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Sampdoria v AC Monza : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 17th Apr, 19:30 BST, Luigi Ferraris, Genova

AC Monza are away on Friday evening, as manager Paolo Bianco takes his side to visit Sampdoria and Angelo Adamo Gregucci at the Luigi Ferraris in the Serie B. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and dug out the statistics that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Sampdoria and Monza have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sampdoria are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Sampdoria 37%	12/5 10%	2/1 3%
Draw 28%	21/10	21/10 3%
Monza 35%	11/10 7%	23/20 4%
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	5/1 4%
Sampdoria 1-0 11%	17/2 12%	13/2
Monza 1-0 11%	6/1	11/2 7%
Draw 0-0 9%	7/1	13/2
Sampdoria 2-1 8%	12/1 8%	9/1 5%
Monza 2-1 8%	17/2	7/1 6%
Sampdoria 2-0 7%	16/1 13%	12/1 8%
Monza 2-0 6%	9/1 9%	8/1 5%
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	12/1 8%
Sampdoria 3-1 3%	28/1 12%	20/1
Monza 3-1 3%	18/1 10%	14/1
Sampdoria 3-0 3%	40/1 21%	22/1
Monza 3-0 3%	20/1	14/1 12%
Sampdoria 3-2 2%	40/1	25/1
Monza 3-2 2%	28/1 15%	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 42%	23/20	11/10 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%	4/6	8/13
Home 1st Goal 47%	13/10 5%	5/4 2%
Away 1st Goal 47%	4/5 2%	17/20 3%
No 1st Goal 6%	7/1	13/2
BTTS - Yes 48%	19/20 2%	10/11 3%
BTTS - No 52%	4/5 6%	4/5 3%
BTTS - Home Win 15%	13/2 15%	11/2 8%
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	17/5 5%
BTTS - Away Win 15%	4/1	18/5 4%
Home/draw 65%	4/6 6%	8/13 3%
Away/draw 63%	3/10 4%	1/3 1%
Home/away 72%	4/11	1/3 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	4/11	7/20
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	2/1	9/5
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	3/1	27/10 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	2/9	1/5 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	8/1	6/1
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/14	1/18
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	18/1	12/1
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/50	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/12	1/16
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	7/1	6/1
Home DNB 56%	11/8 8%	5/4 5%
Away DNB 55%	8/15 6%	4/7 5%
Sampdoria win to nil 22%	9/2 10%	-
Monza win to nil 21%	5/2 7%	-
Sampdoria / Sampdoria 16%	9/2 10%	19/5
Sampdoria / Monza 3%	25/1 10%	22/1
Sampdoria / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Sampdoria 11%	6/1 8%	6/1 8%
Draw / Monza 15%	9/2	17/4 5%
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4	18/5 6%
Monza / Sampdoria 3%	33/1	25/1 13%
Monza / Monza 23%	13/5 4%	12/5 8%
Monza / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	11/1

Win / draw / win Serie B table

Sampdoria have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Sampdoria have conceded 28 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Sampdoria have played 17 games at home, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Monza lay in 3rd place on 69 points in the Serie B league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below them in the table, winning 19, drawing 7 and losing 4 games. They have scored 49 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Monza have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Monza have played 17 away games, winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Sampdoria Monza
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Venezia	34	21	9	4	39	72	d 0-00-0	l 3-1A	d 1-1A	l 2-0A
2	Frosinone	34	19	12	3	32	69	d 1-1A	l 3-0A	d 2-2A	w 0-1F
3	Monza	34	20	9	5	26	69	Apr 17	l 1-0A	-	-
4	Palermo	34	18	11	5	27	65	d 3-3A	l 1-0A	w 3-0F	w 0-3F
5	Catanzaro	33	14	12	7	11	54	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	w 2-1A	d 1-1A
6	Modena	33	14	9	10	15	51	l 0-2A	w 1-2F	Apr 24	w 1-2A
7	Juve Stabia	34	11	15	8	0	48	w 1-0F	d 1-1A	w 2-1A	d 2-2F
8	Cesena	34	12	8	14	-8	44	l 1-2A	Apr 25	w 1-0F	w 1-3F
9	Carrarese	34	10	12	12	-1	42	w 3-2A	l 2-0A	w 4-1F	w 0-1F
10	Sudtirol	34	8	16	10	-1	40	May 1	l 3-1A	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0
11	Mantova	34	11	7	16	-9	40	l 0-1A	l 2-1F	w 1-0F	May 1
12	Sampdoria	34	10	10	14	-10	40	-	-	w 1-0F	Apr 17
13	Avellino	34	10	10	14	-16	40	w 2-1F	l 2-1A	w 2-1A	l 2-1A
14	Padova	34	9	10	15	-12	37	w 1-0F	d 1-1F	l 0-1A	w 1-2A
15	Empoli	34	8	12	14	-6	36	w 1-0F	d 1-1A	May 8	d 1-1F
16	V.Entella	34	8	11	15	-15	35	d 1-1F	l 3-1A	w 2-0F	l 1-0A
17	Bari 1908	34	8	10	16	-20	34	l 0-2A	d 1-1F	w 2-0F	d 1-1F
18	Reggiana	34	8	9	17	-19	33	w 2-1A	May 8	w 3-1F	d 0-00-0
19	Pescara	34	7	11	16	-14	32	w 4-1A	w 1-2A	w 3-0F	w 0-2F
20	Spezia	34	7	9	18	-19	30	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	l 4-2F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sampdoria	1 - 0	Empoli
Sampdoria	2 - 1	Avellino
Sampdoria	0 - 0	Venezia
Sampdoria	0 - 2	Bari 1908
Sampdoria	1 - 0	Padova
Sampdoria	3 - 3	Palermo
Sampdoria	1 - 0	Spezia
Sampdoria	1 - 1	V.Entella
Sampdoria	2 - 1	Reggiana
Sampdoria	3 - 2	Carrarese
Sampdoria	1 - 0	Juve Stabia
Sampdoria	0 - 1	Mantova
Sampdoria	1 - 1	Frosinone
Sampdoria	4 - 1	Pescara
Sampdoria	0 - 0	Catanzaro
Sampdoria	1 - 2	Cesena
Sampdoria	0 - 2	Modena
Sampdoria	2 - 0	Salernitana
Sampdoria	1 - 0	Salernitana
Sampdoria	0 - 0	Cremonese

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Sampdoria	2 - 1	Pescara
H	Sampdoria	1 - 0	Empoli
H	Sampdoria	2 - 1	Avellino
A	Sampdoria	0 - 2	Carrarese
H	Sampdoria	0 - 0	Venezia
A	Sampdoria	0 - 3	Frosinone
A	Sampdoria	1 - 1	Juve Stabia
H	Sampdoria	0 - 2	Bari 1908
A	Sampdoria	1 - 2	Mantova
H	Sampdoria	1 - 0	Padova
H	Sampdoria	3 - 3	Palermo
A	Sampdoria	2 - 1	Modena
H	Sampdoria	1 - 0	Spezia
A	Sampdoria	0 - 0	Catanzaro
H	Sampdoria	1 - 1	V.Entella
A	Sampdoria	1 - 2	Avellino
H	Sampdoria	2 - 1	Reggiana
A	Sampdoria	1 - 1	Padova
A	Sampdoria	0 - 1	Palermo
H	Sampdoria	3 - 2	Carrarese

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Catanzaro	1 - 1	Monza
Reggiana	0 - 0	Monza
Spezia	4 - 2	Monza
Cesena	1 - 3	Monza
Carrarese	0 - 1	Monza
Sudtirol	0 - 0	Monza
Padova	1 - 2	Monza
V.Entella	1 - 0	Monza
Modena	1 - 2	Monza
Venezia	2 - 0	Monza
Juve Stabia	2 - 2	Monza
Pescara	0 - 2	Monza
Palermo	0 - 3	Monza
Frosinone	0 - 1	Monza
Empoli	1 - 1	Monza
Avellino	2 - 1	Monza
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Monza
Milan	2 - 0	Monza
Udinese	1 - 2	Monza
Juventus	2 - 0	Monza

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Monza	2 - 0	Bari 1908
A	Monza	1 - 1	Catanzaro
H	Monza	1 - 1	Venezia
A	Monza	0 - 0	Reggiana
H	Monza	3 - 0	Palermo
A	Monza	2 - 4	Spezia
A	Monza	3 - 1	Cesena
H	Monza	2 - 0	V.Entella
A	Monza	1 - 0	Carrarese
H	Monza	2 - 1	Juve Stabia
A	Monza	0 - 0	Sudtirol
H	Monza	2 - 1	Avellino
A	Monza	2 - 1	Padova
H	Monza	3 - 0	Pescara
H	Monza	2 - 2	Frosinone
A	Monza	0 - 1	V.Entella
A	Monza	2 - 1	Modena
H	Monza	4 - 1	Carrarese
A	Monza	0 - 2	Venezia
H	Monza	1 - 1	Sudtirol

Goal Statistics

	Sampdoria 12th	Monza 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Sampdoria will score no more than 1 goal	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Monza will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-8 Sampdoria’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Monza’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2025/2026 season

SAM

MON

34%

better

view stats

Games scored	23		29
Failed to score	11		5
Scored first	10		20
Goals scored	34		53
Avg. goals scored	1		1.6
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	9		6
Conversion rate for	11		16
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+34%

SAM

MON

34%

better

view stats

Games conceded	27		20
Clean sheets	7		14
Conceded first	21		12
Goals conceded	44		27
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		10
Conversion rate against	16%		10%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+34%

Sampdoria v Monza Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Sampdoria Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	9	3	12
O Abildgaard	M Coda	M Coda	L Henderson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Cherubini FWD	32	2	1	2 1
A Barak MID	27	1	1	2 -
O Abildgaard MID	26		2	2 -
L Henderson MID	26	2		12 -
M Coda FWD	26	9	3	1 -
D Hadzikadunic DEF	25		1	2 -
S Pafundi MID	25	1	3	4 -
F. Conti MID	24	2		4 -
F Depaoli DEF	22	3	1	8 -
S Ghidotti GLK	20			-
N Ioannou DEF	18	2	1	5 -
S Giordano DEF	18			2 -
M Ricci MID	18	1	1	3 -
A Riccio DEF	17			3 -
L Venuti DEF	16			-
M Cuni FWD	15	1	1	1 -
S Vulikic DEF	13			4 -
L Benedetti MID	13			4 -
A Ferrari DEF	11			1 -
A Bellemo MID	10			-
Estanis FWD	7			1 -
J Ferri MID	5			1 1
V Narro FWD	4			-
G Coucke GLK	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	22	3	5
M Coda	M Coda	M Coda	L Cherubini

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Coda FWD	9	22	3	2
F Depaoli DEF	3	6	1	1
L Cherubini FWD	2	8	1	5
L Henderson MID	2	6		3
F. Conti MID	2	5		1
N Ioannou DEF	2	4	1	2
A Barak MID	1	5	1	2
S Pafundi MID	1	13	3	2
M Ricci MID	1	2	1
M Cuni FWD	1	7	1
O Abildgaard MID		6	2	1
D Hadzikadunic DEF		4	1	1
L Venuti DEF				1
L Benedetti MID		4		1
A Ferrari DEF		1
A Bellemo MID		1		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1104	53	196
O Abildgaard	L Cherubini	O Abildgaard

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
O Abildgaard MID	1104	27	196
D Hadzikadunic DEF	1065	29	112
L Henderson MID	927	36	90
L Cherubini FWD	588	53	163
S Vulikic DEF	529	18	51
S Ghidotti GLK	495	1	6
L Venuti DEF	495	16	52
A Riccio DEF	482	15	38
M Ricci MID	452	20	44
A Barak MID	432	14	58
S Giordano DEF	422	20	64
F. Conti MID	416	31	79
M Coda FWD	395	11	74
N Ioannou DEF	364	26	59
S Pafundi MID	364	13	62
A Ferrari DEF	342	19	54
F Depaoli DEF	257	27	98
L Benedetti MID	209	16	43
A Bellemo MID	201	16	29
M Cuni FWD	136	9	77
J Ferri MID	107	7	8
Estanis FWD	59	1	21
G Coucke GLK	40
V Narro FWD	14	2	4

Monza Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	7	7	10
D Thiam	A Petagna	P Azzi	K Baldé

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Thiam GLK	34			2 -
P Azzi MID	33	5	7	2 1
S Birindelli DEF	29	4	2	5 -
M Pessina MID	29	5	1	3 -
P Obiang MID	29	2	1	3 -
F Carri DEF	28	1		3 -
A Carboni DEF	27	1	2	2 1
D Mota FWD	27	4	4	-
L Ravanelli DEF	26	2	2	6 -
L. Lucchesi DEF	26			4 -
P Ciurria MID	26	1	3	4 1
L Colombo MID	25	1	2	6 -
A Petagna FWD	23	7	2	2 -
A Colpani MID	22	2	1	-
A Álvarez FWD	22	4	1	-
K Baldé FWD	21	2	2	9 1
A. Bakoune DEF	14		1	-
A Izzo DEF	14	3	2	6 1
M Marić FWD	13	1		1 -
A Brorsson DEF	12			1 -
N Galazzi MID	11			-
G Caprari FWD	8		1	1 -
K. Zeroli MID	5			2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	17	7	10
A Petagna	P Azzi	P Azzi	A Colpani

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Petagna FWD	7	11	2	3
P Azzi MID	5	17	7	7
M Pessina MID	5	12	1	1
S Birindelli DEF	4	10	2	4
D Mota FWD	4	12	4	3
A Álvarez FWD	4	8	1	2
A Izzo DEF	3	4	2	3
P Obiang MID	2	5	1	2
L Ravanelli DEF	2	7	2	1
A Colpani MID	2	13	1	10
K Baldé FWD	2	9	2	8
F Carri DEF	1	3		1
A Carboni DEF	1	6	2	1
P Ciurria MID	1	5	3	5
L Colombo MID	1	6	2	3
M Marić FWD	1	4		1
L. Lucchesi DEF		4
A. Bakoune DEF		1	1	1
A Brorsson DEF		1		2
N Galazzi MID		2		2
G Caprari FWD		1	1
K. Zeroli MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1616	65	146
M Pessina	P Azzi	L Ravanelli

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Pessina MID	1616	47	134
A Carboni DEF	1245	57	144
P Obiang MID	1233	52	117
D Thiam GLK	1217	1	21
L Ravanelli DEF	1158	48	146
P Azzi MID	1013	65	143
F Carri DEF	923	36	107
S Birindelli DEF	880	33	87
A Izzo DEF	730	21	66
L. Lucchesi DEF	697	29	90
L Colombo MID	618	18	49
A Colpani MID	470	21	63
P Ciurria MID	465	12	36
D Mota FWD	423	7	111
K Baldé FWD	351	7	67
A Brorsson DEF	252	8	26
A Petagna FWD	247	3	54
A Álvarez FWD	229	5	58
A. Bakoune DEF	210	15	34
N Galazzi MID	167	2	22
M Marić FWD	141	4	37
G Caprari FWD	129	7	19
K. Zeroli MID	72	3	10