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Palermo v Spezia : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Renzo Barbera, Palermo

Luca D'Angelo is aiming for a precious away win in the Serie B on Sunday afternoon, as he takes his Spezia side to the Renzo Barbera to visit Palermo and Alessio Dionisi. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be found, while you'll also find head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.

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Palermo's next match is v Catanzaro at 14:00 on Sunday 15th December
Spezia's next match is v Sampdoria at 16:15 on Saturday 14th December
The last Italian Serie B meeting between Palermo and Spezia was on Sunday 1st December 2024
Italian Serie B
December 1st 2024
Palermo 2
0 Spezia
 
R. Baniya 35'
P. Wisniewski (OG) 64'
 
PAL
SPE
Shots On
9
1
Shots Off
5
5
Corners
6
5
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
20
21
Yellow/red cards
4/0
4/0
 
PalermoSpezia
 
S. Desplanches
S. Diakite
D. Nikolaou
P. Ceccaroni
R. Baniyafootball icon
J. Segre
F. Ranocchia (C. Gomes 87')
V. Verre (A. Vasic 61')
T. Henry (J. Le Douaron 46')
R. Insigne (F. Di Mariano 72')
F. Di Francesco (K. Hansen 61')
S. Gori
football iconP. Wisniewski
P. Hristov
(F. Bandinelli 62') A. Matějů
(N. Bertola 26') L. Vignali
(A. Reca 62') F. Cassata
(P. Candelari 71') Á. Nagy
S. Esposito
(G. Di Serio 71') E. Soleri
F. Esposito
S. Elia

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Palermo and Spezia go head-to-head, with hardly anything between the players in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The stats don't provide any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 1.57 with the bookies, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day for this tie.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Spezia coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Palermo
30%
13/10
2%
5/4
5%
Draw
32%
21/10
3%
9/5
10%
Spezia
39%
23/10
2%
21/10
Spezia 1-0
16%
8/17/1
7%
Draw 0-0
15%
7/111/2
7%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/19/2
8%
Palermo 1-0
13%
6/16/1
17%
Spezia 2-0
8%
14/112/1
Spezia 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Palermo 2-1
6%
17/215/2
Palermo 2-0
6%
10/1
10%
9/1
11%
Draw 2-2
3%
14/111/1
8%
Spezia 3-0
3%
33/125/1
13%
Spezia 3-1
2%
28/120/1
Palermo 3-1
2%
20/1
11%
14/1
Palermo 3-0
2%
20/116/1
13%
Spezia 3-2
1%
40/125/1
Palermo 3-2
1%
33/120/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
6/511/10
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
71%
13/203/5
2%
Home 1st Goal
42%
4/5
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
11/8
1%
-
No 1st Goal
11%
7/1-
BTTS - Yes
37%
10/11
2%
17/20
5%
BTTS - No
63%
10/11
6%
17/20
6%
BTTS - Home Win
9%
4/119/5
BTTS - Draw
17%
10/3
4%
16/5
7%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
6/15/1
8%
Home/draw
61%
1/31/3
Away/draw
70%
4/7
3%
4/7
5%
Home/away
68%
4/112/5
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
56%
4/114/11
Under 1.5 Goals
44%
2/17/4
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
12%
3/113/5
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
88%
2/92/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
4%
8/16/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
96%
1/141/18
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
18/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/501/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
85%
1/14
1%
1/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
15%
8/1
13%
11/2
Home DNB
52%
8/13
3%
3/5
3%
Away DNB
61%
6/5
2%
6/5
4%
Palermo win to nil
21%
11/4
7%
-
Spezia win to nil
27%
9/2-
Palermo / Palermo
22%
11/414/5
9%
Palermo / Spezia
3%
33/125/1
Palermo / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Palermo
15%
9/217/4
5%
Draw / Spezia
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
7%
Draw / Draw
19%
15/43/1
8%
Spezia / Palermo
3%
28/122/1
10%
Spezia / Spezia
15%
4/1
9%
17/4
Spezia / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Serie B table

Palermo have played 14 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Palermo have conceded 4 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Palermo have played 6 games at home, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 4 goals, conceded 4 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Spezia lay in 2nd place on 30 points in the Serie B league table having played 14 matches. Spezia are unbeaten in 13 games against teams below them in the league and kept 7 clean sheets out of 13 games. Spezia are unbeaten away after 7 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored 22 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Spezia have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Spezia have played 7 away games, winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Palermo
Spezia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sassuolo1611412337 
Apr 5
Dec 21
Jan 24
d
 
0-00-0
2
Pisa1610421434 
Jan 31
l
 
2-0A
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
3
Spezia Away169611733 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 8
-
-
4
Bari 190816592624 
Dec 26
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 29
5
Cremonese16736424 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
May 9
d
 
1-1A
6
Cesena16646222 
d
 
0-00-0
May 4
w
 
2-1A
Mar 15
7
Juve Stabia16574-222 
Jan 19
w
 
1-3F
Jan 12
w
 
0-3F
8
Palermo Home16565321 
-
-
Feb 8
l
 
2-0A
9
Catanzaro163112320 
Dec 15
Apr 25
Feb 22
Dec 21
10
Brescia16547-319 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
11
Carrarese16547-519 
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-2A
Jan 19
12
Reggiana16466-218 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 26
w
 
1-0F
May 4
13
Mantova16466-418 
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 26
Apr 12
14
Modena16385-117 
Jan 12
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
15
Sampdoria16457-617 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
Apr 5
Dec 14
16
Salernitana16457-617 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 29
May 1
w
 
0-2F
17
Cosenza16484-116 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
Apr 21
d
 
0-00-0
18
Frosinone16376-916 
May 9
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 25
19
Sudtirol164111-1413 
May 1
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
20
Cittadella16349-1913 
l
 
0-1A
Dec 29
w
 
5-0F
Feb 1
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Palermo 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palermo1 - 1Sampdoria
Palermo0 - 1Cittadella
Palermo2 - 0Reggiana
Palermo0 - 1Salernitana
Palermo0 - 0Cesena
Palermo1 - 1Cosenza
Palermo0 - 1Venezia
Palermo2 - 0Sampdoria
Palermo2 - 2Ascoli
Palermo1 - 2Reggiana
Palermo0 - 0Parma
Palermo2 - 2Sampdoria
Palermo0 - 3Venezia
Palermo2 - 3Ternana
Palermo3 - 0Como 1907
Palermo3 - 0Bari 1908
Palermo4 - 2Modena
Palermo3 - 2Cremonese
Palermo3 - 2Pisa
Palermo1 - 2Catanzaro
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPalermo1 - 1Sampdoria
APalermo1 - 1Frosinone
HPalermo0 - 1Cittadella
APalermo0 - 0Mantova
HPalermo2 - 0Reggiana
APalermo2 - 2Modena
HPalermo0 - 1Salernitana
APalermo3 - 1Sudtirol
HPalermo0 - 0Cesena
APalermo3 - 1Juve Stabia
HPalermo1 - 1Cosenza
APalermo1 - 0Cremonese
APalermo0 - 2Pisa
APalermo0 - 1Brescia
APalermo1 - 2Venezia
HPalermo0 - 1Venezia
HPalermo2 - 0Sampdoria
APalermo1 - 0Sudtirol
HPalermo2 - 2Ascoli
APalermo0 - 1Spezia
Spezia 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
12
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juve Stabia0 - 3Spezia
Brescia1 - 1Spezia
Salernitana0 - 2Spezia
Sassuolo0 - 0Spezia
Cremonese1 - 1Spezia
Cosenza0 - 0Spezia
Pisa2 - 2Spezia
Cosenza2 - 2Spezia
Brescia0 - 0Spezia
Parma2 - 0Spezia
Reggiana0 - 0Spezia
Bari 19081 - 1Spezia
Modena0 - 0Spezia
Ternana1 - 1Spezia
Pisa2 - 3Spezia
Como 19074 - 0Spezia
Cittadella4 - 1Spezia
Ascoli1 - 2Spezia
Sampdoria2 - 1Spezia
Lecco0 - 0Spezia
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
9
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSpezia3 - 0Sudtirol
ASpezia3 - 0Juve Stabia
HSpezia1 - 0Modena
ASpezia1 - 1Brescia
HSpezia0 - 0Bari 1908
ASpezia2 - 0Salernitana
HSpezia1 - 0Reggiana
ASpezia0 - 0Sassuolo
HSpezia4 - 2Carrarese
ASpezia1 - 1Cremonese
HSpezia2 - 1Cesena
ASpezia0 - 0Cosenza
HSpezia2 - 1Frosinone
ASpezia2 - 2Pisa
HSpezia2 - 1Venezia
ASpezia2 - 2Cosenza
HSpezia1 - 0Palermo
ASpezia0 - 0Brescia
HSpezia0 - 0Sampdoria
ASpezia0 - 2Parma
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Spezia have not lost to Palermo in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Palermo since 2017
Palermo
Spezia
Goals: Scored
6
4
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
PAL
1
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palermo
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Palermo2 - 0
League games at Spezia since 2018
Spezia
Palermo
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
D
2
SPE
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Spezia
Spezia1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Palermo look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Spezia haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Serie B matches, and it could be a long afternoon for Alessio Dionisi's men.

Palermo's defensive record is very strong, Alessio Dionisi's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie B matches. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Spezia makes sense in this context.

Palermo 8th Spezia 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Palermo scoring 1 goal or less
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Spezia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Palermo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-13
Spezia have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285797/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Palermo
PG (predicted goals)
Spezia
0.9
1
Attack rating
PAL
SPE
28%
better
view stats
Games scored8
11
Failed to score6
3
Scored first6
7
Goals scored14
22
Avg. goals scored1
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal11
7
Conversion rate for9
15
Avg. XG for1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
PAL
SPE
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
6
Clean sheets4
8
Conceded first6
4
Goals conceded12
8
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
15
Conversion rate against9%
7%
Avg. XG against0.8
0.6
KickOff rating
+31%

Palermo v Spezia Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Palermo Serie B squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16454
D NikolaouR InsigneF FrancescoP Ceccaroni
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Desplanches GLK16
1
-
S Diakité DEF161
3
-
R Baniya DEF82
-
D Nikolaou DEF16
-
P Ceccaroni DEF121
4
-
F Ranocchia MID152
1
-
R Insigne MID1641
2
-
J Segre MID131
2
-
V Verre MID1011
2
-
F Francesco MID1515
3
-
T Henry FWD1621
2
-
Subs
S Sirigu GLK
-
M. Nespola GLK
-
I Nedelcearu DEF7
-
A Buttaro  DEF2
-
P Peda DEF1
1
-
K Lund DEF12
1
-
C Gomes MID151
2
-
A Vasic MID8
-
S Appuah FWD3
-
J Douaron FWD12
1
-
F Mariano FWD121
1
-
M Brunori FWD121
-
Spezia Serie B squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15874
S EspositoF. EspositoS EspositoS Esposito
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Gori GLK12
-
P Wisniewski DEF131
3
-
P Hristov DEF1321
3
-
A Mateju DEF141
2
-
L Vignali MID141
2
1
F Cassata MID121
1
-
S Esposito MID1657
4
-
Ádám Nagy MID14
4
-
S Elia  MID13
1
-
E Soleri FWD162
3
-
F. Esposito FWD1481
3
-
Subs
D. Mascardi GLK
-
A Reca  DEF10
2
-
G Aurelio DEF71
-
S Giorgeschi DEF1
-
N Bertola DEF153
4
-
S Ferrer DEF
1
-
D Innocenti MID6
2
-
F Bandinelli MID111
2
-
P Candelari MID11
1
-
D Falcinelli FWD9
1
-
A Colak FWD1011
-
G Serio FWD1512
4
-