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Modena v Carrarese : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Feb, 14:00 BST, Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena

We’ve Serie B action to look forward to on Saturday afternoon, as Andrea Sottil and his Modena side host Antonio Calabro’s Carrarese at the Stadio Alberto Braglia. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been published below, with head-to-head history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are included as well.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 81% probability of Modena and Carrarese serving up a minimum of a couple of goals in this Serie B tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Modena are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.66.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Modena 55%	4/6	8/13 8%
Draw 23%	5/2	12/5 9%
Carrarese 22%	17/4	4/1 5%
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	11/2 7%
Modena 1-0 11%	11/2	5/1
Modena 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Modena 2-0 10%	13/2	6/1 8%
Carrarese 1-0 6%	12/1	10/1 8%
Draw 0-0 6%	17/2	7/1 16%
Modena 3-1 6%	14/1	11/1 9%
Carrarese 2-1 6%	16/1	14/1
Modena 3-0 6%	12/1	9/1 5%
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	12/1 13%
Carrarese 2-0 3%	25/1	18/1 10%
Modena 3-2 3%	28/1	20/1
Modena 4-1 3%	28/1	18/1
Modena 4-0 2%	25/1	16/1 13%
Carrarese 3-1 2%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	1/1	10/11 6%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	4/5	3/4 4%
Home 1st Goal 54%	4/7	1/2 4%
Away 1st Goal 42%	7/4	21/10 5%
No 1st Goal 4%	17/2	7/1 16%
BTTS - Yes 53%	19/20	19/20
BTTS - No 47%	4/5	4/5 3%
BTTS - Home Win 25%	3/1	27/10 6%
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	19/5 9%
BTTS - Away Win 11%	9/1	17/2 5%
Home/draw 78%	1/6	1/7 2%
Away/draw 45%	11/10	23/20 10%
Home/away 77%	2/7	2/7 6%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	3/10	2/7 3%
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	12/5	21/10 6%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	12/5	21/10 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	3/10	2/7 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	6/1	19/4 10%
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/10	1/11 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	14/1	10/1 10%
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/33	1/50
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/16	1/20 2%
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	17/2	13/2 12%
Home DNB 71%	1/4	2/9 3%
Away DNB 38%	11/4	14/5 12%
Modena win to nil 30%	7/4	-
Carrarese win to nil 11%	8/1	-
Modena / Modena 32%	13/8	29/20 9%
Modena / Carrarese 2%	40/1	33/1
Modena / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Modena 18%	7/2	7/2 4%
Draw / Carrarese 8%	9/1	9/1 9%
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	4/1 9%
Carrarese / Modena 4%	22/1	18/1
Carrarese / Carrarese 10%	15/2	7/1 6%
Carrarese / Draw 5%	16/1	12/1 13%

Win / draw / win Serie B table

Modena have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Serie B league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. Both Modena and Carrarese have scored 31 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Modena have played 12 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Carrarese are in 9th position in the Serie B on 30 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Carrarese have conceded 18 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Modena Carrarese
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Venezia	24	15	5	4	24	50	l 1-2A	w 0-2F	w 3-2A	l 2-1A
2	Monza	23	14	5	4	17	47	l 1-2F	Apr 25	Feb 21	l 4-1A
3	Frosinone	23	13	7	3	20	46	Apr 18	d 2-2A	l 0-2A	Apr 25
4	Palermo	24	12	9	3	20	45	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	Mar 8	l 5-0A
5	Catanzaro	24	10	8	6	6	38	l 1-2F	Mar 17	Mar 4	d 1-1A
6	Modena	24	10	7	7	12	37	-	-	d 0-00-0	Feb 14
7	Cesena	24	11	4	9	2	37	Mar 7	l 1-0A	May 1	l 2-1A
8	Juve Stabia	23	8	11	4	1	35	w 3-0F	Feb 22	w 3-0F	Mar 14
9	Carrarese	24	7	9	8	-2	30	Feb 14	d 0-00-0	-	-
10	Sudtirol	23	6	11	6	1	29	d 0-00-0	Apr 11	d 0-00-0	d 1-1F
11	Padova	24	7	8	9	-5	29	Feb 28	l 2-0A	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
12	Empoli	23	7	7	9	-3	28	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0	w 3-0F	d 2-2F
13	Avellino	23	7	7	9	-9	28	d 1-1A	May 9	l 3-4F	w 1-2A
14	Sampdoria	24	6	8	10	-6	26	l 1-2A	w 0-2F	Mar 18	l 3-2F
15	V.Entella	24	5	10	9	-8	25	w 2-0F	Mar 3	w 3-1F	May 9
16	Reggiana	24	6	6	12	-8	24	May 1	l 1-0A	d 0-00-0	Apr 11
17	Mantova	24	6	5	13	-14	23	Mar 21	w 1-3F	d 0-00-0	Mar 1
18	Spezia	23	5	6	12	-10	21	Mar 13	w 0-2F	Apr 6	w 0-2F
19	Bari 1908	23	4	8	11	-17	20	w 3-0F	Apr 6	w 1-0F	Mar 22
20	Pescara	24	2	9	13	-21	15	w 2-1A	w 0-2F	Apr 18	d 2-2F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Modena have not won in 6 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Modena	1 - 2	Sampdoria
Modena	0 - 0	Palermo
Modena	1 - 2	Monza
Modena	1 - 2	Venezia
Modena	1 - 2	Catanzaro
Modena	0 - 0	Sudtirol
Modena	3 - 0	Juve Stabia
Modena	2 - 1	Empoli
Modena	2 - 0	V.Entella
Modena	2 - 1	Pescara
Modena	3 - 0	Bari 1908
Modena	1 - 1	Avellino
Modena	0 - 1	Cesena
Modena	2 - 2	Brescia
Modena	2 - 3	Reggiana
Modena	1 - 3	Sassuolo
Modena	2 - 1	Catanzaro
Modena	1 - 1	Cosenza
Modena	1 - 1	Spezia
Modena	3 - 1	Mantova

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Modena	2 - 0	Venezia
H	Modena	1 - 2	Sampdoria
A	Modena	0 - 0	Empoli
H	Modena	0 - 0	Palermo
A	Modena	2 - 0	Pescara
A	Modena	0 - 2	Padova
H	Modena	1 - 2	Monza
H	Modena	1 - 2	Venezia
A	Modena	2 - 0	Spezia
H	Modena	1 - 2	Catanzaro
A	Modena	0 - 1	Cesena
H	Modena	0 - 0	Sudtirol
A	Modena	2 - 2	Frosinone
H	Modena	3 - 0	Juve Stabia
A	Modena	0 - 1	Reggiana
H	Modena	2 - 1	Empoli
A	Modena	1 - 1	Palermo
H	Modena	2 - 0	V.Entella
A	Modena	0 - 0	Carrarese
H	Modena	2 - 1	Pescara

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Padova	1 - 0	Carrarese
Venezia	2 - 1	Carrarese
Avellino	1 - 2	Carrarese
Monza	4 - 1	Carrarese
Sampdoria	3 - 2	Carrarese
Palermo	5 - 0	Carrarese
Sudtirol	1 - 1	Carrarese
Cesena	2 - 1	Carrarese
Pescara	2 - 2	Carrarese
Empoli	2 - 2	Carrarese
Catanzaro	1 - 1	Carrarese
Spezia	0 - 2	Carrarese
Palermo	1 - 1	Carrarese
Mantova	2 - 1	Carrarese
Sassuolo	2 - 0	Carrarese
Cittadella	0 - 0	Carrarese
Sudtirol	2 - 2	Carrarese
Reggiana	2 - 2	Carrarese
Cosenza	1 - 0	Carrarese
Juve Stabia	2 - 1	Carrarese

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Carrarese	0 - 1	Padova
H	Carrarese	0 - 0	Sudtirol
A	Carrarese	1 - 2	Venezia
H	Carrarese	3 - 0	Empoli
A	Carrarese	2 - 1	Avellino
H	Carrarese	1 - 0	Bari 1908
H	Carrarese	0 - 0	Mantova
A	Carrarese	1 - 4	Monza
H	Carrarese	3 - 1	V.Entella
A	Carrarese	2 - 3	Sampdoria
A	Carrarese	0 - 5	Palermo
H	Carrarese	0 - 0	Reggiana
A	Carrarese	1 - 1	Sudtirol
H	Carrarese	0 - 2	Frosinone
A	Carrarese	1 - 2	Cesena
H	Carrarese	3 - 2	Venezia
A	Carrarese	2 - 2	Pescara
H	Carrarese	3 - 0	Juve Stabia
H	Carrarese	0 - 0	Modena
A	Carrarese	2 - 2	Empoli

Goal Statistics

	Modena 6th	Carrarese 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 10% There is a 83% probability that Modena will score 1 or more goals	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Carrarese will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-2 Modena’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+1 Carrarese’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2025/2026 season

MOD

better

view stats

Games scored	16		16
Failed to score	7		7
Scored first	9		10
Goals scored	29		31
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.3
Avg. shots per game	11		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		7
Conversion rate for	11		14
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+6%

14%

better

MOD

view stats

Games conceded	13		14
Clean sheets	10		9
Conceded first	10		8
Goals conceded	19		32
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	13%		15%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+14%

Modena v Carrarese Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Modena Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	10	3	6
L Chichizola	E Gliozzi	G Defrel	D. Tonoli

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Chichizola GLK	24			1 -
S Santoro MID	24	1	1	3 -
E Gliozzi FWD	24	10		-
D. Tonoli DEF	23	3		6 -
F Zampano MID	23	2	1	5 -
P Mendes FWD	23	3	1	-
L Zanimacchia FWD	23	1		1 -
F Gerli MID	22			4 -
N Pyyhtiä MID	22			2 -
B Nieling DEF	21	2	2	3 -
D Adorni DEF	20		1	2 -
G. Beyuku Bowutankoyi DEF	19	1		3 -
A. Sersanti MID	19	1		1 -
G Defrel FWD	19	1	3	1 -
F Mariano FWD	17	1	2	4 -
L Magnino MID	16		3	3 -
Y Massolin MID	16	1	2	1 -
A. Dellavalle DEF	7			1 -
S Nador DEF	5			2 1
M Cotali DEF	4			2 -
C Cauz DEF	3			1 -
G Caso MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	23	3	8
E Gliozzi	E Gliozzi	G Defrel	L Zanimacchia

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Gliozzi FWD	10	23		2
D. Tonoli DEF	3	7		1
P Mendes FWD	3	13	1
F Zampano MID	2	7	1	5
B Nieling DEF	2	5	2	1
S Santoro MID	1	9	1	2
L Zanimacchia FWD	1	8		8
G. Beyuku Bowutankoyi DEF	1	3
A. Sersanti MID	1	10		2
G Defrel FWD	1	3	3	4
F Mariano FWD	1	6	2	8
Y Massolin MID	1	7	2	2
F Gerli MID		5		3
N Pyyhtiä MID		4		6
D Adorni DEF		1	1
L Magnino MID		1	3	3
A. Dellavalle DEF		1
S Nador DEF		2
M Cotali DEF		1
G Caso MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1095	59	158
F Gerli	D. Tonoli	D. Tonoli

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Gerli MID	1095	22	52
D. Tonoli DEF	923	59	158
S Santoro MID	923	36	132
B Nieling DEF	918	42	85
L Chichizola GLK	898		16
D Adorni DEF	720	26	77
F Zampano MID	646	38	102
L Zanimacchia FWD	539	30	68
N Pyyhtiä MID	307	15	48
Y Massolin MID	297	14	78
E Gliozzi FWD	265	5	87
G. Beyuku Bowutankoyi DEF	263	20	64
A. Sersanti MID	244	24	117
F Mariano FWD	241	9	44
P Mendes FWD	205	1	58
L Magnino MID	196	11	26
A. Dellavalle DEF	194	17	35
G Defrel FWD	187	11	41
S Nador DEF	126	10	20
C Cauz DEF	43	2	8
M Cotali DEF	21	1	5
G Caso MID	6		1

Carrarese Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	8	4	11
E Zuelli	F Abiuso	M Finotto	J Illanes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Zuelli MID	24	1	3	3 -
M Finotto FWD	24	2	4	2 -
M Bleve GLK	23			-
S Zanon DEF	23	3	3	2 -
F Abiuso FWD	23	8	4	4 -
M Cicconi MID	21	1		1 -
N. Schiavi MID	21	6	1	6 -
J Illanes DEF	20	2		11 -
M Imperiale DEF	19			2 -
L. Hasa MID	17	3	2	2 -
D Bouah MID	17			1 -
F Melegoni MID	16		1	1 -
F Oliana DEF	15			4 -
T. Rubino MID	15	2		3 -
N Sekulov MID	14		1	2 -
N. Belloni FWD	14			-
F Ruggeri DEF	13	1		3 -
N. Calabrese DEF	13		1	3 -
K Bozhanaj MID	12			3 -
E Torregrossa FWD	12			1 -
G. Parlanti MID	8			2 -
A Arena FWD	3			1 -
F Accornero FWD	2			-
V Fiorillo GLK	1			-
B Salamon DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	16	4	8
F Abiuso	F Abiuso	M Finotto	E Zuelli

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Abiuso FWD	8	16	4	3
N. Schiavi MID	6	12	1	3
S Zanon DEF	3	5	3	7
L. Hasa MID	3	11	2	1
M Finotto FWD	2	9	4	5
J Illanes DEF	2	3
T. Rubino MID	2	5
E Zuelli MID	1	15	3	8
M Cicconi MID	1	4		4
F Ruggeri DEF	1	1
D Bouah MID		1
F Melegoni MID		1	1	2
F Oliana DEF		2
N Sekulov MID		5	1	1
N. Belloni FWD		2		2
N. Calabrese DEF			1	1
K Bozhanaj MID		3		2
E Torregrossa FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1030	48	130
E Zuelli	N. Schiavi	S Zanon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Zuelli MID	1030	18	59
N. Schiavi MID	951	48	116
M Imperiale DEF	837	20	65
M Bleve GLK	774	1	11
J Illanes DEF	756	19	98
S Zanon DEF	593	39	130
M Cicconi MID	572	22	92
L. Hasa MID	551	21	83
F Oliana DEF	530	32	61
F Ruggeri DEF	519	19	58
N. Calabrese DEF	497	22	55
F Abiuso FWD	362	24	130
F Melegoni MID	290	15	31
N. Belloni FWD	282	14	27
M Finotto FWD	244	3	33
T. Rubino MID	223	9	48
D Bouah MID	176	5	40
K Bozhanaj MID	126	7	37
N Sekulov MID	112	8	32
E Torregrossa FWD	71	6	21
G. Parlanti MID	46	4	7
A Arena FWD	36		5
B Salamon DEF	28		1
V Fiorillo GLK	23
F Accornero FWD	13	1	2