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FC Sudtirol v Calcio Padova : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadio Marco Druso, Bozen

We’ve Serie B action to look forward to on Sunday afternoon, as Fabrizio Castori and his FC Sudtirol side host Matteo Andreoletti’s Calcio Padova at the Stadio Marco Druso. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.

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FC Sudtirol's next match is v Carrarese at 14:00 on Saturday 7th February
Calcio Padova's next match is v Juve Stabia at 14:00 on Saturday 7th February
The last Italian Serie B meeting between Sudtirol and Padova was on Sunday 25th January 2026
Italian Serie B
January 25th 2026
Sudtirol 3
0 Padova
 
S. Merkaj 27'
E. Pecorino 38'
D. Casiraghi 90'
 
FCS
PAD
Shots On
7
4
Shots Off
11
7
Corners
5
3
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
10
17
Yellow/red cards
4/0
1/0
 
SudtirolPadova
 
K. Zedadka (S. Davì 65')
D. Casiraghifootball icon
S. Tronchin (D. Črnigoj 76')
F. Tait (M. Frigerio 65')
E. Pecorinofootball icon (R. Odogwu 76')
M. Adamonis
R. Kofler
F. Veseli
H. El Kaouakibi
S. Molina (F. Davi 86')
S. Merkajfootball icon
 (D. Baselli 77') A. Barreca
M. Perrotta
K. Varas Marcillo
P. Fusi
A. Capelli
(A. Seghetti 61') K. Lasagna
A. Sorrentino
F. Sgarbi
(J. Silva Pertinhes 46') L. Villa
(C. Buonaiuto 61') J. Harder
M. Bortolussi

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A real chess match could be in store as Sudtirol and Padova go head-to-head, with hardly anything between the players in terms of who could claim victory. The stats don't give us any clear conclusion in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 1.48 with the bookies, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sudtirol are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sudtirol
41%
24/251/50
Draw
30%
21/101/50
3%
Padova
29%
10/3
3%
1/50
Sudtirol 1-0
14%
5/1
9%
16/5
5%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
Draw 0-0
12%
13/27/2
8%
Padova 1-0
11%
9/1
12%
13/2
Sudtirol 2-0
8%
15/21/6
Sudtirol 2-1
8%
8/1
5%
9/1
6%
Padova 2-1
6%
14/116/1
8%
Padova 2-0
5%
20/116/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
11%
60/1
13%
Sudtirol 3-0
3%
16/16/1
Sudtirol 3-1
3%
18/1
10%
40/1
12%
Padova 3-1
2%
40/140/1
Padova 3-0
2%
40/140/1
Sudtirol 3-2
1%
33/1
17%
80/1
12%
Padova 3-2
1%
40/1
20%
125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
13/10
6%
17/5
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
3/5
5%
1/6
Home 1st Goal
48%
4/63/4
1%
Away 1st Goal
43%
8/521/10
No 1st Goal
9%
13/27/2
8%
BTTS - Yes
42%
1/1
5%
17/2
2%
BTTS - No
58%
3/4
5%
1/25
2%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
15/4
9%
17/2
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2
5%
60/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
17/2125/1
Home/draw
71%
1/51/1000
Away/draw
59%
4/555/1
2%
Home/away
70%
4/111/300
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
2/5
3%
2/11
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
7/4
5%
16/5
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
10/3
13%
20/1
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/5
3%
1/1000
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
9/1
9%
60/1
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/16
1%
1/200
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
20/1
19%
100/1
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/66
1%
1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/121/6
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
13/217/5
8%
Home DNB
62%
4/11
3%
1/1000
Away DNB
50%
2/1
5%
125/1
Sudtirol win to nil
27%
2/1-
Padova win to nil
19%
11/2
8%
-
Sudtirol / Sudtirol
26%
11/5
4%
1/66
3%
Sudtirol / Padova
2%
40/140/1
Sudtirol / Draw
6%
14/114/1
Draw / Sudtirol
17%
15/4100/1
4%
Draw / Padova
10%
15/2100/1
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
4%
90/1
Padova / Sudtirol
3%
25/11/50
Padova / Padova
12%
6/155/1
Padova / Draw
6%
14/180/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Serie B table

Sudtirol have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 6 and won 1. Sudtirol have conceded 16 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Sudtirol have played 9 games at home, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Padova lay in 11th place on 25 points in the Serie B league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 12 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Padova have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Padova have played 10 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sudtirol
Padova
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Venezia2214532547 
Feb 28
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
Mar 17
2
Frosinone2213722146 
Mar 22
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 6
3
Monza2213541644 
Feb 11
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
4
Palermo2211831941 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 21
Mar 21
l
 
1-0A
5
Cesena231148437 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
May 9
6
Modena229761134 
Apr 11
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
Feb 28
7
Juve Stabia228104134 
May 9
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
Feb 7
8
Catanzaro22886232 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
9
Carrarese22787-129 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 7
Feb 10
d
 
0-00-0
10
Sudtirol226106128 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
11
Empoli22778-228 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 11
l
 
3-1A
12
Avellino22778-828 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 18
d
 
2-2F
Mar 7
13
Padova22679-625 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
-
-
14
Sampdoria225710-722 
w
 
3-1F
May 1
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
15
Reggiana225611-721 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 3
Apr 18
w
 
1-2F
16
V.Entella22499-1021 
Mar 7
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 25
17
Spezia225512-1020 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 18
Mar 3
d
 
1-1A
18
Mantova225512-1420 
Apr 25
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
19
Bari 1908224810-1620 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
Feb 21
l
 
2-1F
20
Pescara232912-1915 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
May 1
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Sudtirol 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sudtirol2 - 1Spezia
Sudtirol0 - 0Bari 1908
Sudtirol0 - 1Avellino
Sudtirol1 - 1Carrarese
Sudtirol0 - 1Cesena
Sudtirol1 - 2Empoli
Sudtirol3 - 1Reggiana
Sudtirol0 - 2Palermo
Sudtirol3 - 1Sampdoria
Sudtirol0 - 0Bari 1908
Sudtirol2 - 1Cosenza
Sudtirol2 - 0Juve Stabia
Sudtirol1 - 1Cesena
Sudtirol2 - 2Carrarese
Sudtirol1 - 1Spezia
Sudtirol2 - 1Sampdoria
Sudtirol2 - 0Reggiana
Sudtirol1 - 1Catanzaro
Sudtirol1 - 2Cittadella
Sudtirol2 - 2Mantova
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASudtirol1 - 0Empoli
HSudtirol2 - 1Spezia
ASudtirol0 - 1Juve Stabia
ASudtirol1 - 1V.Entella
HSudtirol0 - 0Bari 1908
ASudtirol1 - 1Monza
HSudtirol0 - 1Avellino
ASudtirol0 - 0Modena
HSudtirol1 - 1Carrarese
ASudtirol1 - 1Padova
ASudtirol0 - 3Venezia
HSudtirol0 - 1Cesena
ASudtirol1 - 1Mantova
HSudtirol1 - 2Empoli
ASudtirol1 - 1Pescara
HSudtirol3 - 1Reggiana
ASudtirol2 - 2Frosinone
HSudtirol0 - 2Palermo
HSudtirol3 - 1Sampdoria
ASudtirol1 - 1Catanzaro
Padova 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palermo1 - 0Padova
Reggiana1 - 2Padova
Pescara0 - 1Padova
Mantova1 - 0Padova
Spezia1 - 1Padova
Catanzaro0 - 1Padova
Bari 19082 - 1Padova
Monza0 - 1Padova
Carrarese0 - 0Padova
Empoli3 - 1Padova
Benevento3 - 3Padova
Palermo1 - 1Padova
Carpi2 - 1Padova
Cittadella1 - 1Padova
Spezia0 - 2Padova
Pescara2 - 0Padova
Cremonese0 - 0Padova
Venezia2 - 1Padova
Livorno1 - 1Padova
Lecce3 - 2Padova
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPadova1 - 2Mantova
HPadova2 - 0Modena
APadova0 - 1Palermo
HPadova1 - 1Sampdoria
APadova2 - 1Reggiana
HPadova1 - 1Cesena
APadova1 - 0Pescara
HPadova0 - 2Venezia
APadova0 - 1Mantova
HPadova1 - 1Sudtirol
APadova1 - 1Spezia
HPadova2 - 2Juve Stabia
APadova1 - 0Catanzaro
APadova1 - 2Bari 1908
HPadova2 - 2Avellino
APadova1 - 0Monza
HPadova2 - 1V.Entella
HPadova0 - 1Frosinone
APadova0 - 0Carrarese
APadova1 - 3Empoli
Goal Statistics
Sudtirol 17th Padova 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Sudtirol will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Padova scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
Sudtirol’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-25
Padova have scored 25% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2025/2026 season
Sudtirol
PG (predicted goals)
Padova
1.2
0.9
Attack rating
FCS
PAD
8%
better
view stats
Games scored13
15
Failed to score7
5
Scored first8
8
Goals scored19
20
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for12
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
FCS
PAD
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
15
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first10
11
Goals conceded22
22
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
10
Conversion rate against11%
10%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+8%

Sudtirol v Padova Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Sudtirol Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21636
R KoflerS. MerkajD CasiraghiS Tronchin
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Adamonis GLK19
3
-
H Kaouakibi DEF1712
2
-
R Kofler DEF212
4
1
F Veseli DEF13
1
-
S Molina MID212
1
-
F Tait MID19
2
-
S Tronchin MID211
5
1
D Casiraghi MID1523
-
K Zedadka MID191
4
-
S. Merkaj FWD2161
4
1
E. Pecorino FWD1851
2
-
Subs
G Poluzzi GLK3
-
D. Mancini DEF2
1
-
C. Sabatini DEF
-
F Davi DEF15
3
-
S Davì  DEF182
5
-
F. Bordon DEF8
1
-
A Mallamo MID10
2
-
M Frigerio MID4
1
-
D. Brik MID3
-
D Crnigoj MID3
-
S Verdi MID1
1
-
R Odogwu FWD2232
1
-
Padova Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21859
F SgarbiM. BortolussiA. CapelliP. Fusi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sorrentino GLK10
1
-
F Sgarbi DEF212
3
-
M Perrotta DEF201
6
-
A Barreca DEF191
6
-
M. Bortolussi MID2281
-
K Lasagna  MID153
-
P. Fusi MID2011
8
1
J. Harder MID201
6
-
L Villa MID10
1
-
A. Capelli FWD215
4
1
K Marcillo FWD2023
2
-
Subs
M. Fortin GLK12
1
-
F Belli DEF9
2
-
P Ghiglione DEF12
2
-
G Favale DEF121
1
-
C Pastina DEF
-
C. Faedo DEF201
3
-
L Crisetig MID1711
4
-
L. Di Maggio MID13
1
-
D Baselli  MID8
3
-
J. Silva Pertinhes MID7
-
A Seghetti FWD101
1
-
C Buonaiuto FWD171
1
-