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Modena v Spezia : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 13th Mar, 19:30 BST, Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena

Luca D'Angelo pays counterpart Andrea Sottil a visit on Friday evening in the Serie B, as their Spezia and Modena teams go head to head at the Stadio Alberto Braglia. Recent form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds are all laid out below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We've backed under 3.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 75% chance of Modena and Spezia no more than 3 goals combined during this Serie B clash according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Modena are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Modena
48%
5/84/6
1%
Draw
27%
11/412/5
Spezia
25%
17/417/5
4%
Modena 1-0
14%
11/25/1
Draw 1-1
13%
11/211/2
Draw 0-0
10%
8/115/2
6%
Modena 2-0
10%
13/26/1
Spezia 1-0
9%
12/19/1
9%
Modena 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Spezia 2-1
6%
16/112/1
Modena 3-0
4%
12/110/1
Spezia 2-0
4%
25/116/1
11%
Modena 3-1
4%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/114/1
15%
Modena 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Spezia 3-1
2%
40/125/1
10%
Modena 4-0
2%
25/118/1
Modena 4-1
1%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
1/119/20
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
4/57/10
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/711/20
1%
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/419/10
3%
No 1st Goal
6%
8/115/2
6%
BTTS - Yes
46%
19/201/1
BTTS - No
54%
4/53/4
1%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
3/129/10
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/44/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
10/18/1
Home/draw
75%
1/62/11
1%
Away/draw
52%
23/2011/10
Home/away
73%
1/42/7
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
3/103/10
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
12/52/1
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
5/223/10
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
2/71/4
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
6/15/1
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/101/14
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/401/100
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/141/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/113/2
Home DNB
67%
1/41/4
Away DNB
44%
11/45/2
3%
Modena win to nil
30%
13/8-
Spezia win to nil
15%
8/1-
Modena / Modena
31%
13/88/5
4%
Modena / Spezia
2%
40/128/1
15%
Modena / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Modena
18%
7/27/2
Draw / Spezia
8%
9/117/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Spezia / Modena
4%
22/118/1
Spezia / Spezia
10%
15/26/1
7%
Spezia / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Win / draw / win Serie B table

Modena have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Serie B league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 5 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Modena have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 29 goals.

Home League Performance

Modena have played 15 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Spezia are in 17th position in the Serie B on 29 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 5 and won 6. Spezia have conceded 35 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Modena
Spezia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Venezia2919643563 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
May 1
l
 
2-0A
2
Monza2918652160 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 24
w
 
4-2A
l
 
1-0A
3
Frosinone29161032758 
Apr 18
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
4
Palermo2916942757 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
5
Catanzaro29131061149 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 17
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 25
6
Modena2912891344 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Mar 13
7
Juve Stabia299137-240 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-3A
Mar 21
8
Cesena2911612-539 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
2-3A
9
Sudtirol298138237 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 11
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
10
Padova2981011-634 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
11
Avellino298912-1533 
d
 
1-1A
May 8
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
12
Carrarese2971111-632 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
Apr 6
13
Empoli2971012-631 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 17
d
 
1-1F
14
V.Entella2971012-1331 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
15
Sampdoria297913-1130 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
16
Mantova298615-1430 
Mar 21
w
 
1-3F
Apr 12
l
 
4-1F
17
Spezia297814-1029 
Mar 13
w
 
0-2F
-
-
18
Reggiana297814-1329 
May 1
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
19
Bari 19082961013-1928 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
20
Pescara2951014-1625 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
May 8
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Modena 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Spezia 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Modena have drawn with Spezia in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Modena since 2014
Modena
Spezia
Goals: Scored
4
2
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
MOD
1
D
3
League games at Spezia since 2015
Spezia
Modena
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
4 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
1 / 5
MOD
1
D
1
SPE
3
Goal Statistics
Modena 6th Spezia 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Modena will score no more than 1 goal
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Spezia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Modena have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-8
Spezia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2025/2026 season
Modena
PG (predicted goals)
Spezia
1.4
0.9
Attack rating
9%
better
MOD
SPE
view stats
Games scored21
19
Failed to score8
10
Scored first13
13
Goals scored37
29
Avg. goals scored1.3
1
Avg. shots per game12
8
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for11
12
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
29%
better
MOD
SPE
view stats
Games conceded16
23
Clean sheets13
6
Conceded first11
14
Goals conceded24
39
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+29%

Modena v Spezia Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Modena Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291048
L ChichizolaE GliozziS SantoroD. Tonoli
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Chichizola GLK29
1
-
S Santoro MID2914
3
-
E Gliozzi FWD29101
-
F Zampano MID2831
6
-
L Zanimacchia FWD283
3
-
D. Tonoli DEF274
7
1
F Gerli MID26
4
-
B Nieling DEF2522
5
-
P Mendes FWD2431
-
D Adorni DEF231
2
-
G. Beyuku Bowutankoyi DEF231
4
-
G Defrel FWD2323
2
-
N Pyyhtiä MID22
2
-
Y Massolin MID2122
2
-
A. Sersanti MID191
1
-
F Mariano FWD1712
4
-
L Magnino MID163
3
-
A. Dellavalle DEF11
2
-
S Nador DEF8
3
1
M Cotali DEF61
2
-
C Cauz DEF3
1
-
G Caso MID1
-
Spezia Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2210310
A MatejuG ArtisticoP BeruattoF Cassata
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Beruatto DEF2613
3
-
G Aurelio DEF2442
2
-
G Artistico FWD2410
3
-
A Mateju DEF23
6
-
F Cassata MID212
9
1
G Serio FWD2121
3
-
L Vignali DEF201
2
1
P Hristov DEF20
3
1
V Vlahovic FWD2022
1
P Wisniewski DEF19
2
-
C. Comotto MID19
2
-
Ádám Nagy MID192
2
-
A Candela DEF17
1
-
E Soleri FWD171
1
-
R. Kouda MID1511
2
2
D. Mascardi GLK12
-
S Esposito MID1212
5
-
G Lapadula FWD113
1
-
F Bandinelli MID101
4
-
F. Moreira Pacheco DEF7
2
1
A Cistana DEF7
1
-
M Sarr GLK6
-
P Candelari MID6
1
-
D Verde FWD61
-
S Zurkowski MID1
-