Fagiano Okayama's team badge Albirex Niigata's team badge

Fagiano Okayama v Albirex Niigata : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

City Light Stadium, Okayama

Takashi Kiyama and Daisuke Sudo clash in the J-League on Sunday morning, as Fagiano Okayama face Albirex Niigata at the City Light Stadium. Stats for our tip of under 2.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Switching the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

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Fagiano Okayama's next match is v Machida at 05:00 on Sunday 25th May
Albirex Niigata's next match is v Shonan at 06:00 on Sunday 25th May
The last Japanese J-League meeting between Fagiano and Albirex was on Sunday 18th May 2025
Japanese J-League
May 18th 2025
Fagiano 2
1 Albirex
 
A. Esaka 10'15' M. Hasegawa
K. Ichimi 58'
 
FAG
ALB
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
8
2
Corners
7
1
Possession
44%
56%
Fouls
11
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
FagianoAlbirex
 
S. Brodersen
Y. Tatsuta
D. Tagami
Y. Suzuki (K. Kudo 89')
R. Sato
H. Kato
I. Fujita
T. Kimura (H. Iwabuchi 67')
R. Tabei (R. Takeuchi 81')
A. Esakafootball icon (Y. Kamiya 81')
K. Ichimifootball icon (L. Meireles 67')
D. Yoshimitsu
M. Fitzgerald
J. Geria
(K. Hashimoto 58') Y. Horigome
football iconM. Hasegawa
(Y. Komi 58') J. Okumura
S. Fujiwara
T. Arai
(K. Yamura 79') Y. Hoshi
(S. Ota 78') Danilo
(Y. Takagi 58') K. Kasai

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but it's all-but impossible to predict a goal-fest here. The stats suggest Fagiano and Albirex both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fagiano are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fagiano
41%
6/4
13%
-
Draw
32%
9/5
4%
-
Albirex
27%
9/4
3%
-
Fagiano 1-0
17%
5/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
16%
9/2
7%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
9/2
8%
-
Albirex 1-0
13%
13/2
7%
-
Fagiano 2-0
9%
10/1
20%
-
Fagiano 2-1
7%
10/1
10%
-
Albirex 2-1
5%
12/1-
Albirex 2-0
5%
14/1-
Fagiano 3-0
3%
25/1
26%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
18/1
11%
-
Fagiano 3-1
2%
25/1
13%
-
Albirex 3-1
1%
33/1-
Albirex 3-0
1%
33/1
15%
-
Fagiano 3-2
1%
40/1-
Fagiano 4-0
1%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
15/8-
Under 2.5 Goals
72%
2/5-
Home 1st Goal
48%
10/11
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
6/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
11%
9/2
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
36%
6/5-
BTTS - No
64%
8/13-
BTTS - Home Win
11%
6/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
7/2
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
15/2
7%
-
Home/draw
73%
1/3
3%
-
Away/draw
59%
1/2
6%
-
Home/away
68%
2/5
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
55%
4/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
45%
5/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
12%
5/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
88%
1/8-
Over 4.5 Goals
4%
14/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
28/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
84%
1/8
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
16%
5/1
7%
-
Home DNB
63%
4/6
8%
-
Away DNB
50%
11/10
9%
-
Fagiano win to nil
29%
5/2
7%
-
Albirex win to nil
19%
7/2
4%
-
Fagiano / Fagiano
18%
10/3
13%
-
Fagiano / Albirex
2%
40/1-
Fagiano / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Fagiano
14%
9/2
9%
-
Draw / Albirex
14%
11/2
8%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
3/1-
Albirex / Fagiano
2%
33/1
17%
-
Albirex / Albirex
19%
4/1
5%
-
Albirex / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win J-League table

Fagiano have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 15th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 16 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Fagiano have played 8 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 8 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Albirex are in 19th position in the J-League on 13 points having played 15 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 7 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 6 and won 2. Albirex have conceded 20 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Fagiano
Albirex
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Kashima1712141537 
l
 
1-2F
Jun 28
Aug 23
l
 
2-1A
2
Kashiwa17962733 
Aug 17
l
 
2-0A
Nov 30
d
 
1-1F
3
Kyoto Sanga18945631 
w
 
2-0F
Aug 30
l
 
1-2F
Jul 5
4
Urawa Reds17854629 
Nov 30
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Aug 31
5
Hiroshima16925429 
Jul 5
w
 
0-1F
Jul 20
w
 
0-1F
6
Kawasaki156631024 
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 8
Aug 16
Jun 25
7
Machida17737224 
May 25
Sep 27
Jun 29
l
 
1-0A
8
Vissel Kobe15735224 
Jul 20
l
 
2-0A
Oct 25
w
 
0-1F
9
Gamba Osaka17728-323 
w
 
2-0F
Aug 10
d
 
3-3F
Sep 27
10
Shimizu17647122 
d
 
1-1A
Dec 6
Sep 13
l
 
2-0A
11
Cerezo17647022 
Oct 18
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
Aug 11
12
Fagiano Home17647-122 
-
-
Oct 4
l
 
2-1A
13
Avispa17647-222 
Jun 15
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
Jun 21
14
Shonan17638-821 
Aug 23
Jun 1
May 25
Nov 8
15
Tokyo Verdy17557-620 
l
 
0-1A
Sep 20
d
 
2-2A
Oct 18
16
Tokyo16547-319 
w
 
1-0F
Oct 25
l
 
2-3A
Dec 6
17
Yokohama17539-618 
Sep 23
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Sep 20
18
Nagoya17458-617 
Sep 13
d
 
0-00-0
Sep 23
May 31
19
Albirex Away16277-613 
w
 
2-1F
Oct 4
-
-
20
Yokohama FM15159-128 
w
 
1-0F
Jun 21
Jun 15
d
 
1-1F
Afc Champions League
Afc Champions League Qualifiers
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Fagiano 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
8
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fagiano0 - 1Tokyo Verdy
Fagiano1 - 2Kashima
Fagiano1 - 0Tokyo
Fagiano1 - 0Yokohama FM
Fagiano0 - 0Kawasaki
Fagiano1 - 1Shimizu
Fagiano2 - 0Gamba Osaka
Fagiano2 - 0Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano2 - 0Vegalta
Fagiano2 - 0Fujieda MYFC
Fagiano2 - 1Iwaki
Fagiano1 - 0V-V Nagasaki
Fagiano3 - 0Ehime
Fagiano0 - 1Blaublitz
Fagiano0 - 0Oita Trinita
Fagiano0 - 0JEF United
Fagiano1 - 1Montedio
Fagiano2 - 0Vegalta
Fagiano1 - 0TK Gunma
Fagiano1 - 1Kagoshima
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFagiano0 - 2Kashiwa
AFagiano0 - 0Nagoya
AFagiano0 - 2Vissel Kobe
HFagiano0 - 1Tokyo Verdy
AFagiano1 - 1Avispa
HFagiano1 - 2Kashima
AFagiano1 - 0Hiroshima
HFagiano1 - 0Tokyo
AFagiano1 - 2Cerezo
HFagiano1 - 0Yokohama FM
HFagiano0 - 0Kawasaki
AFagiano0 - 1Urawa Reds
HFagiano1 - 1Shimizu
HFagiano2 - 0Gamba Osaka
AFagiano0 - 1Yokohama
HFagiano2 - 0Kyoto Sanga
HFagiano2 - 0Vegalta
AFagiano3 - 0Montedio
AFagiano0 - 0Kagoshima
HFagiano2 - 0Fujieda MYFC
Albirex 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hiroshima0 - 1Albirex
Kashiwa1 - 1Albirex
Vissel Kobe0 - 1Albirex
Machida1 - 0Albirex
Kashima2 - 1Albirex
Shimizu2 - 0Albirex
Yokohama FM1 - 1Albirex
Urawa Reds0 - 0Albirex
Kashiwa1 - 1Albirex
Yokohama FM0 - 0Albirex
Kawasaki5 - 1Albirex
Nagoya3 - 0Albirex
Avispa0 - 1Albirex
Cerezo1 - 2Albirex
Tokyo2 - 0Albirex
Sapporo0 - 1Albirex
Hiroshima1 - 1Albirex
Kashima1 - 1Albirex
Machida1 - 3Albirex
Shonan2 - 1Albirex
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
Draw
10
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAlbirex1 - 1Urawa Reds
HAlbirex2 - 3Tokyo
AAlbirex1 - 0Hiroshima
AAlbirex1 - 1Kashiwa
HAlbirex1 - 2Kyoto Sanga
HAlbirex0 - 0Yokohama
AAlbirex1 - 0Vissel Kobe
HAlbirex0 - 1Avispa
HAlbirex3 - 3Gamba Osaka
AAlbirex0 - 1Machida
HAlbirex2 - 2Tokyo Verdy
HAlbirex2 - 2Cerezo
AAlbirex1 - 2Kashima
AAlbirex0 - 2Shimizu
AAlbirex1 - 1Yokohama FM
AAlbirex0 - 0Urawa Reds
HAlbirex0 - 1Gamba Osaka
AAlbirex1 - 1Kashiwa
HAlbirex0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
AAlbirex0 - 0Yokohama FM
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Fagiano have not lost to Albirex in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Fagiano since 2018
Fagiano
Albirex
Goals: Scored
7
7
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
FAG
1
D
3
ALB
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fagiano
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fagiano1 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 2Albirex
League games at Albirex since 2018
Albirex
Fagiano
Goals: Scored
3
9
Games: Scored
2 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
3 / 5
FAG
4
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Albirex
2 - 3Fagiano
0 - 1Fagiano
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Fagiano
0 - 1Fagiano
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Fagiano Okayama of late. It has been 13 J-League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday morning against Albirex Niigata.

Fagiano 15th Albirex 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Fagiano will score no more than 1 goal
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Albirex scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Fagiano have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-25
Albirex have scored 25% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289795/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Fagiano
PG (predicted goals)
Albirex
1
0.8
Attack rating
FAG
ALB
26%
better
view stats
Games scored9
11
Failed to score7
4
Scored first6
8
Goals scored11
16
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal12
8
Conversion rate for9
13
Avg. XG for1
1.2
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
25%
better
FAG
ALB
view stats
Games conceded9
12
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded13
21
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
6
Conversion rate against9%
17%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+25%

Fagiano v Albirex J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Fagiano J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16322
S BrodersenR SatoH KatoI Fujita
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Brodersen GLK16
-
Y Tatsuta DEF14
-
D Tagami DEF101
-
Y Suzuki DEF4
-
R Sato MID113
1
-
I Fujita MID15
2
-
R Tabei MID1211
1
-
H Kato MID152
-
T Kimura FWD162
1
-
A Esaka FWD161
-
K Ichimi FWD141
-
Subs
K. Kawakami GLK
-
K Kudo DEF12
2
-
T Yanagi DEF512
1
-
K Abe DEF10
-
R Takeuchi MID5
-
H Iwabuchi MID12
1
-
Y Kamiya MID15
1
-
N Browne MID8
-
L Lucão FWD162
2
-
Albirex J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15522
S FujiwaraM HasegawaK HashimotoT Arai
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Yoshimitsu GLK4
-
S Fujiwara DEF15
1
-
J Geria DEF13
-
M Fitzgerald DEF111
-
Y Horigome DEF111
-
D Gomes MID91
1
-
T Arai MID8
2
-
Y Hoshi MID111
-
J. Okumura MID1411
-
M Hasegawa FWD1551
-
K. Kasai FWD911
1
-
Subs
K Fujita GLK11
-
K Chiba DEF1
-
K Hashimoto DEF92
1
-
E Miyamoto MID6
1
-
R Ochiai MID2
1
-
Y Takagi MID6
-
K Yamura FWD124
-
Y Komi FWD1311
-
S Ota FWD61
-