Nagoya Grampus Eight's team badge Sagan Tosu's team badge

Nagoya Grampus Eight v Sagan Tosu : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Minato Soccer Stadium, Nagoya

Home advantage can be vital in the J-League, and Kenta Hasegawa’s Nagoya Grampus Eight will have the luxury of it on Saturday morning. Kosuke Kitani’s Sagan Tosu are their opponents at the Minato Soccer Stadium. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen major markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included for all.

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The last Japanese J-League meeting between Nagoya and Sagan Tosu was on Saturday 30th November 2024
Japanese J-League
November 30th 2024
Nagoya 0
3 Sagan Tosu
 
8' V. Slivka
10' H. Nakahara
66' H. Nakahara
 
NAG
SAG
Shots On
4
5
Shots Off
9
1
Corners
6
2
Possession
65%
35%
Fouls
12
18
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
NagoyaSagan Tosu
 
M. Langerak
S. Tokumoto (R. Yamanaka 62')
K. Mikuni
A. Kawazura
T. Uchida (T. Kikuchi 46')
R. Izumi (K. Nakayama 84')
K. Shiihashi (H. Yoshida 84')
T. Morishima
S. Inagaki
K. Nagai (K. Junker 69')
Y. Yamagishi (A. Aguiar Oliveira 46')
I. Park
(F. Kitajima 61') Y. Maruhashi
Y. Imazu
K. Ueebisu
S. Kimura
(K. Sakaiya 69') T. Terayama
R. Watanabe
(K. Yamazaki 84') football iconfootball iconH. Nakahara
(N. Fujita 84') A. Fukuta
football iconV. Slivka
(V. Vasconcelos Araújo 88') C. Togashi

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Nagoya and Sagan Tosu will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookies have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nagoya are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nagoya
57%
4/6
1%
13/20
Draw
23%
11/4
1%
5/2
Sagan Tosu
20%
4/117/5
2%
Nagoya 1-0
12%
6/15/1
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
7%
6/1
Nagoya 2-0
10%
13/2
6%
6/1
Nagoya 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1
9%
8/1
6%
Sagan Tosu 1-0
6%
12/110/1
10%
Nagoya 3-0
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
Nagoya 3-1
6%
12/111/1
Sagan Tosu 2-1
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/112/1
13%
Sagan Tosu 2-0
3%
25/118/1
Nagoya 4-0
3%
25/118/1
Nagoya 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Nagoya 4-1
3%
28/1
12%
18/1
10%
Sagan Tosu 3-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
19/20
5%
17/20
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
17/20
5%
4/5
4%
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/9-
Away 1st Goal
41%
21/10
3%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
10/1110/11
2%
BTTS - No
50%
10/114/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
11/4
4%
13/5
3%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/14/1
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9/1
5%
15/2
Home/draw
80%
1/62/11
1%
Away/draw
43%
23/20
2%
23/20
Home/away
77%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
2/7
3%
2/7
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
5/2
7%
11/5
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
12/5
5%
21/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
3/10
2%
2/7
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/29/2
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/91/11
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/1
15%
10/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
1/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1
9%
7/1
Home DNB
73%
1/41/4
Away DNB
36%
11/45/2
Nagoya win to nil
32%
7/4-
Sagan Tosu win to nil
11%
8/1-
Nagoya / Nagoya
31%
13/88/5
Nagoya / Sagan Tosu
2%
40/128/1
Nagoya / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Nagoya
19%
10/316/5
Draw / Sagan Tosu
8%
9/18/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Sagan Tosu / Nagoya
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu
10%
15/213/2
Sagan Tosu / Draw
5%
16/112/1
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Win / draw / win J-League table

Nagoya have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 3 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Both Nagoya and Sagan Tosu have scored 42 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Nagoya have played 18 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 7 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Sagan Tosu are in 20th position in the J-League on 29 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

13 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 39 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

36 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 23 games, drawn 5 and won 8. Sagan Tosu have conceded 68 goals, scored 42, failed to score in 15 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nagoya
Sagan Tosu
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Vissel Kobe3821982572 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
3-3F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
2
Hiroshima38191182968 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3F
l
 
1-4A
l
 
4-0A
3
Machida38199102066 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
4
Gamba Osaka38181281466 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
5
Kashima38181191965 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-0A
6
Tokyo Verdy38141410056 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
7
Tokyo3815914254 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
8
Kawasaki38131312952 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
5-2A
l
 
3-2A
9
Yokohama FM3815716-152 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
10
Cerezo38131312-552 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
11
Nagoya Home3815518-350 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-3F
12
Avispa38121412-550 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
13
Urawa Reds38121214448 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
14
Kyoto Sanga38121115-1247 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
15
Shonan3812917-545 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
16
Albirex38101216-1542 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
3-4F
17
Kashiwa3891415-1241 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-4F
d
 
1-1F
18
Jubilo Iwata3810820-2138 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
19
Sapporo3891019-2337 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
4-0F
l
 
5-3A
20
Sagan Tosu Away3810523-2035 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-2F
-
-
Afc Champions League
Afc Champions League Qualifiers
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Nagoya 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nagoya0 - 2Sapporo
Nagoya2 - 0Jubilo Iwata
Nagoya2 - 0Kawasaki
Nagoya3 - 0Albirex
Nagoya1 - 2Hiroshima
Nagoya1 - 0Tokyo Verdy
Nagoya2 - 1Kashiwa
Nagoya0 - 1Urawa Reds
Nagoya1 - 1Shonan
Nagoya1 - 1Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya3 - 1Tokyo
Nagoya0 - 1Gamba Osaka
Nagoya0 - 2Vissel Kobe
Nagoya2 - 1Cerezo
Nagoya0 - 0Avispa
Nagoya2 - 1Yokohama FM
Nagoya0 - 1Machida
Nagoya0 - 3Kashima
Nagoya0 - 0Kashiwa
Nagoya1 - 1Sagan Tosu
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANagoya0 - 0Kashima
ANagoya2 - 3Gamba Osaka
HNagoya0 - 2Sapporo
ANagoya0 - 1Avispa
HNagoya2 - 0Jubilo Iwata
HNagoya2 - 0Kawasaki
HNagoya3 - 0Albirex
ANagoya1 - 4Tokyo
ANagoya1 - 0Shonan
HNagoya1 - 2Hiroshima
HNagoya1 - 0Tokyo Verdy
ANagoya2 - 3Kyoto Sanga
ANagoya3 - 3Vissel Kobe
HNagoya2 - 1Kashiwa
ANagoya0 - 1Machida
ANagoya1 - 2Cerezo
HNagoya0 - 1Urawa Reds
ANagoya0 - 1Tokyo Verdy
HNagoya1 - 1Shonan
ANagoya1 - 2Kawasaki
Sagan Tosu 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kyoto Sanga2 - 0Sagan Tosu
Tokyo1 - 1Sagan Tosu
Tokyo Verdy2 - 0Sagan Tosu
Kawasaki3 - 2Sagan Tosu
Vissel Kobe2 - 0Sagan Tosu
Sapporo5 - 3Sagan Tosu
Kashima3 - 0Sagan Tosu
Albirex3 - 4Sagan Tosu
Yokohama FM0 - 1Sagan Tosu
Cerezo1 - 0Sagan Tosu
Avispa2 - 0Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata0 - 3Sagan Tosu
Shonan2 - 1Sagan Tosu
Kashiwa1 - 1Sagan Tosu
Gamba Osaka2 - 1Sagan Tosu
Urawa Reds3 - 0Sagan Tosu
Machida3 - 1Sagan Tosu
Hiroshima4 - 0Sagan Tosu
Kashiwa2 - 2Sagan Tosu
Nagoya1 - 1Sagan Tosu
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSagan Tosu1 - 2Yokohama FM
HSagan Tosu2 - 1Machida
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Kyoto Sanga
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Tokyo
HSagan Tosu0 - 0Avispa
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
ASagan Tosu2 - 3Kawasaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 2Shonan
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Vissel Kobe
ASagan Tosu3 - 5Sapporo
HSagan Tosu1 - 1Urawa Reds
ASagan Tosu0 - 3Kashima
HSagan Tosu1 - 4Hiroshima
HSagan Tosu0 - 2Gamba Osaka
ASagan Tosu4 - 3Albirex
ASagan Tosu1 - 0Yokohama FM
HSagan Tosu1 - 4Kashiwa
ASagan Tosu0 - 1Cerezo
HSagan Tosu3 - 0Kyoto Sanga
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Avispa
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nagoya since 2018
Nagoya
Sagan Tosu
Goals: Scored
7
4
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
NAG
2
D
3
SAG
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nagoya
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Sagan Tosu
Nagoya1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Nagoya3 - 0
League games at Sagan Tosu since 2018
Sagan Tosu
Nagoya
Goals: Scored
7
9
Games: Scored
3 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
4 / 7
NAG
2
D
2
SAG
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sagan Tosu
0 - 2Nagoya
Sagan Tosu1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sagan Tosu3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 4Nagoya
Sagan Tosu3 - 2
Goal Statistics
Nagoya 13th Sagan Tosu 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Nagoya will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Sagan Tosu scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Nagoya have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
-5
Sagan Tosu’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/271822/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nagoya
PG (predicted goals)
Sagan Tosu
1.8
0.9
Attack rating
5%
better
NAG
SAG
view stats
Games scored24
21
Failed to score12
15
Scored first15
13
Goals scored42
42
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
21%
better
NAG
SAG
view stats
Games conceded26
30
Clean sheets10
6
Conceded first19
21
Goals conceded44
68
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
2
KickOff rating
+21%

Nagoya v Sagan Tosu J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Nagoya J-League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
36648
T MorishimaS Inagaki T MorishimaK Mikuni
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Langerak GLK35
1
-
T Uchida DEF29
4
2
K Mikuni DEF3521
7
1
A Kawazura DEF252
1
-
R Izumi MID3032
5
-
S Inagaki  MID3662
1
-
K Shiihashi MID3412
5
-
S Tokumoto MID101
2
-
Y Yamagishi MID2321
-
T Morishima MID3734
5
-
K Nagai FWD3463
2
-
Subs
Y Takeda GLK3
-
H Yoshida MID1612
3
-
K Nakayama MID32
2
-
T Kikuchi MID1213
-
R Yamanaka MID2011
-
Patric FWD3351
2
-
K Junker FWD1941
1
-
Sagan Tosu J-League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
38336
I ParkA FukutaH NakaharaK Yamazaki
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Park GLK38
-
K Ueebisu DEF20
1
-
Y Imazu DEF6
-
S Kimura DEF2611
-
Y Maruhashi DEF22
1
-
H Nakahara MID2123
1
-
R. Watanabe MID4
-
A Fukuta MID2932
2
-
V Slivka MID1421
-
T Terayama MID71
-
C Togashi FWD3722
4
-
Subs
M Okamoto GLK1
-
F. Kitajima DEF5
-
K Yamazaki DEF311
6
-
J Silva MID2
-
N Fujita MID12
-
K. Sakaiya FWD1611
1
1
V Araújo FWD191
-
Japanese J-League match betting previews, predictions and odds