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Tokyo v Cerezo Osaka : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Saturday morning sees Rikizo Matsuhashi’s Tokyo and Arthur Thomas Papastamatis’s Cerezo Osaka go up against one another in a J-League battle at the Ajinomoto Stadium. We have custom-designed statistics for every major market, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

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Tokyo's next match is v Gamba Osaka at 10:30 on Sunday 22nd June
Cerezo Osaka's next match is v Gamba Osaka at 11:00 on Saturday 5th July
The last Japanese J-League meeting between Tokyo and Cerezo was on Saturday 14th June 2025
Japanese J-League
June 14th 2025
Tokyo 2
2 Cerezo
 
M. Silvestre 3'41' R. da Silva
M. Silvestre 81'71' S. Tanaka
 
TOK
CER
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
12
4
Corners
4
7
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
17
10
 
TokyoCerezo
 
G. Hatano
S. Muroya
M. Morishige
K. Shirai
Y. Kimoto (T. Oka 84')
K. Higashi (K. Sato 60')
K. Hashimoto
T. Ko
S. Anzai (K. Tawaratsumida 60')
K. Endo (R. Nozawa 75')
M. Silvestrefootball iconfootball icon (E. Galdino Moreira 84')
K. Fukui
S. Hatanaka
R. Nishio
H. Okuda
(N. Takahashi Cendagorta 46') K. Noborizato
(S. Tanaka 66') S. Kagawa
H. Kida
(M. Nakajima 56') V. Frezarin Bueno
L. Fernandes
(S. Homma 66') T. de Andrade
(M. Shibayama 85') football iconR. da Silva

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Tokyo and Cerezo will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 minutes. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookies have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Cerezo coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tokyo
33%
2/110/1
Draw
25%
13/51/10
Cerezo
42%
6/58/1
Draw 1-1
12%
6/15/4
Cerezo 1-0
9%
10/18/1
Cerezo 2-1
9%
8/14/5
Tokyo 1-0
8%
12/111/2
Tokyo 2-1
8%
10/117/4
Cerezo 2-0
7%
12/1
8%
10/1
Draw 0-0
6%
14/1
8%
10/1
Draw 2-2
6%
10/12/7
Tokyo 2-0
5%
18/1
13%
6/1
Cerezo 3-1
4%
14/17/2
Tokyo 3-1
3%
20/116/1
Cerezo 3-0
3%
20/116/1
Cerezo 3-2
3%
20/119/4
Tokyo 3-2
3%
25/16/1
Tokyo 3-0
2%
33/111/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
3/5
1%
4/7
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
13/10
1%
6/5
Home 1st Goal
47%
6/511/10
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/65/6
No 1st Goal
4%
14/1
8%
10/1
BTTS - Yes
57%
1/27/20
BTTS - No
43%
6/419/10
BTTS - Home Win
17%
4/1
10%
11/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/33/10
BTTS - Away Win
21%
11/417/4
Home/draw
58%
4/61/25
Away/draw
67%
4/111/40
Home/away
75%
2/75/1
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/61/12
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
4/111/2
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
6/417/20
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/24/5
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
10/319/4
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/51/10
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
8/128/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/141/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/331/50
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1
8%
10/1
Home DNB
51%
6/56/5
Away DNB
59%
8/138/13
Tokyo win to nil
16%
11/2
9%
-
Cerezo win to nil
21%
7/2-
Tokyo / Tokyo
17%
15/4
6%
12/1
Tokyo / Cerezo
4%
20/128/1
Tokyo / Draw
6%
12/122/1
Draw / Tokyo
12%
6/114/5
Draw / Cerezo
14%
5/17/4
Draw / Draw
13%
5/1
9%
2/1
Cerezo / Tokyo
3%
25/133/1
Cerezo / Cerezo
23%
5/29/1
Cerezo / Draw
6%
12/122/1
Win / draw / win J-League table

Tokyo have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Tokyo have conceded 24 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Tokyo have played 9 games at home, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Cerezo lay in 8th place on 29 points in the J-League league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 20 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Cerezo have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Cerezo have played 10 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Tokyo
Cerezo
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Kashima2113261341 
Aug 10
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Sep 23
2
Kashiwa211083838 
d
 
1-1F
Jul 5
Sep 20
l
 
2-1F
3
Hiroshima2011361036 
l
 
0-3A
Oct 18
Aug 31
l
 
2-1F
4
Vissel Kobe201136636 
w
 
1-0F
Nov 30
Aug 23
w
 
1-3A
5
Kyoto Sanga211056835 
Aug 24
l
 
3-0A
Sep 27
w
 
2-3A
6
Urawa Reds21975634 
Jul 19
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
7
Cerezo22967533 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
-
-
8
Kawasaki208841132 
l
 
0-3A
Sep 20
Oct 25
l
 
2-0A
9
Machida21948131 
l
 
0-1A
Nov 9
l
 
1-2A
Aug 16
10
Avispa21858-229 
Sep 23
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Sep 13
11
Gamba Osaka21849-228 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
Jul 5
w
 
2-5F
12
Shimizu21768027 
l
 
0-2A
Oct 4
w
 
4-2A
Nov 8
13
Fagiano21768-127 
Oct 25
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Oct 18
14
Nagoya21669-324 
w
 
3-1F
Aug 31
d
 
1-1F
Oct 4
15
Tokyo Verdy21669-924 
Sep 13
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
16
Shonan206410-1022 
d
 
0-00-0
Aug 16
l
 
1-2A
Jul 19
17
Tokyo205510-1120 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
18
Albirex20479-819 
Dec 6
w
 
2-3F
Aug 11
d
 
2-2A
19
Yokohama215412-1219 
Jun 28
w
 
0-1F
Dec 6
l
 
2-0A
20
Yokohama FM203512-1014 
Sep 27
Jun 25
w
 
1-0F
Nov 30
Afc Champions League
Afc Champions League Qualifiers
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Tokyo 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Cerezo 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Tokyo since 2018
Tokyo
Cerezo
Goals: Scored
16
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
TOK
5
CER
2
League games at Cerezo since 2018
Cerezo
Tokyo
Goals: Scored
8
8
Games: Scored
5 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
3 / 8
TOK
2
D
4
CER
2
Goal Statistics
Tokyo 18th Cerezo 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Tokyo will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Cerezo will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Tokyo have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
Cerezo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289822/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Tokyo
PG (predicted goals)
Cerezo
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
TOK
CER
35%
better
view stats
Games scored9
16
Failed to score9
4
Scored first7
11
Goals scored17
30
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for11
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
TOK
CER
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
16
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded26
26
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+5%

Tokyo v Cerezo J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Tokyo J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17634
T KoM RyanT KoK Koizumi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Hatano GLK4
-
S Muroya DEF1
-
M Morishige DEF10
-
Y Kimoto DEF6
-
K Shirai DEF1811
-
K Hashimoto MID161
3
-
T Ko MID1813
-
S Anzai MID1912
1
-
K Higashi MID10
2
-
K Endo MID91
-
M Ryan FWD156
2
-
Subs
T Nozawa GLK15
1
-
Y Nagatomo DEF11
3
-
T. Oka DEF15
3
-
K Doi DEF161
1
-
K Tawaratsumida MID1912
-
K Koizumi MID1511
4
-
K. Sato FWD1932
1
-
L Nozawa FWD91
-
E Galdino FWD4
-
Cerezo J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1910143
L FernandesR RatãoL FernandesS Kagawa 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Fukui GLK15
2
-
H Okuda DEF20
1
-
R Nishio DEF211
-
S Hatanaka DEF18
-
K Noborizato DEF12
1
-
H Kida MID161
1
-
S Kagawa  MID1812
3
-
L Fernandes MID22314
1
-
V Bueno MID10
-
T Andrade MID1831
3
-
R Ratão FWD22102
3
-
Subs
J Kim GLK8
-
R Shindo DEF142
2
-
K Funaki DEF9
1
-
N. Takahashi Cendagorta DEF141
1
-
S Tanaka MID142
1
-
S Homma MID4
-
K Yoshino MID1
-
M Shibayama MID162
-
M Nakajima FWD2042
-