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Spezia v Modena : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Dec, 14:00 BST, Dino Manuzzi, Cesena

Andrea Sottil takes his Modena troops to the Dino Manuzzi in the Serie B on Saturday afternoon, with Luca D'Angelo's Spezia their rivals. We've got bespoke statistics for the biggest betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals simply means there there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Spezia and Modena during the traditional 90 minutes. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds both suggest is worth considering, and an outcome that we've seen before when these sides go head-to-head. Without a strong favourite to win the game, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Modena coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Spezia
26%
12/5
6%
21/10
13%
Draw
29%
11/5
5%
2/1
3%
Modena
46%
23/20
2%
6/5
8%
Modena 1-0
14%
11/2
7%
11/2
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
Draw 0-0
11%
13/2
6%
6/1
8%
Spezia 1-0
10%
8/1
6%
13/2
7%
Modena 2-0
9%
9/18/1
10%
Modena 2-1
8%
17/215/2
6%
Spezia 2-1
6%
12/1
8%
9/1
5%
Spezia 2-0
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
18%
Modena 3-0
4%
20/116/1
11%
Draw 2-2
4%
14/112/1
Modena 3-1
4%
20/114/1
12%
Spezia 3-1
2%
28/122/1
10%
Modena 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Spezia 3-0
1%
40/1
21%
25/1
13%
Modena 4-0
1%
40/128/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
5/423/20
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
8/134/7
3%
Home 1st Goal
42%
13/10
2%
13/10
7%
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/5
2%
17/20
8%
No 1st Goal
8%
13/2
6%
6/1
8%
BTTS - Yes
43%
19/2010/11
5%
BTTS - No
57%
4/54/5
4%
BTTS - Home Win
10%
13/2
7%
11/2
8%
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
16%
4/119/5
13%
Home/draw
54%
4/6
3%
3/5
7%
Away/draw
74%
3/10
4%
1/3
5%
Home/away
71%
4/117/20
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
2/5
3%
4/11
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
7/4
8%
17/10
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
3/114/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
2/91/5
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
9/1
11%
6/1
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
1/18
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
20/1
11%
12/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/501/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/121/14
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
13/2
6%
11/2
8%
Home DNB
46%
11/8
6%
5/4
13%
Away DNB
65%
8/15
3%
4/7
9%
Spezia win to nil
16%
9/2-
Modena win to nil
30%
5/2-
Spezia / Spezia
15%
9/24/1
9%
Spezia / Modena
3%
28/122/1
Spezia / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Spezia
12%
6/111/2
8%
Draw / Modena
15%
9/217/4
5%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/416/5
5%
Modena / Spezia
3%
33/125/1
Modena / Modena
23%
13/5
4%
5/2
13%
Modena / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win Serie B table

Spezia have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Spezia have conceded 16 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Spezia have played 8 games at home, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Modena lay in 6th place on 26 points in the Serie B league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 19 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Modena have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Modena have played 7 away games, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Spezia
Modena
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Frosinone159421631 
Feb 14
Dec 20
Apr 18
d
 
2-2A
2
Monza159421131 
Mar 7
l
 
1-0A
Dec 26
Apr 25
3
Cesena15834627 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 21
Mar 7
l
 
1-0A
4
Venezia157531326 
May 1
l
 
2-0A
Dec 20
Feb 10
5
Palermo157531326 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 18
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
6
Modena157531126 
Dec 13
Mar 14
-
-
7
Catanzaro15573322 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 25
l
 
1-2F
Mar 17
8
Empoli15555220 
Mar 17
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
Jan 31
9
Reggiana15555020 
Feb 28
d
 
1-1F
May 1
l
 
1-0A
10
Avellino15555-820 
Jan 24
w
 
0-4F
d
 
1-1A
May 9
11
Juve Stabia15474-419 
l
 
1-3A
Mar 21
w
 
3-0F
Feb 21
12
Padova15465-318 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 3
Feb 28
Jan 11
13
Carrarese15375-416 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 6
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
14
V.Entella15366-715 
Feb 7
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
Mar 3
15
Bari 190815366-1115 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 10
w
 
3-0F
Apr 6
16
Sudtirol15285-414 
Apr 18
Jan 10
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 11
17
Spezia15357-614 
-
-
Mar 14
Dec 13
18
Mantova15429-1014 
Apr 11
l
 
4-1F
Mar 21
w
 
1-3F
19
Sampdoria15348-713 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
Feb 7
w
 
0-2F
20
Pescara15177-1110 
Dec 27
May 9
w
 
2-1A
Jan 18
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
5
Modena have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Spezia 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Modena 6TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Spezia have not lost to Modena in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Spezia since 2015
Spezia
Modena
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
SPE
3
D
1
League games at Modena since 2014
Modena
Spezia
Goals: Scored
4
2
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
D
3
MOD
1
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Spezia fans, as should a 5 Serie B games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Spezia 17th Modena 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Spezia scoring 1 goal or less
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Modena will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Spezia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
Modena’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2025/2026 season
Spezia
PG (predicted goals)
Modena
0.9
1.3
Attack rating
SPE
MOD
5%
better
view stats
Games scored10
10
Failed to score4
4
Scored first7
5
Goals scored13
21
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.4
Avg. shots per game6
11
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
SPE
MOD
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
8
Clean sheets3
6
Conceded first6
7
Goals conceded20
9
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against17%
10%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+32%

Spezia v Modena Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Spezia Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15327
A MatejuG LapadulaP BeruattoF Cassata
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Mateju DEF15
3
-
A Candela DEF14
1
-
P Wisniewski DEF14
2
-
F Cassata MID14
6
1
P Beruatto DEF132
2
-
Ádám Nagy MID131
2
-
G Aurelio DEF1221
-
R. Kouda MID1211
1
2
G Serio FWD1211
2
-
E Soleri FWD121
-
V Vlahovic FWD1111
-
L Vignali DEF101
1
P Hristov DEF10
2
1
S Esposito MID1012
3
-
G Artistico FWD102
1
-
D. Mascardi GLK9
-
G Lapadula FWD93
1
-
C. Comotto MID7
1
-
M Sarr GLK6
-
F. Moreira Pacheco DEF6
1
-
A Cistana DEF6
1
-
P Candelari MID5
1
-
F Bandinelli MID3
2
-
D Verde FWD21
-
S Zurkowski MID1
-
Modena Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15734
L ChichizolaE GliozziL MagninoD. Tonoli
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Chichizola GLK15
1
-
D. Tonoli DEF152
4
-
S Santoro MID1511
2
-
F Zampano MID1511
2
-
A. Sersanti MID151
1
-
L Zanimacchia FWD151
1
-
E Gliozzi FWD157
-
P Mendes FWD153
-
D Adorni DEF141
-
N Pyyhtiä MID14
1
-
G Defrel FWD1412
1
-
F Mariano FWD142
4
-
B Nieling DEF131
3
-
F Gerli MID13
3
-
L Magnino MID113
2
-
G. Beyuku Bowutankoyi DEF10
1
-
Y Massolin MID711
-
A. Dellavalle DEF4
1
-
M Cotali DEF2
-
C Cauz DEF2
1
-
S Nador DEF1
-
G Caso MID1
-