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Tokyo v Sagan Tosu : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Peter Cklamovski and Kosuke Kitani pit their wits in the J-League on Saturday morning, as Tokyo face Sagan Tosu at the Ajinomoto Stadium. We have custom-designed stats for all of the main betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Tokyo's next match is v Vissel Kobe at 11:00 on Friday 18th October
Sagan Tosu's next match is v Kyoto Sanga at 06:00 on Saturday 19th October
The last Japanese J-League meeting between Tokyo and Sagan Tosu was on Saturday 5th October 2024
Japanese J-League
October 5th 2024
Tokyo 1
1 Sagan Tosu
 
T. Ko 82'73' V. Slivka
 
TOK
SAG
Shots On
6
5
Shots Off
8
5
Corners
11
7
Possession
63%
37%
Fouls
6
14
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
TokyoSagan Tosu
 
T. Nozawa
T. Oka
Y. Kimoto
Y. Nagatomo (H. Nakamura 87')
M. Morishige
S. Anzai (R. Nozawa 87')
K. Tawaratsumida (K. Endo 68')
R. Araki
K. Higashi (R. Harakawa 68')
T. Kofootball icon
D. Queiroz de Oliveira (T. Ogashiwa 68')
I. Park
K. Yamazaki
W. Harada
T. Kim
(K. Sakaiya 84') football iconV. Slivka
K. Nishiya
(R. Watanabe 61') Y. Horigome
(C. Togashi 61') S. Hino
(Y. Imazu 90') H. Nakahara
(D. Suzuki 84') A. Fukuta
M. Silvestre
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% probability of Tokyo and Sagan Tosu delivering a minimum of a couple of goals in this J-League match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tokyo
49%
17/20
3%
4/5
3%
Draw
24%
13/55/2
3%
Sagan Tosu
27%
31/10
5%
5/2
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/16/1
8%
Tokyo 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Tokyo 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
13/2
Tokyo 2-0
8%
17/2
5%
8/1
Sagan Tosu 2-1
7%
12/110/1
10%
Sagan Tosu 1-0
7%
12/110/1
10%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
12/110/1
10%
Tokyo 3-1
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
Tokyo 3-0
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Sagan Tosu 2-0
4%
20/114/1
Tokyo 3-2
3%
20/116/1
Sagan Tosu 3-1
3%
28/120/1
11%
Tokyo 4-1
2%
28/118/1
10%
Sagan Tosu 3-2
2%
33/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
7/1013/20
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
11/101/1
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/15
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
8/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/6
3%
13/20
BTTS - No
43%
11/10
5%
11/10
BTTS - Home Win
24%
5/2
3%
12/5
3%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/27/2
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/15/1
4%
Home/draw
73%
2/9
2%
1/4
3%
Away/draw
51%
10/1110/11
4%
Home/away
76%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/51/5
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
10/327/10
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
13/88/5
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/92/5
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
4/17/2
2%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/61/7
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/17/1
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/201/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/40
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/117/2
Home DNB
66%
4/11
3%
2/5
3%
Away DNB
44%
2/1
9%
7/4
5%
Tokyo win to nil
25%
5/2-
Sagan Tosu win to nil
13%
7/1-
Tokyo / Tokyo
28%
15/8
4%
15/8
4%
Tokyo / Sagan Tosu
3%
28/125/1
13%
Tokyo / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Tokyo
16%
4/119/5
Draw / Sagan Tosu
10%
15/27/1
7%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
5%
Sagan Tosu / Tokyo
4%
20/116/1
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu
13%
11/2
8%
19/4
5%
Sagan Tosu / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win J-League table

Tokyo have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 4 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Tokyo have outscored their opponents by 46 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

Tokyo have played 16 games at home winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Sagan Tosu are in 20th position in the J-League on 25 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

12 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 36 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

32 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 21 games, drawn 4 and won 7. Sagan Tosu have conceded 62 goals, scored 38, failed to score in 14 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Tokyo
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Sagan Tosu
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
 Hiroshima33181143265 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-2F
Oct 18
 Vissel Kobe3319772264 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
Nov 9
 Machida3317881959 
Nov 3
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
 Kashima3215891353 
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Gamba Osaka3314118953 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
-
-
 Tokyo Home3313911348 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
Dec 8
d
 
2-2A
 Cerezo3312129048 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
 Tokyo Verdy3312129-248 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-1F
l
 
3-1A
 Nagoya3314415146 
l
 
0-2A
Nov 30
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
 Kawasaki32111011843 
w
 
5-2A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3F
 Avispa33101310-443 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3A
 Yokohama FM3212515-241 
Nov 9
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
 Urawa Reds3110912239 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
 Albirex3310914-1239 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
3-4F
Nov 3
w
 
0-1F
 Shonan3310815-438 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-2F
 Kashiwa3291112-938 
l
 
1-4F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
 Kyoto Sanga3210814-1438 
w
 
3-0F
Oct 19
d
 
1-1A
Nov 30
 Jubilo Iwata328816-1632 
Dec 8
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
 Sapporo337818-2229 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
5-3A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
 Sagan Tosu Away337521-2426 
-
-
Win / draw / win form
Tokyo 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Sagan Tosu 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Tokyo since 2018
Tokyo
Sagan Tosu
Goals: Scored
8
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
TOK
2
D
1
SAG
3
League games at Sagan Tosu since 2018
Sagan Tosu
Tokyo
Goals: Scored
12
2
Games: Scored
5 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
2 / 7
TOK
1
D
1
SAG
5
Goal Statistics
Tokyo 6th Sagan Tosu 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Tokyo will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Sagan Tosu will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Tokyo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+4
Sagan Tosu’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/271779/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Tokyo
PG (predicted goals)
Sagan Tosu
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
19%
better
TOK
SAG
view stats
Games scored25
18
Failed to score7
14
Scored first12
10
Goals scored46
38
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
17%
better
TOK
SAG
view stats
Games conceded24
26
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first18
20
Goals conceded43
62
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded11
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
2.1
KickOff rating
+17%

Tokyo v Sagan Tosu J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Tokyo J-League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29734
T KoR ArakiK TawaratsumidaY Kimoto
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Nozawa GLK22
1
-
Y Nagatomo DEF2621
3
-
Y Kimoto DEF161
4
-
M Morishige DEF20
2
-
T. Oka DEF152
3
-
K Higashi MID91
-
T Ko MID3022
1
-
S Anzai MID2722
4
-
R Araki MID2471
2
-
K Tawaratsumida MID3123
-
D Oliveira FWD296
2
-
Subs
G Hatano GLK12
2
H Nakamura  DEF151
1
-
K Endo MID2143
1
-
R Harakawa  MID2311
1
-
T Ogashiwa FWD92
-
K Yamashita FWD2
-
L Nozawa FWD911
-
Sagan Tosu J-League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331227
I ParkM RyanM RyanW Harada
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Park GLK33
-
W Harada DEF2821
7
-
K Yamazaki DEF281
6
-
K Tae-Hyeon DEF25
5
-
K. Nishiya MID71
1
-
Y Horigome MID231
2
-
H Nakahara MID161
1
-
V Slivka MID91
-
A Fukuta MID2431
2
-
M Ryan FWD28122
1
-
S Hino FWD14
-
Subs
M Okamoto GLK
-
Y Imazu DEF2
-
R. Watanabe MID1
-
N Fujita MID10
-
C Togashi FWD3212
4
-
K. Sakaiya FWD1111
1
1
D Suzuki FWD1
-