendes 78') E. Gliozzi
B. Nieling
(A. Dellavalle 65') D. Adorni
D. Tonoli
(M. De Luca 62') F. Di Mariano
(G. Beyuku Bowutankoyi 65') L. Zanimacchia

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Matteo Andreoletti and Andrea Sottil to park the bus here, but we're certainly not expecting a glut of goals as Padova and Modena go head-to-head. The stats belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.53 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we recommend.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Modena coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Padova
26%
15/41/1000
Draw
28%
21/1055/1
Modena
47%
81/1001/50
Modena 1-0
14%
5/117/4
Draw 1-1
13%
5/19/2
Draw 0-0
10%
6/111/2
Padova 1-0
10%
10/11/5
Modena 2-0
9%
7/113/2
Modena 2-1
9%
8/128/1
Padova 2-1
6%
16/145/1
Padova 2-0
4%
22/116/1
Modena 3-0
4%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1100/1
Modena 3-1
4%
16/190/1
Padova 3-1
2%
40/1150/1
Modena 3-2
2%
33/1125/1
Modena 4-0
1%
33/125/1
Padova 3-0
1%
50/190/1
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
13/109/1
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
3/51/33
Home 1st Goal
42%
7/47/4
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/67/10
No 1st Goal
7%
6/111/2
BTTS - Yes
44%
21/2011/1
BTTS - No
56%
7/101/40
BTTS - Home Win
10%
10/145/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/49/2
BTTS - Away Win
17%
15/425/1
Home/draw
53%
10/111/50
Away/draw
74%
2/1170/1
Home/away
72%
4/111/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
2/516/5
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
7/42/11
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
10/350/1
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/51/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
9/170/1
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/161/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/661/50
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/121/12
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
7/15/1
Home DNB
45%
12/51/1000
Away DNB
66%
3/1025/1
Padova win to nil
16%
6/1-
Modena win to nil
30%
7/4-
Padova / Padova
12%
13/221/20
Padova / Modena
3%
25/117/5
Padova / Draw
6%
14/121/10
Draw / Padova
10%
8/133/1
Draw / Modena
17%
7/214/1
Draw / Draw
19%
15/418/1
Modena / Padova
2%
40/11/50
Modena / Modena
25%
2/155/1
Modena / Draw
6%
14/1100/1
Win / draw / win Serie B table

Padova have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Padova have conceded 12 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Padova have played 8 games at home, winning 1, drawing 5 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Modena lay in 7th place on 29 points in the Serie B league table having played 18 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 20 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Modena have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Modena have played 8 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Padova
Modena
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Frosinone2012622042 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 6
Apr 18
d
 
2-2A
2
Venezia2012532141 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 17
l
 
1-2A
Feb 10
3
Monza2011541238 
Feb 1
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
Apr 25
4
Palermo2010731637 
Mar 21
l
 
1-0A
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
5
Cesena201046534 
d
 
1-1A
May 9
Mar 7
l
 
1-0A
6
Modena209561132 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 28
-
-
7
Catanzaro20875331 
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
Mar 17
8
Juve Stabia20794030 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 7
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
9
Empoli20767127 
Apr 11
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1A
Jan 31
10
Carrarese20686-326 
Feb 10
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
11
Padova20677-225 
-
-
Feb 28
l
 
2-0A
12
Avellino20677-925 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 7
d
 
1-1A
May 9
13
Sudtirol204106-322 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 25
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 11
14
Reggiana205510-620 
Apr 18
w
 
1-2F
May 1
l
 
1-0A
15
V.Entella20488-920 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 25
w
 
2-0F
Mar 3
16
Mantova205411-1119 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
Mar 21
w
 
1-3F
17
Sampdoria204610-818 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
Feb 7
w
 
0-2F
18
Spezia204511-1017 
Mar 3
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
w
 
0-2F
19
Bari 190820389-1417 
Feb 21
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 6
20
Pescara202810-1414 
May 1
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Padova 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
11
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
Modena 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goal Statistics

Calcio Padova's defensive record is very strong, M. Andreoletti's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie B outings. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Modena makes sense in this context.

Padova 10th Modena 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Padova scoring 1 goal or less
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Modena will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Padova’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+6
Modena’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2025/2026 season
Padova
PG (predicted goals)
Modena
0.9
1.3
Attack rating
PAD
MOD
15%
better
view stats
Games scored13
14
Failed to score5
4
Scored first7
8
Goals scored17
26
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for12
12
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
PAD
MOD
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
11
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded20
15
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+17%

Padova v Modena Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Padova Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19759
F SgarbiM. BortolussiA. CapelliP. Fusi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sorrentino GLK8
1
-
F Belli DEF9
2
-
F Sgarbi DEF192
2
-
M Perrotta DEF181
5
-
A. Capelli MID195
3
1
P. Fusi MID1811
8
1
J. Harder MID181
6
-
K Marcillo MID1823
2
-
P Ghiglione MID12
2
-
M. Bortolussi FWD2071
-
P Gómez FWD71
1
-
Subs
L Mouquet GLK
-
M. Fortin GLK12
1
-
L Villa DEF8
-
C Pastina DEF
-
C. Faedo DEF191
2
-
L Crisetig MID1711
4
-
L. Di Maggio MID12
1
-
D Baselli  MID7
3
-
J. Silva Pertinhes MID5
-
A Seghetti FWD91
1
-
K Lasagna  FWD133
-
C Buonaiuto FWD161
1
-
Modena Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20936
L ChichizolaE GliozziL MagninoD. Tonoli
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Chichizola GLK20
1
-
D. Tonoli DEF192
6
-
D Adorni DEF181
2
-
B Nieling DEF1721
3
-
L Zanimacchia MID191
1
-
S Santoro MID2011
3
-
F Gerli MID18
4
-
F Mariano MID1712
4
-
F Zampano MID2021
4
-
Y Massolin FWD1212
1
-
E Gliozzi FWD209
-
Subs
M. Pezzolato GLK
-
F Bagheria GLK
-
G. Beyuku Bowutankoyi DEF15
2
-
S Nador DEF2
-
A. Dellavalle DEF6
1
-
M Cotali DEF3
1
-
C Cauz DEF3
1
-
L Magnino MID153
3
-
N Pyyhtiä MID18
2
-
P Mendes FWD2031
-
M Luca  FWD21
-