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Tokyo v Albirex Niigata : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Albirex Niigata, led by manager Toru Irie, visit Rikizo Matsuhashi and his Tokyo side at the Ajinomoto Stadium on Saturday morning in the J-League. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and pulled out the statistics that will help you do exactly that. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

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The last Japanese J-League meeting between Tokyo and Albirex was on Saturday 6th December 2025
Japanese J-League
December 6th 2025
Tokyo 1
1 Albirex
 
K. Endo 45'9' M. Purcelo Blecha de Moraes
 
TOK
ALB
Shots On
2
3
Shots Off
9
4
Corners
7
4
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
7
19
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
TokyoAlbirex
 
G. Hatano
S. Muroya
M. Morishige
Y. Nagatomo (K. Shirai 89')
S. Anzai (R. Nozawa 73')
T. Ko
K. Sato (M. Nagakura 89')
M. Silvestre (T. Nakagawa 72')
K. Endofootball icon (M. de Almeida Santos Matos 89')
A. Scholz
K. Koizumi
K. Fujita
(K. Chiba 85') M. Fitzgerald
F. Hayakawa
S. Fujiwara
E. Shirai
M. Ohara
Y. Horigome
M. Hasegawa
(T. Arai 73') K. Kasai
(J. Okumura 73') football iconM. Purcelo Blecha de Moraes
A. Boudah

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This J-League fixture, with Tokyo and Albirex going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the widely used under 2.5 goals market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Forwards at both clubs will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having studied the relevant statistics and odds, we have come to the conclusion that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Tokyo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tokyo
54%
20/234/5
Draw
22%
12/523/10
Albirex
24%
31/1014/5
Draw 1-1
10%
11/25/1
Tokyo 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Tokyo 1-0
8%
13/211/2
Tokyo 2-0
8%
8/17/1
Albirex 2-1
6%
14/110/1
Tokyo 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/112/1
Albirex 1-0
5%
11/19/1
Tokyo 3-0
5%
16/111/1
Draw 0-0
4%
9/18/1
Tokyo 3-2
4%
25/118/1
Albirex 2-0
3%
20/116/1
Tokyo 4-1
3%
33/120/1
Albirex 3-1
3%
33/122/1
Albirex 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
19/2017/20
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
17/204/5
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/68/13
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/58/5
No 1st Goal
3%
9/18/1
BTTS - Yes
60%
4/54/5
BTTS - No
40%
19/2010/11
BTTS - Home Win
28%
3/111/4
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/27/2
BTTS - Away Win
14%
7/16/1
Home/draw
76%
2/92/9
Away/draw
46%
5/610/11
Home/away
78%
3/102/7
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
2/72/7
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
5/211/5
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
9/421/10
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1/33/10
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
11/29/2
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/91/11
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
14/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/331/40
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
10/17/1
Home DNB
69%
4/114/11
Away DNB
40%
2/119/10
Tokyo win to nil
25%
12/5-
Albirex win to nil
10%
6/1-
Tokyo / Tokyo
27%
2/119/10
Tokyo / Albirex
3%
33/125/1
Tokyo / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Draw / Tokyo
17%
4/17/2
Draw / Albirex
10%
15/27/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Albirex / Tokyo
4%
22/118/1
Albirex / Albirex
12%
11/211/2
Albirex / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win J-League table

Tokyo have played 37 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 5 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Tokyo have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 35 goals.

Home League Performance

Tokyo have played 18 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 7 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 25 goals at home.

Albirex are in 20th position in the J-League on 23 points having played 37 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

14 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 35 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

37 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 22 games, drawn 11 and won 4. Albirex have conceded 66 goals, scored 35, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Tokyo
Albirex
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Kashima3823782776 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
2
Kashiwa38211252675 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1F
3
Kyoto Sanga38191182268 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1F
4
Hiroshima38208101868 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
5
Vissel Kobe381810101364 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
6
Machida38179121460 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-4A
l
 
1-0A
7
Urawa Reds38161111659 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
8
Kawasaki381512111057 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
9
Gamba Osaka3817615-257 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
3-3F
l
 
4-2F
10
Cerezo38141014352 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1F
11
Tokyo38131114-750 
-
-
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1F
12
Avispa38121214-448 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2F
13
Fagiano3812917-945 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
14
Shimizu38111116-1044 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
15
Yokohama FM3812719-143 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
16
Nagoya38111017-1243 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
17
Tokyo Verdy38111017-1843 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
18
Yokohama389821-1835 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
19
Shonan388822-2732 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
5-2A
20
Albirex3841222-3124 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-3F
-
-
Afc Champions League
Afc Champions League Qualifiers
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
11
Albirex have lost 11 consecutive away league games
5
Tokyo have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
18
Albirex have not won in 18 consecutive league games
Tokyo 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tokyo3 - 1Fagiano
Tokyo2 - 3Yokohama FM
Tokyo1 - 0Avispa
Tokyo1 - 0Tokyo Verdy
Tokyo1 - 4Kyoto Sanga
Tokyo0 - 1Kashima
Tokyo3 - 2Urawa Reds
Tokyo2 - 1Yokohama
Tokyo2 - 2Cerezo
Tokyo0 - 3Hiroshima
Tokyo1 - 0Vissel Kobe
Tokyo0 - 2Shimizu
Tokyo3 - 0Gamba Osaka
Tokyo1 - 1Kashiwa
Tokyo0 - 3Kawasaki
Tokyo0 - 0Shonan
Tokyo3 - 1Nagoya
Tokyo0 - 1Machida
Tokyo3 - 0Cerezo
Tokyo0 - 2Shonan
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ATokyo0 - 0Vissel Kobe
ATokyo1 - 0Machida
HTokyo3 - 1Fagiano
ATokyo0 - 0Hiroshima
ATokyo1 - 1Shimizu
HTokyo2 - 3Yokohama FM
HTokyo1 - 0Avispa
ATokyo1 - 0Kawasaki
HTokyo1 - 0Tokyo Verdy
ATokyo1 - 1Nagoya
HTokyo1 - 4Kyoto Sanga
ATokyo2 - 2Shonan
HTokyo0 - 1Kashima
HTokyo3 - 2Urawa Reds
ATokyo0 - 1Kashiwa
HTokyo2 - 1Yokohama
ATokyo3 - 0Yokohama FM
ATokyo0 - 2Gamba Osaka
HTokyo2 - 2Cerezo
ATokyo0 - 3Kyoto Sanga
Albirex 20TH
20 league games
Away
11
Overall
18
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Shonan5 - 2Albirex
Tokyo Verdy1 - 0Albirex
Gamba Osaka4 - 2Albirex
Yokohama1 - 0Albirex
Urawa Reds1 - 0Albirex
Cerezo3 - 1Albirex
Kyoto Sanga2 - 1Albirex
Kawasaki3 - 1Albirex
Avispa3 - 2Albirex
Nagoya3 - 0Albirex
Fagiano2 - 1Albirex
Hiroshima0 - 1Albirex
Kashiwa1 - 1Albirex
Vissel Kobe0 - 1Albirex
Machida1 - 0Albirex
Kashima2 - 1Albirex
Shimizu2 - 0Albirex
Yokohama FM1 - 1Albirex
Urawa Reds0 - 0Albirex
Kashiwa1 - 1Albirex
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
D
4
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAlbirex1 - 3Kashiwa
AAlbirex2 - 5Shonan
HAlbirex2 - 2Vissel Kobe
AAlbirex0 - 1Tokyo Verdy
HAlbirex1 - 1Fagiano
AAlbirex2 - 4Gamba Osaka
HAlbirex0 - 0Nagoya
AAlbirex0 - 1Yokohama
HAlbirex0 - 1Shimizu
AAlbirex0 - 1Urawa Reds
HAlbirex1 - 2Kashima
HAlbirex1 - 1Kawasaki
AAlbirex1 - 3Cerezo
HAlbirex0 - 2Hiroshima
AAlbirex1 - 2Kyoto Sanga
HAlbirex0 - 4Machida
AAlbirex1 - 3Kawasaki
AAlbirex2 - 3Avispa
HAlbirex1 - 0Yokohama FM
AAlbirex0 - 3Nagoya
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Tokyo have beaten Albirex in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
Tokyo have not lost to Albirex in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Tokyo since 2023
Tokyo
Albirex
Goals: Scored
4
1
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
TOK
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tokyo
Tokyo2 - 0
Tokyo2 - 1
League games at Albirex since 2023
Albirex
Tokyo
Goals: Scored
3
6
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
TOK
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Albirex
2 - 3Tokyo
1 - 3Tokyo
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Tokyo's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday morning, not least because Albirex Niigata have conceded in each of their last 6 J-League games. A PG of 1.9 for R. Matsuhashi's side suggests that run should continue.

Tokyo's defensive record is to be admired, R. Matsuhashi's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive J-League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Albirex Niigata makes sense in this context.

Tokyo 11th Albirex 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Tokyo will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Albirex will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Tokyo have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
-21
Albirex have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season
Tokyo
PG (predicted goals)
Albirex
1.9
1.2
Attack rating
2%
better
TOK
ALB
view stats
Games scored23
25
Failed to score14
12
Scored first16
14
Goals scored41
35
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.9
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for12
12
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
26%
better
TOK
ALB
view stats
Games conceded26
32
Clean sheets11
5
Conceded first18
21
Goals conceded47
66
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against13%
20%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+26%

Tokyo v Albirex J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Tokyo J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32856
T KoM RyanT KoY Nagatomo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Hatano GLK7
-
Y Nagatomo DEF272
6
-
A Scholz DEF162
2
-
M Morishige DEF231
2
-
S Muroya DEF171
3
-
K Endo MID235
3
-
T Ko MID3325
1
-
K Koizumi MID3012
5
-
S Anzai MID3023
2
-
M Ryan FWD3081
4
-
K. Sato FWD3675
2
-
Subs
M Kobayashi GLK
-
T. Oka DEF21
3
-
K Doi DEF211
2
-
K Shirai DEF2011
-
K. Tokiwa MID7
-
M Guilherme MID12
1
-
M Nagakura FWD1141
1
-
L Nozawa FWD2511
-
T Nakagawa FWD332
1
-
Albirex J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
35747
M HasegawaM HasegawaM HasegawaM Fitzgerald
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Fujita GLK16
-
S Fujiwara DEF341
5
-
M Fitzgerald DEF311
7
-
F Hayakawa DEF13
1
-
Y Horigome DEF2611
2
-
K. Kasai MID2022
1
-
E Shirai MID152
2
-
M Hasegawa MID3874
1
-
M Ohara MID9
1
-
Moraes FWD1232
1
-
A Saidi FWD131
1
-
Subs
R Tashiro GLK151
2
-
S Okamoto DEF
-
K Chiba DEF5
1
-
K Hashimoto DEF272
3
-
T Arai MID251
2
-
J. Okumura MID3632
-
Y Takagi MID19
1
-
Y. Otake MID
-
H. Uemura MID10
-
Japanese J-League match betting previews, predictions and odds