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Palermo v Spezia : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Renzo Barbera, Palermo

The Serie B is the focus for both Palermo and Spezia on Sunday afternoon, as managers Filippo Inzaghi and Luca D'Angelo battle it out at the Renzo Barbera. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen major betting markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included for all.

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Palermo's next match is v Modena at 16:15 on Saturday 24th January
Spezia's next match is v Avellino at 18:30 on Saturday 24th January
The last Italian Serie B meeting between Palermo and Spezia was on Sunday 18th January 2026
Italian Serie B
January 18th 2026
Palermo 1
0 Spezia
 
J. Segre 1'
 
PAL
SPE
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
7
5
Corners
9
8
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
18
17
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
PalermoSpezia
 
M. Bani
A. Palumbo (C. Gomes 77')
J. Segrefootball icon
F. Ranocchia
E. Gyasi (J. Le Douaron 46')
J. Joronen
T. Augello
N. Pierozzi
J. Pohjanpalo (G. Corona 85')
D. Veroli (P. Ceccaroni 46')
B. Bereszyński (P. Peda 58')
B. Radunović
P. Wisniewski
(D. Verde 62') M. Valoti
P. Beruatto
(G. Aurelio 68') L. Sernicola
(G. Artistico 62') G. Di Serio
A. Matějů
F. Cassata
(A. Romano 61') C. Comotto
(A. Candela 84') E. Adamo
E. Soleri

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 76% chance of Palermo and Spezia no more than 3 goals combined during this Serie B game according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Palermo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.71.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Palermo
56%
69/1001/500
Draw
25%
13/514/1
Spezia
19%
4/170/1
Palermo 1-0
14%
11/22/9
Draw 1-1
12%
11/215/2
Palermo 2-0
11%
13/26/1
Palermo 2-1
9%
15/233/1
Draw 0-0
9%
8/18/1
Spezia 1-0
7%
12/19/1
Palermo 3-0
6%
12/133/1
Palermo 3-1
5%
14/180/1
Spezia 2-1
5%
16/150/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1100/1
Spezia 2-0
3%
25/116/1
Palermo 4-0
2%
28/1125/1
Palermo 3-2
2%
28/1125/1
Palermo 4-1
2%
28/1125/1
Spezia 3-1
1%
40/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
21/2040/1
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
3/41/1000
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/78/15
Away 1st Goal
39%
7/415/8
No 1st Goal
6%
8/18/1
BTTS - Yes
45%
19/2014/1
BTTS - No
55%
4/51/100
BTTS - Home Win
21%
3/128/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
15/415/2
BTTS - Away Win
8%
9/150/1
Home/draw
81%
1/61/1000
Away/draw
44%
21/2014/1
Home/away
75%
2/71/150
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
3/107/1
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
12/51/20
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
5/250/1
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
2/71/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
6/11/50
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/101/50
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/141/25
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/17/1
Home DNB
73%
1/41/300
Away DNB
37%
11/445/1
Palermo win to nil
35%
7/4-
Spezia win to nil
11%
7/1-
Palermo / Palermo
30%
7/41/3
Palermo / Spezia
2%
40/112/1
Palermo / Draw
6%
14/119/5
Draw / Palermo
18%
7/220/1
Draw / Spezia
8%
9/125/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/218/1
Spezia / Palermo
4%
22/1125/1
Spezia / Spezia
11%
7/166/1
Spezia / Draw
5%
16/1100/1
Win / draw / win Serie B table

Palermo have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Serie B league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Palermo have outscored their opponents by 29 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Palermo have played 10 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 17 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Spezia are in 18th position in the Serie B on 17 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Spezia have conceded 25 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Palermo
Spezia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Frosinone2012622042 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 11
Feb 15
l
 
2-1A
2
Venezia2012532141 
d
 
0-00-0
May 9
May 1
l
 
2-0A
3
Monza2011541238 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 14
Mar 7
l
 
1-0A
4
Palermo2010731637 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
5
Cesena201046534 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2F
Feb 21
6
Modena209561132 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 24
l
 
0-2A
Mar 14
7
Catanzaro20875331 
May 1
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 25
8
Juve Stabia20794030 
Mar 17
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-3A
Mar 21
9
Empoli20767127 
Feb 7
w
 
1-3F
Mar 17
d
 
1-1F
10
Carrarese20686-326 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 8
l
 
0-2A
Apr 6
11
Padova20677-225 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
Mar 3
12
Avellino20677-925 
Apr 6
d
 
2-2A
Jan 24
w
 
0-4F
13
Sudtirol204106-322 
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
14
Reggiana205510-620 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
Feb 28
d
 
1-1F
15
V.Entella20488-920 
Feb 14
d
 
1-1A
Feb 7
w
 
0-1F
16
Mantova205411-1119 
Mar 4
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
l
 
4-1F
17
Sampdoria204610-818 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 10
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
18
Spezia204511-1017 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
-
-
19
Bari 190820389-1417 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 30
d
 
1-1A
Feb 11
20
Pescara202810-1414 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 1
w
 
2-1F
May 9
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
Palermo have won 4 consecutive home league games
7
Palermo have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
4
Palermo have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive home league games
Palermo 4TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Spezia 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Palermo since 2017
Palermo
Spezia
Goals: Scored
8
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
PAL
2
D
2
League games at Spezia since 2018
Spezia
Palermo
Goals: Scored
5
5
Games: Scored
4 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
1 / 5
PAL
1
D
3
SPE
1
Goal Statistics

Palermo have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Serie B matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Spezia on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Palermo 4th Spezia 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Palermo will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Spezia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Palermo have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
+1
Spezia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2025/2026 season
Palermo
PG (predicted goals)
Spezia
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
15%
better
PAL
SPE
view stats
Games scored14
14
Failed to score5
5
Scored first11
10
Goals scored29
18
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.9
Avg. shots per game11
7
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
35%
better
PAL
SPE
view stats
Games conceded11
15
Clean sheets8
4
Conceded first6
8
Goals conceded14
27
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
7
Conversion rate against9%
15%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+35%

Palermo v Spezia Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Palermo Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201255
T AugelloJ PohjanpaloA PalumboM Bani
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Joronen GLK19
1
-
B Bereszynski DEF12
3
-
M Bani DEF161
5
-
D Veroli DEF71
1
-
N Pierozzi MID1943
3
-
J Segre MID2042
2
-
F Ranocchia MID161
2
1
T Augello MID201
3
-
A Palumbo FWD1915
4
-
E Gyasi FWD10
1
-
J Pohjanpalo FWD20125
-
Subs
A Gomis GLK
-
F. Di Bartolo Zuccarello GLK
-
P Peda DEF18
2
-
P Ceccaroni DEF1911
1
1
A Blin MID14
2
-
C Gomes MID161
1
-
A Vasic MID112
2
-
S Giovane MID10
-
J Douaron FWD2032
1
-
G Corona FWD7
1
-
Spezia Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19327
P WisniewskiG ArtisticoP BeruattoF Cassata
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Radunović GLK2
-
P Wisniewski DEF19
2
-
L Sernicola DEF2
1
-
P Beruatto DEF1812
2
-
C. Comotto MID10
1
-
A Mateju MID17
4
-
F Cassata MID181
6
1
E Adamo MID2
1
-
M Valoti MID1
-
E Soleri FWD161
1
-
G Serio FWD1721
3
-
Subs
L Loria GLK
-
D. Mascardi GLK12
-
F. Moreira Pacheco DEF7
2
1
A Candela DEF17
1
-
G Aurelio DEF1521
-
L Vignali DEF131
1
1
Ádám Nagy MID162
2
-
A. Romano MID1
-
R. Kouda MID1511
2
2
D Verde FWD41
-
G Artistico FWD153
1
-
V Vlahovic FWD1522
-